1948 United States presidential election in North Carolina
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All 14 North Carolina votes to the Electoral College | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County Results
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| Elections in North Carolina |
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The 1948 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on November 2, 1948, as part of the 1948 United States presidential election. North Carolina voters chose 14[2] representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
As a former Confederate state, North Carolina had a history of Jim Crow laws, disfranchisement of its African-American population and dominance of the Democratic Party in state politics. However, unlike the Deep South, the Republican Party had sufficient historic Unionist white support from the mountains and northwestern Piedmont to gain one-third of the statewide vote total in most general elections,[3] where turnout was higher than elsewhere in the former Confederacy due substantially to the state’s early abolition of the poll tax in 1920.[4] Like Virginia, Tennessee and Oklahoma, the relative strength of Republican opposition meant that North Carolina did not have statewide white primaries, although certain counties did use the white primary.[5] Consequently, local response to the landmark 1944 court case of Smith v. Allwright was generally calm.[5]
Nevertheless, the state was highly dissatisfied with the influence of blacks and labor unions on the national Democratic Party, and was initially satisfied when liberal Vice-President Henry A. Wallace was replaced on the Democratic ticket in 1944.[6] However, by the beginning of 1946 most white North Carolinians were disapproving of President Truman, primarily because he appointed the first black federal judge and made overtures – though symbolic – toward civil rights.[6] When Truman actually developed a proposal for black civil rights titled To Secure These Rights, however, North Carolina was the only Southern state where there was relatively little overt anger, and the state provided the only three votes from the former Confederacy for Truman as Democratic nominee during the party’s 1948 National Convention. Combined with the persistent local Republican threat from mountain Unionist descendants, this meant that there was never any question of the state Democratic Party supporting South Carolina Governor Strom Thurmond.
9% of white voters supported Thurmond.[7]
Polls
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga Daily Times[8] | Likely D | October 15, 1948 |
| The Montgomery Advertiser[9] | Safe D | October 24, 1948 |
| The Miami News[10] | Safe D | October 25, 1948 |
| The Charlotte Observer[11] | Likely D | October 27, 1948 |
| Mount Vernon Argus[12] | Lean D | November 1, 1948 |
| Oakland Tribune[13] | Safe D | November 1, 1948 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Harry S. Truman (inc.) | 459,070 | 58.02% | |
| Republican | Thomas Dewey | 258,572 | 32.68% | |
| States’ Rights | Strom Thurmond | 69,652 | 8.80% | |
| Progressive | Henry A. Wallace | 3,915 | 0.49% | |
| Total votes | 791,209 | 100% | ||
Results by county
| County | Harry S. Truman Democratic |
Thomas Edmund Dewey Republican |
James Strom Thurmond States’ Rights |
Henry Agard Wallace Progressive |
