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2015 Newfoundland and Labrador general election

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Newfoundland and Labrador general election, 2015
← 2011 November 30, 2015 50th →
All 40 seats in the 48th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
21 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Paul Davis Dwight Ball Earle McCurdy
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since September 13, 2014 November 17, 2013 March 7, 2015
Leader's seat running in
Topsail - Paradise 		running in
Humber - Gros Morne 		running in
St. John's West
Last election 37 seats, 56.1% 6 seats, 19.1% 5 seats, 24.6%
Current seats 28 16 3
Incumbent Premier

Paul Davis
Progressive Conservative



The 2015 Newfoundland and Labrador general election, formally the 49th Newfoundland and Labrador general election, will elect members of the House of Assembly in the Canadian province of Newfoundland and Labrador. The Progressive Conservative Party led by Kathy Dunderdale formed a majority government in the previous election, while the Liberal Party formed the Official Opposition.[1]

The election was originally scheduled for October 13, 2015, under Newfoundland and Labrador's House of Assembly Act, mandating a fixed election day on the second Tuesday in October in the fourth calendar year after the previous election. However, the House of Assembly amended the act in June 2015, to delay the election until November 30, 2015, so that the election campaign would not overlap with the federal election scheduled for October 19, 2015.[2]

Party leadership

Following the provincial election Liberal leader Kevin Aylward announced his resignation as leader. Aylward was unable to win a seat in the legislature and announced on October 26, 2011, he would step down once his successor was chosen.[3] On December 15, 2011, the Liberal Party announced that Dwight Ball would become Leader of the Opposition and interim Liberal leader effective January 3, 2012.[4][5] Party president Judy Morrow announced in December 2011, that the party was not likely to hold a leadership convention until sometime in 2013. On November 17, 2013 Dwight Ball was elected leader of the Liberal Party.[6]

On January 22, 2014, Kathy Dunderdale announced she was resigning as Premier of Newfoundland and Labrador and leader of the Progressive Conservative Party (PC Party) later that week and that Finance Minister Tom Marshall would replace her until the party selected a new leader.[7] On January 24, 2014, Marshall was sworn in as the province's 11th Premier.[8] Marshall had previously indicated that he would not be seeking re-election as the member of the House of Assembly for Humber East and therefore would not contest the leadership of the Progressive Conservative Party. The party held their leadership convention on September 13, 2014.[9]

Timeline

2011
2012
  • January 3, 2012: Dwight Ball becomes interim leader of the Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador.[10]
  • September 13, 2012: Progressive Conservative MHA Tom Osborne announces that he has left the party and will sit as an independent.[11]
2013
2014
2015

Party standings

Template:49th Newfoundland and Labrador provincial election-mini

Candidates by district

Bold incumbents indicates cabinet members and party leaders are italicized. The Premier is in Bold and Italicized. Other candidates who are italicized means they are seeking nomination in the district and have not been formally nominated.

St. John's

Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 3plus |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| Mount Scio | | | |Dale Kirby | | | | |bgcolor="#EA6D6A"| |Dale Kirby
St. John's North |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| St. John's Centre | | | |Michael Lucas or Lynn Sullivan[41] | |Gerry Rogers | | |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/NDP| | Gerry Rogers |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| St. John's East—Quidi Vidi | | | |Paul Antle | |Lorraine Michael | | |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/NDP| | George Murphy†
St. John's East |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| St. John's West | |Dan Crummell[42] | |Siobhan Coady[42] | |Earle McCurdy[42] | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Dan Crummell |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| Virginia Waters-Pleasantville | | | |Bernard Davis | |Bob Buckingham | | |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/NDP| | Lorraine Michael‡
Signal Hill-Quidi Vidi |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Waterford Valley |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| Tom Osborne |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |John Dinn
Kilbride |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District |- |bgcolor="#EA6D6A"| |Tom Osborne
St. John's South |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| Windsor Lake | | | |Cathy Bennett | | | | |bgcolor="#EA6D6A"| |Cathy Bennett
Virginia Waters |}

St. John's suburbs

Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 3plus |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Cape St. Francis | |Kevin Parsons | | | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Kevin Parsons |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Conception Bay East - Bell Island | | | | | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |David Brazil |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Conception Bay South | | | |Steve Porter | | | | |bgcolor="#EA6D6A"| |Rex Hillier§ |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Mount Pearl North | |Steve Kent | |Randy Simms | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Steve Kent |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Mount Pearl-Southlands | | | |Paul Lane | | | | |bgcolor="#EA6D6A"| |Paul Lane
Mount Pearl South |-

| style="background:whitesmoke;"| Portugal Cove-Bell Island | | | | | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |David Brazil
Conception Bay East – Bell Island | |-

| style="background:whitesmoke;"| Topsail - Paradise | |Paul Davis | |Rex Hillier | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Paul Davis
Topsail |}

