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2024 Lambton—Kent—Middlesex provincial by-election

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2024 Lambton—Kent—Middlesex provincial by-election
← 2022 May 2, 2024 (2024-05-02) 44th →
Riding of Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
  First party Second party Third party
 
PC
NDP
LIB
Candidate Steve Pinsonneault Kathryn Shailer Cathy Burghardt-Jesson
Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic Liberal
Last election 58.81% 18.84% 9.58%
  Fourth party Fifth party
 
NBP
GRN
Candidate Keith Benn Andraena Tilgner
Party New Blue Green
Last election 6.37% 3.98%
MPP before election

Monte McNaughton
Progressive Conservative

Elected MPP

TBD

A by-election is scheduled to be held in the provincial riding of Lambton—Kent—Middlesex in Ontario on May 2, 2024, to elect a new member of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario following the resignation of Progressive Conservative MPP and cabinet minister Monte McNaughton.[1]

Monte McNaughton resigned for a private sector position as executive vice-president of industry relations and people experience for Woodbine Entertainment Group. [2]

It will be held the same day as the 2024 Milton provincial by-election.[3]

Candidates

Progressive Conservative

On 27 January 2024, Steve Pinsonneault, a Chatham-Kent councillor for Ward 3 (Kent East) and businessman in Thamesville, beat Neal Roberts, chief of the Middlesex London Paramedic Service.[4] Pinsonneault has received criticism from various media sources and the ultra conservative Campaign Life Coalition for his support of pay suspension of fellow Chatham-Kent councillor Rhonda Jubenville.[5] This was in response to her conduct following her support of a ban on non-official flags on municipal property.

New Democratic Party

Kathryn Shailer was elected in Watford on February 15th to take up the New Democratic Banner. Shailer is from Alvinston. In the fall of 2022, Shailer ran for Lambton-Kent District School Board trustee in Central Lambton. She was unsuccessful in that bid.[6] Shailer, a mother of two and grandmother of three, has been involved with the Brooke-Alvinston Optimist Club, Friends of Campbell Park, the Lawrence House Centre for the Arts, Alvinston Arts and Music Festival and Community Friendship Meals at Bothwell United Church.[7]

Liberal

Cathy Burghardt-Jesson is running for the Liberal Party of Ontario. She current serves as the mayor of Lucan-Biddulph and deputy warden for Middlesex County.[8]

New Blue

Keith Benn, a geoscientist and local of Wallaceburg, is running an anti-establishment campaign with a reported focus on local issues, affordability, and providing a "classical conservative" approach to governance.[9] He previously ran as a candidate for the New Blue Party in the Sarnia-Lambton riding during the 2022 Ontario General Election.[10] Major topics discussed by Benn have included opposition to the dump being built in Dresden, ensuring clean well water, and promoting fiscal conservatism.[11]

At his events, he has campaigned against the 'diversity, equity and inclusion' (DEI) focus of schools, opposes Critical Race Theory, and believes in meritocracy.

He was involved in investigating the safety of well water after turbine installations in Chatham-Kent.[12]

Green

Andraena Tilgner, a registered respiratory therapist, is running a campaign with a focus on healthcare issues.[13]

None of The Above Party

Stephen R. Campbell is the candidate for the None of The Above Party, previously running with them as a candidate for MPP in London-Fanshawe.[14] He is a technical support analyst with the Thames Valley District School Board.[15]

Ontario Party

Cynthia Workman, a resident of Thamesville and 2022 Ontario Party candidate in London West is running in this by-election.[16] She was running as an independent until the Ontario Party was re-registered on April 10, 2024.[17][18] She is also the presumptive candidate for the People's Party of Canada in the soon-to-be-created federal riding of Middlesex-London.[19]

Polling

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Source PC NDP Liberal Green Other Margin of error Sample size Polling tye Lead
Liaison Strategies March 28, 2024 [20] 39% 14% 26% 12% 9% ±4.88% 403 IVR 13%

Results

Ontario provincial by-election, May 2, 2024: Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
Resignation of Monte McNaughton
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Steve Pinsonneault
New Democratic Kathryn Shailer
Liberal Cathy Burghardt-Jesson
New Blue Keith Benn
Green Andraena Tilgner
Ontario Party Cynthia Workman
None of the Above Stephen R. Campbell
Family Rights Hilda Walton
Total valid votes
Total rejected ballots
Turnout
Eligible voters

