Pyramid scheme

The unsustainable geometric progression of a classic pyramid scheme

A pyramid scheme is a non-sustainable business model that involves the exchange of money primarily for enrolling other people into the scheme, often without any product or service being delivered.

Pyramid schemes are illegal in many countries, including the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Canada, Romania, Colombia, Malaysia, Norway, Bulgaria, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, Nepal, Philippines, South Africa, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Iran, and the People's Republic of China. These types of schemes have existed for at least a century.

Concept and basic models

Pyramid schemes exploit greed and gullibility. A successful pyramid scheme combines a fake yet seemingly credible business with a simple-to-understand yet sophisticated-sounding money-making formula. The essential idea is that the mark, Mr. X, makes only one payment. To start earning, Mr. X has to recruit others like him who will also make one payment each. Mr. X gets paid out of receipts from those new recruits. They then go on to recruit others. As each new recruit makes a payment, Mr. X gets a cut. He is thus promised exponential benefits as the ''business'' expands.

Such ''businesses'' seldom involve sales of real products or services to which a money value might be easily attached. However, sometimes the ''payment'' itself may be a non-cash valuable. To enhance credibility, most such scams are well equipped with fake referrals, testimonials, and information. Clearly, the flaw is that there is no end benefit. The money simply travels up the chain. Only the originator (sometimes called the "pharaoh") and a very few at the top levels of the pyramid make significant amounts of money. The amounts dwindle steeply down the pyramid slopes. Of course, the worst off are at the bottom of the pyramid: those who subscribed to the plan, but were not able to recruit any followers themselves.

Some network or multi-level marketing businesses, which sell real products and rely on the price differentials between the manufacturer's dispatch ramp and the retail counter, may verge on the borderline between ''smart'' and ''scam''. When a pyramid does involve a real product, such as Holiday Magic cosmetics in the United States in the 1970s, new "dealers" who've paid enrolling fees are encouraged, in addition to selling their products, to become "managers" and recruit more new "dealers" who will also pay enrolling fees. As the number of layers of the pyramid increases, new recruits find it harder and harder to sell the product because there are so many competing salesmen. Those near or at the top of the pyramid make a lot of money on their percentage of the enrolling fees and on commissions for the supplied products, but those at the bottom are left with inventories of products they can't sell. However, most multi-level marketing businesses are not pyramid schemes.

Pyramid schemes are not to be confused with Ponzi schemes, named after Charles Ponzi, which also rely on greed and gullibility but are quite different. In a Ponzi scheme, all new money is paid to "Mr. Ponzi" for investment in his incredibly profitable business and he distributes a portion of it to other members as "interest" or "investment income" whereas in a pyramid, money is paid to the next level upward in the pyramid.

"8-ball" model

Many pyramids are more sophisticated than the simple model. These recognize that recruiting a large number of others into a scheme can be difficult so a seemingly simpler model is used. In this model each person must recruit two others, but the ease of achieving this is offset because the depth required to recoup any money also increases. The scheme requires a person to recruit two others, who must each recruit two others, who must each recruit two others.

The "8-ball" model contains a total of 15 members. Note that unlike in the picture, the triangular setup in the cue game of eight-ball corresponds to an arithmetic progression 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 = 15. The pyramid scheme in the picture in contrast is a geometric progression 1 + 2 + 4 + 8 = 15.

Prior instances of this scam have been called the "Airplane Game" and the four tiers labelled as "captain", "co-pilot", "crew", and "passenger" to denote a person's level. Another instance was called the "Original Dinner Party" which labelled the tiers as "dessert", "main course", "side salad", and "appetizer". A person on the "dessert" course is the one at the top of the tree. Another variant "Treasure Traders" variously used gemology terms such as "polishers", "stone cutters", etc. or gems "rubies", "sapphires", "diamonds", etc.

Such schemes may try to downplay their pyramid nature by referring to themselves as "gifting circles" with money being "gifted". Popular scams such as the "Women Empowering Women" do exactly this. Joiners may even be told that "gifting" is a way to skirt around tax laws.