Avalon Peninsula

Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 3plus |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Carbonear—Trinity—Bay de Verde |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Steve Crocker |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |bgcolor="#EA6D6A"| |Steve Crocker
Trinity—Bay de Verde |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District |- |bgcolor="#EA6D6A"| |Sam Slade - Carbonear-Harbour Grace |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Ferryland | | | |Jeff Marshall | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Keith Hutchings |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| Harbour Grace-Port de Grave | |Glenn Littlejohn | |Pam Parsons | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Glenn Littlejohn
Port de Grave |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Harbour Main | | | | | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Tom Hedderson |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Placentia—St. Mary's | |Judy Manning | |Sherry Gambin-Walsh | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Felix Collins |}

Eastern Newfoundland

Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 3plus |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Bonavista | |Glen Little | |Neil King | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Glen Little
Bonavista South |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| Burin-Grand Bank | | | | | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Darin King
Grand Bank |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Placentia West-Bellevue |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Calvin Peach |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Mark Brown |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Calvin Peach
Bellevue |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District |- |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Clyde Jackman
Burin—Placentia West |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Terra Nova |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Sandy Collins
Terra Nova |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District |- |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Ross Wiseman
Trinity North |}

Central Newfoundland

Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 3plus |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| Baie Verte-Green Bay | |Kevin Pollard | |Brian Warr | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Kevin Pollard
Baie Verte—Springdale |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Exploits | |Clayton Forsey | |Jerry Dean[43] | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Clayton Forsey |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fogo Island-Cape Freels | |Eli Cross | |Derrick Bragg | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Eli Cross
Bonavista North |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Gander | | | |John Haggie[44] | |Lukas Norman | | | |Vacant |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fortune Bay—Cape La Hune | |Tracey Perry | |Bill Carter[45] | |Mildred Skinner | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Tracey Perry |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Grand Falls-Windsor—Buchans |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| Al Hawkins |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Susan Sullivan
Grand Falls-Windsor—Buchans |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District |- |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Ray Hunter†
Grand Falls-Windsor—Green Bay South |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Lewisporte-Twillingate |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Derrick Dalley |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Derek Bennett [46] |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Wade Verge
Lewisporte |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District |- |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Derrick Dalley
The Isles of Notre Dame |}

Western Newfoundland

Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 3plus |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Burgeo—La Poile | | | |Andrew Parsons | | | | |bgcolor="#EA6D6A"| |Andrew Parsons |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Corner Brook | | | |Gerry Byrne | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Vaughn Granter
Humber West |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Humber—Gros Morne |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Graydon Pelley |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Dwight Ball |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |bgcolor="#EA6D6A"| |Jim Bennett‡
St. Barbe |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District |- |bgcolor="#EA6D6A"| |Dwight Ball
Humber Valley |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Humber—Bay of Islands | |Ronald Jesseau | |Eddie Joyce | | | | |bgcolor="#EA6D6A"| |Eddie Joyce
Bay of Islands |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| St. Barbe—L'Anse aux Meadows | | | |Chris Mitchelmore | | | | |bgcolor="#EA6D6A"| |Chris Mitchelmore
The Straits-White Bay North |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|St. George's—Humber |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Scott Reid |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |bgcolor="#EA6D6A"| |Stelman Flynn
Humber East |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District |- |bgcolor="#EA6D6A"| |Scott Reid
St. George's-Stephenville East |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Stephenville—Port au Port | |Tony Cornect | |John Finn | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Tony Cornect
Port au Port |}

Labrador

Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 3plus |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Cartwright—L'Anse au Clair | | | |Lisa Dempster | | | | |bgcolor="#EA6D6A"| |Lisa Dempster |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Labrador West | |Nick McGrath | | | |Frank Dwyer | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Nick McGrath |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Lake Melville | |Keith Russell | |Perry Trimper[47] | | | | |bgcolor="#9999FF"| |Keith Russell (politician)|Keith Russell |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Torngat Mountains | | | |Randy Edmunds | | | | |bgcolor="#EA6D6A"| |Randy Edmunds |}

