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2024 United States presidential election in Delaware

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2024 United States presidential election in Delaware

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Turnout65.74%
 
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state California Florida
Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance
Electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 289,758 214,351
Percentage 56.49% 41.79%


President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Delaware took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Delaware voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Delaware has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

Delaware is the home state of incumbent President Joe Biden, and has not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 1988. It is a strongly blue state on the East Coast with the majority of the population being concentrated in the urban northern part of the state, despite the southern portion being rural and having some Southern cultural influence.

Harris carried Delaware by 14.7%, a noticeable decrease from Biden's 19% margin in 2020. This compares to Harris significantly underperforming in many other blue states. Harris carried Kent County, Delaware, a bellwether county, despite losing the election, which last occurred in 1992. Trump is the first Republican to win the presidency without the county since 1924.

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Delaware Republican primary was scheduled to be held on April 2, 2024, alongside primaries in Pennsylvania and Rhode Island. As all other primary candidates besides Donald Trump withdrew their names from the ballot, the primary was cancelled on March 19,[2] giving Trump all 16 pledged delegates.[3]

Winner of delegates

Endorsements

Donald Trump

Notable individual

Democratic primary

The Delaware Democratic primary was originally scheduled to be held on April 2, 2024, alongside primaries in Connecticut, New York, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin.[5] In Delaware, candidates can make the primary ballot by submitting at least 500 valid signatures by the filing deadline of February 2, 2024.[6] Incumbent president Joe Biden was the only one who met the requirements to make the ballot.[7] Pursuant to Delaware state law, this means that the primary was cancelled, with the delegates awarded to Biden.[8]

Delaware will send 34 delegates, 19 pledged and 15 superdelegates, to the 2024 Democratic National Convention.[5]

Winner of delegates

Endorsements

Joe Biden (withdrawn)
U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Governors

General election

Candidate ballot access

The following candidates have qualified for presidential ballot access in Delaware:[13]

Nominated parties

Other qualified parties

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[14] Solid D December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[15] Solid D April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe D June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[17] Safe D December 14, 2023
CNalysis[18] Solid D December 30, 2023
CNN[19] Solid D January 14, 2024
The Economist[20] Safe D October 1, 2024
538[21] Solid D September 15, 2024
RCP[22] Solid D June 26, 2024
NBC News[23] Safe D October 6, 2024

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Slingshot Strategies (D)[24][A] September 19–21, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 54% 37% 9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of Delaware[25] September 11–19, 2024 383 (LV) ± 5.8% 56% 36% 3% 1% 4%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
John Zogby Strategies[26][B] April 13–21, 2024 310 (LV) 51% 40% 9%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
John Zogby Strategies[26][B] April 13–21, 2024 310 (LV) 46% 42% 12%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
John Zogby Strategies[26][B] April 13–21, 2024 310 (LV) 42% 36% 22%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in Delaware[27][28]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic 289,758 56.49% −2.25%
Republican 214,351 41.79% +2.02%
Independent Party
4,636 0.90% N/A
Libertarian 2,038 0.40% −0.59%
Conservative
914 0.18% N/A
Write-in 1,215 0.24% +0.17%
Total votes 512,912 100.0%
Democratic win

By county

Swing by county:
  Democratic — +0-2.5%
  Republican — +0-2.5%
  Republican — +2.5-5%
County Kamala Harris
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Kent 44,222 50.09% 42,458 48.09% 1,609 1.82% 1,764 2.00% 88,289
New Castle 180,700 65.27% 90,868 32.82% 5,291 1.91% 89,832 32.45% 276,859
Sussex 64,836 43.88% 81,025 54.83% 1,903 1.29% -16,189 -10.95% 147,764
Totals 289,758 56.49% 214,351 41.79% 8,803 1.72% 75,407 14.70% 512,912

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b Biden-Harris Campaign National Advisory Board member
  2. ^ a b Biden campaign national co-chair
  3. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens for Judicial Fairness
  2. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

References

  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
  2. ^ Chase, Randall (March 19, 2024). "Delaware calls off Republican presidential primary after Haley removes name from ballot". Associated Press. Retrieved March 22, 2024.
  3. ^ "Delaware Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. January 19, 2023. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
  4. ^ "Radio Show Hour 2 – 2022/11/12". The Political Cesspool. November 12, 2022. Retrieved May 20, 2023.
  5. ^ a b "2024 Democratic Pledged and Unpledged Delegate Summary". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
  6. ^ "Ballot access for presidential candidates". Ballotpedia. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
  7. ^ "2024 Presidential Primary Election Candidate List - Department of Elections - State of Delaware". elections.delaware.gov. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
  8. ^ "DELEGATE SELECTION PLAN FOR THE 2024 DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION" (PDF). Delaware Dems. Retrieved February 7, 2024. Pursuant to Delaware State Law, if the Delaware Democratic Party submits the name of only one Presidential Candidate, and no other candidates file for the ballot, the state run presidential primary shall be cancelled.
  9. ^ Edelen, Joseph (April 25, 2023). "President Joe Biden to run for reelection in 2024". Bay to Bay News.
  10. ^ Morris, Kyle (January 22, 2023). "10 Democrats who have vowed support for Biden in 2024 as voters await his official re-election decision". Fox News. Archived from the original on February 16, 2023. Retrieved February 16, 2023.
  11. ^ Gangitano, Alex (April 25, 2023). "Biden names campaign managers, national co-chairs for 2024". The Hill.
  12. ^ Stockburger, George (May 10, 2023). "Josh Shapiro, Malcolm Kenyatta named to Biden-Harris Campaign National Advisory Board". ABC27/WHTM.
  13. ^ Winger, Richard (May 6, 2024). "April 2024 Ballot Access News Print Edition". Ballot Access News. Retrieved May 8, 2024.
  14. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  15. ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  16. ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  17. ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  18. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  19. ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  20. ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved October 3, 2024.
  21. ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 15, 2024.
  22. ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
  23. ^ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
  24. ^ "Citizens for Judicial Fairness Poll: New Castle County Executive Matt Meyer Well Positioned for Victory in Race for Delaware Governor, Vice President Kamala Harris Favorability Ratings Pass Biden". Business Wire. September 24, 2024.
  25. ^ Bothum, Peter (September 27, 2024). "New poll shows gender gap and independents fueling large lead for Delaware Democrats". University of Delaware.
  26. ^ a b c "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
  27. ^ State of Delaware. "2024 General Election Report". Retrieved November 13, 2024.
  28. ^ State of Delaware. "Official Write-In Votes Report" (PDF). Retrieved November 13, 2024.