Historical rankings of presidents of the United States
In political science, historical rankings of Presidents of the United States are surveys conducted in order to construct rankings of the success of individuals who have served as President of the United States. Ranking systems are usually based on surveys of academic historians and political scientists or popular opinion.[1][2][3] The rankings focus on the presidential achievements, leadership qualities, failures and faults.[citation needed]
General findings
George Washington, Abraham Lincoln, and Franklin D. Roosevelt are consistently ranked at the top of the lists. Often ranked just below those Presidents are Thomas Jefferson and Theodore Roosevelt. The remaining places in the top ten are often rounded out by Harry S. Truman, Woodrow Wilson, Dwight D. Eisenhower, James K. Polk, and Andrew Jackson. The bottom ten are Warren G. Harding, James Buchanan, Andrew Johnson, Franklin Pierce, George W. Bush, Millard Fillmore, Ulysses S. Grant, Zachary Taylor, William Henry Harrison, and John Tyler. Because Harrison (32 days) and James A. Garfield (200 days, incapacitated after 119 days) both died shortly after taking office, they are sometimes omitted from presidential rankings. Zachary Taylor also died after serving as president for only 16 months, but is usually included. In the case of these three, it is not clear if they received low rankings due to their actions as president, or because each was president for such a limited time that it is not possible to rate them more highly.
Political scientist Walter Dean Burnham noted the "dichotomous or schizoid profiles" of presidents, which can make some hard to classify. Historian Alan Brinkley said, "There are presidents who could be considered both failures and great or near great (for example, Nixon)". James MacGregor Burns observed of Nixon, "How can one evaluate such an idiosyncratic president, so brilliant and so morally lacking?"[4]
David H. Donald, noted biographer of Lincoln, relates that when he met John F. Kennedy in 1962, Kennedy voiced his deep dissatisfaction and resentment with historians who had rated some of his predecessors. Kennedy said, "No one has a right to grade a President—even poor James Buchanan—who has not sat in his chair, examined the mail and information that came across his desk, and learned why he made his decisions."[5]
Historian and political scientist Julian E. Zelizer argues that traditional presidential rankings do not explain much concerning actual presidential history, and that they are "weak mechanisms for evaluating what has taken place in the White House."[6]
Notable scholar surveys
The 1948 poll was conducted by historian Arthur M. Schlesinger, Sr., of Harvard University.[7] The 1962 survey was also conducted by Schlesinger, who surveyed 75 historians.[8] Schlesinger's son Arthur M. Schlesinger, Jr., conducted another poll in 1996.[9]
The Complete Book of U.S. Presidents also gives the results of the 1982 survey, a poll of 49 historians conducted by the Chicago Tribune. A notable difference from the 1962 Schlesinger poll was the ranking of Dwight D. Eisenhower, which rose from #22 in 1962 to #9 in 1982.
The Siena Research Institute of Siena College conducted surveys in 1982, 1990, 1994, 2002, and 2010. The 1994 survey placed only two Presidents, Franklin Roosevelt and Abraham Lincoln, above 80 points and two Presidents, Andrew Johnson and Warren G. Harding, below 50 points.[10][11]
The 1996 column shows the results from a poll conducted from 1988 to 1996 by William J. Ridings, Jr., and Stuart B. McIver and published in Rating the Presidents: A Ranking of U.S. leaders, from the Great and Honorable to the Dishonest and Incompetent (2000, ISBN 0806521511). More than 719 people took part in the poll, primarily academic historians and political scientists, although some politicians and celebrities also took part. Participants from every state were included, and emphasis was placed upon getting input from female historians and "specialists in African-American studies", as well as a few non-American historians. Poll respondents rated the Presidents in five categories (leadership qualities, accomplishments & crisis management, political skill, appointments, character & integrity), and the results were tabulated to create the overall ranking.
A 2000 survey by The Wall Street Journal consisted of an "ideologically balanced group of 132 prominent professors of history, law, and political science". This poll sought to include an equal number of liberals and conservatives in the survey, as the editors argued that previous polls were dominated by either one group or the other, but never balanced. According to the editors, this poll included responses from more women, minorities, and young professors than the 1996 Schlesinger poll. The editors noted that the results of their poll were "remarkably similar" to the 1996 Schlesinger poll, with the main difference in the 2000 poll being the lower rankings for the 1960s presidents Lyndon B. Johnson and John F. Kennedy, and higher ranking of President Ronald Reagan at #8. Franklin Roosevelt still ranked in the top three.
Another presidential poll was conducted by The Wall Street Journal in 2005, with James Lindgren of Northwestern University Law School for the Federalist Society.[12] As in the 2000 survey, the editors sought to balance the opinions of liberals and conservatives, adjusting the results "to give Democratic- and Republican-leaning scholars equal weight." Franklin D. Roosevelt still ranked in the top-three, but editor James Taranto noted that Democratic-leaning scholars rated George W. Bush the sixth-worst president of all time, while Republican scholars rated him the sixth-best, giving him a split-decision rating of "average".
A 2006 Siena College poll of 744 professors reported the following results:[13]
- "George W. Bush has just finished five years as President. If today were the last day of his presidency, how would you rank him? The responses were: Great: 2%; Near Great: 5%; Average: 11%; Below Average: 24%; Failure: 58%."
- "In your judgment, do you think he has a realistic chance of improving his rating?” Two-thirds (67%) responded no; less than a quarter (23%) responded yes; and 10% chose "no opinion or not applicable."
