Jump to content

2024 United States Senate election in Montana

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This is an old revision of this page, as edited by Saven.ganders (talk | contribs) at 22:37, 27 November 2024 (citation turnout). The present address (URL) is a permanent link to this revision, which may differ significantly from the current revision.

For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2024 Montana Senate election.

2024 United States Senate election in Montana
← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
Turnout75.92% (of registered voters)[1] Increase 4.39
 
Nominee Tim Sheehy Jon Tester
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 319,682 276,305
Percentage 52.64% 45.50%
County results
Sheehy:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tester:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Jon Tester
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Tim Sheehy
Republican

Elections in Montana
Federal government
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections
State government
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
Secretary of State elections
Attorney General elections
State Auditor elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Ballot measures
1894
Capital referendum
2004
Initiative 96
2012
Referendum 121
2016
Initiative 182
2020
Initiative 190
2022
Referendum 131
2024
Initiative 128
Billings
Mayoral elections
Missoula
Mayoral elections
Great Falls
Mayoral elections
Bozeman
Mayoral elections
Helena
Mayoral elections

The 2024 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Montana. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Tester lost re-election to a fourth term, being defeated by Republican nominee Tim Sheehy. Sheehy's victory gave Republicans control of both of Montana's Senate seats for the first time since 1911. Primary elections took place on June 4, 2024.[2] Although Tester outperformed Kamala Harris in the concurrent presidential election, receiving 7% more of the vote, it was still not enough to win.

This race was one of two 2024 U.S. Senate races in which Democratic senators sought re-election in states where Republican Donald Trump won in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the other being Ohio. Tester's re-election was considered essential for Democrats' chances to retain the Senate majority in 2024.[3]

Background

Montana has generally been considered a red state at the federal executive level, voting for Republican candidates in each presidential election starting in 1996, when Bob Dole beat Bill Clinton by nearly 3 percentage points in a three-way race with Ross Perot. Since then, GOP candidates have won the White House race in the state by double digits in every race except in 2008. In the most recent presidential election, in 2020, Donald Trump beat Joe Biden in Montana by 56.92% to 40.55%. Republicans have also won all of the state's U.S. House elections since 1996. Within this time frame, Democrats have been more successful in elections for state offices and the U.S. Senate, with its governorship, state legislature, and Senate seats alternating between Democratic and Republican control. Leading up to the 2024 election, Republicans controlled both of Montana's U.S. House seats, the other U.S. Senate seat, the governorship, and had supermajority control of both houses of the state legislature.

Despite the state's heavy partisan lean in favor of the Republican Party, Tester remained popular among his constituents. Because of this and Montana's historical inclination to ticket-split, the race was considered to be competitive. Early polling showed Tester to be leading or nearly even, but Sheehy had since gained an edge. Tester was widely seen as being the most vulnerable incumbent running for re-election, due to Montana's strong Republican lean and the decline of split-ticket voting. He has refused to endorse fellow Democrat Kamala Harris for president, a contributing factor towards the Senate race not being nationalized. In 2012, the last election that featured Tester on the same ballot as the presidential election, Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney won by 13.64%, while Tester won by 3.72% without receiving a majority (50%) of the vote.[4][5][6][7]

In October 2024, total campaign spending for both sides, much of it coming from out-of-state dark money groups, was on track to be $487 for each voter in Montana, making it the most expensive congressional campaign as measured per capita in U.S. history, with Democrats outspending Republicans by $50 million.[8]

Top-two primary proposal

On April 4, 2023, Montana's State Senate passed a bill to institute a top-two primary system, but only for the 2024 U.S. Senate race. The bill's sponsor, Republican Greg Hertz, said it would require the winner of the 2024 Senate race to receive a majority of the vote. Incumbent Democrat Jon Tester won with a plurality of the vote in his 2006 and 2012 Senate campaigns, though he won a majority in 2018. Both Democrats and Libertarians alleged the bill was intended to prevent the Libertarian Party from placing a nominee on the general election ballot in the Senate race who could potentially pull votes away from the Republican nominee, with Democratic state senator Ryan Lynch calling it a "partisan power grab."[9][10]

