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Gary Johnson 2016 presidential campaign

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Gary Johnson 2016
CampaignUnited States presidential election, 2016
CandidateGary Johnson
Former Governor of New Mexico
AffiliationLibertarian Party
StatusAnnounced: January 6, 2016 (2016-01-06)
Nominated: May 29, 2016 (2016-05-29)
Key peopleWilliam Weld (Running Mate)
ReceiptsUS$348,670 (4−30−16)[1]
SloganBe Libertarian With Me
Live Free
Website
Official website

Former Governor Gary Johnson of New Mexico declared his candidacy for the Libertarian Party (LP) nomination for President of the United States on January 6, 2016. He officially won the nomination on May 29, 2016 at the Libertarian National Convention in Orlando, Florida, receiving 55.8% of the vote. Former Massachusetts Governor William Weld was endorsed by Johnson for the Libertarian vice-presidential nomination, which he also received on May 29, 2016.

Together, Johnson and Weld are the first ticket of any party to feature two Governors since the 1948 presidential election, a race that included two tickets made up entirely of governors: Republican, with Thomas E. Dewey of New York and Earl Warren of California, and Dixiecrat, with Strom Thurmond of South Carolina and Fielding L. Wright of Mississippi.[2]

Background

Johnson ran as the Libertarian presidential nominee in the 2012 election. In that race, he finished with the third highest popular vote total, nearly 1.3 million votes, and garnered nearly 1% of the popular vote.[3] Johnson's vote total was the highest received by any LP candidate—for any office—in the party's history.[4][5] Shortly after the election, Johnson began to express interest in running for the Libertarian nomination again in the 2016 election.[6][7][8]

Campaign

Gary Johnson speaking at the 2016 CPAC in Washington, D.C.

Johnson formally announced his candidacy for the 2016 Libertarian presidential nomination, in an interview with Neil Cavuto on the Fox Business Network program Coast to Coast, on January 6, 2016.[9][10] He has since begun participating in a series of debates with the other candidates seeking the nomination, held at state LP conventions around the country leading up the Libertarian National Convention over Memorial Day weekend in Orlando, Florida.[11][12][13][14]

On March 3, 2016, Johnson addressed the Conservative Political Action Conference in Washington D.C., touting himself as the third-party option for anti-Trump Republicans, and noting that the Libertarian Party will be the only third party candidate able to place its nominee on the ballot in all 50 states in 2016 due to ballot access deadlines.[15][16][17] Johnson's campaign has attracted increased attention as a possible vehicle for the Stop Trump movement's votes in the general election, if Donald Trump becomes the Republican nominee.[18][19][20]

On March 15, 2016 Johnson won the North Carolina Libertarian primary with 42% of the vote, ahead of "No Preference" at 35%, with other candidates all polling below 6%.[21] On March 1, 2016, Johnson won the Libertarian Party of Minnesota caucus with 75.7% of the vote.[22]

On March 29, 2016 Johnson attended the first nationally televised pre-nomination convention Libertarian Party presidential debate, hosted by Fox Business Network, on John Stossel’s show Stossel. The two-hour debate was divided into two one hour segments which were televised on April 1 and 8 at 9:00 Eastern Time. The debate featured Johnson, along with Austin Petersen and John McAfee.[23][24]

Following Ted Cruz's withdrawal from the race and Donald Trump becoming the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, it was widely reported that online searches for "Gary Johnson" and "Libertarian Party" spiked sharply on Google.[25][26][27]

In early May, some commentators opined that Johnson was moderate enough to pull votes away from both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump who are very disliked and polarizing.[28] Both conservative and liberal media noted that Johnson could get #NeverTrump votes and Bernie Sanders supporters.[29] Johnson also began to get time on national television, being invited on ABC News, NBC News, CBS News, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, Bloomberg, and many other networks.[30] Overall, Johnson was viewed favorably and many news outlets said he has a "very good chance" of being a major player in the 2016 United States Presidential Election.[31]

On May 18, Johnson announced that he had chosen former Republican Massachusetts Governor William Weld to be his running mate.[32]

On the first ballot of the 2016 Libertarian National Convention on May 29, 2016, Johnson earned 49.5% of the vote. On the second ballot, he won the nomination with 55.8% of the vote.[33]

Polling

In pre-nomination preference polls conducted by state Libertarian Parties, Johnson won first place in most states preceding the Libertarian National Convention at the end of May.[34] Since he announced his candidacy, Johnson has been the front-runner in primary polling through early May. Johnson's strong polling against Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump has received attention in the media.[35]

Libertarian primaries

With few exceptions, the Libertarian Party does not conduct presidential primaries. All delegates to the Libertarian National Convention are unpledged and may vote for the candidate of their choice. Online polling was conducted sporadically but was not scientific.

