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2024 United States presidential election in Virginia

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election
2024 United States presidential election in Virginia
← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state California Florida
Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance
Projected electoral vote 13 0
Popular vote 2,335,395 2,075,085
Percentage 51.83% 46.05%
President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Elections in Virginia
Federal government
U.S. President
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
State government
Governor
Lieutenant Governor
Attorney General
Senate
House of Delegates
State elections
Ballot measures
Statewide
Fairfax County
2016
Alexandria
Mayor
(List)
Henrico County
Commonwealth's Attorney
Norfolk
Mayor
Richmond
Mayor
Virginia Beach
Mayor
City Council

The 2024 United States presidential election in Virginia took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

Before the election, most news organizations considered Virginia a likely win for Harris. On election day, Harris won Virginia with 51.83% of the vote, carrying the state by a margin of 5.78%, similar to the 2016 results. However, Trump made notable gains across much of the commonwealth, particularly in the Northern and Southside regions of Virginia.[1] He reclaimed Lynchburg City, flipped Prince Edward County, which hadn't voted Republican in a presidential election since 2000, and also flipped Surry County, which last supported a Republican presidential candidate in 1972. Harris, by contrast, did not flip any counties or independent cities in Virginia. This is the first time since 1924 that the state voted for a Democrat that lost the popular vote.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 Virginia Democratic presidential primary

The Virginia Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Incumbent president Joe Biden won the state and all 11 of its congressional districts, securing 99 pledged delegates. Activist Marianne Williamson garnered 8% of the vote total, which was her second-best performance on Super Tuesday after Oklahoma.

Popular vote share by county and independent city
  Biden
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Virginia Democratic primary, March 5, 2024[2]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Pledged Unpledged Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 317,329 88.51% 99 99
Marianne Williamson ⁦28,599 7.98% 0 0
Dean Phillips ⁦12,586 3.51% 0 0
Total: 358,514 100.00% 99 19 118

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 Virginia Republican presidential primary

The Virginia Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald Trump defeated former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley, attaining 42 pledged delegates to the Republican National Convention in July. Trump performed best in southwest Virginia, while Haley's strength lay in Charlottesville, Albemarle County, the urban areas of Richmond and the suburbs surrounding Washington, D.C.

Popular vote share by county and independent city
  Trump
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Haley
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Virginia Republican primary, March 5, 2024[3]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 440,416 62.99% 39 3 42
Nikki Haley 244,586 34.98% 6 6
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 7,494 1.07%
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 3,384 0.48%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 2,503 0.36%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) 853 0.12%
Total: 699,236 100.00% 45 3 48


General election

Harris won the state by 5.77%, worse than Biden's margin but slightly improved from Hillary Clinton's 5.32% margin. Trump flipped Prince Edward County for the first time since 2000, Surry County since 1972, and won back the city of Lynchburg. Nevertheless, he became the first ever Republican to win the White House without carrying the city of Virginia Beach since it became an independent city in 1952, as well as the first to do so without carrying Chesterfield or Stafford Counties since Calvin Coolidge in 1924, and the first to do so without carrying James City County or the city of Chesapeake since Richard Nixon in 1968. This was the first presidential election in which the Republican candidate received more than 2 million votes in Virginia. Trump is the first Republican to win the popular vote without Virginia since 1924. This is also the first election since 2000 where Virginia voted for the popular vote loser.

Voting law changes

In August 2024, Virginia governor Glenn Youngkin signed an executive order removing 6,303 voters suspected of being non-citizens from Virginia's voter rolls.[4][5] In October 2024, the Department of Justice sued the Virginia Board of Elections and Virginia commissioner of elections over the voter purge, accusing that it violated the National Voter Registration Act.[6][7] The suit also found a number of alleged non-citizens purged were actually citizens.[7][8] District judge Patricia Tolliver Giles ruled that the removal was illegal, ordering the state to stop purging voter rolls and to restore the voter registration of more than 1,600 voters who had been removed.[9][8] The 4th Circuit Court of Appeals then upheld the order.[10][11] The administration filed an emergency appeal to the Supreme Court, which sided with Virginia in a 6-3 decision, allowing the state to continue purging voter rolls.[12][11]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Likely D June 12, 2024
Inside Elections[14] Likely D April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Likely D August 27, 2024
The Economist[16] Likely D September 10, 2024
CNalysis[17] Solid D September 15, 2024
CNN[18] Lean D August 18, 2024
538[19] Likely D August 23, 2024
NBC News[20] Likely D October 6, 2024
YouGov[21] Safe D October 16, 2024
Split Ticket[22] Likely D November 1, 2024

