User:MaxineJP/sandbox
Appearance
The following are the latest published ratings for competitive seats. (From: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_ratings)
District | CPVI [1] |
Incumbent | Last result[2] | Cook Sep. 6, 2024[3] |
IE Sep. 26, 2024[4] |
Sabato Sep. 19, 2024[5] |
ED Aug. 26, 2024[6] |
CNalysis Sep. 14, 2024[7] |
DDHQ Sep. 25, 2024[8] |
Race to the WH Sep. 30, 2024[9] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alabama 2 | D+4 | New seat | – | Likely D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Solid D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) |
Alaska at-large | R+8 | Mary Peltola | 55.0% D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tilt D |
Arizona 1 | R+2 | David Schweikert | 50.4% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup |
Arizona 2 | R+6 | Eli Crane | 53.8% R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
Arizona 4 | D+2 | Greg Stanton | 56.1% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Safe D |
Arizona 6 | R+3 | Juan Ciscomani | 50.7% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Likely R | Tossup |
California 3 | R+4 | Kevin Kiley | 53.6% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R |
California 9 | D+5 | Josh Harder | 54.8% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D |
California 13 | D+4 | John Duarte | 50.2% R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Tilt D (flip) | Tossup | Tilt D (flip) |
California 21 | D+9 | Jim Costa | 54.2% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D |
California 22 | D+5 | David Valadao | 51.5% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt D (flip) | Tossup | Tossup |
California 27 | D+4 | Mike Garcia | 53.2% R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Tilt D (flip) | Tossup | Tilt D (flip) |
California 40 | R+2 | Young Kim | 56.8% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R |
California 41 | R+3 | Ken Calvert | 52.3% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean R | Tossup | Likely R | Tossup |
California 45 | D+2 | Michelle Steel | 52.4% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
California 47 | D+3 | Katie Porter (retiring) |
51.7% D | Lean D | Tilt D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Likely D | Tilt D |
California 49 | D+3 | Mike Levin | 52.6% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Safe D |
Colorado 3 | R+7 | Open seat[a] | 50.1% R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Tossup |
Colorado 5 | R+9 | Doug Lamborn (retiring) |
56.0% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Very Likely R | Safe R | Safe R |
Colorado 8 | EVEN | Yadira Caraveo | 48.4% D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tilt D | Likely D | Lean D |
Connecticut 2 | D+3 | Joe Courtney | 58.2% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D |
Connecticut 5 | D+3 | Jahana Hayes | 50.5% D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
Florida 7 | R+5 | Cory Mills | 58.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
Florida 9 | D+8 | Darren Soto | 53.6% D | Likely D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D |
Florida 13 | R+6 | Anna Paulina Luna | 53.1% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R |
Florida 15 | R+4 | Laurel Lee | 58.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Safe R | Safe R |
Florida 23 | D+5 | Jared Moskowitz | 51.6% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Safe D |
Florida 27 | EVEN | María Elvira Salazar | 57.3% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Lean R |
Florida 28 | R+2 | Carlos A. Giménez | 63.7% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R | Lean R |
Georgia 2 | D+3 | Sanford Bishop | 55.0% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D |
Illinois 17 | D+2 | Eric Sorensen | 51.9% D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
Indiana 1 | D+3 | Frank J. Mrvan | 52.8% D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
Iowa 1 | R+3 | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 53.4% R | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Tossup |
Iowa 2 | R+4 | Ashley Hinson | 54.1% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Safe R | Safe R |
Iowa 3 | R+3 | Zach Nunn | 50.2% R | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup | Likely R | Tilt R |
Kansas 2 | R+11 | Jake LaTurner (retiring) |
57.6% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R |
Kansas 3 | R+1 | Sharice Davids | 54.9% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
Louisiana 6 | D+8 | Garret Graves (retiring) |
80.4% R | Solid D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Safe D (flip) | Safe D (flip) | Solid D (flip) | Safe D (flip) | Likely D (flip) |
Maine 2 | R+6 | Jared Golden | 53.1% D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Tossup |
Maryland 6 | D+2 | David Trone (retiring) |
54.7% D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Safe D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Tilt D |
Michigan 3 | D+1 | Hillary Scholten | 54.9% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D |
Michigan 4 | R+5 | Bill Huizenga | 54.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Very Likely R | Safe R | Likely R |
Michigan 7 | R+2 | Elissa Slotkin (retiring) |
51.7% D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
Michigan 8 | R+1 | Dan Kildee (retiring) |
53.1% D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt D |
Michigan 10 | R+3 | John James | 48.8% R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Tilt R | Lean R | Likely R |
Minnesota 2 | D+1 | Angie Craig | 50.9% D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
Missouri 2 | R+7 | Ann Wagner | 54.9% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Safe R | Safe R |
Montana 1 | R+6 | Ryan Zinke | 49.6% R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Lean R |
Nebraska 2 | EVEN | Don Bacon | 51.3% R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
Nevada 1 | D+3 | Dina Titus | 51.6% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D |
Nevada 3 | D+1 | Susie Lee | 52.0% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
Nevada 4 | D+3 | Steven Horsford | 52.4% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
New Hampshire 1 | EVEN | Chris Pappas | 54.0% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
New Hampshire 2 | D+2 | Annie Kuster (retiring) |
55.8% D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
New Jersey 2 | R+5 | Jeff Van Drew | 58.9% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R |
New Jersey 3 | D+5 | Andy Kim (retiring) |
