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2024 Lambton—Kent—Middlesex provincial by-election

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This is an old revision of this page, as edited by Earl Andrew (talk | contribs) at 13:28, 5 April 2024 (based on polling it makes sense to include the Greens as well). The present address (URL) is a permanent link to this revision, which may differ significantly from the current revision.

2024 Lambton—Kent—Middlesex provincial by-election

← 2022 May 2, 2024 (2024-05-02) 44th →

Riding of Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
  First party Second party Third party
 
PC
NDP
LIB
Candidate Steve Pinsonneault Kathryn Shailer Cathy Burghardt-Jesson
Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic Liberal
Last election 58.81% 18.84% 9.58%

  Fourth party Fifth party
 
NBP
GRN
Candidate Keith Benn Andraena Tilgner
Party New Blue Green
Last election 6.37% 3.98%

MPP before election

Monte McNaughton
Progressive Conservative

Elected MPP

TBD

A by-election is scheduled to be held in the provincial riding of Lambton—Kent—Middlesex in Ontario on May 2, 2024, to elect a new member of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario following the resignation of Progressive Conservative MPP and cabinet minister Monte McNaughton.[1]

It will be held the same day as the 2024 Milton provincial by-election.[2]

Candidates

Progressive Conservative

On 27 January 2024, Steve Pinsonneault, a Chatham-Kent councillor and businessman in Thamesville, beat Neal Roberts, chief of the Middlesex London Paramedic Service.[3]

Polling

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Source PC NDP Liberal Green Other Margin of error Sample size Polling type Lead
Liaison Strategies March 28, 2024 [4] 39% 14% 26% 12% 9% ±4.88% 403 IVR 13%

Results

Ontario provincial by-election, May 2, 2024: Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
Resignation of Monte McNaughton
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Steve Pinsonneault
New Democratic Kathryn Shailer
Liberal Cathy Burghardt-Jesson
New Blue Keith Benn
Green Andraena Tilgner
None of the Above Stephen R. Campbell
Total valid votes
Total rejected ballots
Turnout
Eligible voters

2022 result

2022 Ontario general election: Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Progressive Conservative Monte McNaughton 24,933 58.81 +3.46 $86,631
New Democratic Vanessa Benoit 7,987 18.84 −14.48 $66,308
Liberal Bruce Baker 4,063 9.58 +3.35 $0
New Blue David Barnwell 2,701 6.37   $3,090
Green Wanda Dickey 1,688 3.98 +0.69 $381
Ontario Party Aaron Istvan Vegh 727 1.71   $0
None of the Above Dean Eve 300 0.71   $283
Total valid votes/expense limit 42,399 99.41 +0.63 $126,309
Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots 253 0.59 -0.63
Turnout 42,652 47.28 −13.50
Eligible voters 90,109
Progressive Conservative hold Swing +8.97
Source(s)
"Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. Archived from the original on 2023-05-18.
"Statistical Summary by Electoral District" (PDF). Elections Ontario. Archived from the original on 2023-05-21.

References

  1. ^ "Ontario Labour Minister Monte McNaughton quits government, triggering cabinet shuffle | Globalnews.ca". Global News. Retrieved 2024-04-04.
  2. ^ "Ontario Newsroom". news.ontario.ca. Retrieved 2024-04-04.
  3. ^ Bieman, Jennifer (January 27, 2024). "Lambton-Kent-Middlesex: PCs fill vacancy for coming Ontario byelection". London Free Press.
  4. ^ "Byelection surveys for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. 3 April 2024. Retrieved 4 April 2024.

See also