Margin | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | |
| Greene | 96.45% | 2,687 | 2.33% | 65 | 1.18% | 33 | 0.04% | 1 | 94.11% | 2,622 |
| Bertie | 95.71% | 3,034 | 2.68% | 85 | 1.48% | 47 | 0.13% | 4 | 93.03% | 2,949 |
| Martin | 95.53% | 4,636 | 3.36% | 163 | 1.07% | 52 | 0.04% | 2 | 92.17% | 4,473 |
| Northampton | 92.17% | 3,591 | 4.59% | 179 | 3.05% | 119 | 0.18% | 7 | 87.58% | 3,412 |
| Franklin | 91.55% | 4,538 | 4.72% | 234 | 3.57% | 177 | 0.16% | 8 | 86.83% | 4,304 |
| Pitt | 89.47% | 8,519 | 6.32% | 602 | 3.40% | 324 | 0.81% | 77 | 83.14% | 7,917 |
| Edgecombe | 89.75% | 6,410 | 6.69% | 478 | 3.00% | 214 | 0.56% | 40 | 83.06% | 5,932 |
| Hertford | 88.80% | 2,165 | 8.04% | 196 | 2.67% | 65 | 0.49% | 12 | 80.76% | 1,969 |
| Nash | 88.50% | 7,590 | 7.98% | 684 | 3.38% | 290 | 0.14% | 12 | 80.53% | 6,906 |
| Lenoir | 88.54% | 5,445 | 8.37% | 515 | 2.63% | 162 | 0.46% | 28 | 80.16% | 4,930 |
| Jones | 88.05% | 1,238 | 8.04% | 113 | 3.70% | 52 | 0.21% | 3 | 80.01% | 1,125 |
| Halifax | 86.82% | 6,172 | 7.10% | 505 | 5.95% | 423 | 0.13% | 9 | 79.72% | 5,667 |
| Onslow | 87.34% | 3,318 | 8.32% | 316 | 4.32% | 164 | 0.03% | 1 | 79.02% | 3,002 |
| Warren | 85.75% | 2,376 | 6.93% | 192 | 7.25% | 201 | 0.07% | 2 | 78.49%[a] | 2,175 |
| Gates | 86.94% | 939 | 8.24% | 89 | 4.63% | 50 | 0.19% | 2 | 78.70% | 850 |
| Granville | 85.25% | 3,513 | 8.10% | 334 | 6.16% | 254 | 0.49% | 20 | 77.14% | 3,179 |
| Wilson | 86.25% | 6,008 | 9.55% | 665 | 3.57% | 249 | 0.63% | 44 | 76.70% | 5,343 |
| Chowan | 83.99% | 1,070 | 9.73% | 124 | 5.65% | 72 | 0.63% | 8 | 74.25% | 946 |
| Currituck | 83.63% | 1,144 | 9.50% | 130 | 6.36% | 87 | 0.51% | 7 | 74.12% | 1,014 |
| Hoke | 80.71% | 1,339 | 8.56% | 142 | 10.61% | 176 | 0.12% | 2 | 70.10%[a] | 1,163 |
| Person | 82.28% | 3,087 | 12.79% | 480 | 4.80% | 180 | 0.13% | 5 | 69.48% | 2,607 |
| Craven | 80.26% | 5,039 | 11.87% | 745 | 7.66% | 481 | 0.21% | 13 | 68.40% | 4,294 |
| Vance | 79.51% | 3,679 | 11.87% | 549 | 8.06% | 373 | 0.56% | 26 | 67.65% | 3,130 |
| Perquimans | 80.09% | 849 | 12.74% | 135 | 6.98% | 74 | 0.19% | 2 | 67.36% | 714 |
| Duplin | 81.25% | 5,866 | 14.18% | 1,024 | 4.47% | 323 | 0.10% | 7 | 67.06% | 4,842 |
| Robeson | 77.26% | 7,056 | 11.34% | 1,036 | 10.79% | 985 | 0.61% | 56 | 65.91% | 6,020 |
| Washington | 81.43% | 1,675 | 16.19% | 333 | 1.70% | 35 | 0.68% | 14 | 65.24% | 1,342 |
| Anson | 72.54% | 2,692 | 12.05% | 447 | 15.20% | 564 | 0.22% | 8 | 57.34%[a] | 2,128 |
| Beaufort | 77.53% | 4,675 | 17.50% | 1,055 | 4.89% | 295 | 0.08% | 5 | 60.03% | 3,620 |
| Columbus | 74.79% | 5,511 | 15.00% | 1,105 | 10.06% | 741 | 0.16% | 12 | 59.79% | 4,406 |
| Bladen | 72.33% | 2,831 | 12.77% | 500 | 14.67% | 574 | 0.23% | 9 | 57.66%[a] | 2,257 |
| Richmond | 71.95% | 4,376 | 14.24% | 866 | 13.58% | 826 | 0.23% | 14 | 57.71% | 3,510 |
| Camden | 73.94% | 576 | 16.30% | 127 | 9.11% | 71 | 0.64% | 5 | 57.64% | 449 |
| Scotland | 69.42% | 1,957 | 12.74% | 359 | 17.45% | 492 | 0.39% | 11 | 51.97%[a] | 1,465 |
| Hyde | 76.05% | 800 | 20.34% | 214 | 3.61% | 38 | 0.00% | 0 | 55.70% | 586 |
| Lee | 74.38% | 3,234 | 20.03% | 871 | 5.47% | 238 | 0.11% | 5 | 54.35% | 2,363 |
| Caswell | 68.82% | 1,651 | 14.63% | 351 | 16.22% | 389 | 0.33% | 8 | 52.61%[a] | 1,262 |
| Wake[b] | 73.45% | 17,939 | 19.86% | 4,850 | 5.90% | 1,441 | 0.79% | 193 | 53.59% | 13,089 |