Thomas Kelly, professor emeritus of American studies at Siena College, said: "President Bush would seem to have small hope for high marks from the current generation of practicing historians and political scientists. In this case, current public opinion polls actually seem to cut the President more slack than the experts do." Dr. Douglas Lonnstrom, Siena College professor of statistics and director of the Siena Research Institute, stated: "In our 2002 presidential rating, with a group of experts comparable to this current poll, President Bush ranked 23rd of 42 presidents. That was shortly after 9/11. Clearly, the professors do not think things have gone well for him in the past few years. These are the experts that teach college students today and will write the history of this era tomorrow."[13]
A 2010 Siena poll of 238 Presidential scholars found that former president George W. Bush was ranked 39th out of 43, with poor ratings in handling of the economy, communication, ability to compromise, foreign policy accomplishments, and intelligence. Meanwhile, the current president, Barack Obama was ranked 15th out of 43, with high ratings for imagination, communication ability and intelligence and a low rating for background (family, education and experience).[14][15]
The C-SPAN Survey of Presidential Leadership consists of rankings from a group of presidential historians and "professional observers of the presidency"[16] who ranked presidents in a number of categories initially in 2000 and more recently in 2009.[17][18] With some minor variation, both surveys found that historians consider Abraham Lincoln, George Washington, and Franklin D. Roosevelt the three best presidents by a wide margin and William Henry Harrison (to a lesser extent), Warren G. Harding, Andrew Johnson, Franklin Pierce, George W. Bush and James Buchanan the worst.
In 2008, The Times newspaper asked eight of its own "top international and political commentators" to rank all 42 US presidents "in order of greatness".[19]
In 2011, through the agency of its United States Presidency Centre (USPC), the Institute for the Study of the Americas (located in the University of London’s School of Advanced Study) released the first ever U.K. academic survey to rate U.S. presidents. This polled the opinion of U.K. specialists in U.S. history and political studies to assess presidential performance and produced an overall rating on the basis of the responses. They also gave an interim assessment of Barack Obama, but his unfinished presidency was not included in the survey (had he been included, he would have attained eighth place overall).[20][21]
In 2012, Newsweek magazine asked a panel of historians to rank the ten best presidents since 1900. The results showed that historians had ranked Franklin D. Roosevelt, Theodore Roosevelt, Lyndon Johnson, Woodrow Wilson, Harry Truman, John F. Kennedy, Dwight Eisenhower, Bill Clinton, Ronald Reagan and Barack Obama as the best since that year.[22]
Scholar survey results
- Blue backgrounds indicate first quartile.
- Green backgrounds indicate second quartile.
- Orange backgrounds indicate third quartile.
- Red backgrounds indicate fourth quartile.
Note: Click the "sort" icon at the head of each column to view the rankings for each survey in numerical order.
No | President | Political party | Schl. 1948 | Schl. 1962 | M-B 1982 | CT 1982 | Siena 1982 | Siena 1990 | Siena 1994 | R-McI 1996 | Schl. 1996 | C-SPAN 1999 | WSJ 2000 | Siena 2002 | WSJ 2005 | Times 2008** | C-SPAN 2009 | Siena 2010 | USPC 2011 | Aggr.[23] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01 | George Washington | None | 02 | 02 | 03 | 03 | 04 | 04 | 04 | 03 | 02 | 03 | 01 | 04 | 01 | 02 | 02 | 04 | 03 | 03 |
02 | John Adams | Federalist | 09 | 10 | 09 | 14 (tie) | 10 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 12 |
03 | Thomas Jefferson | Dem-Repub | 05 | 05 | 04 | 05 | 02 | 03 | 05 | 04 | 04 | 07 | 04 | 05 | 04 | 04 | 07 | 05 | 04 | 04 |
04 | James Madison | Dem-Repub | 14 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 09 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 09 | 17 | 15 | 20 | 06 | 14 | 13 |
05 | James Monroe | Dem-Repub | 12 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 08 | 16 | 21 | 14 | 07 | 13 | 14 (tie) |
06 | John Quincy Adams | Dem-Repub | 11 | 13 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 25 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 18 |
07 | Andrew Jackson | Democratic | 06 | 06 | 07 | 06 | 13 | 09 | 11 | 08 | 05 | 13 | 06 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 09 | 08 (tie) |
08 | Martin Van Buren | Democratic | 15 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 30 | 23 | 24 | 27 | 40 | 31 | 23 | 27 | 24 |
09 | William Henry Harrison | Whig | – | – | – | 38 | 26 | 35 | 28 | 35 | – | 37 | – | 36 | – | 39 | 39 | 35 | – | 38 (tie) |
10 | John Tyler | Whig | 22 | 25 | 28 | 29 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 32 | 36 | 34 | 37 | 35 | 31 | 35 | 37 | 37 | 36 |
11 | James K. Polk | Democratic | 10 | 08 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 09 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 09 | 09 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
12 | Zachary Taylor | Whig | 25 | 24 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 34 | 33 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 31 | 34 | 33 | 28 | 29 | 33 | 33 | 35 |