55.5% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D |
New Jersey 5 | D+4 | Josh Gottheimer | 54.7% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D |
New Jersey 7 | R+1 | Thomas Kean Jr. | 51.3% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Tilt R |
New Jersey 9 | D+8 | Vacant | 54.9% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D |
New Mexico 1 | D+5 | Melanie Stansbury | 55.7% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D |
New Mexico 2 | D+1 | Gabe Vasquez | 50.3% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D |
New York 1 | R+4[b] | Nick LaLota | 55.5% R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R |
New York 2 | R+4[b] | Andrew Garbarino | 60.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R |
New York 3 | D+3[b] | Tom Suozzi | 53.9% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
New York 4 | D+5[b] | Anthony D'Esposito | 51.8% R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Tossup | Tilt D (flip) |
New York 17 | D+3[b] | Mike Lawler | 50.3% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Lean R | Tossup | Tilt D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Tossup |
New York 18 | D+2[b] | Pat Ryan | 50.6% D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
New York 19 | R+1[b] | Marc Molinaro | 50.8% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt D (flip) | Lean R | Tossup |
New York 22 | D+3[b] | Brandon Williams | 50.5% R | Lean D (flip) | Tilt D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Tossup | Tilt D (flip) |
North Carolina 1 | R+1 | Don Davis | 52.4% D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tilt D |
North Carolina 6 | R+11 | New seat | – | Solid R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Safe R (flip) |
North Carolina 8 | R+11 | Dan Bishop (retiring) |
69.9% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R |
North Carolina 10 | R+10 | Patrick McHenry (retiring) |
72.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R |
North Carolina 11 | R+8 | Chuck Edwards | 53.8% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
North Carolina 13 | R+11 | Wiley Nickel (retiring) |
51.6% D | Solid R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Safe R (flip) |
North Carolina 14 | R+11 | Jeff Jackson (retiring) |
57.7% D | Solid R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Safe R (flip) |
Ohio 1 | D+2 | Greg Landsman | 52.8% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
Ohio 9 | R+3 | Marcy Kaptur | 56.6% D | Lean D | Tilt D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D |
Ohio 13 | R+1 | Emilia Sykes | 52.7% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D |
Oregon 4 | D+4 | Val Hoyle | 50.5% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D |
Oregon 5 | D+2 | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | 50.9% R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
Oregon 6 | D+4 | Andrea Salinas | 50.0% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
Pennsylvania 1 | EVEN | Brian Fitzpatrick | 54.9% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Lean R | Likely R |
Pennsylvania 7 | R+2 | Susan Wild | 51.0% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt D | Likely D | Lean D |
Pennsylvania 8 | R+4 | Matt Cartwright | 51.2% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Tilt D |
Pennsylvania 10 | R+5 | Scott Perry | 53.8% R | Lean R | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Tilt R |
Pennsylvania 17 | EVEN | Chris Deluzio | 53.4% D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
Rhode Island 2 | D+4 | Seth Magaziner | 50.5% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D |
South Carolina 1 | R+7 | Nancy Mace | 56.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Very Likely R | Safe R | Safe R |
Tennessee 5 | R+9 | Andy Ogles | 55.8% R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Safe R |
Tennessee 7 | R+10 | Mark Green | 60.0% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R |
Texas 15 | R+1 | Monica De La Cruz | 53.3% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R |
Texas 28 | D+3 | Henry Cuellar | 56.7% D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
Texas 34 | D+9 | Vicente Gonzalez | 52.7% D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
Virginia 1 | R+6 | Rob Wittman | 56.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
Virginia 2 | R+2 | Jen Kiggans | 51.6% R | Lean R | Tilt R | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R |
Virginia 5 | R+7 | Bob Good (lost renomination) |
57.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R |
Virginia 7 | D+1 | Abigail Spanberger (retiring) |
52.2% D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Tilt D |
Virginia 10 | D+6 | Jennifer Wexton (retiring) |
53.3% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D |
Washington 3 | R+5 | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | 50.1% D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tilt D |
Washington 5 | R+8 | Cathy McMorris Rodgers (retiring) |
59.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R |
Washington 8 | D+1 | Kim Schrier | 53.3% D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
Wisconsin 1 | R+3 | Bryan Steil | 54.1% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R |
Wisconsin 3 | R+4 | Derrick Van Orden | 51.8% R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R |
Wisconsin 8 | R+10 | Vacant | 73.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Lean R |
Overall | D – 203 R – 208 24 tossups |
D – 206 R – 216 13 tossups |
D – 205 R – 211 19 tossups |
D – 207 R – 210 18 tossups |
D – 216 R – 208 11 tossups |
D – 211 R – 215 9 tossups |
D - 215 R - 207 13 tossups |
- ^ "2022 Cook PVI: District Map and List". Cook Political Report. Retrieved August 7, 2022.
- ^ "House of Representatives Results: GOP wins the majority". CNN. Retrieved February 2, 2023.
- ^ "2024 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 6, 2024.
- ^ "2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. September 26, 2024.
- ^ "2024 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. September 19, 2024.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved 2024-08-29.
- ^ "'24 House Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved 2023-11-19.
- ^ "2024 House Forecast | The Hill and DDHQ". The Hill. Retrieved 2024-09-26.
- ^ https://www.racetothewh.com/house
Cite error: There are <ref group=lower-alpha>
tags or {{efn}}
templates on this page, but the references will not show without a {{reflist|group=lower-alpha}}
template or {{notelist}}
template (see the help page).