After the bill received backlash, Hertz introduced an amendment to make the use of a top-two primary for U.S. Senate elections permanent rather than sunsetting it after the 2024 race.[11] The Montana House of Representatives State Administration Committee tabled the bill on April 19.[12] An attempt to revive the bill failed, and the legislature adjourned without passing it, conclusively ending the push for a top-two primary.[13]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Michael Hummert, retired remodeling contractor[15]

Endorsements

Jon Tester
U.S. senators
Statewide officials
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jon Tester (D) $37,330,566 $26,017,759 $11,793,381
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Results

Primary results by county:
  Tester
  •   70–80%
  •   >90%
Democratic primary results[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jon Tester (incumbent) 104,279 96.96%
Democratic Michael Hummert 3,272 3.04%
Total votes 107,551 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Tim Sheehy
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
Governors
U.S. representatives
Individuals
Organizations
Matt Rosendale (withdrawn)
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brad Johnson (R) $42,967[a] $39,697 $3,270
Tim Sheehy (R) $10,547,437[b] $8,324,164 $2,223,272
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Brad
Johnson 		Matt
Rosendale 		Tim
Sheehy 		Other/Undecided
co/efficient (R) November 12–14, 2023 888 (LV) ± 3.28% – 24% 40% 36%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates October 23–25, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 6% 35% 38% 21%[d]
0% 41% 44% 15%
J.L. Partners August 12–17, 2023 418 (LV) ? – 52% 21% 28%
Public Policy Polling (D) June 19–20, 2023 510 (LV) ± 4.3% – 64% 10% 26%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Russell
Fagg 		Brad
Johnson 		Matt
Rosendale 		Tim
Sheehy 		Corey
Stapleton 		Ryan
Zinke 		Other/Undecided
OnMessage Inc. (R) February 18–21, 2023 600 (LV)[e] ± 4.0% 2% – 36% 2% 6% 26% 28%

Results

Primary results by county:
  Sheehy
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tim Sheehy 139,857 73.60%
Republican Brad Johnson 36,926 19.43%
Republican Charles Walkingchild Sr. 13,229 6.96%
Total votes 190,012 100.00%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Green primary

Candidates

Withdrew after nomination

  • Michael Downey, drought program coordinator[15]

Replacement nominee

  • Robert Barb, nominee for governor in 2020[74]

Results

Green primary results[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Michael Downey 679 62.4%
Green Robert Barb 410 37.6%
Total votes 1,089 100.0%

Aftermath

Michael Downey, the winner of the Green Party primary election, dropped out of the race on August 12, citing the possibility that he might be a spoiler candidate in a close race.[75] The Green Party of Montana selected the runner-up, Robert Barb, to replace Downey. The Montana Democratic Party filed a lawsuit alleging that the Montana Green Party did not follow its procedure for designating a replacement candidate and asking for Barb to be removed from the ballot.[76] Kathy Seeley, the district court judge hearing the case, denied the request. The Montana Democratic Party appealed to the Montana Supreme Court, but the justices refused to take the case.[77]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[78] Lean R (flip) September 12, 2024
Inside Elections[79] Tilt R (flip) September 12, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[80] Lean R (flip) September 6, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[81] Lean R (flip) October 20, 2024
Elections Daily[82] Lean R (flip) August 9, 2024
CNalysis[83] Tilt R (flip) November 4, 2024
RealClearPolitics[84] Lean R (flip) September 12, 2024
Split Ticket[85] Lean R (flip) October 23, 2024

Post-primary endorsements

Tim Sheehy (R)
U.S. representatives
U.S. senators
Statewide officials
Individuals
Organizations
Jon Tester (D)
Statewide officials
State senators
State representatives
Individuals
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jon Tester (D) $88,163,151 $84,499,372 $4,144,352
Tim Sheehy (R) $26,161,679[f] $22,284,629 $3,877,050
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Debates