MHAs not running again

Opinion polls

Polling Firm Date of Polling Link Progressive Conservative Liberal Template:Canadian politics/party colours/NDP align="center"| New Democratic
Abacus Data/VOCM June 17–21, 2015 [3] 21 53 25
Corporate Research Associates May 11–June 1, 2015 [4] 27 50 22
Corporate Research Associates February 9–March 2, 2015 [5] 31 56 13
Abacus Data February 17–25, 2015 [6] 32 57 9
Corporate Research Associates November 5–30, 2014 [7] 29 60 10
MQO October 20–25, 2014 [8] 28 62 11
Corporate Research Associates August 7–September 1, 2014 [9] 26 58 15
Abacus Data/VOCM July 28–August 1, 2014 [10] 34 48 16
Corporate Research Associates May 12–31, 2014 [11] 29 53 16
Corporate Research Associates February 11– March 4, 2014 [12] 33 53 13
Abacus Data/VOCM January 27–30, 2014 [13] 34 49 15
Corporate Research Associates November 7–30, 2013 [14] 29 52 19
MQO October 22–26, 2013 [55] 29 52 18
Corporate Research Associates August 8–31, 2013 [15] 26 41 33
Corporate Research Associates May 8–30, 2013 [16] 27 36 37
Corporate Research Associates February 11–March 8, 2013 PDF 38 22 39
MQO January 21–27, 2013 [56] 36 28 35
Corporate Research Associates November 13-December 1, 2012 [57] 46 23 31
Corporate Research Associates August 9–September 2, 2012 PDF 45 22 33
Environics Research Group June 19–29, 2012 PDF 35 26 38
Corporate Research Associates May 10–June 4, 2012 PDF 49 18 33
Corporate Research Associates February 13–29, 2012 HTML 54 18 28
Corporate Research Associates November 9–29, 2011 PDF 60 13 26
Election 2011 October 11, 2011 – 56.1 19.1 24.6