Of the states that do conduct a non-binding Libertarian presidential primary, Johnson won in North Carolina, Nebraska, and in the Minnesota caucuses. Due to early deadlines, he was not on the ballot in Missouri, where 'Uncommitted' received the most votes.[36][37][38][39]

General election

Nationwide Polling

Three-way race

Poll source Sample size Margin of error Date(s) administered Gary Johnson Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Others
Monmouth University[40] 848 RV ± 3.4% March 17–20, 2016 11% 42% 34% Undecided 13%
Fox News[41] 1,021 RV ± 3.0% May 14–17, 2016 10% 39% 42% Undecided 3%
Refused 5%
Other 2%
Morning Consult[42] 2,001 RV ± 1.0% May 19–23, 2016 10% 38% 35% Undecided 17%
Rasmussen Reports[43] 1,000 LV ± 3.0% May 31–June 1, 2016 8% 38% 37% 17%
IBD/TIPP[44] 908 RV ± 3.3% May 31–June 5, 2016 11% 39% 35% Undecided 8%
Refused 1%
Other 6%
Morning Consult[45] 2001 RV ± 2% June 1–4, 2016 10% 37% 35% Undecided 18%
Fox News[46] 1,004 RV ± 3.0% June 5–8, 2016 12% 39% 36% Undecided 7%
Refused 4%
Other 3%
Morning Consult[47] 1,362 RV ± ?% June 8–9, 2016 10% 39% 33% Don't Know / No Opinion 19%

Four-way race

Poll source Sample size Margin of error Date(s) administered Gary Johnson Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Jill Stein Others
Public Policy Polling[48] 1,222 RV ± 3.2% May 6–9, 2016 4% 42% 38% 2% Undecided 16%
Quinnipiac University[49] 1,561 RV ± 2.5% May 24–30, 2016 5% 40% 38% 3% Undecided 7%
Refused 5%
Other 1%
NBC News[50] 10,520 A

9,240 RV

± 1.4% May 30-June 5, 2016 9% 39% 40% 4% Refused 8%
Zogby Analytics[51] 837 RV ± 3.5% June 2–June 5, 2016 6% 40% 34% 2% Undecided 18%
SurveyUSA[52] 1,600 A

1,408 RV

± 2.7% June 8, 2016 6% 39% 36% 4% Undecided 18%

Statewide

Three-way race

State Poll source Date(s) administered Gary Johnson/LP/I Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Others
California Hoover/Golden State[53] May 4–16, 2016 4% 45% 33% Write-In Candidate 8%
Florida Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.[54] May 31–June 2, 2016 6% 45% 42% 7%
Georgia FOX 5/Opinion Savvy[55] May 16, 2016 10% 41% 44% Undecided 5%
Michigan The Detroit News/WDIV-TV[56] May 24–26, 2016 11.5% 36.8% 32.7% 19%
New Mexico New Mexico Political Report/Public Policy Polling[57] May 13–15, 2016 14% 41% 33% Undecided 12%
North Carolina Civitas Institute[58] May 21–23, 2016 8% 36% 39% Undecided 14%
Oklahoma Cole Hargrave Snodgrass and Associates[59] May 2–4, 2016 6% 28% 48% 18%
Utah Gravis Marketing[60] May 31–June 1, 2016 16% 26% 29% Other 29%
Virginia Gravis Marketing[61] May 24, 2016 6% 44% 38% Other 12%

Four-way race

State Poll source Date(s) administered Gary Johnson/LP/I Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Jill Stein Others
Arizona Public Policy Polling[62] May 13–15, 2016 6% 38% 40% 2% Undecided 13%
Connecticut Quinnipiac University[63] June 1-5, 2016 6% 41% 36% 3% Undecided 14%
Florida Public Policy Polling[64] June 2-5, 2016 4% 40% 41% 2% Other 13%
Georgia Public Policy Polling[65] May 27–30, 2016 6% 38% 45% 2% Undecided 9%
New Jersey Monmouth[66] May 23–27, 2016 5% 37% 31% 4% Undecided 23%
North Carolina Public Policy Polling[67] May 20–22, 2016 3% 41% 43% 2% Undecided 11%
Ohio Zogby[68] May 18–22, 2016 6% 38% 33% 3% Undecided 20%
Pennsylvania Public Policy Polling[69] June 3–5, 2016 6% 41% 40% 3% Undecided 11%

Political positions

Johnson has described himself as "fiscally conservative", touting that he wants to balance the federal budget, and "socially tolerant", noting his support for legalizing marijuana.[70][71]

Endorsements

State governors

Former

State legislators

Current

Mayors and other municipal or county leaders

Former

  • Jeff Krauss, mayor of Bozeman, Montana [74]

International political figures

Other politicians

Businesspeople

Media personalities

Actors and comedians

Athletes and sports figures

Musicians and artists

Commentators, writers and columnists

Media personalities

Radio hosts

Social and political activists

See also

References

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  5. ^ Harrington, Gerry (November 8, 2012). "Libertarian Party buoyant; Greens hopeful". UPI.com. Retrieved January 6, 2015.
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