Dates Host Tester Sheehy Link
June 10, 2024 Montana Broadcasters Association Participant Participant YouTube
September 30, 2024 Montana PBS Participant Participant YouTube

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Tim
Sheehy (R) 		Jon
Tester (D) 		Undecided
[g] 		Margin
RealClearPolitics October 5 - November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 50.7% 43.0% 6.3% Sheehy +7.7
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 49.7% 42.7% 7.6% Sheehy +7.0%
270toWin October 10–27, 2024 November 4, 2024 51.0% 45.0% 4.0% Sheehy +6.0%
TheHill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 50.0% 43.1% 6.9% Sheehy +6.9%
Average 50.4% 43.5% 6.1% Sheehy +6.9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Jon
Tester (D) 		Tim
Sheehy (R) 		Other Undecided
AtlasIntel November 1–4, 2024 752 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 50% 5%[h] 6%
Emerson College[A] October 23–25, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 51% 2%[i] –
46% 50% 2%[i] 3%
MSU Billings September 30 – October 16, 2024 760 (LV) ± 3.6% 43% 43% 6%[j] 8%
NYT/Siena College October 5–8, 2024 656 (LV) ± 4.3% 44% 52% – 4%
656 (RV) 44% 51% – 4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] September 29 – October 1, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 45% 51% 2%[k] 2%
Remington Research Group (R)[C] September 16–20, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 52% – 4%
RMG Research[D] September 12–19, 2024 491 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 50% 2% 4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/
David Binder Research (D)[E] 		August 25–29, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 51% – 4%
41% 49% 5%[l] 5%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] August 18–20, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 51% 3%[m] 2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[F] August 13–20, 2024 835 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 50% – 7%
RMG Research[D] August 6–14, 2024 540 (RV) ± 4.2% 49% 44% 2% 4%
American Pulse Research & Polling[G] August 10–12, 2024 538 (RV) ± 4.2% 45% 51% – 4%
Emerson College[A] August 5–6, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% – 5%
Expedition Strategies[H] June 24 – July 8, 2024 251 (LV) – 47% 48% – 4%
Remington Research Group (R)[C] June 29 – July 1, 2024 570 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 50% – 5%
Torchlight Strategies (R)[I] June 22–26, 2024 649 (RV) ± 3.9% 41% 47% 5%[m] 7%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] June 11–13, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 46% 4%[n] 4%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[J] June 3–5, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 48% – 4%
43% 46% 4%[o] 7%
J.L. Partners March 26–29, 2024 503 (LV) ± 4.3% 45% 48% – 7%
Emerson College[A] February 26 – March 2, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 42% – 14%
SurveyUSA[K] February 12–15, 2024 549 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 40% 3% 7%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 447 (RV) ± 4.6% 39% 35% 6% 21%
J.L. Partners August 12–17, 2023 741 (LV) – 42% 46% – 12%
Hypothetical polling
Jon Tester vs. Greg Gianforte
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Jon
Tester (D) 		Greg
Gianforte (R) 		Undecided
Political Company (R) January 30 – February 1, 2023 534 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 45% 10%
Jon Tester vs. Brad Johnson
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Jon
Tester (D) 		Brad
Johnson (R) 		Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[K] February 12–15, 2024 549 (LV) ± 4.5% 50% 35% 4% 11%
Jon Tester vs. Matt Rosendale
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Jon
Tester (D) 		Matt
Rosendale (R) 		Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[K] February 12–15, 2024 549 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 40% 4% 7%
J.L. Partners August 12–17, 2023 741 (LV) ? 43% 46% – 11%
OnMessage Inc. (R) February 18–21, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 46% 5% 7%
Political Company (R) January 30 – February 1, 2023 534 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 40% – 15%
Jon Tester vs. Ryan Zinke
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Jon
Tester (D) 		Ryan
Zinke (R) 		Undecided
Political Company (R) January 30 – February 1, 2023 534 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 40% 14%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Montana[97]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Tim Sheehy 319,682 52.64% +5.86%
Democratic Jon Tester (incumbent) 276,305 45.50% −4.83%
Libertarian Sid Daoud 7,272 1.20% −1.68%
Green Robert Barb 4,003 0.66% N/A
Total votes 607,262 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