13 | Millard Fillmore | Whig | 24 | 26 | 29 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 35 | 36 | 31 | 35 | 35 | 38 | 36 | 33 | 37 | 38 | 35 | 38 (tie) |
14 | Franklin Pierce | Democratic | 27 | 28 | 31 | 35 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 37 | 33 | 39 | 37 | 39 | 38 | 41 | 40 | 40 | 39 | 40 |
15 | James Buchanan | Democratic | 26 | 29 | 33 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 38 | 41 | 39 | 41 | 40 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 40 | 42 |
16 | Abraham Lincoln | Republican | 01 | 01 | 01 | 01 | 03 | 02 | 02 | 01 | 01 | 01 | 02 | 02 | 02 | 01 | 01 | 03 | 02 | 01 |
17 | Andrew Johnson | Democratic | 19 | 23 | 32 | 32 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 39 | 37 | 40 | 36 | 42 | 37 | 24 | 41 | 43 | 36 | 41 |
18 | Ulysses S. Grant | Republican | 28 | 30 | 35 | 30 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 38 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 35 | 29 | 18 | 23 | 26 | 29 | 37 |
19 | Rutherford B. Hayes | Republican | 13 | 14 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 26 | 22 | 27 | 24 | 27 | 33 | 31 | 30 | 25 |
20 | James A. Garfield | Republican | – | – | – | 33 | 25 | 30 | 26 | 30 | – | 29 | – | 33 | – | 34 | 28 | 27 | – | 29 (tie) |
21 | Chester A. Arthur | Republican | 17 | 21 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 32 | 26 | 30 | 26 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 32 | 28 |
22/24 | Grover Cleveland | Democratic | 08 | 11 | 17 | 13 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 12 | 20 | 12 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 19 |
23 | Benjamin Harrison | Republican | 21 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 32 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 34 | 34 | 33 |
25 | William McKinley | Republican | 18 | 15 | 18 | 10 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 19 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 21 | 17 | 20 (tie) |
26 | Theodore Roosevelt | Republican | 07 | 07 | 05 | 04 | 05 | 05 | 03 | 05 | 06 | 04 | 05 | 03 | 05 | 05 | 04 | 02 | 05 | 05 |
27 | William Howard Taft | Republican | 16 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 22 (tie) |
28 | Woodrow Wilson | Democratic | 04 | 04 | 06 | 07 | 06 | 06 | 06 | 06 | 07 | 06 | 11 | 06 | 11 | 10 | 09 | 08 | 06 | 06 |
29 | Warren G. Harding | Republican | 29 | 31 | 36 | 37 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 41 | 39 | 38 | 37 | 40 | 39 | 35 | 38 | 41 | 38 | 43 |
30 | Calvin Coolidge | Republican | 23 | 27 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 31 | 36 | 33 | 30 | 27 | 25 | 29 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 29 | 28 | 31 |
31 | Herbert Hoover | Republican | 20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 24 | 35 | 34 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 36 | 34 | 36 | 26 | 29 (tie) |
32 | Franklin D. Roosevelt | Democratic | 03 | 03 | 02 | 02 | 01 | 01 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 02 | 03 | 01 | 03 | 03 | 03 | 01 | 01 | 02 |
33 | Harry S. Truman | Democratic | – | 09 | 08 | 08 | 07 | 07 | 07 | 07 | 08 | 05 | 07 | 07 | 07 | 07 | 05 | 09 | 07 | 07 |
34 | Dwight D. Eisenhower | Republican | – | 22 | 11 | 09 | 11 | 12 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 09 | 09 | 10 | 08 | 06 | 08 | 10 | 10 | 08 (tie) |
35 | John F. Kennedy | Democratic | – | – | 13 | 14 (tie) | 08 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 08 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 06 | 11 | 15 | 11 |
36 | Lyndon B. Johnson | Democratic | – | – | 10 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 14 (tie) |
37 | Richard Nixon | Republican | – | – | 34 | 34 | 28 | 25 | 23 | 32 | 36 | 25 | 33 | 26 | 32 | 38 | 27 | 30 | 23 | 32 |
38 | Gerald Ford | Republican | – | – | 24 | 23 | 23 | 27 | 32 | 27 | 28 | 23 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 22 | 28 | 24 | 26 |
39 | Jimmy Carter | Democratic | – | – | 25 | 26 | 33 | 24 | 25 | 19 | 27 | 22 | 30 | 25 | 34 | 32 | 25 | 32 | 18 | 27 |
40 | Ronald Reagan | Republican | – | – | – | – | 16 * | 22 | 20 | 26 | 25 | 11 | 08 | 16 | 06 | 08 | 10 | 18 | 08 | 17 |
41 | George H. W. Bush | Republican | – | – | – | – | – | 18 * | 31 | 22 | 24 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 22 | 22 | 22 (tie) |
42 | Bill Clinton | Democratic | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16 * | 23 * | 20 * | 21 * | 24 * | 18 | 22 | 23 | 15 | 13 | 19 | 20 (tie) |
43 | George W. Bush | Republican | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23 * | 19 * | 37 * | 36 | 39 | 31 | 34 |
44 | Barack Obama | Democratic | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15 * | – | 14 (tie) * |
Total in survey | 29 | 31 | 36 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 41 | 39 | 41 | 39 | 42 | 40 | 42 | 42 | 43 | 40 | 43 |
- † Died in office during first term. ††Due to their short time in office, William Henry Harrison (died after serving as President for 32 days) and James A. Garfield (incapacitated after 119 days as President, died after 200 days) are sometimes omitted from Presidential rankings.
- * Ranking calculated before President had completed his term in office
- ** The Times poll is a British newspaper's poll of journalists, not of academics.
