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2024 United States Senate election in Nevada

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For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.
2024 United States Senate election in Nevada
← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
 
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. senator

Jacky Rosen
Democratic



Elections in Nevada
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Nevada will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jacky Rosen, elected in 2018 over incumbent Republican Dean Heller, is seeking a second term in office. Primary elections are scheduled to take place on June 11, 2024.[1]

Background

A typical swing state, Nevada is considered to be a purple state at the federal level, especially since in the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden carried Nevada by about two percentage points. Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats and all but one seat in its congressional delegation, while Republicans flipped the governorship in 2022.[2][3][4]

This race is considered to be competitive given the state's nearly even partisan lean, but most analysts consider Rosen to be a slight favorite to win reelection.[5]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Jacky Rosen
U.S representatives
Individuals
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jacky Rosen (D) $19,314,553 $8,843,138 $10,649,604
Source: Federal Election Commission[24]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

Declined

Endorsements

Sam Brown
U.S. senators
Organizations
Jeffrey Ross Gunter
U.S. representatives
Jim Marchant
U.S. Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Sam Brown Bill Conrad Tony Grady Jeff Gunter Ronda Kennedy Barry Lindemann Jim Marchant Undecided
Tarrance Group[A] October 23–26, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 24% – 5% 1% – – 9% 41%
Public Opinion Strategies[B] August 15–17, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 33% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 15% 44%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Sam Brown (R) $3,039,965 $1,310,835 $1,729,130
Tony Grady Jr (R) $165,325 $108,780 $56,544
Jeffrey Ross Gunter (R) $406,586 $377,412 $29,174
Ronda Kennedy (R)[b] $3,445 $3,347 $98
Jim Marchant (R) $345,358 $287,399 $57,958
Stephanie Phillips (R) $56,448 $48,412 $8,035
Source: Federal Election Commission[24]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[46] Lean D November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[47] Tilt D November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] Lean D November 9, 2023
Elections Daily[49] Lean D May 4, 2023
CNalysis[50] Tilt D November 21, 2023

Polling

Sam Brown vs. Jacky Rosen

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jacky
Rosen (D) 		Sam
Brown (R) 		Other Undecided
Change Research (D) December 3-7, 2023 2,532 (V) ± ? 39% 38% 0% 23%
Tarrance Group (R)[A] October 23–26, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 45% 40% 5% 10%

Notes

  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Did not file for Q4
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b Poll commissioned by the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which supports Brown
  2. ^ Poll commissioned by Duty First Super PAC, which supports Brown