Notes

  1. ^ $30,000 of this total was self-funded by Johnson
  2. ^ $2,050,000 of this total was self-funded by Sheehy
  3. ^ a b c d e f g Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Jeremy Mygland with 1%
  5. ^ Oversample of 100 likely Republican primary voters
  6. ^ $2,450,000 of this total was self-funded by Sheehy
  7. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  8. ^ "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 4%; "Other" with 1%
  9. ^ a b Daoud (L) with 1%; Barb (G) with 1%
  10. ^ Daoud (L) with 4%; Barb (G) with 2%
  11. ^ Sid Daoud (L) with 1%
  12. ^ Sid Daoud (L) with 4%; Michael Downey with 1%
  13. ^ a b Sid Daoud (L) with 2%; Michael Downey (G) with 1%
  14. ^ Sid Daoud (L) with 2%; Michael Downey (G) with 2%
  15. ^ Sid Daoud (L) with 4%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Hill.
  2. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Montana Republican Party
  3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republicans.
  4. ^ a b Poll commissioned by the Napolitan Institute
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by AARP.
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA, a conservative group
  7. ^ Poll commissioned by KULR-TV
  8. ^ Poll Sponsored by Progressive Policy Institute
  9. ^ Poll commissioned by Common Sense for America PAC, which supports Republican candidates
  10. ^ Poll sponsored by More Jobs, Less Government, a super PAC "with ties to" U.S. Senator Steve Daines, who is supporting Sheehy.[96]
  11. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by KULR-TV