Whichever euphemism is used, there are 15 total people in four tiers (1 + 2 + 4 + 8) in the scheme - the person at the top of this tree is the "captain", the two below are "co-pilots", the four below are "crew" and the bottom eight joiners are the "passengers".

The eight passengers must each pay (or "gift") a sum (e.g. $1000) to join the scheme. This sum (e.g. $8000) goes to the captain who leaves, with everyone remaining moving up one tier. There are now two new captains so the group splits in two with each group requiring eight new passengers. A person who joins the scheme as a passenger will not see a return until they exit the scheme as a captain. This requires that 14 others have been persuaded to join underneath them.

Therefore, the bottom 3 tiers of the pyramid always lose their money when the scheme finally collapses. Consider a pyramid consisting of tiers with 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, and 64 members. The highlighted section corresponds to the previous diagram.

No matter how large the model becomes before collapse, approximately 88% of all people will lose.

If the scheme collapses at this point, only those in the 1, 2, 4, and 8 got out with a return. The remainder in the 16, 32, and 64 tier lose everything. 112 out of the total 127 members or 88% lost all of their money.

During a wave of pyramid activity, a surge frequently develops once a significant fraction of people know someone personally who exited with a $8000 payout for example. This spurs others to seek to get in on one of the many pyramids before the wave collapses.

The figures also hide the fact that the confidence trickster would make the lion's share of the money. They would do this by filling in the first 3 tiers (with 1, 2, and 4 people) with phoney names, ensuring they get the first 7 payouts, at 8 times the buy-in sum, without paying a single penny themselves. So if the buy-in were $1000, they would receive $56,000, paid for by the first 56 investors. They would continue to buy in underneath the real investors, and promote and prolong the scheme for as long as possible in order to allow them to skim even more from it before the collapse.

Other cons may also be effective. For example, rather than using fake names, a group of seven people may agree to form the top three layers of a pyramid without investing any money. They then work to recruit eight paying passengers, and pretend to follow the pyramid payout rules, but in reality split any money received. Ironically, though they are being conned, the eight paying passengers are not really getting anything less for their money than if they were buying into a 'legitimate' pyramid which had split off from a parent pyramid. They truly are now in a valid pyramid, and have the same opportunity to earn a windfall if they can successfully recruit enough new members and reach captain. This highlights the fact that by 'buying' in to a pyramid, passengers are not really obtaining anything of value they couldn't create themselves other than a vague sense of "legitimacy" or history of the pyramid, which may make it marginally easier to sell passenger seats below them.

Matrix schemes

Main article: Matrix scheme

Matrix schemes use the same fraudulent non-sustainable system as a pyramid; here, the victims pay to join a waiting list for a desirable product which only a fraction of them can ever receive. Since matrix schemes follow the same laws of geometric progression as pyramids, they are subsequently as doomed to collapse. Such schemes operate as a queue, where the person at head of the queue receives an item such as a television, games console, digital camcorder, etc. when a certain number of new people join the end of the queue. For example ten joiners may be required for the person at the front to receive their item and leave the queue. Each joiner is required to buy an expensive but worthless item, such as an e-book, for their position in the queue. The scheme organizer profits because the income from joiners far exceeds the cost of sending out the item to the person at the front. Organizers can further profit by starting a scheme with a queue with shill names that must be cleared out before genuine people get to the front. The scheme collapses when no more people are willing to join the queue. Schemes may not reveal, or may attempt to exaggerate, a prospective joiner's queue position which essentially means the scheme is a lottery. Some countries have ruled that matrix schemes are illegal on that basis.

Notable recent cases

Internet

In 2003, an internet-based "pyramid scam" was uncovered by the United States Federal Trade Commission (FTC), where customers would pay a registration fee to join a program and purchase a package which included Internet mail and related goods and services. The FTC's complaint states that the company assured consumers who purchased the package that it would allow them to earn significant commissions for every website sold.