| Wayne | 73.20% | 6,111 | 19.86% | 1,658 | 6.62% | 553 | 0.31% | 26 | 53.34% | 4,453 |
| Union | 66.23% | 3,407 | 14.35% | 738 | 19.23% | 989 | 0.19% | 10 | 47.01%[a] | 2,418 |
| Harnett | 74.11% | 6,608 | 22.26% | 1,985 | 3.50% | 312 | 0.12% | 11 | 51.85% | 4,623 |
| Pender | 62.39% | 1,334 | 14.22% | 304 | 21.94% | 469 | 1.45% | 31 | 40.46%[a] | 865 |
| Johnston | 70.69% | 9,188 | 24.71% | 3,211 | 4.39% | 571 | 0.21% | 27 | 45.99% | 5,977 |
| Haywood | 71.82% | 7,373 | 26.14% | 2,684 | 1.97% | 202 | 0.07% | 7 | 45.68% | 4,689 |
| Rockingham | 68.89% | 8,553 | 23.65% | 2,936 | 7.24% | 899 | 0.22% | 27 | 45.24% | 5,617 |
| Cleveland | 65.21% | 6,039 | 20.57% | 1,905 | 13.77% | 1,275 | 0.45% | 42 | 44.64% | 4,134 |
| Pasquotank | 67.76% | 1,976 | 24.04% | 701 | 7.72% | 225 | 0.48% | 14 | 43.72% | 1,275 |
| Durham[c] | 65.45% | 11,530 | 25.72% | 4,531 | 5.61% | 989 | 3.20% | 563 | 39.73% | 6,999 |
| Carteret | 67.66% | 3,491 | 29.46% | 1,520 | 2.60% | 134 | 0.29% | 15 | 38.20% | 1,971 |
| Cumberland | 55.13% | 4,996 | 19.21% | 1,741 | 25.26% | 2,289 | 0.40% | 36 | 29.87%[a] | 2,707 |
| Tyrrell | 65.77% | 732 | 30.19% | 336 | 3.86% | 43 | 0.18% | 2 | 35.58% | 396 |
| Dare | 66.06% | 802 | 30.72% | 373 | 3.05% | 37 | 0.16% | 2 | 35.34% | 429 |
| Pamlico | 62.36% | 1,370 | 31.18% | 685 | 6.14% | 135 | 0.32% | 7 | 31.18% | 685 |
| Orange | 60.29% | 3,523 | 31.03% | 1,813 | 6.20% | 362 | 2.48% | 145 | 29.27% | 1,710 |
| Chatham | 58.60% | 3,396 | 34.65% | 2,008 | 6.59% | 382 | 0.16% | 9 | 23.95% | 1,388 |
| Jackson | 59.55% | 4,005 | 37.47% | 2,520 | 2.74% | 184 | 0.24% | 16 | 22.08% | 1,485 |
| Alamance | 53.88% | 8,287 | 33.32% | 5,124 | 12.61% | 1,939 | 0.20% | 30 | 20.57% | 3,163 |
| Yancey | 59.69% | 3,481 | 39.13% | 2,282 | 1.13% | 66 | 0.05% | 3 | 20.56% | 1,199 |
| New Hanover | 47.92% | 5,364 | 28.25% | 3,162 | 23.24% | 2,601 | 0.59% | 66 | 19.67% | 2,202 |
| Surry | 56.77% | 6,956 | 37.89% | 4,643 | 5.13% | 629 | 0.20% | 25 | 18.88% | 2,313 |
| Buncombe | 55.34% | 17,072 | 37.15% | 11,460 | 6.94% | 2,140 | 0.58% | 179 | 18.19% | 5,612 |
| Swain | 56.67% | 1,908 | 41.25% | 1,389 | 1.96% | 66 | 0.12% | 4 | 15.41% | 519 |
| McDowell | 53.20% | 3,805 | 37.88% | 2,709 | 8.63% | 617 | 0.29% | 21 | 15.32% | 1,096 |
| Graham | 56.24% | 1,527 | 41.07% | 1,115 | 2.43% | 66 | 0.26% | 7 | 15.17% | 412 |
| Gaston[d] | 47.27% | 8,966 | 32.58% | 6,180 | 19.80% | 3,755 | 0.35% | 67 | 14.69% | 2,786 |
| Stokes | 56.15% | 4,431 | 41.71% | 3,291 | 1.96% | 155 | 0.18% | 14 | 14.45% | 1,140 |
| Rutherford | 51.00% | 5,992 | 36.95% | 4,342 | 11.86% | 1,394 | 0.19% | 22 | 14.04% | 1,650 |
| Polk | 52.07% | 2,078 | 40.99% | 1,636 | 6.82% | 272 | 0.13% | 5 | 11.07% | 442 |
| Iredell | 47.47% | 5,761 | 36.59% | 4,441 | 15.76% | 1,913 | 0.17% | 21 | 10.88% | 1,320 |
| Moore | 51.80% | 3,341 | 42.16% | 2,719 | 5.81% | 375 | 0.23% | 15 | 9.64% | 622 |
| Alleghany | 51.43% | 1,667 | 42.39% | 1,374 | 5.86% | 190 | 0.31% | 10 | 9.04% | 293 |
| Guilford | 48.73% | 17,224 | 40.08% | 14,167 | 10.06% | 3,557 | 1.13% | 401 | 8.65% | 3,057 |
| Mecklenburg[e] | 43.24% | 14,353 | 34.70% | 11,518 | 21.61% | 7,172 | 0.43% | 142 | 8.54% | 2,835 |
| Forsyth | 49.35% | 12,201 | 41.04% | 10,147 | 6.79% | 1,679 | 2.82% | 698 | 8.31% | 2,054 |
| Macon | 52.46% | 2,785 | 44.98% | 2,388 | 2.45% | 130 | 0.11% | 6 | 7.48% | 397 |
| Rowan | 43.30% | 6,799 | 36.44% | 5,722 | 20.04% | 3,146 | 0.22% | 35 | 6.86% | 1,077 |
