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2014 United States Senate election in Alaska

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United States Senate election in Alaska, 2014
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Nominee Mark Begich Dan Sullivan
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. senator

Mark Begich
Democratic



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The 2014 United States Senate election in Alaska will take place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alaska, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Begich is running for re-election to a second term. The Democratic and Republican primary elections are both scheduled for August 19, 2014.[1]

Background

Democrat Mark Begich won the 2008 election, defeating six-term Republican incumbent Ted Stevens by just under 4,000 votes. A few days before the election, Stevens had been convicted of a felony, however the case against Stevens was later dismissed by the Justice Department after the election when serious issues of prosecutorial misconduct emerged. In the 2012 presidential election, Mitt Romney easily won Alaska by 13 points, which makes Begich a target during an election cycle in which Republicans need a net gain of six seats to retake control of the Senate.

Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.

Democratic candidates

Declared

  • Mark Begich, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
  • William Bryk, attorney and perennial candidate from New York[3]

Alaskan Independence candidates

Declared

Libertarian candidates

Declared

Declined

  • Joe Miller, former magistrate judge, Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[6][7]

Primary results

Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Begich 47,631 83.52
Libertarian Thom M. Walker 2,588 4.54
Independence Vic Kohring 2,090 3.67
Democratic William "Bill" Bryk 1,369 2.87
Independence Zachary A. Kile 1,483 2.60
Libertarian Mark S. Fish 1,038 1.82
Libertarian Scott A. Kohlhaas 560 0.98
Total votes 57,029 100

Republican primary

Former six-term Senator Ted Stevens, who would have been almost 91 years old on election day, had filed to run in the 2014 election,[2] but he was killed in a plane crash on August 9, 2010.[9]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Kathleen Tonn, pro-life activist[14][15]

Declined

Endorsements

Joe Miller
Organizations
Daniel S. Sullivan
Individuals
Organizations
Mead Treadwell
Individuals
Declined to endorse

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		John
Jaramillo 		Loren
Leman 		Joe
Miller 		Sarah
Palin 		Sean
Parnell 		Daniel A.
Sullivan 		Daniel S.
Sullivan 		Kathleen
Tonn 		Mead
Treadwell 		Other/
Undecided
Moore Information* August 4–5, 2014 500 ± ? — — 17% — — — 42% — 25% 16%
Public Policy Polling July 31–August 3, 2014 337 ± 5.3% 2% — 20% — — — 35% — 29% 14%
Moore Information* July 29–31, 2014 375 ± 5.5% — — 16% — — — 35% — 27% 22%
Moore Information* June 16–18, 2014 500 ± ? — — 13% — — — 36% — 27% 24%
Vox Populi Polling June 5–9, 2014 619 ± ? — — 15% — — — 32% — 23% 31%
Dittman Research^ May 27–29, 2014 500 ± 4.4% — — 12% — — — 37% — 35% 16%
Public Policy Polling May 8–11, 2014 313 ± 5.5% 3% — 14% — — — 40% — 26% 17%
Moore Information* April 27–28, 2014 ? ± ? — — 12% — — — 38% — 22% 29%
Public Policy Polling Jan. 30–Feb. 1, 2014 442 ± 4.7% 2% — 20% — — — 30% 4% 25% 19%
Ivan Moore December 15–22, 2013 335 ± ? — — 19.4% — — — 28.5% — 34.1% 18%
Public Policy Polling July 25–28, 2013 507 ± 4.4% — — 12% 36% — — 15% — 26% 11%
— — 24% — — — 25% — 33% 19%
— — 30% — — — — — 53% 18%
Harper Polling May 6–7, 2013 379 ± 5.03% — — 14% 32% — — — — 30% 24%
— — 19% 52% — — — — — 29%
Public Policy Polling February 4–5, 2013 537 ± 4.2% — 16% 17% — 24% 19% — — 14% 11%
— 20% 19% — — 29% — — 23% 9%
Harper Polling January 29–30, 2013 1,157 ± 2.88% — — 12.32% 26.65% 31.52% — — — 14.33% 15.19%
  • * Internal poll for the Daniel S. Sullivan campaign
  • ^ Internal poll for the Daniel A. Sullivan campaign