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Undecided
[a] 		Margin
270ToWin[23] October 2 - November 1, 2024 November 4, 2024 49.8% 41.0% 9.2% Harris +8.8%
538[24] through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 49.9% 43.7% 6.4% Harris +6.2%
Silver Bulletin[25] through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 49.5% 43.2% 7.3% Harris +6.3%
The Hill/DDHQ[26] through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 50.1% 45.1% 4.8% Harris +5.0%
Average 49.8% 43.3% 6.9% Harris +6.5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[27] November 3–4, 2024 2,202 (LV) ± 2.0% 51% 46% 3%
Research Co.[28] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 45% 4%
ActiVote[29] October 2–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46% –
Rasmussen Reports (R)[30][A] October 24–25, 2024 1,014 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 6%[c]
CES/YouGov[31] October 1–25, 2024 2,027 (A) – 53% 44% 3%
2,015 (LV) 53% 44% 3%
Quantus Insights (R)[32][B] October 22−24, 2024 725 (LV) ± 3.6% 49% 48% 3%
Braun Research[33][C] October 19−23, 2024 1,004 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 42% 9%
1,004 (LV) 49% 43% 8%
Christopher Newport University[34] September 28 − October 4, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 41% 7%[d]
Emerson College[35][D] September 22−24, 2024 860 (LV) ± 3.3% 52% 44% 4%[e]
53%[f] 46% 1%[e]
Morning Consult[36] September 9−18, 2024 899 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 44% 5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[37][A] September 19−22, 2024 1,144 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%
ActiVote[38] August 19 – September 17, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 55% 45% –
Research America Inc.[39][E] September 3−9, 2024 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 45% 45% 10%[g]
756 (LV) ± 4.1% 48% 46% 6%[h]
Washington Post/Schar School[40] September 4–8, 2024 1,005 (RV) ± 3.5% 51% 43% 6%[i]
1,005 (LV) 51% 43% 6%[i]
Morning Consult[36] August 30 – September 8, 2024 873 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 42% 6%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Quantus Insights (R)[41][B] August 20–22, 2024 629 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% 9%
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
Roanoke College[42] August 12–16, 2024 691 (LV) ± 4.5% 47% 44% 10%[j]
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
Emerson College[43] July 14–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 47% 8%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[44] July 14–15, 2024 301 (RV) – 43% 44% 13%[k]
265 (LV) 43% 47% 10%[l]
July 13, 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[44] July 12–13, 2024 617 (RV) ± 3.9% 45% 41% 14%
544 (LV) 46% 42% 12%
New York Times/Siena College[45] July 9–12, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.2% 48% 44% 8%
661 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 44% 7%
SoCal Strategies (R)[46][F] July 6–11, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 2.1% 47% 47% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[27] November 3–4, 2024 2,202 (LV) ± 2.0% 51% 45% – 2% 1% 1%[m]
Chism Strategies[47] October 28–30, 2024 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 45.2% 44.5% – 1.3% 0.6% 8.4%[n]
Cygnal (R)[48] October 27–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 43% 1% 1% 0% 5%[o]
Roanoke College[49] October 25–29, 2024 851 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 41% 2% 1% 2% 3%[p]
Virginia Commonwealth University[50] September 16–25, 2024 832 (A) ± 4.6% 43% 37% 3% 1% – 16%[q]
762 (RV) 47% 37% 2% 1% – 13%[r]
Washington Post/Schar School[40] September 4–8, 2024 1,005 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 42% 0% 1% 1% 7%[s]
1,005 (LV) 50% 42% 0% 1% 1% 6%[s]
Virginia Commonwealth University[51] August 26 – September 6, 2024 809 (A) ± 5.0% 46% 36% 2% 1% – 15%[t]
749 (RV) 49% 36% 1% 1% – 13%[u]
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Research America Inc.[39][E] September 3−9, 2024 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 44% 44% 2% − 0% 0% 10%[v]
756 (LV) ± 4.1% 47% 46% 2% − 0% 0% 6%[w]
Roanoke College[42] August 12–16, 2024 691 (LV) ± 4.5% 45% 42% 6% 2% 0% 2% 3%[d]
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
New York Times/Siena College[45] July 9–12, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.2% 41% 38% 9% 0% 1% 0% 11%
661 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 39% 7% 0% 1% 0% 10%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[44] July 14–15, 2024 301 (RV) – 40% 41% 7% 12%[l]
265 (LV) 41% 45% 5% 9%[x]