References

  1. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  2. ^ Edelman, Adam (November 11, 2022). "Republican Joe Lombardo has won the race for governor in Nevada, defeating Democratic incumbent Steve Sisolak". NBC News. Retrieved March 14, 2023.
  3. ^ Sonner, Scott (November 11, 2022). "Nevada Democrats Sweep 3 Key House Seats in Close Battles". en. Retrieved March 14, 2022.
  4. ^ Anguiano, Dani (November 13, 2022). "Catherine Cortez Masto wins Nevada Senate race to hold Democratic seat". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved March 14, 2023.
  5. ^ Coleman, J. Miles (October 27, 2022). "The Senate: Race for Majority Remains a Toss-up as 2024 Looms – Sabato's Crystal Ball". Retrieved February 25, 2023.
  6. ^ "Rosen announces re-election bid for U.S. Senate, touts bipartisan record". April 5, 2023.
  7. ^ "WALKER, TROY ZAKARI - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  8. ^ a b "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Jacky Rosen for Reelection to the US Senate". Giffords. August 24, 2023. Retrieved August 24, 2023.
  9. ^ a b "NextGen PAC Endorses Senator Jacky Rosen Ahead of 2024 Elections". NextGen America PAC. May 10, 2023. Retrieved May 10, 2023.
  10. ^ "314 Action Fund Endorses Nevada Senator Jacky Rosen for Re-Election. - 3.14 Action".
  11. ^ "AIPAC rolls out first 2024 endorsements, including vulnerable Senate Democrats". March 16, 2023.
  12. ^ "CHC BOLD PAC Endorses Senator Jacky Rosen for Re-Election in Nevada". www.boldpac.com. December 18, 2023. Retrieved December 21, 2023.
  13. ^ Chou, Lauren (April 5, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Jacky Rosen for Reelection to theUnited States Senate". EMILYs List. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
  14. ^ a b "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Rosen for Reelection". End Citizens United. March 30, 2023. Retrieved April 5, 2023.
  15. ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 11, 2023.
  16. ^ "JDCA Announces First Round of 2024 Senate Endorsements". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  17. ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  18. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  19. ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  20. ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
  21. ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  22. ^ "2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action". www.sierraclubindependentaction.org. Retrieved October 20, 2023.
  23. ^ Stahl, Shane (November 15, 2023). "Silver State Equality Endorses Four Pro-Equality Members of Congress for Re-Election in 2024". Silver State Equality. Retrieved January 2, 2024.
  24. ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - Nevada". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  25. ^ Vakil, Caroline (July 10, 2023). "Retired Army Captain Sam Brown launches second run for Nevada Senate". The Hill.
  26. ^ "Former ambassador, others enter Nevada's crowded GOP race for Senate". reviewjournal.com. August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 12, 2023.
  27. ^ Haas, Greg (August 8, 2023). "Tony Grady announces Republican U.S. Senate bid, joining 3 other candidates in race for Rosen's seat". KLAS-TV.
  28. ^ "Jeff Gunter, a dermatologist who was Trump's ambassador to Iceland, is running for Nevada Senate". Associated Press. August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 7, 2023.
  29. ^ a b "Rosen announces 2024 election plans with few Republican challengers so far". April 5, 2023.
  30. ^ "Senate candidate Barry Lindemann finds common ground with Nevada Republicans". EIN News. August 21, 2023. Retrieved August 22, 2023.
  31. ^ Ritter, Ken; Cooper, Johnathan (May 2, 2023). "Jim Marchant to run for Senate in Nevada". KOLO. Retrieved May 2, 2023.
  32. ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1725232". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved September 15, 2023.
  33. ^ Birenbaum, Gabby (March 2, 2023). "Amodei says he won't run for Senate in 2024". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
  34. ^ a b c d "7 possible Republicans who may run against Jacky Rosen". March 9, 2023. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
  35. ^ Haas, Greg (May 23, 2023). "April Becker announces run for County Commission seat held by Ross Miller". KLAS-TV.
  36. ^ Solis, Jacob (August 1, 2023). "GOP Senate leader Heidi Seevers Gansert won't run for re-election in 2024". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved August 1, 2023.
  37. ^ "Veteran Sam Brown wins Blackburn endorsement, raises major cash in Nevada Senate run". Fox News. July 19, 2023.
  38. ^ a b "Senate GOP's favorite in Nevada did not trust McConnell last cycle". rollcall.com. August 3, 2023. Retrieved October 23, 2023.
  39. ^ "Senate GOP lands a top recruit in Nevada". Politico. July 10, 2023.
  40. ^ Krehbiel, Randy (October 15, 2023). "D.C. Digest: Mullin says supporters of Palestinians ignorant". Tulsa World. Retrieved October 16, 2023. Mullin has endorsed Nevada U.S. Senate candidate Sam Brown.
  41. ^ Emilee (July 19, 2023). "Americans for Prosperity Action Announces First Wave of Endorsements in 2024 U.S. Senate Races". AFP Action. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
  42. ^ Ortega, Israel (November 29, 2023). "Largest Center-Right Latino Political Organization Announces Senate & House Candidate Endorsements". Libre Action. Retrieved January 29, 2024.
  43. ^ Vakil, Caroline (August 7, 2023). "Jeffrey Gunter, ambassador to Iceland under Trump, announces Senate run in Nevada". The Hill. Retrieved August 8, 2023.
  44. ^ Sheridan, Kevin (May 15, 2023). "Retired Army General Michael Flynn endorses Jim Marchant". KOLO-TV 8 ABC News Now. Retrieved May 15, 2023.
  45. ^ a b c Foreman, Naoka; Birenbaum, Gabby (May 2, 2023). "Former Nevada assemblyman, election denier Jim Marchant plans US Senate run". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved May 2, 2023.
  46. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  47. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  48. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  49. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  50. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
Official campaign websites
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