Primary results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Sullivan 36,293 40.07
Republican Joe Miller 28,974 31.99
Republican Mead Treadwell 22,564 24.91
Republican John M. Jaramillo 2,734 3.02
Total votes 90,565 100

Independents

Candidates

Declined

General election

Fundraising

Candidate Raised Spent Cash on Hand
Mark Begich (D) $6,676,750 $3,982,249 $2,818,176
Dan Sullivan (R) $2,687,274 $702,863 $1,984,423
Mead Treadwell (R) $904,926 $772,175 $142,749
Joe Miller (R) $164,022 $295,450 $295,354

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mark
Begich (D) 		Daniel S.
Sullivan (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 31–August 1, 2014 673 ± 3.8% 43% 37% 7%[34] 12%
45% 41% — 14%
CBS News/New York Times July 5–24, 2014 452 ± 5.2% 46% 35% 9% 10%
Basswood Research June 29-30, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 40% 45.4% — 14.6%
Moore Information* June 16–18, 2014 500 ± 4% 43% 43% — 14%
Public Policy Polling May 8–11, 2014 582 ± 4.1% 42% 37% 7%[35] 14%
Moore Information* April 27–28, 2014 500 ± 4% 44% 42% — 14%
Magellan Strategies April 14, 2014 603 ± 3.99% 41% 46% 7% 6%
Rasmussen Reports March 19–20, 2014 750 ± 4% 44% 44% 3% 9%
Public Policy Polling January 30–February 1, 2014 850 ± 3.4% 41% 37% 9%[36] 13%
Harper Polling January 20–22, 2014 677 ± 3.76% 41% 47% — 12%
Harper Polling September 24–25, 2013 731 ± 3.62% 43% 41% — 16%
Public Policy Polling July 25–28, 2013 890 ± 3.3% 46% 39% — 15%
  • * Internal poll for the Daniel S. Sullivan campaign

