2024 Montana gubernatorial election
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The 2024 Montana gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of the U.S. state of Montana, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Primary elections took place on June 4, 2024.[1]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Greg Gianforte, incumbent governor (2021–present)[2]
- Running mate: Kristen Juras, incumbent lieutenant governor (2021–present)[2]
Eliminated in primary
- Tanner Smith, state representative (2023–present)[3]
- Running mate: Randy Pinocci, member of the Montana Public Service Commission (2019–present)[4]
Endorsements
Greg Gianforte
Results
Gianforte
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Gianforte (incumbent) Kristen Juras (incumbent) |
144,752 | 75.2% | |
| Republican | Tanner Smith Randy Pinocci |
47,747 | 24.8% | |
| Total votes | 192,499 | 100.0% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ryan Busse, author and former vice president of sales at Kimber Manufacturing[8]
- Running mate: Raph Graybill, former chief legal counsel to Governor Steve Bullock and nominee for Attorney General in 2020[9]
Eliminated in primary
- Jim Hunt, attorney and candidate for Montana's at-large congressional district in 2008[10]
Withdrawn
- Shawn White Wolf, perennial candidate[12]
Results
Busse
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Hunt
- 60–70%
Tie
- 50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ryan Busse Raph Graybill |
69,184 | 70.9% | |
| Democratic | Jim Hunt Jerry Driscoll |
28,354 | 29.1% | |
| Total votes | 97,538 | 100.00% | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Presumptive nominee
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[14] | Solid R | June 13, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[15] | Solid R | July 14, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Safe R | June 4, 2024 |
| RCP[17] | Likely R | July 13, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[18] | Safe R | July 12, 2023 |
| CNalysis[19] | Solid R | August 17, 2024 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Greg Gianforte (R) |
Ryan Busse (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ David Binder Research (D)[A] |
August 25–29, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 38% | – | 8% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] | August 18–20, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 53% | 34% | 4%[b] | 8% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] | June 11–13, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 33% | 5%[c] | 8% |
| SurveyUSA[C] | February 12–15, 2024 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 30% | – | 18% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican |
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| Democratic |
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| Libertarian |
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| Total votes | |||||
See also
- 2024 United States presidential election in Montana
- 2024 United States Senate election in Montana
- 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
- ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". National Conference of State Legislatures. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
- ^ a b Anthony, Michael (January 17, 2024). "Governor Greg Gianforte to seek reelection". KFYR-TV. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
- ^ Larson, Seaborn (June 13, 2023). "Freshman GOP Rep. announces run for governor". Independent Record.
- ^ Kimbel-Sannit, Arren; Sakariassen, Alex; Eggert, Amanda (April 15, 2024). "Who's running for office in Montana's 2024 election". Montana Free Press. Retrieved May 2, 2024.
- ^ NRA-PVF. "NRA-PVF | Grades | Montana". NRA-PVF. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
- ^ Stacy, Nicole (May 3, 2024). "SBA Pro-Life America Candidate Fund Endorses Gianforte for Governor". SBA Pro-Life America. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
- ^ https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-primary-elections/montana-governor-results#republican-primary
- ^ Hanson, Amy; Brown, Matthew (September 14, 2023). "Former firearms executive Busse seeks Democratic nomination for Montana governor". Associated Press. Retrieved September 14, 2023.
- ^ Silvers, Mara (February 19, 2024). "Busse taps Graybill as running mate in bid for governor's office". Montana Free Press. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
- ^ a b "FEDERAL PRIMARY 2024 Candidate List". prodcandidatefiling.mt.gov. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
- ^ a b Ambarian, Jonathon (March 11, 2024). "Top Montana election races set as candidate filing period closes". KTVH. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
- ^ Kimbel-Sannit, Arren; Sakariassen, Alex (November 28, 2023). "Who's running for office in Montana in 2024? Here's a running list". Montana Free Press. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
Shawn White Wolf, who has run for a number of different positions in the Helena area in recent years, filed to run for governor in 2023 but has since withdrawn his candidacy.
- ^ https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-primary-elections/montana-governor-results#democratic-primary
- ^ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Governor Races". www.realclearpolling.com. Retrieved July 16, 2024.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. July 22, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- ^ "Governor Forecasts". CNalysis. Retrieved August 17, 2024.
External links
- Official campaign websites