| Cabarrus | 39.44% | 5,059 | 33.48% | 4,294 | 26.80% | 3,437 | 0.28% | 36 | 5.96% | 765 |
| Montgomery | 47.50% | 2,165 | 43.33% | 1,975 | 9.10% | 415 | 0.07% | 3 | 4.17% | 190 |
| Ashe | 50.76% | 4,633 | 46.74% | 4,266 | 2.39% | 218 | 0.11% | 10 | 4.02% | 367 |
| Clay | 50.76% | 1,307 | 47.11% | 1,213 | 1.90% | 49 | 0.23% | 6 | 3.65% | 94 |
| Brunswick | 43.82% | 2,052 | 40.49% | 1,896 | 15.27% | 715 | 0.43% | 20 | 3.33% | 156 |
| Cherokee | 49.73% | 2,771 | 46.93% | 2,615 | 2.98% | 166 | 0.36% | 20 | 2.80% | 156 |
| Transylvania | 48.27% | 2,975 | 46.42% | 2,861 | 5.05% | 311 | 0.26% | 16 | 1.85% | 114 |
| Caldwell | 46.67% | 5,033 | 46.24% | 4,987 | 6.89% | 743 | 0.20% | 22 | 0.43% | 46 |
| Sampson | 47.07% | 4,965 | 46.76% | 4,932 | 5.75% | 607 | 0.42% | 44 | 0.31% | 33 |
| Lincoln | 42.71% | 3,570 | 43.49% | 3,635 | 13.58% | 1,135 | 0.22% | 18 | -0.78% | -65 |
| Burke | 46.16% | 6,226 | 47.26% | 6,374 | 6.47% | 872 | 0.12% | 16 | -1.10% | -148 |
| Catawba | 44.36% | 8,844 | 47.50% | 9,471 | 7.90% | 1,576 | 0.23% | 46 | -3.14% | -627 |
| Davidson | 46.15% | 7,991 | 49.32% | 8,539 | 4.33% | 750 | 0.20% | 34 | -3.17% | -548 |
| Alexander | 42.65% | 2,057 | 47.98% | 2,314 | 9.10% | 439 | 0.27% | 13 | -5.33% | -257 |
| Watauga | 45.66% | 3,379 | 52.04% | 3,851 | 2.14% | 158 | 0.16% | 12 | -6.38% | -472 |
| Randolph | 41.88% | 6,567 | 53.39% | 8,372 | 4.62% | 724 | 0.12% | 19 | -11.51% | -1,805 |
| Stanly | 37.82% | 4,415 | 50.56% | 5,902 | 11.39% | 1,330 | 0.23% | 27 | -12.74% | -1,487 |
| Madison | 42.67% | 2,558 | 55.73% | 3,341 | 1.32% | 79 | 0.28% | 17 | -13.06% | -783 |
| Davie | 38.66% | 1,917 | 54.02% | 2,679 | 7.10% | 352 | 0.22% | 11 | -15.37% | -762 |
| Wilkes | 40.17% | 5,784 | 57.18% | 8,234 | 2.50% | 360 | 0.15% | 22 | -17.01% | -2,450 |
| Henderson | 34.38% | 3,311 | 51.61% | 4,971 | 13.69% | 1,319 | 0.32% | 31 | -17.23% | -1,660 |
| Yadkin | 35.10% | 2,083 | 61.19% | 3,631 | 3.51% | 208 | 0.20% | 12 | -26.09% | -1,548 |
| Avery | 23.28% | 933 | 74.73% | 2,995 | 1.77% | 71 | 0.22% | 9 | -51.45% | -2,062 |
| Mitchell | 21.48% | 818 | 76.35% | 2,908 | 1.97% | 75 | 0.21% | 8 | -54.87% | -2,090 |
Analysis
North Carolina was won by incumbent President Harry S. Truman (D–Missouri), running with Senator Alben W. Barkley, with 58.02 percent of the popular vote, against Governor Thomas Dewey (R–New York), running with Governor Earl Warren, with 32.68 percent of the popular vote.[15][16] North Carolina was the worst former Confederate state for Thurmond, and one of only two, the other being Texas, in which he did not win at least one county. Because the Black Belt of the state, unlike the economically conservative Black Belts of the Deep South, was economically more liberal than the Piedmont region where the establishment Democratic faction led since 1929 by O. Max Gardner was based,[17] its entirely white electorate stayed exceedingly loyal to Truman. The greatest support for Thurmond was instead found in middle- and upper-class urban areas of the Piedmont,[18] to such an extent that the best Dixiecrat counties correlated strongly with the largest urban areas.[19]
As of the 2020 presidential election[update], this is the last election in which Cabarrus County voted for a Democratic presidential candidate[20] This is also the last time a Democratic candidate won North Carolina by at least 15 points.
