2010 United States Senate election in Ohio
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| Elections in Ohio |
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The 2010 United States Senate election in Ohio will take place on November 2, 2010, as one of many Ohio Elections in 2010. In the Democratic primary on Mary 4, 2010, Lee Fisher, Ohio's Lieutenant Govenor, will face Jennifer Brunner, Ohio's Secretary of State. The winner of the Democratic primary will run against Republican Rob Portman, a former US Representative, as well as several third-party and independent candidates, in the general election. The winner will replace two term Republican Senator George Voinovich, who is retiring after his current term.[1]
Republican primary
Background
With rumors circulating about Voinovich's possible retirement, former Director of the Office of Management and Budget, United States Trade Representative, and Congressman Rob Portman and State Auditor Mary Taylor were considered the main contenders for the Republican nomination.[2] Former Ohio Secretary of State Ken Blackwell was also considered a potential candidate, but declined in order to run for chairman of the Republican National Committee.[3]
Campaign
When Voinovich made his retirement official, Portman declared his candidacy the next day.[4] Thomas Ganley, a Cleveland car dealer, launched his campaign for the nomination in April, after Portman had collected support from most of the Ohio Republican establishment.[5] Taylor officially declined to run in May and was announced as gubernatorial candidate John Kasich's running mate on January 12th, 2010 [6]
Ganley was the only other declared candidate, but on February 17, 2010 he announced that he would switch races and run against Betty Sutton in Ohio's 13th congressional district instead,[7] leaving Portman as the only Republican candidate. He has over $6 million dollars in campaign funds.[8]
Democratic primary
Background
Congressman Tim Ryan, Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner, and Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher were considered leading contenders to run against George Voinovich.[9] Ohio Governor Ted Strickland urged Jennifer Brunner to run for reelection rather than run for the Senate.[10] Cuyahoga County Commissioner Peter Lawson Jones and Ohio state representative Tyrone Yates considered running, but both withdrew from consideration.[11][12]
Candidates
Campaign
On February 17, 2009, Brunner and Fisher both officially announced their candidacies for the now-open seat election, with Strickland officially endorsing Fisher.[13][14][10] Ryan declined to run and endorsed Fisher in July.[15]
Fisher has been endorsed by Governor Ted Strickland and U.S. Representatives John Boccieri, Tim Ryan, Zack Space, and Charlie Wilson.[16]
Polling in late 2009 and January 2010 have shown Brunner to be more competitive than Fisher in a general election matchup against Portman, while Fisher and Brunner are deadlocked in Democratic primary polling.[17]
Charlene Renee Bradley and Traci Johnson also filed to run in the Democratic primary.[18]
Polling
| Poll Source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of Error |
Lee Fisher |
Jennifer Brunner |
Other | Unde- cided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University (report) | March 25-28, 2010 | 978 | ± 3.1% | 33% | 26% | 1% | 40% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | February 16-21, 2010 | 604 | ± 4.0% | 29% | 20% | 2% | 48% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | November 5-9, 2009 | 394 | ± 4.9% | 24% | 22% | 1% | 51% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | September 10-13, 2009 | 421 | ± 4.8% | 26% | 17% | 2% | 55% |
| Research 2000 (report) | July 6-8, 2009 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 22% | 17% | — | 61% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | June 26-July 1, 2009 | 483 | ± 4.5% | 24% | 21% | 2% | 51% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | April 28-May 4, 2009 | 437 | ± 4.7% | 20% | 16% | 1% | 59% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | March 10-15, 2009 | 506 | ± 4.4% | 18% | 14% | 1% | 46% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | January 29-Feb. 2, 2009 | 492 | ± 4.4% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 53% |
Constitution Party primary
Background
Eric Deaton of New Lebanon, Ohio had declared his candidacy as an independent candidate in June 2009. Deaton is a graduate of the University of Dayton and an electrical engineer. He was later chosen as the Constitution Party's candidate. He will be unopposed in the Constitution Party primary.
Campaign
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When Voinovich made his retirement official, Deaton began researching his own run for the Senate seat in Ohio. Deaton started campaigning on his own in June and announced his official candidacy on August 28th. Deaton was chosen by the Constitution Party in late January and filed with the party on February 18th and has since been certified to the ballot. Deaton has earned several endorsements.