- Note that Grover Cleveland was elected to two non-consecutive terms, serving as both the 22nd and 24th President of the United States; to date he is the only person to have achieved this distinction. Because of it, the total number of people who have served as President is one fewer than the number of Presidents in order of succession.
The surveys have been criticized for the way they have been organized.[24] At times, the surveys have had low responses.[24] The issue of the validity of the rankings has been of special interest to historians and political scientists, who have tried to specify the relative importance of personality, leadership, issues and partisanship. It has also been argued that those surveyed have tended to select their choices from personal preference rather than from a neutral perspective.[25] Historian Thomas Bailey describes the endeavor as trying to "measure the immeasurable." [26] Quantitative ranking by groups of scholars has been in favor in recent decades, displacing the traditional methods of evaluation by individual writers as typified by Bailey (1966) and most biographers.[27]
Liberal and conservative raters
The Murray-Blessing 1982 survey asked historians whether they were liberal or conservative on domestic, social and economic issues.[28] The table below shows that the two groups had only small differences in ranking the best and worst presidents. Both groups agreed on the composition of nine of the top ten Presidents (and were split over the inclusion of either Lyndon B. Johnson or Dwight D. Eisenhower), and six of the worst seven (split over Jimmy Carter or Calvin Coolidge).
Rank | Liberals (n=190) | Conservatives (n=50) |
---|---|---|
1 | Abraham Lincoln | Abraham Lincoln |
2 | Franklin D. Roosevelt | George Washington |
3 | George Washington | Franklin D. Roosevelt |
4 | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson |
5 | Theodore Roosevelt | Theodore Roosevelt |
6 | Woodrow Wilson | Andrew Jackson |
7 | Andrew Jackson | Harry S Truman |
8 | Harry S Truman | Woodrow Wilson |
9 | Lyndon B. Johnson | Dwight D. Eisenhower |
10 | John Adams | John Adams |
... | ||
30 | Calvin Coolidge | Jimmy Carter |
31 | Franklin Pierce | Richard Nixon |
32 | James Buchanan | Franklin Pierce |
33 | Andrew Johnson | Andrew Johnson |
34 | Ulysses S. Grant | James Buchanan |
35 | Richard Nixon | Ulysses S. Grant |
36 | Warren G. Harding | Warren G. Harding |
Excluded groups ranking approach
In 2002, Ronald Walters, former director of the University of Maryland's African American Leadership Institute, stated that Presidents ranked by how each President balanced the interests of majority interests and the interests of excluded groups was practical in respect to American debate on racial politics. Presidents have traditionally been ranked on personal qualities and their leadership ability to solve problems that move the nation in a positive direction. Walters stated there was a qualitative difference between white and African American intellectuals in evaluating Presidents. In the 1996 New York Times Arthur Schlesinger, Jr. poll, 31 white historians and one black historian ranked Presidents on differing categories of greatness. In a survey done by Professor Hanes Walton, Jr., and Professor Robert Smith, in their text book American Politics And The African American Quest For Universal Freedom, 44 African American political scientists and historians ranked Presidents in terms of racial attitudes and racial legislation proposed.[29] Individual President's attitudes, policies, and perspectives were historically ranked in five categories: White Supremacist; Racist; Racially Neutral; Racially Ambivalent; Antiracist.[30]
Popular opinion
C-SPAN poll
In addition to conducting a historian survey, C-Span also conducted a presidential leadership survey of 1145 viewers in December 1999.[31]
- Abraham Lincoln
- Franklin D. Roosevelt
- George Washington
- Theodore Roosevelt
- Harry S. Truman
- Woodrow Wilson
- Thomas Jefferson
- John F. Kennedy
- Dwight D. Eisenhower
- Lyndon B. Johnson
- Ronald Reagan
- James K. Polk
- Andrew Jackson
- James Monroe
- William McKinley
- John Adams
- Grover Cleveland
- James Madison
- John Quincy Adams
- George H.W. Bush
- Bill Clinton
- Jimmy Carter
- Gerald Ford
- William Howard Taft
- Richard Nixon
- Rutherford B. Hayes
- Calvin Coolidge
- Zachary Taylor
- James A. Garfield
- Martin Van Buren
- Benjamin Harrison
- Chester A. Arthur
- Ulysses S. Grant
- Herbert Hoover
- Millard Fillmore
- John Tyler
- William Henry Harrison
- Warren G. Harding
- Franklin Pierce
- Andrew Johnson
- James Buchanan
ABC poll
An ABC News poll about presidential greatness, taken 16–20 February 2000, asked 1,012 adults in the US, "Who do you think was the greatest American president?"[32]
- Abraham Lincoln (19%)
- John F. Kennedy (17%)
- Franklin D. Roosevelt (11%)
- No opinion (10%)
- Ronald Reagan (9%)
- George Washington (8%)
- Bill Clinton (7%)
- Theodore Roosevelt (4%)
- George H. W. Bush (4%)
- Thomas Jefferson (3%)
- Harry Truman (2%)
- Richard Nixon (2%)
- Jimmy Carter (1%)
- Dwight Eisenhower (1%)
Washington College poll
A Washington College poll about presidential greatness, taken February 11, 2005, asked 800 adults in the US, "Thinking about all the presidents of the United States throughout history to the present, who would you say was America's greatest president?"[33]
- Abraham Lincoln (20%)
- Ronald Reagan (15%)
- Franklin D. Roosevelt (12%)
- John F. Kennedy (11%)
- Bill Clinton (10%)
- Other/Don't Know (9%)
- George W. Bush (8%)
- George Washington (6%)
- Theodore Roosevelt (3%)
- Dwight Eisenhower (3%)
- Jimmy Carter (2%)
- Thomas Jefferson (2%)
- Richard Nixon (1%)
- John Adams (<1%)
- Andrew Jackson (<1%)
- Lyndon B. Johnson (<1%)
Gallup poll
A Gallup poll about presidential greatness, taken February 2–5, 2011, asked 1015 adults in the US, "Who do you regard as the greatest United States president?"[34]
- Ronald Reagan (19%)
- Abraham Lincoln (14%)
- Bill Clinton (13%)
- John F. Kennedy (11%)
- George Washington (10%)
- Franklin Roosevelt (8%)
- Barack Obama (5%)
- Theodore Roosevelt (3%)
- Harry Truman (3%)
- George W. Bush (2%)
- Thomas Jefferson (2%)
- Jimmy Carter (1%)
- Dwight Eisenhower (1%)
- George H. W. Bush (1%)
- Andrew Jackson (<1%)
- Lyndon B. Johnson (<1%)
- Richard Nixon (<1%)
Rasmussen poll
According to a Rasmussen poll conducted in 2007, six presidents—George Washington, Abraham Lincoln, Thomas Jefferson, Theodore Roosevelt, Franklin D. Roosevelt, and John F. Kennedy—were rated favorably by at least 80% of Americans. [35]
Recent president polls
These polls evaluate recent Presidents only.
