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2016 United States Senate election in Kentucky

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United States Senate election in Kentucky, 2016

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Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Rand Paul
Republican



The 2016 United States Senate election in Kentucky will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kentucky, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Senator Rand Paul filed for re-election in April 2011,[1] while simultaneously running for President of the United States in 2016.[2]

Background

If Paul does become the Republican presidential (or vice-presidential) nominee, state law prohibits him from simultaneously running for re-election.[3] In March 2014, the Republican-controlled Kentucky Senate passed a bill that would allow Paul to run for both offices, but the Democratic-controlled Kentucky House of Representatives declined to take it up.[4][5][6] Paul spent his own campaign money in the 2014 legislative elections, helping Republican candidates for the State House in the hopes of flipping the chamber, thus allowing the legislature to pass the bill (Democratic Governor Steve Beshear's veto can be overridden with a simple majority).[7][8] However, the Democrats retained their 54-46 majority in the State House.[9][10][11]

Paul is expected to run for president and re-election, perhaps dropping his presidential bid to focus on re-election if it becomes clear by the May 2016 Kentucky primary that he will not win the nomination. His supporters have also claimed that the law does not apply to federal offices and have suggested that changing the May Kentucky presidential primaries to March caucuses would allow Paul to run for re-election and continue to seek the presidential nomination.[12] However, this option would only work until the presidential primaries were over, as he would still have to appear on the ballot twice in November if he won the Republican presidential nomination. Other options open to him include running for both offices and "daring" Democratic Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes to remove him from the ballot; attempting to replace Grimes in the 2015 elections with a Republican Secretary of State who would not enforce the law; filing a lawsuit against the law; and, assuming he wins the presidential nomination, running for president in every state except for Kentucky, where he runs for re-election and hope that he could win the presidency without Kentucky's electoral college votes.[13]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Rand Paul
Federal politicians
State politicians
Organizations

Democratic primary

Candidates

Potential

Declined

General election

Polling

References

  1. ^ a b Jennifer Epstein (April 19, 2011). "Rand Paul files for reelection race five years away". Politico.
  2. ^ Killough, Ashley (April 7, 2015). "Rand Paul: 'I'm putting myself forward as a candidate for president'". CNN. Retrieved April 9, 2015.
  3. ^ "Rand Paul, Marco Rubio face 2016 bind"
  4. ^ Berman, Matt (April 2, 2014). "Marco Rubio Won't Run for Senate in 2016 if He Runs for President". National Journal. Retrieved April 2, 2014.
  5. ^ Youngman, Sam (18 March 2014). "Kentucky Senate passes bill to let Rand Paul run for re-election and president in 2016". www.kentucky.com. Kentucky.com. Retrieved 18 April 2014.
  6. ^ Silverleib, Alan (17 April 2014). "Dead for now: Kentucky bill allowing twin Paul 2016 runs". www.cnn.com. CNN. Retrieved 17 April 2014.
  7. ^ "The Obscure Kentucky Contests That Could Alter Rand Paul's 2016 Plans". National Journal. August 14, 2014. Retrieved October 27, 2014.
  8. ^ "Will Rand Paul Have to Risk His Senate Seat for the Presidency?". Reason.com. September 2, 2014. Retrieved October 27, 2014.
  9. ^ "Democrats maintain control of Kentucky House of Representatives". Lexington Herald-Leader. November 4, 2014. Retrieved November 6, 2014.
  10. ^ "Democrats hold Kentucky House, a minor blow to Rand Paul's presidential hopes". The Washington Post. November 4, 2014. Retrieved November 6, 2014.
  11. ^ "Kentucky looks at primary change that would help Rand Paul". Politico. November 5, 2014. Retrieved November 6, 2014.
  12. ^ "Paul close to announcing reelection bid". The Hill. November 18, 2014. Retrieved November 19, 2014.
  13. ^ "Inside Rand Paul's Plan to Run for Senate and President at the Same Time". The National Journal. December 2, 2014. Retrieved December 3, 2014.
  14. ^ a b c d e "Previewing Kentucky's 2016 U.S. Senate Race". WDRB. April 18, 2014. Retrieved November 7, 2014.
  15. ^ a b c d e f g h i Livingston, Abby (July 17, 2013). "Grimes Is Key to Kentucky Democrats' Posterity | Farm Team". Roll Call. Retrieved August 14, 2013.
  16. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Paul, Rand (July 17, 2013). "Rand Paul to Seek Re-Election to the U.S. Senate". Rand Paul for Senate. Retrieved December 2, 2012.
  17. ^ Jaffe, Alexandra (March 21, 2013). "Rep. Massie says no to Kentucky Senate bid". The Hill. Retrieved October 27, 2014.
  18. ^ Sherfinski, David (November 12, 2014). "Club for Growth endorses six GOP senators for re-election in 2016". The Washington Times. Retrieved November 12, 2014.
  19. ^ a b c d e f Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014). "16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate". Politico. Retrieved December 29, 2014.
  20. ^ "Fancy Farm notes: State auditor Edelen leaves door open for U.S. Senate run". Lexington Herald-Leader. August 2, 2014. Retrieved November 7, 2014.
  21. ^ David Weigel (July 13, 2014). "The Seven Senate Races Democrats Should Be Optimistic About in 2016". Slate. Retrieved July 17, 2013.
  22. ^ Lisa Autry (December 4, 2014). "It's Still Possible Kentucky Lt. Gov. Crit Luallen Might Run For Office Again Someday". WFPL News. Retrieved December 5, 2014.
  23. ^ Storm, Nick (August 9, 2013). "Louisville lawyer Jennifer Moore mulling statewide run in 2015 or 2016". CN2 Pure Politics. Retrieved November 21, 2014.
  24. ^ "Greg Fischer says focus is on work to do in Louisville; Mum on U.S. Senate race in '16". CN2. August 17, 2014. Retrieved November 7, 2014.
  25. ^ http://www.whas11.com/story/news/politics/2015/03/03/fischer-no-intention-to-enter-2016-us-senate-race/24306119/
Official campaign websites