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Timeline of the 2008 United States presidential election

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Template:Future election in the United States The following is a timeline of events leading up to the upcoming 2008 U.S. presidential election:

2002

  • October 7 - Maureen Dowd writes article in New York Times entitled "Can Hillary Upgrade?" which claims that Hillary Clinton, serving as the junior Senator from New York, has mollified her criticism of the then-pending invasion of Iraq because "Clinton knows that any woman who hopes to be elected president cannot afford to be seen as too much of a dove," and that she might seek the Democratic Party's nomination in 2008.[1]

2003

  • November 27 - In an interview with Germany's Bunte magazine, Hillary Clinton states that she will not be a candidate for the presidency in 2004, and when told that some were disappointed with that decision, she replied: "I know. Well, perhaps I'll do it next time around," widely interpreted that she will consider a run in the 2008 race, if the 2004 Democratic nominee is unsuccessful.[2]

2004

  • November 2 - President George W. Bush wins re-election over Senator John F. Kerry.
  • November 9 - Following Senator John Kerry's loss in the 2004 election, Cameron Kerry, John Kerry's brother and political confidante stated in regards to another presidential run: "That's conceivable. .. I don't know why that [last week's loss] should necessarily be it. I think it's too early to assess. But I think that he is going to continue to fight on for the values, ideals, and issues this campaign is about."[3]

2005

  • February 7 - After the reelection and inauguration of George W. Bush, in an interview with Fox News Sunday, Vice President Dick Cheney was asked whether he would seek the Republican nomination for the presidency in 2008. He replied: "I've got my plans laid out, I'm going to serve this president for the next four years and then I'm out of here." When pressed further, Cheney also responded to a potential presidential run by stating "Not only no, but hell no" and quoted General William Tecumseh Sherman's famous statement "If nominated, I will not run. If elected, I will not serve."[4]

2006

October

  • October 12 - Former Democratic Virginia Governor and widely-speculated 2008 contender Mark Warner states that he will not seek the presidency in 2008.[11]
  • October 22 - After his decisive victory in November 2004, freshman Illinois Senator Barack Obama had stated that "I can unequivocally say I will not be running for national office in four years."[12] He changed his mind about a presidential run in October 2006, stating: "I don't want to be coy about this: given the responses that I've been getting over the last several months, I have thought about the possibility, but I have not thought about it with the seriousness and depth that I think is required." "After November 7, I'll sit down, I'll sit down and consider, and if at some point I change my mind, I will make a public announcement and everybody will be able to go at me."[13]
  • October 29 - Massachusetts Senator John Kerry makes a "botched joke" about education and Iraq, which dominates the news for the rest of the month.
  • October 30 - Republican Representative Duncan Hunter from California announces the formation of an exploratory committee for a presidential run.[14]

November

December

2007

State of nomination races at beginning of the year:

  • National Race (Gallup, Dec. 11-14):[35]
Democrats: Hillary Clinton 33%; Barack Obama 20%, Al Gore 12%, John Edwards 8%, John Kerry 6%, Joe Biden 3%, Wesley Clark 2%, Bill Richardson 2%, Evan Bayh 2%, Tom Vilsack1%, Christopher Dodd1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%,
Republicans: John McCain 28%, Rudy Giuliani 28%, Condoleezza Rice12%, Newt Gingrich 8%; Mitt Romney 4%, Mike Huckabee 2%; Sam Brownback 2% ,George Allen 2%, Tommy Thompson 2%,Chuck Hagel 1%, George Pataki 1%, Duncan Hunter 1%
Republicans: John McCain 27%; Rudy Giuliani 26%, Mitt Romney 9%. Newt Gingrich 7%. Condi Rice 4%, George Pataki 1%, Jeb Bush 1%, George Allen 1%, Sam Brownback 1%
Democrats: John Edwards 22%, Barack Obama 22%.Tom Vilsack 12%, Hillary Clinton 10%, Al Gore 7%, John Kerry 5%, Wesley Clark 4%, Dennis Kucinich 4%, Joe Biden 1%, Evan Bayh 1%, Bill Richardson 1%
Republicans: Rudolph Giuliani 26%, John McCain 25%, Mitt Romney 10%, Newt Gingrich 8%,Condi Rice 6%, George Pataki 3%, Jeb Bush 1%, George Allen 1%, Sam Brownback 1%, Rick Santorum 1%. Duncan Hunter 0%
Democrats: Hillary Clinton 22%, Barack Obama 21%,John Edwards 16%,Al Gore 10%, John Kerry 7%, Wesley Clark 4%, Dennis Kucinich 4%, Joe Biden 2%, Tom Vilsack 2%, Evan Bayh 2%, Bill Richardson 2%