2012 Gallup poll
A Gallup Poll, taken February 2–5, 2012, asked 1029 adults in the US, "How do you think each of the following presidents will go down in history—as an outstanding president, above average, average, below average, or poor?"[36]
Result | Barack Obama | George W. Bush | Bill Clinton | George H. W. Bush | Ronald Reagan | Jimmy Carter | Gerald Ford | Richard Nixon |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. outstanding | 10% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 27% | 5% | 5% | 3% |
2. above average | 28% | 18% | 42% | 29% | 42% | 20% | 16% | 11% |
3. average | 26% | 28% | 28% | 44% | 20% | 34% | 54% | 28% |
4. below average | 17% | 22% | 7% | 11% | 6% | 22% | 15% | 32% |
5. poor | 18% | 25% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 16% | 4% | 23% |
no opinion | 1% | - | - | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling
A Public Policy Polling poll, taken between September 8–11, 2011, asked 665 American voters, based on what they know or remember about the nine most recent former presidents, whether they hold favorable or unfavorable views of how each handled his job in office.[37]
- John F. Kennedy (74% favorability/15% unfavorability)
- Ronald Reagan (60% favorability/30% unfavorability)
- Bill Clinton (62% favorability/34% unfavorability)
- George H. W. Bush (53% favorability/35% unfavorability)
- Gerald Ford (45% favorability/26% unfavorability)
- Jimmy Carter (45% favorability/43% unfavorability)
- Lyndon B. Johnson (36% favorability/39% unfavorability)
- George W. Bush (41% favorability/51% unfavorability)
- Richard Nixon (19% favorability/62% unfavorability)
2010 Gallup poll
A Gallup poll, taken on November 19–21, 2010, asked Americans to say, based on what they know or remember about the nine most recent former presidents, whether they approve or disapprove of how each handled his job in office.[38]
- John F. Kennedy (85% approval/10% disapproval)
- Ronald Reagan (74% approval/24% disapproval)
- Bill Clinton (69% approval/30% disapproval)
- George H. W. Bush (64% approval/34% disapproval)
- Gerald Ford (61% approval/26% disapproval)
- Jimmy Carter (52% approval/42% disapproval)
- Lyndon B. Johnson (49% approval/36% disapproval)
- George W. Bush (47% approval/51% disapproval)
- Richard Nixon (29% approval/65% disapproval)
Vision Critical/Angus Reid poll
A Vision Critical/Angus Reid poll, taken on February 18–19, 2011, asked respondents about 11 former presidents plus the current president and whether they were a good or bad president.[39]
- John F. Kennedy (80% approval/6% disapproval)
- Ronald Reagan (72% approval/16% disapproval)
- Bill Clinton (65% approval/24% disapproval)
- Dwight D. Eisenhower (61% approval/6% disapproval)
- Harry S. Truman (57% approval/7% disapproval)
- Jimmy Carter (47% approval/28% disapproval)
- George H. W. Bush (44% approval/38% disapproval)
- Barack Obama (41% approval/33% disapproval)
- Gerald Ford (37% approval/25% disapproval)
- Lyndon B. Johnson (33% approval/27% disapproval)
- George W. Bush (30% approval/55% disapproval)
- Richard Nixon (24% approval/54% disapproval)
Siena College Research Institute survey
Seq. | Name | Background | Party Leadership | Communication Ability | Relations with Congress | Court Appointments | Handling of Economy | Luck | Ability to Compromise | Willing to take Risks | Executive Appointments | Overall Ability | Imagination | Domestic Accomplishments | Integrity | Executive Ability | Foreign Policy Accomplishments | Leadership Ability | Intelligence | Avoid Crucial Mistakes | Expert's View | Overall |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | George Washington | 7 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
2 | John Adams | 4 | 29 | 18 | 26 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 32 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 22 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 20 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 17 |
3 | Thomas Jefferson | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
4 | James Madison | 3 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
5 | James Monroe | 9 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
6 | John Quincy Adams | 2 | 34 | 20 | 35 | 16 | 14 | 30 | 29 | 23 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 26 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 19 |
7 | Andrew Jackson | 30 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 28 | 4 | 38 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 23 | 6 | 19 | 5 | 23 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