References

  1. ^ "2024 General Election - November 5, 2024". Montana Secretary of State - Christi Jacobsen.
  2. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  3. ^ Everett, Burgess (August 2, 2022). "GOP eyes 2024 payback for Manchin's Dems-only deal". Politico. Retrieved November 8, 2024.
  4. ^ Yokley, Eli (April 19, 2023). "Red-State Voters Give Democrats Tester, Manchin Opposite Marks Ahead of 2024". Morning Consult. Retrieved April 27, 2023.
  5. ^ Coleman, J. Miles (July 11, 2024). "The Shocking Decline of Senate Ticket-Splitting". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 27, 2023..
  6. ^ Draeger, Jonathan (April 19, 2023). "GOP Poised To Regain Senate Majority, Polls Indicate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved July 13, 2024.
  7. ^ CARLY GRAF Lee Newspapers and (August 23, 2024). "On final day of the DNC, Tester says he won't endorse a candidate for president". Bozeman Daily Chronicle. Associated Press. Retrieved September 28, 2024.
  8. ^ Brown, Matthew (October 29, 2024). "Tester, Sheehy do battle in your mailbox". Montana Free Press. Retrieved October 31, 2024.
  9. ^ Kimbel-Sannit, Arren (April 3, 2023). "Senate passes bill creating top-two primary in Tester's 2024 U.S. Senate race".
  10. ^ "Republicans seek to change Montana primary to thwart Tester". AP News. April 5, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  11. ^ Corasaniti, Nick (April 14, 2023). "Facing Tough Senate Race, Montana G.O.P. Looks to Change the Rules". The New York Times.
  12. ^ Brown, Matthew (April 19, 2023). "Montana shelves GOP proposal to alter US Senate primary". Associated Press.
  13. ^ Singer, Jeff. "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 5/3". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 6, 2023. The end of Montana's legislative session Tuesday night means that the GOP proposal to conduct the 2024 Senate election using top-two rules in order to weaken Democratic incumbent Jon Tester is officially dead...it passed the state Senate last month. A state House committee, though, tabled the measure weeks later, and an attempt to resurrect the top-two also failed a short time later.
  14. ^ Concepcion, Summer (February 22, 2023). "Sen. Jon Tester to seek re-election in 2024". NBC News. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  15. ^ a b c "FEDERAL PRIMARY 2024 Candidate List". prodcandidatefiling.mt.gov. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  16. ^ Everett, Burgess (April 7, 2023). "Montana beef: Bad blood intensifies between Tester and Daines". Politico. Retrieved April 8, 2023. Manchin is backing Tester and has tried to stop senator-vs.-senator campaign appearances, even previously endorsing two moderate Republicans.
  17. ^ Autry, Lisa (March 26, 2024). "Beshear's PAC issues first wave of endorsements". WKU Public Radio. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
  18. ^ Browning, Kellen; Irvine, Tailyr (May 17, 2024). "Montana's Senate Race Could Come Down to One Question: Do I Trust You?". The New York Times. Retrieved May 18, 2024.
  19. ^ Rod, March (March 16, 2023). "AIPAC rolls out first 2024 endorsements, including vulnerable Senate Democrats". Jewish Insider. Retrieved July 13, 2023.
  20. ^ "Senate Candidates". Council for a Livable World. Archived from the original on September 6, 2023. Retrieved September 6, 2023.
  21. ^ Fernandez, Madison (May 20, 2024). "Pro-Israel group boosts Democrats in battleground races". Politico. Retrieved May 20, 2024.
  22. ^ "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Tester for Reelection". endcitizensunited.org (Press release). March 30, 2023. Retrieved July 13, 2023.
  23. ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 11, 2023.
  24. ^ "JDCA Announces First Round of 2024 Senate Endorsements". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  25. ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  26. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  27. ^ "2024 Federal Endorsements". NOW PAC. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  28. ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  29. ^ "Meet Our 2024 Candidates". Peace Action. Retrieved July 28, 2023.
  30. ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
  31. ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  32. ^ "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Sen. Jon Tester for Reelection to the U.S. Senate for Montana". Reproductive Freedom for All. December 13, 2023. Retrieved December 21, 2023.
  33. ^ "Make a high-impact donation—without all the usual drama". Swing Left.