Notes
- ^ a b c d e f g h i In this county where Thurmond ran second ahead of Dewey, margin given is Truman vote minus Thurmond vote and percentage margin Truman percentage minus Thurmond percentage.
- ^ In this county there were two write-in votes for national Socialist Party of America candidate Norman Thomas.
- ^ In this county there was one write-in vote for national Socialist candidate Norman Thomas and two votes for other write-in candidates.
- ^ In this county there was one write-in vote for Socialist candidate Norman Thomas.
- ^ In this county there were four write-in votes for national Socialist candidate Norman Thomas and five votes for other write-in candidates.
References
- ^ "United States Presidential election of 1948 – Encyclopædia Britannica". Retrieved October 31, 2017.
- ^ "1948 Election for the Forty-First Term (1949-53)". Retrieved October 31, 2017.
- ^ Phillips, Kevin P.; The Emerging Republican Majority, pp. 210, 242 ISBN 978-0-691-16324-6
- ^ Key, Valdimer Orlando; Southern Politics in State and Nation, p. 502, Alfred A. Knopf (1949)
- ^ a b Klarman, Michael J. (2001). "The White Primary Rulings: A Case Study in the Consequences of Supreme Court Decision-Making". Florida State University Law Review. 29: 55–107.
- ^ a b Grayson, A.G. (December 1975). "North Carolina and Harry Truman, 1944-1948". Journal of American Studies. 9 (3): 283–300.
- ^ Black & Black 1992, p. 147.
- ^ Gallup, George (October 15, 1948). "Only Four States Go to Dixiecrats". Chattanooga Daily Times. Chattanooga, Tennessee. p. 6-A.
- ^ Moss, Charles (October 24, 1948). "Tennessee". The Montgomery Advertiser. Montgomery, Alabama. p. 16.
- ^ Ragan, Sam (October 25, 1948). "North Carolina". The Miami News. Miami, Florida. p. 8.
- ^ Stokes, Thomas (October 27, 1948). "Washington with Thomas Stokes". The Charlotte Observer. Charlotte, North Carolina. p. 6-A.
- ^ Tucker, Ray (November 1, 1948). "Truman Whistling in a White House Graveyard, Says Tucker, Predicting It'll Be a Dewey Sweep". Mount Vernon Argus. Mount Vernon, New York. p. 8.
- ^ Gallup, George (November 1, 1948). "Final Gallup Poll Shows Dewey Winning Election with Wide Electoral Vote Margin". Oakland Tribune. Oakland, California. pp. 1–2.
- ^ "NC US President Race, November 02, 1948". Our Campaigns.
- ^ "1948 Presidential General Election Results – North Carolina". Retrieved October 31, 2017.
- ^ "The American Presidency Project – Election of 1948". Retrieved October 31, 2017.
- ^ Key, Southern Politics in State and Nation, pp. 215-217
- ^ Phillips; The Emerging Republican Majority, p. 297
- ^ See Strong, Donald S. (August 1955). "The Presidential Election in the South, 1952". The Journal of Politics. 17 (3): 343–389.
- ^ Sullivan, Robert David (June 29, 2016). "How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century". The National Catholic Review (America Magazine ed.).
Works cited
- Black, Earl; Black, Merle (1992). The Vital South: How Presidents Are Elected. Harvard University Press. ISBN 0674941306.