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[44] July 12–13, 2024 617 (RV) ± 3.9% 41% 37% 10% 12%
544 (LV) ± 3.9% 43% 38% 10% 9%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[43] July 14–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 45% 12%
50%[f] 50% –
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[44] July 14–15, 2024 301 (RV) – 41% 44% 15%[k]
265 (LV) 44% 44% 12%[x]
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[44] July 12–13, 2024 617 (RV) ± 3.9% 45% 41% 14%
544 (LV) ± 3.9% 47% 42% 11%
New York Times/Siena College[45] July 9–12, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.2% 46% 44% 10%
661 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 45% 7%
SoCal Strategies (R)[46][F] July 6–11, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 2.1% 47% 44% 9%
Fox News[52] June 1–4, 2024 1,107 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
Roanoke College[53] May 12–21, 2024 711 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 42% 16%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[54][G] April 29 – May 1, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 44% 8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[55][H] April 26–28, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 43% 42% 16%
John Zogby Strategies[56][I] April 13–21, 2024 586 (LV) – 45% 45% 10%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[57] February 29 – March 3, 2024 394 (RV) – 47% 42% 11%[y]
368 (LV) 47% 43% 10%[z]
Roanoke College[58] February 11–19, 2024 705 (A) ± 4.6% 47% 43% 10%
Virginia Commonwealth University[59] December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 812 (A) ± 5.4% 43% 40% 17%
Mason-Dixon[60] December 15–19, 2023 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 43% 8%
Roanoke College[61] November 12–20, 2023 686 (A) ± 4.3% 48% 44% 8%
Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D)[62] September 16–19, 2023 1,437 (RV) – 47% 42% 11%
Research America Inc.[63][E] September 5–11, 2023 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 37% 37% 26%
Roanoke College[64] August 6–15, 2023 702 (A) ± 4.2% 51% 42% 17%
Virginia Commonwealth University[65] July 14–25, 2023 804 (A) ± 5.4% 43% 40% 17%
Roanoke College[66] May 14–23, 2023 678 (A) ± 4.4% 54% 38% 8%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[67] May 7–9, 2023 500 (LV) – 48% 41% 11%
Roanoke College[68] February 12–21, 2023 590 (RV) ± 4.2% 47% 46% 6%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[43] July 14–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 43% 8% 2% 2% 7%
New York Times/Siena College[45] July 9–12, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.2% 38% 36% 9% 0% 2% 15%
661 (LV) ± 4.4% 40% 38% 7% 0% 2% 13%
Virginia Commonwealth University[69] June 24 – July 3, 2024 809 (A) ± 4.8% 36% 39% 9% 1% 2% 13%[aa]
Fox News[52] June 1–4, 2024 1,107 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 41% 9% 2% 2% 4%
Roanoke College[53] May 12–21, 2024 711 (LV) ± 4.2% 40% 38% 8% 1% 3% 10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[54][G] April 29 – May 1, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 40% 37% 8% 1% 2% 12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[44] July 14–15, 2024 301 (RV) – 40% 40% 5% 15%[ab]
265 (LV) 43% 42% 4% 11%[ac]
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[44] July 12–13, 2024 617 (RV) ± 3.9% 41% 38% 11% 10%
544 (LV) ± 3.9% 42% 39% 10% 9%
co/efficient (R)[70] June 11–12, 2024 851 (LV) ± 3.4% 41% 41% 7% 11%
Mason-Dixon[60] December 15–19, 2023 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 36% 14% 8%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D)[62] September 16–19, 2023 1,437 (RV) – 40% 39% 7% 14%
37% 37% 5% 21%[ad]
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[56][I] April 13–21, 2024 586 (LV) – 42% 47% 11%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[56][I] April 13–21, 2024 586 (LV) – 43% 41% 16%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Nikki
Haley
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Roanoke College[58] February 11–19, 2024 705 (A) ± 4.6% 40% 49% 11%
Virginia Commonwealth University[59] December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 812 (A) ± 5.4% 38% 43% 19%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University[59] December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 812 (A) ± 5.4% 42% 39% 19%
Research America Inc.[63][E] September 5–11, 2023 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 39% 30% 31%
Virginia Commonwealth University[65] July 14–25, 2023 804 (A) ± 5.46% 41% 41% 18%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[67] May 7–9, 2023 500 (LV) – 44% 44% 12%
Roanoke College[68] February 12–21, 2023 590 (RV) ± 4.2% 43% 48% 8%