8 | Martin Van Buren | 16 | 13 | 23 | 19 | 24 | 38 | 33 | 13 | 32 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 29 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 22 | 27 | 24 | 23 |
9 | William Henry Harrison | 24 | 30 | 25 | 31 | 33 | 27 | 42 | 35 | 30 | 24 | 37 | 35 | 36 | 30 | 33 | 39 | 24 | 31 | 33 | 34 | 35 |
10 | John Tyler | 33 | 42 | 39 | 42 | 39 | 31 | 22 | 39 | 26 | 34 | 35 | 29 | 34 | 33 | 37 | 35 | 36 | 33 | 32 | 36 | 37 |
11 | James K. Polk | 17 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 15 | 7 | 23 | 7 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 12 |
12 | Zachary Taylor | 37 | 35 | 28 | 37 | 37 | 24 | 36 | 34 | 28 | 28 | 34 | 27 | 37 | 21 | 31 | 34 | 25 | 37 | 25 | 33 | 33 |
13 | Millard Fillmore | 40 | 41 | 40 | 38 | 35 | 33 | 25 | 25 | 37 | 35 | 38 | 36 | 35 | 36 | 38 | 33 | 39 | 39 | 30 | 35 | 38 |
14 | Franklin Pierce | 38 | 37 | 37 | 41 | 40 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 38 | 38 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 38 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 38 | 35 | 40 | 40 |
15 | James Buchanan | 23 | 40 | 41 | 40 | 42 | 41 | 40 | 41 | 43 | 39 | 42 | 42 | 43 | 40 | 42 | 41 | 43 | 40 | 41 | 43 | 42 |
16 | Abraham Lincoln | 28 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
17 | Andrew Johnson | 42 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 37 | 39 | 43 | 34 | 42 | 41 | 41 | 42 | 37 | 41 | 38 | 42 | 41 | 42 | 42 | 43 |
18 | Ulysses S. Grant | 26 | 28 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 29 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 40 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 34 | 24 | 21 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 26 |
19 | Rutherford B. Hayes | 29 | 33 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 19 | 18 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 30 | 24 | 29 | 31 |
20 | James A. Garfield | 20 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 41 | 27 | 31 | 29 | 25 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 31 | 23 | 26 | 22 | 27 | 27 |
21 | Chester A. Arthur | 41 | 31 | 32 | 27 | 28 | 19 | 14 | 21 | 27 | 26 | 30 | 25 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 32 | 17 | 26 | 25 |
22/24 | Grover Cleveland | 19 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 24 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 21 | 19 | 25 | 14 | 19 | 20 |
23 | Benjamin Harrison | 39 | 32 | 34 | 28 | 30 | 35 | 29 | 30 | 39 | 36 | 36 | 34 | 32 | 31 | 35 | 28 | 34 | 35 | 23 | 32 | 34 |
25 | William McKinley | 21 | 14 | 19 | 11 | 23 | 18 | 24 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 22 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 27 | 11 | 20 | 21 |
26 | Theodore Roosevelt | 6 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
27 | William Howard Taft | 14 | 36 | 29 | 30 | 18 | 20 | 32 | 24 | 36 | 22 | 23 | 30 | 21 | 18 | 25 | 23 | 31 | 18 | 28 | 23 | 24 |
28 | Woodrow Wilson | 8 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 29 | 10 | 8 |
29 | Warren G. Harding | 43 | 38 | 36 | 34 | 36 | 39 | 37 | 26 | 40 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 40 | 42 | 43 | 37 | 41 | 43 | 39 | 41 | 41 |
30 | Calvin Coolidge | 25 | 24 | 38 | 21 | 26 | 30 | 12 | 28 | 41 | 30 | 32 | 37 | 31 | 17 | 28 | 32 | 33 | 28 | 19 | 28 | 29 |
31 | Herbert Hoover | 10 | 26 | 31 | 33 | 19 | 43 | 43 | 40 | 42 | 32 | 26 | 38 | 41 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 37 | 14 | 40 | 38 | 36 |
32 | Franklin D. Roosevelt | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
33 | Harry Truman | 35 | 15 | 14 | 20 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
34 | Dwight D. Eisenhower | 12 | 17 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 11 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
35 | John F. Kennedy | 13 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 13 | 17 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
36 | Lyndon B. Johnson | 15 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 34 | 12 | 43 | 15 | 21 | 37 | 16 | 16 |
37 | Richard Nixon | 18 | 20 | 26 | 36 | 38 | 25 | 34 | 33 | 14 | 37 | 22 | 19 | 24 | 43 | 24 | 11 | 29 | 16 | 43 | 37 | 30 |
38 | Gerald Ford | 27 | 25 | 35 | 17 | 22 | 36 | 31 | 17 | 35 | 23 | 31 | 33 | 30 | 15 | 32 | 27 | 30 | 34 | 26 | 25 | 28 |
39 | Jimmy Carter | 31 | 39 | 27 | 39 | 20 | 40 | 38 | 31 | 25 | 21 | 29 | 21 | 29 | 7 | 36 | 29 | 35 | 13 | 36 | 30 | 32 |
40 | Ronald Reagan | 34 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 21 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 31 | 19 | 18 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 13 | 8 | 36 | 13 | 17 | 18 |