January

February

March

State of the race at the start of the second quarter, 2007

Republicans

National Race: Rudy Giuliani 35%; John McCain 22%; Newt Gingrich 12%; Mitt Romney 11%; Sam Brownback 2%;Mike Huckabee 1%; Jim Gilmore 1%; Tom Tancredo 0%; Chuck Hagel 0% (Time Magazine March 23-26)

Iowa Caucuses: Giuliani 25%; McCain 19%; Romney 11%; F. Thompson 7%; T. Thompson 5%; Brownback 3%; Huckabee 2%; Tancredo 1% (Zogby 3/28)[74]

New Hampshire Primary: McCain 23%; Giuliani 19%; Romney 17%; F. Thompson 10% (American Res. Group 3/19-22)[75]

Fundraising totals Jan-March: Romney $21 million; Giuliani $15 million, McCain $12.5 million; Brownback; $1.9 million, Huckabee $500,000; T. Thompson $400,000 [76] [77] [78]

Democrats

National Race: Hillary Rodham Clinton 31%; Barack Obama 24%; John Edwards 16%; Al Gore 15%; Bill Richardson 3%; Joe Biden 2%; Chris Dodd 1%; Dennis Kucinich 0% (Time Magazine March 23-26)[79]

Iowa Caucuses: Edwards 27%; Clinton 25%; Obama 23%; Biden 3%; Richardson 3%; Kucinich 1%; Dodd 1% (Zogby: March 26)[80]

New Hampshire Primary: Clinton 37%; Obama 23%; Edwards 20% (American Res. Group 3/19-22)[81]

Fundraising totals Jan-March: Clinton $26 million+ $10 million from her Senate campaign account, her total receipts: $36 million; Obama $25 million; Edwards $14 million; Bill Richardson: $6 million; Dodd $4 million + $5 million from his Senate campaign account and had $7.5 million cash on hand; Biden $4 million + $2 million transferred from his Senate campaign account. [77] [82] [83] [84]

April

May

June

State of the race at the start of the third quarter, 2007

Republicans

Delegate Totals as of June 30th: (None selected as yet)

National Polling:Rudy Giuliani 31%; Fred Thompson 21%;John McCain 19%;Mitt Romney 11%;Ron Paul 2%;Mike Huckabee 2%;Sam Brownback 1%;Tom Tancredo 1%;Tommy Thompson 1%;Jim Gilmore 0%;Duncan Hunter 0% [105]

Primary Polling:

Iowa: Mitt Romney 23%; Fred Thompson 17%;Rudy Giuliani 14%;John McCain 10%;Tommy Thompson 6%;Mike Huckabee 5%;Newt Gingrich 4%;Sam Brownback 3%;Ron Paul 2%;Tom Tancredo 2%;Duncan Hunter 1%;Jim Gilmore 1%;Chuck Hagel 1%; Undecided 11% [106]

New Hampshire #1: Mitt Romney 28%Rudy Giuliani 20%;John McCain 20%;Fred Thompson 11%;Newt Gingrich 4%; Ron Paul 3%;Sam Brownback 2%;Mike Huckabee 2%;Tom Tancredo 1% [107]

New Hampshire #2: Mitt Romney 26%; Rudy Giuliani 22%; Fred Thompson 13%; John McCain 13% (Nobody Else Mentioned)[108]

Fundraising totals (April-June):Rudy Giuliani $17 million, Mitt Romney $14 million, John McCain $11.2 million,Ron Paul $2.4 million; Sam Brownback $1.4 million; Mike Huckabee $763,000, Tommy Thompson $461,000, Jim Gilmore $182,000 [109]

Democrats

Delegate Totals as of June 30th: ("superdelegate" endorsements): Hillary Clinton 37; Barack Obama 22; John Edwards 15; Chris Dodd 9; Bill Richardson 5; Joe Biden 2[110]

National Polling:Hillary Clinton 43%;Barack Obama 25%;John Edwards 17%;Bill Richardson 5%;Joe Biden 3%;Dennis Kucinich 2%; Chris Dodd 0%; Mike Gravel 0% [111]

Primary Polling:

Iowa: John Edwards 26%; Barack Obama 21%; Hillary Clinton 20%; Bill Richardson 11%; Joseph Biden 4%; Chris Dodd 2%; Dennis Kucinich 1%; Undecided 15% [112]

Nevada:Hillary Clinton 39%; Barack Obama17%; John Edwards12%; Bill Richardson 7%; Joe Biden 2%; Al Gore 1%; Chris Dodd 1% [113]