Joe Biden vs. Glenn Youngkin

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Glenn
Youngkin
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Research America Inc.[63][E] September 5–11, 2023 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 37% 34% 29%
Virginia Commonwealth University[65] July 14–25, 2023 804 (A) ± 5.46% 37% 44% 19%
Roanoke College[68] February 12–21, 2023 590 (RV) ± 4.2% 39% 55% 6%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in Virginia[71][72][73]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Kamala Harris
Tim Walz 		2,335,395 51.83 −2.28
Republican Donald Trump
JD Vance 		2,075,085 46.05 +2.05
Green Jill Stein
Butch Ware 		34,888 0.77 New
Libertarian Chase Oliver
Mike ter Maat 		19,814 0.44 −1.01
Socialism and Liberation Claudia De la Cruz[ae]
Karina Garcia 		8,984 0.20 New
Independent Cornel West
Melina Abdullah 		8,410 0.19 New
Write-in 23,365 0.52 +0.08
Turnout 4,505,951
Total votes 4,505,951 100.00


By city and county

County/City Kamala Harris
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Accomack 7,374 42.93% 9,659 56.24% 143 0.83% -2,285 -13.31% 17,176
Albemarle 44,279 65.87% 21,513 32.00% 1,432 2.13% 22,766 33.87% 67,224
Alexandria 62,326 77.04% 16,112 19.91% 2,466 3.05% 46,214 57.13% 80,904
Alleghany 2,114 25.49% 6,093 73.47% 86 1.04% -3,979 -47.98% 8,293
Amelia 2,214 27.51% 5,776 71.76% 59 0.73% -3,562 -44.25% 8,049
Amherst 5,429 31.28% 11,742 67.65% 187 1.08% -6,313 -36.37% 17,358
Appomattox 2,324 24.00% 7,243 74.79% 118 1.22% -4,919 -50.79% 9,685
Arlington 100,446 77.53% 25,223 19.47% 3,892 3.00% 75,223 58.06% 129,561
Augusta 11,403 25.67% 32,429 73.01% 585 1.32% -21,026 -47.34% 44,417
Bath 588 22.76% 1,976 76.50% 19 0.74% -1,388 -53.74% 2,583
Bedford 12,414 24.30% 38,017 74.42% 650 1.27% -25,603 -50.12% 51,081
Bland 524 14.74% 2,998 84.33% 33 0.93% -2,474 -69.59% 3,555
Botetourt 5,915 26.91% 15,796 71.87% 267 1.21% -9,881 -44.96% 21,978
Bristol 2,231 29.79% 5,197 69.39% 62 0.83% -2,966 -39.60% 7,490
Brunswick 4,184 53.98% 3,523 45.45% 44 0.57% 661 8.53% 7,751
Buchanan 1,355 14.51% 7,939 85.03% 43 0.46% -6,584 -70.52% 9,337
Buckingham 2,988 37.70% 4,847 61.16% 90 1.14% -1,859 -23.46% 7,925
Buena Vista 767 26.75% 2,035 70.98% 65 2.27% -1,268 -44.23% 2,867
Campbell 7,890 25.22% 23,032 73.62% 365 1.17% -15,142 -48.40% 31,287
Caroline 7,957 44.96% 9,511 53.74% 230 1.30% -1,554 -8.78% 17,698