The FTC alleged that the company deceptively represented that consumers who participated in their scheme would earn substantial income, when in fact most consumers lost money in the operation, and that the defendants provided deceptive marketing material to affiliates - providing them with the means to deceive others; and finally, the company failed to disclose that a substantial percentage of participants would lose money, and that the scheme was actually an illegal pyramid scheme.

Pyramid schemes generally spread through emails, many of which may use confusing language, with the intent to make you think it is a multi-level marketing (MLM) scheme. MLM schemes have their share of detractors, but they are legal because they have a product to sell. Examples of successful MLM schemes are Amway, Tupperware, and Avon Products. The difference between MLM and pyramid schemes is that pyramid schemes do not offer a genuine product.

Others

In early 2006 Ireland was hit by a wave of schemes with major activity in Cork and Galway. Participants were asked to contribute €20,000 each to a "Liberty" scheme which followed the classic 8-ball model. Payments were made in Munich, Germany to skirt Irish tax laws concerning gifts. Spin-off schemes called "Speedball" and "People in Profit" prompted a number of violent incidents and calls were made by politicians to tighten existing legislation. Ireland has launched a website to better educate consumers to pyramid schemes and other scams.

On November 12, 2008 riots broke out in the municipalities of Pasto, Tumaco, Popayan and Santander de Quilichao, Colombia after the collapse of several pyramid schemes. Thousands of victims had invested their money in pyramids that promised them extraordinary interest rates. The lack of regulation by the Colombian government has allowed certain unscrupulous individuals to take advantage of naive investors. Colombia's President, Mr. Alvaro Uribe, took measures to stop the scheme and various of the pyramid's heads were arrested and are in jail.

November 2008: The Kyiv Post reported on November 26th 2008 that American citizen Robert Fletcher (Robert T. Fletcher III; aka "Rob") was arrested by the SBU (Ukraine State Police) after being accused by Ukrainian investors of running a ponzi scheme and associated pyramid scam netting $20 Million USD (Kiev Post also reports that some estimates are as high as $150M USD).

In early 2008, allegations of cheating were made against QuestNet India based on an unverified complaint from a single customer which received intense media attention leading to mass panic among the public. Many customers filed complaints against the company and the MD of Questnet India, Ms. Pushpam was taken into police custody where she remained for five months. Based on media reports, it is learnt that various allegations have been made about the company having defrauded people of several hundred crores of rupees (i.e. several thousand million rupees). Police in Tamilnadu state are currently investigating the complaints and Ms.Pushpam has been released on bail. No charge sheet has been filed against the company so far. The company has denied all allegations against it and has stated repeatedly through advertisements in newspapers that it runs a legitimate network marketing business. The company has pointed out that due to lack of any legislation governing network marketing, direct sales or Multi-Level marketing industries in India, there is a lack of awareness about the business model and hence is open to misinterpretation and misrepresentation that leads to complaints from customers who do not fully understand what they are signing up for.

See also

• Amway
• Autosurfing
• Burnlounge
• High-yield investment program
• Holiday Magic
• Ponzi scheme
• Sali Berisha
• Make money fast
• Multi-level marketing
• Vector Marketing

External links

• An information graphic that describes a pyramid scheme
• FTC consumer complaint form
• Cash Gifting Watchdog
• Article by Financial Crimes Investigator, Bill E. Branscum
• Spoof article
• The Math Behind Pyramid Schemes, Chain Letters, and 2-Up Schemes - Investigates the mathematics of the geometric series involved.
• IMF feature on "The Rise and Fall of Albania's Pyramid Schemes"
• Cockeyed.com presents: Pyramid Schemes - A thorough description of the 8-ball model and matrix schemes which is a close cousin to pyramid schemes.
• National Consumer Agency on Pyramid Schemes - Irish consumer site describes two local pyramid schemes and offers advice to would-be participants.
• National Consumer Agency Ireland
• Australian Trade Practices Amendment Act (No. 1) 2002 Australian Law Online
• Public Warning on Pyramid Schemes Central Bank of Sri Lanka