41 | George H. W. Bush | 11 | 27 | 33 | 23 | 34 | 32 | 26 | 16 | 29 | 27 | 27 | 31 | 28 | 20 | 22 | 14 | 22 | 24 | 18 | 22 | 22 |
42 | Bill Clinton | 22 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 41 | 15 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 34 | 15 | 13 |
43 | George W. Bush | 36 | 23 | 42 | 32 | 41 | 42 | 18 | 42 | 19 | 41 | 40 | 40 | 38 | 39 | 39 | 42 | 38 | 42 | 38 | 39 | 39 |
44 | Barack Obama | 32 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 18 | 15 |
Five Thirty Eight analysis
In January 2013, New York Times journalist and statistician Nate Silver composed a composite list of previous presidential rankings by scholars for the purpose of predicting incumbent President Barack Obama's ranking among presidents. [42]
- Abraham Lincoln
- Franklin D. Roosevelt
- George Washington
- Theodore Roosevelt
- Thomas Jefferson
- Harry Truman
- Woodrow Wilson
- Dwight D. Eisenhower
- John F. Kennedy
- Ronald Reagan
- James K. Polk
- Lyndon B. Johnson
- Andrew Jackson
- James Monroe
- James Madison
- John Adams
- Barack Obama
- Bill Clinton
- William McKinley
- John Quincy Adams
- Grover Cleveland
- George H.W. Bush
- Ulysses S. Grant
- Gerald Ford
- William Howard Taft
- Jimmy Carter
- Calvin Coolidge
- Chester A. Arthur
- Richard Nixon
- James A. Garfield
- Martin Van Buren
- Rutherford B. Hayes
- Zachary Taylor
- Benjamin Harrison
- Herbert Hoover
- John Tyler
- Millard Fillmore
- George W. Bush
- Andrew Johnson
- William Henry Harrison
- Warren G. Harding
- Franklin Pierce
- James Buchanan
See also
- Historical rankings of Canadian prime ministers
- Historical rankings of Prime Ministers of Australia
- Historical rankings of Prime Ministers of the United Kingdom
References
- ^ Schlesinger, Arthur M. "Historians Rate the U.S. Presidents" Life November 1, 1948: 65-66, 68, 73-74.
- ^ William J. Ridings, Jr., and Stuart B. McIver "Rating the Presidents: A Ranking of U.S. leaders, from the Great and Honorable to the Dishonest and Incompetent" (2000, ISBN 0806521511)Google Books Link
- ^ "Americans Say Reagan Is the Greatest U.S. President". Gallup.com. Retrieved 2012-03-16.
- ^ Skidmore 2001
- ^ Donald, David H., Lincoln, 1995, p. 13
- ^ Zelizer (February 21, 2011), What's wrong with presidential rankings, CNN Opinion
- ^ Schlesinger, Arthur M. "Historians Rate the U.S. Presidents" Life November 1, 1948: 65-66, 68, 73-74.
- ^ Schlesinger, Arthur M. "Our Presidents: A Rating by 75 Historians." New York Times Magazine July 1962: 12-13, 40-41, 43.
- ^ "Rating the Presidents: Washington to Clinton". Retrieved 2010-03-25.
- ^ HISTORIANS GIVE GOOD GRADES TO CLINTON PRESIDENCY IN SIENA COLLEGE SURVEY. January 11, 1995. Archived June 28, 2006.
- ^ FDR America’s Greatest President August 19, 2002. Archived February 10, 2007.
- ^ "Presidential Leadership; The Rankings, Wall Street Journal Online, September 12, 2005
- ^ a b Experts: Bush Presidency Is A Failure; Little Chance To Improve Ranking, Siena Research Institute, May 1, 2006
- ^ Rushmore Plus One; FDR joins Mountainside Figures Washington, Jefferson, Teddy Roosevelt and Lincoln as Top Presidents, Siena Research Institute, July 1, 2010
- ^ Thomas, G. Scott (2010-07-01). "Clean sweep for the Roosevelts ". Business First of Buffalo. Retrieved 2010-09-01.
- ^ "C-SPAN Survey of Presidential Leadership - Survey Participants". Retrieved 2012-08-21.
- ^ "C-SPAN Survey of Presidential Leadership". Retrieved 2012-08-21.
- ^ "Lincoln Wins: Honest Abe tops new presidential survey". CNN. 2009-02-16. Retrieved 2010-10-30.
- ^ Griffin, Jeremy (2008-10-28). "Who's the greatest? The Times US presidential rankings". The Times. London. Retrieved 2010-03-24.
{{cite news}}
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suggested) (help) - ^ UK Survey of US Presidents: Results and Analysis Institute for the Study of the Americas. Retrieved 2012-08-22. Archived at [1]
- ^ "USPC Survey". Americas.sas.ac.uk. Archived from the original on 2012-06-13. Retrieved 2012-03-16.
- ^ http://www.thedailybeast.com/galleries/2012/09/24/from-franklin-delano-roosevelt-to-john-f-kennedy-newsweek-s-10-best-presidents-photos.html
- ^ aggregate of all polls up to USPC 2011 using Copeland's method. Quartiles are allocated 10-11-11-11 rather than 11-11-11-10 because of a tie for 22nd place.
- ^ a b Jackie Smith (1997-09-01). "Nonresponse Bias in Organizational Surveys: Evidence from a Survey of Groups and Organizations Working for Peace". Nvs.sagepub.com. Retrieved 2012-03-16.