Carroll 2,925 18.06% 13,152 81.19% 123 0.76% -10,227 -63.13% 16,200
Charles City 2,384 54.77% 1,917 44.04% 52 1.19% 467 10.73% 4,353
Charlotte 2,008 33.36% 3,963 65.83% 49 0.81% -1,955 -32.47% 6,020
Charlottesville 19,435 82.94% 3,428 14.63% 571 2.44% 16,007 68.31% 23,434
Chesapeake 65,399 51.09% 60,550 47.30% 2,052 1.60% 4,849 3.79% 128,001
Chesterfield 112,869 53.59% 94,030 44.64% 3,729 1.77% 18,839 8.95% 210,628
Clarke 3,993 40.58% 5,641 57.33% 205 2.08% -1,648 -16.75% 9,839
Colonial Heights 2,982 33.27% 5,883 65.63% 99 1.10% -2,901 -32.36% 8,964
Covington 818 32.98% 1,642 66.21% 20 0.81% -824 -33.23% 2,480
Craig 542 17.29% 2,562 81.72% 31 0.99% -2,020 -64.43% 3,135
Culpeper 10,557 36.81% 17,685 61.67% 437 1.52% -7,128 -24.86% 28,679
Cumberland 2,117 38.48% 3,335 60.63% 49 0.89% -1,218 -22.15% 5,501
Danville 10,615 59.93% 6,894 38.92% 203 1.15% 3,721 21.01% 17,712
Dickenson 1,316 18.64% 5,701 80.75% 43 0.61% -4,385 -62.11% 7,060
Dinwiddie 5,942 38.06% 9,549 61.17% 120 0.77% -3,607 -23.11% 15,611
Emporia 1,419 65.12% 744 34.14% 16 0.73% 675 30.98% 2,179
Essex 2,775 45.69% 3,245 53.42% 54 0.89% -470 -7.73% 6,074
Fairfax 386,438 65.56% 181,895 30.86% 21,094 3.58% 204,543 34.70% 589,427
Fairfax City 8,797 64.84% 4,302 31.71% 468 3.45% 4,495 33.13% 13,567
Falls Church 7,200 79.45% 1,620 17.88% 242 2.67% 5,580 61.57% 9,062
Fauquier 17,180 38.38% 26,825 59.92% 763 1.70% -9,645 -21.54% 44,768
Floyd 2,968 30.71% 6,551 67.77% 147 1.52% -3,583 -37.06% 9,666
Fluvanna 7,731 46.17% 8,777 52.42% 235 1.40% -1,046 -6.25% 16,743
Franklin 8,321 26.82% 22,319 71.95% 380 1.23% -13,998 -45.13% 31,020
Franklin City 2,359 60.69% 1,476 37.97% 52 1.34% 883 22.72% 3,887
Frederick 18,331 35.07% 33,117 63.37% 815 1.56% -14,786 -28.30% 52,263
Fredericksburg 8,760 64.52% 4,480 32.99% 338 2.49% 4,280 31.53% 13,578
Galax 753 27.67% 1,946 71.52% 22 0.81% -1,193 -43.85% 2,721
Giles 2,069 22.34% 7,102 76.67% 92 0.99% -5,033 -54.33% 9,263
Gloucester 7,034 30.28% 15,918 68.53% 276 1.19% -8,884 -38.25% 23,228
Goochland 7,875 39.89% 11,521 58.36% 346 1.75% -3,646 -18.47% 19,742
Grayson 1,503 18.51% 6,544 80.60% 72 0.89% -5,041 -62.09% 8,119
Greene 4,456 36.81% 7,432 61.39% 218 1.80% -2,976 -24.58% 12,106
Greensville 2,334 54.24% 1,936 44.99% 33 0.77% 398 9.25% 4,303
Halifax 6,984 39.08% 10,741 60.10% 146 0.82% -3,757 -21.02% 17,871