General election polling
With Brunner
| Poll Source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of Error |
Rob Portman (R) |
Jennifer Brunner (D) |
Other | Unde- cided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac (report) | March 23-29, 2010 | 1,526 | ± 2.5% | 37% | 38% | 1% | 23% |
| Public Policy Polling (report) | March 20-21, 2010 | 630 | ± 3.9% | 38% | 37% | — | 24% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | March 4, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 43% | 37% | 6% | 15% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | February 16-21, 2010 | 1,662 | ± 2.4% | 40% | 35% | 2% | 23% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | February 5-6, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 42% | 38% | 5% | 15% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | January 12, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 43% | 40% | 5% | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | December 7, 2009 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 40% | 33% | 7% | 20% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | November 5-9, 2009 | 1,123 | ± 2.9% | 38% | 34% | — | 27% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | September 23, 2009 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 40% | 38% | 5% | 18% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | September 10-13, 2009 | 1,074 | ± 3.0% | 34% | 39% | 1% | 25% |
| Research 2000 (report) | July 6-8, 2009 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 36% | 40% | — | 24% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | June 26-July 1, 2009 | 1,259 | ± 2.8% | 34% | 35% | 1% | 29% |
| Public Policy Polling (report) | June 17-19, 2009 | 619 | ± 3.9% | 32% | 40% | — | 29% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | April 28-May 4, 2009 | 1,079 | ± 3.0% | 32% | 40% | — | 27% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | March 10-15, 2009 | 1,299 | ± 2.7% | 34% | 39% | 1% | 25% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | January 29-Feb. 2, 2009 | 1,127 | ± 2.9% | 28% | 38% | 1% | 31% |
| Public Policy Polling (report) | January 17-18, 2009 | 578 | ± 4.1% | 42% | 34% | — | 24% |
With Fisher
| Poll Source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of Error |
Rob Portman (R) |
Lee Fisher (D) |
Other | Unde- cided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac (report) | March 23-29, 2010 | 1,526 | ± 2.5% | 37% | 41% | 1% | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling (report) | March 20-21, 2010 | 630 | ± 3.9% | 41% | 36% | — | 23% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | March 4, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 39% | 5% | 12% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | February 16-21, 2010 | 1,662 | ± 2.4% | 40% | 37% | 2% | 21% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | February 5-6, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 43% | 39% | 5% | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | January 12, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 37% | 4% | 14% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | December 7, 2009 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 38% | 36% | 8% | 18% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | November 5-9, 2009 | 1,123 | ± 2.9% | 39% | 36% | — | 24% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | September 23, 2009 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 41% | 40% | 6% | 14% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | September 10-13, 2009 | 1,074 | ± 3.0% | 31% | 42% | 1% | 26% |
| Research 2000 (report) | July 6-8, 2009 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 35% | 42% | — | 23% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | June 26-July 1, 2009 | 1,259 | ± 2.8% | 33% | 37% | 2% | 26% |
| Public Policy Polling (report) | June 17-19, 2009 | 619 | ± 3.9% | 32% | 41% | — | 27% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | April 28-May 4, 2009 | 1,079 | ± 3.0% | 31% | 42% | 1% | 26% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | March 10–15, 2009 | 1,299 | ± 2.7% | 33% | 41% | 1% | 24% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | January 29–Feb. 2, 2009 | 1,127 | ± 2.9% | 27% | 42% | 1% | 29% |
| Public Policy Polling (report) | January 17-18, 2009 | 578 | ± 4.1% | 41% | 39% | — | 20% |
Other candidates
Dan LaBotz (Socialist), Eric LaMont Gregory (Independent), Dave Myers (Independent), Bill Pierce (Independent), and Adam Shaffer (Independent) have all announced their intention to run for the seat.
References
- ^ Dubail, Jean (January 12, 2009). "It's official: Voinovich to retire from Senate after 2010". Cleveland Plain Dealer. Retrieved November 10, 2009.
- ^ Larkin, Brent (January 9, 2009). "Voinovich in 2010? We'll see". Cleveland Plain Dealer. Retrieved November 11, 2009.
- ^ "Portman says he's leaning toward Senate run". Columbus Dispatch. January 13, 2009. Retrieved November 11, 2009.
- ^ Hershey, William (January 13, 2009). "Portman announces for U.S. Senate, to start statewide campaign tour". Dayton Daily News. Retrieved November 11, 2009.
- ^ Wendel, Kim (April 4, 2009). "Auto dealer Ganley expected to announce run for Voinovich's Senate seat". WKYC. Retrieved November 11, 2009.
- ^ http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2010/01/ohio_auditor_mary_taylor_to_se.html
- ^ Gonzales, Nathan (February 17, 2010). "Ganley Switching Races in Ohio, Will Challenge Sutton". CQ Politics. Retrieved February 17, 2010.
- ^ http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/tom-ganley/2010/02/
- ^ Skolnick, David (January 13, 2009). "Will Ryan make a run for Senate?". The Vindicator. Retrieved November 11, 2009.
- ^ a b Naymik, Mark (February 3, 2009). "Ohio Democrats brace for collision over open Senate seat". Cleveland Plain Dealer. Retrieved November 11, 2009.
- ^ Koff, Stephen (February 26, 2009). "3rd Democratic candidate emerges for Voinovich's Senate seat; analyst calls it a toss-up". Cleveland Plain Dealer. Retrieved November 11, 2009.
- ^ Wilkinson, H (August 25, 2009). "Yates endorses Fisher". Cincinnati Enquirer. Retrieved November 11, 2009.
- ^ Naymik, Mark (February 17, 2009). "Jennifer Brunner announces candidacy for U.S. Senate". Cleveland Plain Dealer. Retrieved November 11, 2009.
- ^ Naymik, Mark (February 17, 2009). "Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher joins the race for U.S. Senate seat". Cleveland Plain Dealer. Retrieved November 11, 2009.
- ^ "U.S. Rep. Tim Ryan endorses Ohio Lt. Gov. Fisher for Senate seat". The Vindicator. July 27, 2009. Retrieved November 11, 2009.
- ^ http://www.fisherforohio.com/endorsements/elected_officials
- ^ http://www.cleveland.com/naymik/index.ssf/2010/01/real_test_of_us_senate_candida.html
- ^ "Candidates File for the May 4 State Primary". Ohio Secretary of State. February 18, 2010. Retrieved February 24, 2010.
External links
- Ohio Secretary of State - Elections
- U.S. Congress candidates for Ohio at Project Vote Smart
- Ohio U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- 2010 Ohio Senate General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Ohio Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Ohio Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Ohio Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Official campaign websites