2022 result

2022 Ontario general election: Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Progressive Conservative Monte McNaughton 24,933 58.81 +3.46 $86,631
New Democratic Vanessa Benoit 7,987 18.84 −14.48 $66,308
Liberal Bruce Baker 4,063 9.58 +3.35 $0
New Blue David Barnwell 2,701 6.37   $3,090
Green Wanda Dickey 1,688 3.98 +0.69 $381
Ontario Party Aaron Istvan Vegh 727 1.71   $0
None of the Above Dean Eve 300 0.71   $283
Total valid votes/expense limit 42,399 99.41 +0.63 $126,309
Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots 253 0.59 -0.63
Turnout 42,652 47.28 −13.50
Eligible voters 90,109
Progressive Conservative hold Swing +8.97
Source(s)
"Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. Archived from the original on 2023-05-18.
"Statistical Summary by Electoral District" (PDF). Elections Ontario. Archived from the original on 2023-05-21.

See also

References

  1. ^ "Ontario Labour Minister Monte McNaughton quits government, triggering cabinet shuffle | Globalnews.ca". Global News. Retrieved 2024-04-04.
  2. ^ https://www.cbc.ca/amp/1.6998809
  3. ^ "Ontario Newsroom". news.ontario.ca. Retrieved 2024-04-04.
  4. ^ Bieman, Jennifer (January 27, 2024). "Lambton-Kent-Middlesex: PCs fill vacancy for coming Ontario byelection". London Free Press.
  5. ^ "ANTI-DEMOCRACY COUNCIL MEMBERS IN CHATHAM-KENT MUST RESIGN!". Campaign Life Coalition. April 5, 2024. Retrieved April 5, 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  6. ^ https://cknewstoday.ca/chatham/news/2024/02/16/kathryn-shailer-named-ndp-candidate-in-lambton-kent-middlesex
  7. ^ https://lfpress.com/news/local-news/ontario-ndp-nominee-added-to-lambton-kent-middlesex-byelection
  8. ^ "Cathy Burghardt-Jesson to be named as Liberal candidate for Lambton-Kent-Middlesex". London. 2024-02-09. Retrieved 2024-04-09.
  9. ^ "New Blue Party name Lambton-Kent-Middlesex candidate - CK News Today". cknewstoday.ca. 2024-02-21. Retrieved 2024-04-05.
  10. ^ Morden, Paul (March 16, 2022). "New Blue Party of Ontario announces candidate in Sarnia-Lambton". The Sarnia Observer. Retrieved April 11, 2024.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  11. ^ Voice, Chatham (2024-04-09). "By-election: Keith Benn, New Blue Party | The Chatham Voice". chathamvoice.com. Retrieved 2024-04-11.
  12. ^ Wright, Pam (2023-05-10). "Latest well water testing raises toxicity concerns | The Chatham Voice". chathamvoice.com. Retrieved 2024-04-11.
  13. ^ "Provincial byelection called for Lambton-Kent-Middlesex". CBC News. April 3, 2024. Retrieved April 5, 2024.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  14. ^ "Here's who is running locally in the provincial election". London. 2022-05-04. Retrieved 2024-04-09.
  15. ^ "Ontario Government calls By-Election for Lambton-Kent-Middlesex riding: What you need to know". Yahoo News. 2024-04-08. Retrieved 2024-04-09.
  16. ^ Bieman, Jennifer (May 13, 2022). "ONTARIO ELECTION: Who's running in the 10-riding London region". The London Free Press. Retrieved April 9, 2024.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  17. ^ Thornton, Tamara (10 April 2024). "Chatham-Kent Councillor to take leave". CK News Today. Blackburn Media. Retrieved 13 April 2024.
  18. ^ "Registered Political Parties". Elections Ontario. Retrieved April 13, 2024.
  19. ^ "Cynthia Ann Workman - People's Party of Canada". www.thepeoplespartyofcanada.ca. Retrieved 2024-04-09.
  20. ^ "Byelection surveys for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. 3 April 2024. Retrieved 4 April 2024.
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