Hampton 43,357 69.01% 18,383 29.26% 1,083 1.72% 24,974 39.75% 62,823
Hanover 26,733 36.42% 45,569 62.08% 1,102 1.50% -18,836 -25.66% 73,404
Harrisonburg 10,641 61.40% 6,266 36.15% 425 2.45% 4,375 25.25% 17,332
Henrico 115,040 63.39% 62,882 34.65% 3,567 1.97% 52,158 28.74% 181,489
Henry 8,457 33.20% 16,800 65.95% 217 0.85% -8,343 -32.75% 25,474
Highland 416 27.10% 1,095 71.34% 24 1.56% -679 -44.24% 1,535
Hopewell 5,078 56.26% 3,838 42.52% 110 1.22% 1,240 13.74% 9,026
Isle of Wight 9,779 39.49% 14,659 59.20% 324 1.31% -4,880 -19.71% 24,762
James City 26,742 52.16% 23,575 45.98% 957 1.87% 3,167 6.18% 51,274
King and Queen 1,536 36.68% 2,608 62.27% 44 1.05% -1,072 -25.59% 4,188
King George 5,657 36.65% 9,500 61.54% 280 1.81% -3,843 -24.89% 15,437
King William 3,388 29.25% 8,080 69.76% 115 0.99% -4,692 -40.51% 11,583
Lancaster 3,355 45.88% 3,866 52.86% 92 1.26% -511 -6.98% 7,313
Lee 1,391 13.74% 8,674 85.69% 57 0.56% -7,283 -71.95% 10,122
Lexington 1,795 62.00% 1,030 35.58% 70 2.42% 765 26.42% 2,895
Loudoun 129,280 56.28% 92,107 40.10% 8,305 3.62% 37,173 16.18% 229,692
Louisa 8,779 36.36% 15,084 62.48% 281 1.16% -6,305 -26.12% 24,144
Lunenburg 2,253 38.28% 3,594 61.07% 38 0.65% -1,341 -22.79% 5,885
Lynchburg 16,664 45.01% 19,574 52.87% 785 2.12% -2,910 -7.86% 37,023
Madison 2,700 31.84% 5,671 66.88% 109 1.29% -2,971 -35.04% 8,480
Manassas 9,048 56.20% 6,670 41.43% 382 2.37% 2,378 14.77% 16,100
Manassas Park 3,506 58.46% 2,314 38.59% 177 2.95% 1,192 19.87% 5,997
Martinsville 3,435 60.55% 2,155 37.99% 83 1.46% 1,280 22.56% 5,673
Mathews 1,774 29.84% 4,106 69.07% 65 1.09% -2,332 -39.23% 5,945
Mecklenburg 6,404 39.28% 9,791 60.05% 109 0.67% -3,387 -20.77% 16,304
Middlesex 2,473 35.80% 4,357 63.08% 77 1.11% -1,884 -27.28% 6,907
Montgomery 23,811 50.60% 22,179 47.14% 1,063 2.26% 1,632 3.46% 47,053
Nelson 4,298 45.58% 5,004 53.06% 128 1.36% -706 -7.48% 9,430
New Kent 5,641 33.56% 10,974 65.29% 192 1.14% -5,333 -31.73% 16,807
Newport News 48,169 63.46% 26,385 34.76% 1,355 1.79% 21,784 28.70% 75,909
Norfolk 59,941 69.69% 24,377 28.34% 1,691 1.97% 35,564 41.35% 86,009
Northampton 3,603 52.55% 3,183 46.43% 70 1.02% 420 6.12% 6,856
Northumberland 3,202 38.90% 4,938 59.99% 92 1.12% -1,736 -21.09% 8,232
Norton 458 27.86% 1,174 71.41% 12 0.73% -716 -43.55% 1,644
Nottoway 2,636 38.38% 4,168 60.68% 65 0.95% -1,532 -22.30% 6,869
Totals 1,635,351 % 1,339,714 % 67,974 % 295,637 % 3,043,039