References

  1. ^ "Dunderdale leads N.L. Tories to majority". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. October 12, 2011. Retrieved October 15, 2011.
  2. ^ "Provincial election set for Nov. 30". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. June 8, 2015. Retrieved June 18, 2015.
  3. ^ a b "Kevin Aylward resigning as Liberal leader". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. October 26, 2011. Retrieved December 6, 2011.
  4. ^ "Dwight Ball named Liberal Party leader". The Telegram. December 14, 2011. Retrieved December 15, 2011.
  5. ^ "Ball new interim N.L. Liberal leader". CBC News, December 15, 2011.
  6. ^ "No rush for Liberal leadership race". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. December 2, 2011. Retrieved December 6, 2011.
  7. ^ a b "Kathy Dunderdale confirms stepping down as N.L. premier". CBC News. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
  8. ^ "Tom Marshall sworn in as 11th premier". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. January 24, 2014. Retrieved January 24, 2014.
  9. ^ a b "Tories to pick new leader in early July". CBC News. Retrieved February 6, 2014.
  10. ^ a b "Dwight Ball wants to lead Liberals into 2015 vote". CBC News. December 15, 2011. Retrieved December 17, 2011.
  11. ^ "Osborne brushed off as 'deadwood' as PCs stick together". CBC News. September 14, 2012. Retrieved September 16, 2012.
  12. ^ "Jones resigns provincial seat for federal by-election". CBC News. April 8, 2013. Retrieved April 8, 2013.
  13. ^ "Long-serving MHA Eddie Joyce named Opposition leader". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. July 19, 2013. Retrieved July 19, 2013.
  14. ^ "Eddie Joyce named Opposition Leader". The Western Star. July 18, 2013. Retrieved July 19, 2013.
  15. ^ "Tom Osborne joins Liberals". CBC News. August 29, 2013. Retrieved August 29, 2013.
  16. ^ "Kennedy resigns from government". CBC News. October 2, 2013. Retrieved October 2, 2013.
  17. ^ "N.L. NDP Leader Lorraine Michael facing caucus revolt". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. October 21, 2013. Retrieved October 21, 2013.
  18. ^ "Mixed messages from NDP caucus, executive". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. October 22, 2013. Retrieved October 24, 2013.
  19. ^ "Michael calls for 2014 leadership review". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. October 26, 2013. Retrieved October 26, 2013.
  20. ^ "Kirby, Mitchelmore quit NDP caucus after leadership row". CBC News. October 29, 2013. Retrieved October 29, 2013.
  21. ^ "Dwight Ball wins Liberal leadership". CBC News. November 17, 2013. Retrieved November 17, 2013.
  22. ^ "Liberals Reclaim Carbonear Harbour Grace". CBC News. November 26, 2013. Retrieved November 26, 2013.
  23. ^ "Tory MHA Paul Lane crossing the floor". NTV. January 20, 2014. Retrieved January 20, 2014.
  24. ^ "Dale Kirby, Christopher Mitchelmore cut NDP ties". CBC News. Retrieved February 2, 2014.
  25. ^ "Dale Kirby and Christopher Mitchelmore join Liberals". CBC News. Retrieved February 4, 2014.
  26. ^ "Kathy Dunderdale to step down as MHA". CBC News. Retrieved February 28, 2014.
  27. ^ "Cathy Bennett wins Virginia Waters byelection". CBC News. Retrieved April 9, 2014.
  28. ^ "Bill Barry withdraws from Tory leadership race". CBC News. Retrieved April 17, 2014.
  29. ^ "Lorraine Michael:'We're new, we're movingforward'". CBC News. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
  30. ^ "Joan Shea stepping down as MHA". CBC News. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
  31. ^ a b "Frank Coleman Quits Weeks Before Swearing In As N.L. Premier". The Huffington Post. Canadian Press. June 16, 2014. Retrieved June 16, 2014.
  32. ^ "Liberal Scott Reid wins byelection in St. George's-Stephenville East". CBC News. Retrieved August 26, 2014.
  33. ^ "Charlene Johnson: Tories 'not a sinking ship". CBC News. Retrieved September 5, 2014.
  34. ^ "Newfoundland Tories restart leadership contest with Sept. 13 vote". The Globe and Mail. June 20, 2014. Retrieved June 20, 2014.
  35. ^ "French Bids Farewell to Political Life". VOCM. Retrieved September 19, 2014.
  36. ^ "Former premier Tom Marshall has stepped down from provincial politics". The Telegram. Retrieved November 3, 2014.
  37. ^ "Liberal Rex Hillier wins C.B.S. byelection". CBC News. Retrieved November 5, 2014.
  38. ^ "Steve Crocker sweeps Trinity-Bay de Verde byelection for Liberals". CBC News. Retrieved November 25, 2014."Liberal Stelman Flynn wins Humber East byelection". CBC News. Retrieved November 25, 2014.
  39. ^ a b "Lorraine Michael stepping down as NDP leader". CBC News. Retrieved January 6, 2015.
  40. ^ "Kevin O'Brien Responds to Previous Comments About Prime Minister". VOCM. July 3, 2015. Retrieved July 3, 2015.
  41. ^ [1]
  42. ^ a b c McLeod, James (June 16, 2015). "McCurdy running in St. John's West". The Telegram. Retrieved June 24, 2015.
  43. ^ [2]
  44. ^ Doctor wins Liberal nomination in Gander
  45. ^ Three Contestants for Liberal Nomination
  46. ^ Janes, Christy (June 24, 2015). "Jim Bennett adds name to Liberal nomination race". The Pilot. Retrieved June 25, 2015.
  47. ^ Liberal Party of NL Tweet
  48. ^ "Judy Manning afraid to test electorate, says Edward Roberts". CBC News. October 2, 2014. Retrieved October 2, 2014.
  49. ^ Norman, Rudy (January 22, 2014). "Hunter welcomes Premier's resignation". Advertiser. Retrieved January 24, 2014.
  50. ^ Wells, Karen (March 19, 2015). "Verge not seeking re-election in Lewisporte District". The Pilot. Retrieved March 25, 2015.
  51. ^ "Finance Minister Ross Wiseman leaving politics". CBC News. July 31, 2015. Retrieved July 31, 2015.
  52. ^ "Scott Reid defeats fellow MHA Stelman Flynn for Liberal nomination". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. July 21, 2015. Retrieved July 21, 2015.
  53. ^ "Slade Considers Options After Losing Liberal Nomination Battle". VOCM. July 30, 2015. Retrieved July 30, 2015.
  54. ^ "NDP's George Murphy says he will not seek re-election this fall". CBC News. June 22, 2015. Retrieved June 22, 2015.
  55. ^ "NDP support plummets, Liberals make gains: CRA poll". CBC News. December 4, 2013.
  56. ^ McLeod, James (February 1, 2013). "NDP, PCs in statistical tie in MQO poll". The Telegram. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  57. ^ "Support for NL PC Government Stable, Remains Highest in Atlantic Canada". Corporate Research Associates Inc. December 5, 2012. Retrieved June 13, 2014.

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