See also

References

  1. ^ State of Alaska Division of Elections. "2014 Election Dates and Hours". State of Alaska Division of Elections. Retrieved April 2, 2014.
  2. ^ a b "Stevens files candidacy for 2014 election | Ted Stevens". ADN.com. April 8, 2009. Retrieved November 5, 2012.[dead link‍]
  3. ^ Zaz Hollander (November 21, 2013). "Brooklyn lawyer takes on Begich - without leaving home". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved November 22, 2013.
  4. ^ a b Scott Rhode (June 3, 2014). "Ten Observations About 2014 Candidates". KENI. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
  5. ^ a b Amanda Coyne (May 14, 2014). "Alaska Libertarian Mark Fish runs for U.S. Senate seat". Amanda Coyne. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
  6. ^ Joseph, Cameron (June 26, 2014). "Sen. Begich faces tough reelection challenge in GOP-friendly Alaska". Roll Call. Retrieved June 26, 2014.
  7. ^ Joseph, Cameron (August 15, 2014). "Joe Miller says he'll back GOP nominee against Begich in Alaska". The Hill. Retrieved August 15, 2014.
  8. ^ a b "2014 Primary Elections August 19, 2014 Unofficial Results". State of Alaska Division of Elections. Retrieved August 20, 2014.
  9. ^ "Ted Stevens killed in plane crash". ktuu.com. August 10, 2010. Retrieved November 5, 2012.[dead link‍]
  10. ^ Anderson, Ben (May 28, 2013). "Joe Miller takes another step toward 2014 US Senate run". Alaska Dispatch. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
  11. ^ Burns, Alexander (May 28, 2013). "Joe Miller files papers for Senate". Politico. Retrieved May 29, 2013.
  12. ^ Hohmann, James (September 12, 2013). "Alaska Senate race 2014: Dan Sullivan to run". Politico. Retrieved September 12, 2013.
  13. ^ Trygstad, Kyle (June 18, 2013). "Republican Announces Begich Challenge". Roll Call. Retrieved June 18, 2013.
  14. ^ "Begala scheduled to headline fundraiser for Democrat Begich in Alaska". Newsminer. July 16, 2013. Retrieved August 13, 2013.
  15. ^ Bailey, Chris (February 1, 2014). "Tonn Out of Senate Primary Race". Alaska Commons. Retrieved April 6, 2014.
  16. ^ Mauer, Rich (February 23, 2013). "Miller Mulls a Begich Challenge". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved February 27, 2013.
  17. ^ Trygstad, Kyle (November 13, 2012). "Alaska: Republicans Lining Up to Take on Mark Begich". Roll Call. Retrieved February 27, 2013.
  18. ^ Hopkins, Kyle (June 5, 2013). "McGuire files to run for lieutenant governor". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved June 10, 2013.
  19. ^ "McGuire withdraws from lieutenant governor race just before filing deadline". Anchorage Daily News. June 2, 2014. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
  20. ^ Sarah Palin Ups Her 2014 Game, Endorses In Competitive GOP Senate Primary
  21. ^ Forgey, Pat (May 4, 2013). "Neither Democrats nor Republicans shocked Parnell is running again". Alaska Dispatch. Retrieved May 25, 2013.
  22. ^ Gonzales, Nathan L. (May 23, 2013). "Anchorage Mayor Not Running in Alaska Senate Race". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved May 25, 2013.
  23. ^ "Press Release – Combat Veterans for Congress PAC Endorses Joe Miller for U.S. Senate". Joe Miller for Senate. December 23, 2013. Retrieved February 24, 2014.
  24. ^ "GOA Political Victory Fund Endorses Miller for Senate". Gun Owners of America Political Victory Fund. Retrieved February 24, 2014.
  25. ^ http://m.juneauempire.com/state/2014-08-15/sarah-palin-endorses-joe-miller-senate-race. {{cite web}}: Missing or empty |title= (help)
  26. ^ US Senate hopeful Sullivan out with new ad, casts self as fighter Alaska needs
  27. ^ Caitlin Huey-Burns (March 12, 2014). "Club for Growth Backs Sullivan in Alaska Race". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved March 13, 2014.
  28. ^ Buxton, Matt (September 13, 2013). "Treadwell campaigns in Fairbanks for U.S. Senate seat". Fairbanks Daily News-Miner. Retrieved February 24, 2014.
  29. ^ Erick Erickson (June 18, 2014). "Mead Treadwell for Alaska". RedState. Retrieved July 26, 2014.
  30. ^ Treadwell, Mead (September 13, 2013). "I am honored and humbled to have the support of Mark Hamilton". Twitter. Retrieved February 24, 2014.
  31. ^ Trygstad, Kyle (February 20, 2014). "Olympic Snowboarder Makes Senate Endorsement". Roll Call. Retrieved February 24, 2014.
  32. ^ Hohmann, James (November 21, 2013). "Parnell staying out of Alaska Sen. race". Politico. Retrieved February 24, 2014.
  33. ^ Forrest A. Nabors (April 22, 2014). "She Can See This Disaster From Her House". Politico. Retrieved April 24, 2014.
  34. ^ Mark Fish 4%, Vic Kohring 3%, Ted Gianoutsos 0%, Sidney Hill 0%
  35. ^ Zachary Kile 5%, Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 1%
  36. ^ Zachary Kile 6%, Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 2%
  37. ^ Mark Fish 6%, Vic Kohring 4%, Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 1%
  38. ^ Ted Gianoutsos 0%, Sidney Hill 2%
  39. ^ a b Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 2%
  40. ^ Mark Fish 5%, Vic Kohring 3%, Ted Gianoutsos 0%, Sidney Hill 0%
Campaign websites
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