- ^ "Scholar, Survey Thyself :: Accuracy In Academia". Academia.org. 2008-11-19. Retrieved 2012-03-16.
- ^ Greenberg, David (28 September 2012). "'Where They Stand' by Robert W. Merry - NYTimes.com". Retrieved 2012-12-13.
- ^ Bailey, Thomas (1966). Presidential Greatness. Appleton-Century.
- ^ Murray and Blessing, p. 135.
- ^ Walters (7-08-02),Presidency: How Do African-American Scholars Rank Presidents?, History News Network
- ^ Walton Jr., Hanes; Smith, Robert C. (2000). American Politics and the African American Quest for Universal Freedom. New York: Addison-Wesley Longman, Inc. pp. 201–202.
- ^ "Life Portraits". American Presidents. Retrieved 2012-03-16.
- ^ "Presidents & History". Pollingreport.com. 2000-01-26. Retrieved 2010-10-30.
- ^ "Washington College | Search the Washington College Site" (PDF). Starrcenter.washcoll.edu. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2008-06-25. Retrieved 2010-10-30.
- ^ "Americans Say Reagan Is the Greatest U.S. President". Gallup.com. Retrieved 2012-03-16.
- ^ "Washington, Lincoln Most Popular Presidents: Nixon, Bush Least Popular - Rasmussen Reports™". Rasmussenreports.com. 2007-07-04. Retrieved 2012-03-16.
- ^ "Presidents and History". Gallup Poll. Feb. 2-5, 2012. Polling Report. Retrieved 2013-01-18.
- ^ JFK, Reagan, Clinton most popular recent ex-presidents September 15, 2011
- ^ "Kennedy Still Highest-Rated Modern President, Nixon Lowest". Gallup.com. Retrieved 2012-03-16.
- ^ Kennedy and Reagan Lead List of Good Presidents for Americans | Angus Reid Public Opinion Retrieved 2012-08-22.
- ^ http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/independent_research/Presidents%202010%20Rank%20by%20Category.pdf
- ^ http://www.siena.edu/pages/179.asp?item=2566
- ^ http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/01/23/contemplating-obamas-place-in-history-statistically/
Further reading
- Bailey, Thomas A. (1966). Presidential Greatness: The Image and the Man from George Washington to the Present. New York: Appleton-Century.
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(help) → A non quantitative appraisal by leading historian. - Bose, Meena (2003). The Uses and Abuses of Presidential Ratings. New York: Nova Science Publishers. ISBN 1590337948.
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suggested) (help) → A collection of essays by presidential scholars. - DeGregorio, William A. (1993). The Complete Book of U.S. Presidents (4. ed., rev., expanded, and up-dated ed.). New York: Barricade Books. ISBN 0942637925.
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(help) → Contains the results of the 1962 and 1982 surveys. - Faber, Charles (2000). The American Presidents Ranked by Performance. Jefferson, NC: McFarland & Co. ISBN 0786407654.
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suggested) (help) - Felzenberg, Alvin S. (1997). "There You Go Again: Liberal Historians and the New York Times Deny Ronald Reagan His Due". Policy Review. 82: 51–54. ISSN 0146-5945.
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and|coauthors=
(help) - Holli, Melvin G. (1999). The American Mayor: The Best & the Worst Big-City Leaders. University Park, PA: Pennsylvania State Univ. Press. ISBN 0271018763.
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(help) - Miller, Nathan (1998). Star-Spangled Men America's Ten Worst Presidents. New York: Scribner. ISBN 0684836106.
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(help) - Murray, Robert K. (1994). Greatness in the White House: Rating the Presidents, from Washington Through Ronald Reagan (2., updated ed.). University Park, PA: Pennsylvania State Univ. Press. ISBN 0271010894.
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suggested) (help) - Pfiffner, James P. (2003). "Ranking the Presidents: Continuity and Volatility" (PDF). White House Studies. 3: 23. ISSN 1535-4768.
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and|month=
(help) - Ridings, William J., Jr. (1997). Rating the Presidents: A Ranking of U.S. leaders, from the Great and Honorable to the Dishonest and Incompetent. Secaucus, NJ: Carol Publishing. ISBN 0806517999.
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suggested) (help)CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - Schlesinger, Arthur M., Jr. (1997). "Ranking the Presidents: From Washington to Clinton". Political Science Quarterly. 112 (2): 179–190. doi:10.2307/2657937.
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(help)CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - Skidmore, Max J. (2004). Presidential Performance: A Comprehensive Review. Jefferson, NC: McFarland & Co. ISBN 0786418206.
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(help) - Skidmore, Max J. (2001). "Ranking and Evaluating Presidents: The Case of Theodore Roosevelt". White House Studies. 1 (4): 495–505. ISSN 1535-4768.
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(help) - Taranto, James (2004). Presidential Leadership: Rating the Best and Worst in the White House. New York: Wall Street Journal Books. ISBN 0743254333.
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suggested) (help) → For Federalist Society surveys. - Vedder, Richard (2001). "Rating Presidential Performance". In Denson, John V. (ed.) (ed.). Reassessing the Presidency: The Rise of the Executive State and the Decline of Freedom. Auburn, AL: Ludwig von Mises Institute. ISBN 0945466293.
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suggested) (help) - Eland, Ivan (2009). Recarving Rushmore: Ranking the Presidents on Peace, Prosperity, and Liberty. Oakland, California: Independent Institute. ISBN 1598130226.