  34. ^ "AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election". Association of Flight Attendants-CWA. Retrieved April 29, 2024.
  35. ^ "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
  36. ^ a b c "2024 Election United States Senate - Montana". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  37. ^ a b c "Montana Secretary of State". electionresults.mt.gov. Retrieved October 3, 2024.
  38. ^ Warren, Bradley (June 27, 2023). "Tim Sheehy announces run for U.S. Senate in Montana". KULR-8 Local News. Retrieved June 27, 2023.
  39. ^ Rafferty, Melissa (October 18, 2023). "Brad Johnson announces he's running for U.S. Senate in Montana". KPAX-TV. Retrieved October 18, 2023.
  40. ^ Ambarian, Jonathan (October 19, 2023). "Millions already spent in highly watched Montana U.S. Senate race". KTVH-DT. Retrieved October 26, 2023. One other Republican has decided not to stay in the race for U.S. Senate. Jeremy Mygland, who owns a construction business...announced last week that he would instead run for the Montana Senate. In his statement, he praised Rosendale and encouraged him to enter the race to challenge Tester.
  41. ^ Zanona, Melanie (March 8, 2024). "GOP Rep. Matt Rosendale of Montana says he is not running for reelection | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved March 8, 2024.
  42. ^ a b Vakil, Carolin (June 29, 2023). "Montana governor backs Tim Sheehy in Senate race". The Hill.
  43. ^ a b Warren, Bradley (July 5, 2023). "Congressman Ryan Zinke officially endorses Tim Sheehy for US Senate". Nonstop Local—ABC FOX. There was speculation Zinke could enter the race, but that speculation now shut down with this endorsement.
  44. ^ Corrin, Noah; Warren, Bradley (July 10, 2023). "Montana Democrat Monica Tranel announces run for U.S. Congress". KTMF. Retrieved July 10, 2023. Zinke plans to run for reelection, setting up a potential rematch of the 2022 race.
  45. ^ "Trump backs Sheehy in Montana Senate race". www.thehill.com. February 9, 2024. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  46. ^ "No. 3 Senate Republican endorses Tim Sheehy in Montana in attempt to consolidate support". Washington Examiner. July 10, 2023. Retrieved July 13, 2023.
  47. ^ Weaver, Al (June 27, 2023). "GOP gets its wish with Sheehy in Montana: 'A blank canvas with a big checkbook'". The Hill. Retrieved July 13, 2023.
  48. ^ a b "Tim Sheehy receives another major endorsement in Montana Senate bid to unseat Democrat Tester". Fox News. July 11, 2023.
  49. ^ "Tom Cotton Endorses Tim Sheehy in Montana Senate Race". National Review. June 27, 2023.
  50. ^ McCormack, John (June 27, 2023). "Montana's Steve Daines Endorses Former Navy SEAL Tim Sheehy in Senate GOP Primary". The National Review. Retrieved June 27, 2023.
  51. ^ a b "Tim Sheehy receives another major endorsement in Montana Senate bid to unseat Democrat Tester | Fox News". www.foxnews.com. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  52. ^ "Senate Republicans try to stop messy Montana primary". Politico. June 28, 2023.
  53. ^ "PUNCHBOWL NEWS: Sen. Eric Schmitt (R-Mo.) is endorsing Tim Sheehy for Senate in Montana - Tim Sheehy". timformt.com. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  54. ^ "GOP goes all-out to avoid another Senate primary mess". Politico. July 11, 2023.
  55. ^ "Sen. Tommy Tuberville endorses Tim Sheehy in Montana Senate race". The Gazette. Retrieved January 19, 2024.
  56. ^ Gick, Justin (February 4, 2024). "Gov. Burgum endorses Tim Sheehy for Montana's Senate race". www.kfyrtv.com. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  57. ^ "Popular GOP governor announces endorsement in key battleground Senate race: 'Accomplishes missions'". Fox News. February 9, 2024. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  58. ^ "I'm proud to endorse Tim Sheehy for United States Senate!". Twitter. January 22, 2024.
  59. ^ Gillespie, Brandon. "Former Navy SEAL seeking to oust three-term Democratic senator builds momentum with more big-name support". Fox News.
  60. ^ "Marjorie Taylor Green Endorses Tim Sheehy for Senate". NonStop Local.
  61. ^ "Rosendale seeking reelection to Montana House seat after dropping out of Senate race". The Hill.
  62. ^ "The moral duty leaders owe is to the citizens of this nation, not another one. Public service should be about serving the public, not yourself. Today I'm endorsing @SheehyforMT for U.S. Senate. He's a Navy SEAL, businessman, and patriot who understands what America-First is really about". X. Retrieved March 11, 2024.
  63. ^ Action, A. F. P. (November 2, 2023). "Americans for Prosperity Action Endorses Tim Sheehy for U.S. Senate". AFP Action. Retrieved November 2, 2023.