New Hampshire #1: Hillary Clinton 36%; Barack Obama 22%; John Edwards 12%; Al Gore 12%; Bill Richardson 10%; Joseph Biden 4%; Dennis Kucinich 1%; Chris Dodd 0%;Mike Gravel 0%;Someone else 2%; No opinion 1%[114]

New Hampshire #2:Clinton 37%; Obama 19%; Richardson 9%; Edwards 9% (Nobody Else Mentioned, although the press release said that if Al Gore was included, he would get 32%, and Clinton 26.) [115]

Fundraising totals (April-June):Senator Barack Obama of Illinois $32.8 million, Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York $27 million, John Edwards $8.9 million; Gov. Bill Richardson of New Mexico raised $7 million, Senator Christopher J. Dodd of Connecticut $3.25 million; Senator Joseph R. Biden of Delaware $2.3 million. Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio $756,568[116]

July

  • July 1 - Republican forum at Des Moines, co-sponsored by the Iowa Christian Alliance and Iowans for Tax Relief. Six of the ten candidates were scheduled to show up.[117]
  • July 2 - President Bush commutes former Cheney aide Scooter Libby's sentence for obstruction of justice.
  • July 2 - Facing severe financial problems, John McCain fires over a hundred campaign staffers and publically considers accepting matching funds.[118]
  • July 5 - Al Gore states he has "fallen out of love with politics" and has no intention of running for public office again.
  • July 7 - Al Gore hosts Live Earth concerts, held around the world.
  • July 7 - Ron Paul wins the Coalition of New Hampshire Taxpayers straw poll with 65% of the vote.
  • July 9 - John McCain's campaign manager and chief strategist resign.
  • July 12 - Annual NAACP Convention convenes, featuring a joint appearance by all the Democratic hopefuls.
  • July 13 - Green Party Presidential Candidate Forum, Green National Meeting, Reading, PA
  • July 14 - Jim Gilmore announces that he is dropping out of the race for the Republican nomination. [119]
  • July 15 - Mike Huckabee declares that if he finishes fourth or worse in the Aug. 11 Ames straw poll, he will re-evaluate his bid for the presidency. [120]
  • July 23 - Democratic debate hosted by YouTube/Google and CNN in Charleston, SC

August

September

State of the race at the start of the final quarter, 2007

October

  • October 14 - ABC News/WMUR-TV/Union Leader Republican debate in Manchester, NH.
  • October 19 - 21: Socialist Party USA National Convention in St. Louis, Missouri.
  • October 21 - Florida Republican Party/FOX News debate in Orlando, FL.[123]
  • October 21 - ABC News, WMUR-TV, and the New Hampshire Union Leader host a Democratic presidential debate in NH
  • October 30 - Democratic debate hosted by NBC News/MSNBC** in Philadelphia, PA

November

December

  • December 1 - "The 2nd Heartland Republican Candidate Forum – A Conversation with Real People on Real Issues," cosponsored by coalition of over two dozen community organizations including Iowa Citizens for Community Improvement, at Hy-Vee Hall in Des Moines, IA
  • December 7 - "Special" Absentee ballots become available in California, and the voting officially begins

[126] [127]

2008

State of the race at the beginning of the Year

Republicans

Democrats

The Early Primaries: January1/February 4

The dates for caucuses and primaries are still subject to change.[129]

February 5 - Super Duper Tuesday or the so-called "National Primary"[133]

The results:
State Democratic Winner Republican Winner State Democratic Winner Republican Winner
Alabama Illinois
Alaska(C) Missouri
Arizona New Jersey
Arkansas New Mexico
California New York
Connecticut Oklahoma
Colorado (C) Tennessee
Delaware Utah
Georgia Kansas (C)
Idaho (C) West Virginia

State of the race at the halfway point

Republican Delegate Count:

Democratic Delegate Count:

the rest of February

March

  • (date to be determined) - American Samoa, Democrats Abroad, Guam, Michigan, Minnesota, North Dakota, Virgin Islands, Wyoming
  • March 4 - The original Super Tuesday: Georgia, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Ohio, Rhode Island, Vermont
  • March 7 - Colorado primary
  • March 8 - Kansas primary
  • March 11 - Louisiana
  • March 18 - Illinois, Oregon

April

(date to be determined) - Alaska

  • April 1 - Pennsylvania primary, subject to change by pending legislation in the Pennsylvania Assembly which would move the primary to February 5.

May

June

  • June 3 - Montana, South Dakota

July

August

September

October

  • October - Vice Presidential Debate
  • October - Second Presidential Debate
  • October - Third Presidential Debate

November

December

2009

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