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Harris won 6 of 11 congressional districts.[74]

District Harris Trump Representative
1st 46.66% 51.58% Rob Wittman
2nd 49.06% 49.33% Jen Kiggans
3rd 66.40% 31.84% Bobby Scott
4th 65.41% 32.82% Jennifer McClellan
5th 43.17% 55.40% Bob Good (118th Congress)
John McGuire (119th Congress)
6th 37.70% 61.71% Ben Cline
7th 50.29% 47.44% Abigail Spanberger (118th Congress)
Eugene Vindman (119th Congress)
8th 73.04% 23.76% Don Beyer
9th 25.48% 71.67% Morgan Griffith
10th 52.59% 44.28% Jennifer Wexton (118th Congress)
Suhas Subramanyam (119th Congress)
11th 65.18% 31.18% Gerry Connolly

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ "Other" with 4%
  4. ^ a b "Someone else" with 3%
  5. ^ a b "Someone else" with 1%
  6. ^ a b With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  7. ^ "Other candidate" with 3%; "None/Would not vote" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
  8. ^ "Other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" with 1%
  9. ^ a b "Would not vote" with 1%
  10. ^ "Someone else" with 8%. "Refused" and "Undecided" with 1% each
  11. ^ a b "Another candidate" with 5%
  12. ^ a b "Another candidate" with 4%
  13. ^ "Other" with 1%
  14. ^ "Someone else" with 1.6%
  15. ^ Claudia De La Cruz (PSL) with 0%
  16. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  17. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 4%; "Refused" with 3%; "Someone else" with 1%
  18. ^ "Refused" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  19. ^ a b Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  20. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 6%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  21. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  22. ^ "Other candidate" with 2%; "None/Would not vote" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
  23. ^ "Other candidate" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
  24. ^ a b "Another candidate" with 3%
  25. ^ "Another candidate" with 8%
  26. ^ "Another candidate" with 6%
  27. ^ "Undecided" with 6%; "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Someone else" & "Refused" with 2%
  28. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
  29. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
  30. ^ Joe Manchin with 7%
  31. ^ Listed on the ballot without party affiliation.
  1. ^ a b Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  2. ^ a b Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by The Washington Post & the Schar School of Policy and Government
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by WAVY-TV, WRIC-TV, WFXR-TV, & WDCW-TV
  5. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington
  6. ^ a b Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
  7. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  8. ^ Poll sponsored by Virginians Against Neighborhood Slot Machines
  9. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

References

  1. ^ "Virginia Presidential Election Results". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 19, 2024.
  2. ^ "Virginia Democratic Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
  3. ^ "Virginia Republican Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
  4. ^ Gamboa, Suzanne (August 23, 2024). "A Virginia voter roll purge sparks renewed rhetoric over 'non-citizens' casting ballots". NBC News. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  5. ^ Mirshahi, Dean (August 8, 2024). "Youngkin's election security order gets Trump's praise and Democratic criticism". WRIC. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  6. ^ Ward, Jasper (October 11, 2024). "Justice Dept sues Virginia for violating federal election law". Reuters. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  7. ^ a b Lim, Clarissa-Jan (October 25, 2024). "Justice Department sues Virginia for its voter purge over nonexistent 'noncitizen voting'". MSNBC. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  8. ^ a b Sneed, Tierney (October 27, 2024). "Appeals court keeps Virginia voter purge program blocked, setting up Supreme Court fight". CNN. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  9. ^ Lo Wang, Hansi (October 25, 2024). "A judge orders Virginia to restore registered voters purged too close to Election Day". NPR. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  10. ^ Quinn, Melissa (October 30, 2024). "Supreme Court clears way for Virginia to remove 1,600 alleged noncitizens from voter rolls - CBS News". CBS News. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  11. ^ a b Joffe-Block, Jude (October 30, 2024). "U.S. citizens are among the voters removed in Virginia's controversial purge". Morning Edition. NPR.
  12. ^ "Supreme Court's conservative justices allow Virginia to resume its purge of voter registrations". AP News. October 30, 2024. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
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  39. ^ a b "UMW Center for Leadership and Media Studies Survey Zooms in on Presidential Election in Virginia". University of Mary Washington. September 20, 2024.
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  44. ^ a b c d e f g h "Small Trump Bump Post-Assassination Attempt, New Poll Shows". FAU Polling. July 17, 2024.
  45. ^ a b c d Nagourney, Adam; Igielnik, Ruth (July 15, 2024). "Biden Facing Challenges in Two Must-Win States, Times/Siena Polls Find". The New York Times.
  46. ^ a b "On Point Politics/SoCal Research Old Dominion State Survey". Google Docs. July 11, 2024.
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  48. ^ Shucard, Ryan (November 1, 2024). "Virginia Poll: Harris Flatlines as Trump Gains Ground Among Non-College Voters". Cygnal. Retrieved November 1, 2024.
  49. ^ "Roanoke College Poll: Final poll before 2024 Elections". Roanoke College. November 1, 2024.
  50. ^ "Kamala Harris' edge over Donald Trump slips slightly as she leads 43% to 37% in Virginia". Google Drive. October 2, 2024.
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  59. ^ a b c "92% of those familiar with VCU Health development deal want answers from the VCU Health System board" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. January 22, 2024.
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  74. ^ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13OwY9FYKHM72i5DDMG_cNxz7pYoDPFjCQD1T44-D_hA/htmlview#
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