  64. ^ Action, G.O.A. (October 4, 2024). "GOA Grades". GOA Victory Fund. Retrieved October 4, 2024.
  65. ^ Action, N. R. S. C. (July 28, 2023). "NRSC-backed GOP Senate candidate Tim Sheehy makes first ad buy in Montana". Washington Examiner. Retrieved July 28, 2023.
  66. ^ NRA-PVF. "NRA-PVF | Grades | Montana". NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on May 13, 2024. Retrieved May 13, 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  67. ^ "Senate Conservatives Fund". www.senateconservatives.com. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  68. ^ Stacy, Nicole (January 30, 2024). "SBA Pro-Life America's Candidate Fund Endorses Tim Sheehy for U.S. Senate". SBA Pro-Life America. Retrieved January 30, 2024.
  69. ^ Sivak, David (February 9, 2024). "Rosendale mounts lonely quest for Senate in Montana". Washington Examiner. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  70. ^ a b Bender, Michael (February 9, 2024). "G.O.P. Primary Fight for Senate Begins in Montana, a Top Battleground". The New York Times. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  71. ^ a b Tully-McManus, Katherine; Mutnick, Ally (August 17, 2023). "Matt Rosendale nabbed two big Montana statehouse endorsements ahead of a potential Senate run". www.politico.com. Politico.
  72. ^ "GOA Endorses Matt Rosendale in Montana Senate Race | GOA". Retrieved February 10, 2024.
  73. ^ Sagnor, Denali (November 14, 2023). "Kalispell Libertarian Sid Daoud Announces Third-Party Senate Run". Flathead Beacon. Retrieved November 16, 2023.
  74. ^ Lutey, Tom (August 21, 2024). "Green Party candidate files to join U.S. Senate race". Montana Free Press. Retrieved August 23, 2024.
  75. ^ Lutey, Tom (August 21, 2024). "Green Party candidate files to join U.S. Senate race". Montana Free Press. Retrieved November 5, 2024. He told Montana Free Press last week that he didn't want to be considered the spoiler in what's expected to be a tight race between Tester and Sheehy.
  76. ^ Miller, Blair (August 26, 2024). "Montana Democratic Party sues to keep Green Party off U.S. Senate ballot • Daily Montanan".
  77. ^ "Montana Supreme Court denies Democratic Party's request for control of Green Party case".
  78. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  79. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  80. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  81. ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved July 11, 2024.
  82. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  83. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  84. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  85. ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. May 25, 2023. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  86. ^ Lee, Bobby (June 14, 2024). "Tulsi Gabbard endorses Tim Sheehy". NonStop Local. Retrieved October 7, 2024.
  87. ^ Mutnick, Ally (October 15, 2024). "John Thune doles out the money as he runs for Senate GOP leader". Politico. Retrieved October 17, 2024.
  88. ^ "Ron DeSantis doubles down on Montana Senate endorsement". September 18, 2024. Retrieved September 18, 2024.
  89. ^ Messer, Emily (October 2, 2024). "Tim Sheehy and Charlie Kirk rally at UM". Montana Kaimin. Retrieved October 7, 2024.
  90. ^ "U.S. Senate candidate from Montana Tim Sheehy endorsed by the National Rifle Association". Retrieved August 29, 2024.
  91. ^ a b Vakil, Caroline (August 6, 2024). "Jon Tester's campaign launches "Republicans for Tester" group". The Hill. Retrieved August 7, 2024.
  92. ^ "Fight Like Hell PAC". Fight Like Hell PAC. Retrieved September 30, 2024.
  93. ^ a b c "Tester campaign unveils list of "Republicans for Tester" in Senate race". KTVH. August 6, 2024. Retrieved August 8, 2024.
  94. ^ Kurtz, Josh (July 10, 2024). "Dunn's new PAC backs 10 Democratic Senate candidates, including Alsobrooks". Maryland Matters. Maryland Matters. Retrieved July 11, 2024.
  95. ^ NCPSSM. "National Seniors' Group Proudly Endorses Tester, Tranel in Montana". NCPSSM. Retrieved June 24, 2024.
  96. ^ Mutnick, Ally (June 26, 2024). "Pro-Sheehy super PAC launches $4M ad buy in Montana Senate race". Politico. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
  97. ^ "2024 General Election - November 5, 2024". Secretary of State of Montana. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 23, 2024.
Official campaign websites
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/enwiki/w/index.php?title=2024_United_States_Senate_election_in_Montana&oldid=1259939549"