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October–November 2016 UK Independence Party leadership election

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UK Independence Party leadership election
← September 2016 28 November 2016
 
Candidate Suzanne Evans Paul Nuttall
 
Candidate John Rees-Evans Peter Whittle
Incumbent Leader

Nigel Farage (interim); previously Diane James (leader-elect)


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Withdrawal

The November 2016 UK Independence Party leadership election is to take place following the announcement on 4 October 2016 by Diane James, the leader-elect of the UK Independence Party, that, for professional and personal reasons, she would not be retaining the leadership of the party, despite winning the leadership election 18 days earlier.[1][2] Nigel Farage, who James was to succeed after the previous leadership election following his resignation, was selected the next day to serve as interim leader.[3]

The party's National Executive Committee opened nominations for the election on 17 October; nominations closed at midday on 31 October. The candidates will take part in hustings in early November before ballots are dispatched on 11 November, with the new leader being announced on 28 November.[4]

Background

The party is seen as having two major factions: those who back Farage, who favoured Steven Woolfe and then, when he was not nominated, Diane James in the last leadership contest; and those who want a more collegiate party, including figures like Suzanne Evans, the party's only MP Douglas Carswell and its former director of communications, Patrick O'Flynn. The latter group supported Lisa Duffy in the previous election.[5]

Steven Woolfe was seen by many as the favourite in the election.[6] He admitted he had considered defecting to the Conservative Party following the previous leadership election; an argument concerning this with his MEP colleagues at a meeting in the European Parliament resulted in an altercation with Mike Hookem, after which Woolfe collapsed and had to be hospitalised. He claimed Hookem had punched him, an accusation denied by Hookem. A few days later, on 17 October 2016, Woolfe withdrew his candidacy and quit UKIP, describing the party as ungovernable without Farage as leader.[7]

The party's National Executive Committee was expected to meet on 10 October 2016 to set a date and rules for the leadership election, but later rescheduled the meeting to 17 October.[8][9] While party chairman Paul Oakden initially mooted that the election could be delayed until 2017,[10] the NEC opened nominations on 17 October, to close at midday on 31 October. Hustings are expected in early November before ballots are sent out on 11 November. The result will be announced on 28 November.[4]

Campaign

On 7 October, Kassam and Woolfe announced their intent to run for the leadership.[11][12] Woolfe was seen as favourite to succeed Diane James, following his failure to submit his nomination in time for the previous leadership election.[13] Woolfe's campaign message was that UKIP had to "stand up for the ignored working class and secure a radically different political landscape in Britain".[11] On 6 October, Woolfe had been hospitalised following an altercation with fellow MEP Mike Hookem at the European Parliament. On 17 October, Woolfe withdrew from the contest and left UKIP, claiming the party was in a "death spiral".[11] Party chairman Paul Oakden stated this was "regrettable" and former party leader Nigel Farage said it was "unfortunate."[11]

Kassam, who was expected to be the first ethnic minority candidate for UKIP leadership given Woolfe's withdrawal, stated that he was the person to end "corruption" at the top of the party and heal the party divides.[12] Working under the banner of 'Make UKIP Great Again', Kassam sought to return UKIP to its "best" and to continue the legacy left by outgoing leader, Farage.[14] He also sought to address cultural and social divisions across the country by eliminating Islamism in schools, prisons and neighbourhoods.[15] If elected, Kassam had vowed to create UKIP as the party for opposition, replacing the "feckless Labour Party" whilst also increasing its membership to 100,000.[16] He was criticised by The Huffington Post for past comments on social media, for example he told people, who he had disagreed with on Twitter to "fuck off". Moreover, the language used to describe the transgendered community caused disputes both internally and externally.[17][18] He openly referred to himself as “Islamophobe of the Year” in 2014 and he advertised “Brits for Trump” shirts which he said he had made in response to requests.[19] Promoting himself as a 'straight-talking' candidate, some his tweets and social presence had been strongly condemned (e.g: when he made a derogatory reference following, Scottish First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon's miscarriage in 2014.[20] Rival candidate Suzanne Evans criticised him as "far right", whilst Nigel Farage responded, calling her "poisonous".[21][22] As the self described "Farage-ist" candidate, his beliefs on party future includes introducing the position of party CEO so the party can be "run like an organisation." Kassam's key message had been to prevent UKIP moving to the "squishy centre ground".[22] Backer and prominent millionaire, Arron Banks described Kassam as the "candidate to beat."[23]

On 12 October, the leader of UKIP in the London Assembly, Peter Whittle, announced his candidacy,[24] promising, if elected, to ensure Brexit is delivered. He further pledged that if UKIP under his leadership were to form a government, a priority would be ensuring national pride across the UK. Whittle proposed schools fly the Union Jack, a move which had some groups angered.[25]

John Rees-Evans, a former British Army soldier, declared his candidacy on 17 October.[26] He has pledged to ensure the UK leaves the EU and that the government is reduced in size and function. He believes that the current 'political class' in Westminster are detached from citizens and pledged to make politics more transparent and open if elected UKIP leader. Rees-Evans caused controversy in 2014 when he claimed that a "gay donkey tried to rape my horse." He later clarified his comments as "playful banter with a mischievous activist" and apologised.[27]

A few days later, on 18 October, fellow AM David Kurten announced his intention to stand. His policies include protecting the green belt, banning Sharia law,[28] scrapping HS2, Crossrail 2[29] and a third runway at Heathrow, introducing proportional representation for general elections in the UK, and making the House of Lords a fully elected, smaller second chamber.[30]

On 23 October two significant UKIP politicians, Paul Nuttall (former deputy leader) and Suzanne Evans (former deputy chair of UKIP and director of policy for the party, before being expelled following the 2015 general election) entered the contest.[31] Nuttall described himself as the ‘unity candidate’ for the party, able to “bring the factions together.”[32] Nuttall’s message was that UKIP could become the patriotic face of the working class, something shared by Kassam and Whittle. He believes that UKIP can fill the ‘vacant’ space where the Labour party has ‘deserted’ Jeremy Corbyn and is promising to hold the government accountable in regards to immigration. His key campaign message was to unify the party and to make the party the true “voice of the common man and woman.”[32]

Evan’s message was party "detoxification".[31] As a member of the faction of the party who favour more centrist conservative views, Evan’s priorities for leadership include ensuring that the 1972 European Communities Act is repealed by the UK government, ensuring UKIP leads the electoral reform process and bolster’s the current Conservative government’s stance on law and order.[33] Evans caused some disruption with her pledge to end the “Trump-styled rhetoric” in the party. This was seen by some, including former party leader Nigel Farage, as an indirect swipe at Raheem Kassam’s campaign (whose logo was ‘Make UKIP Great Again’ similar to the ‘Make America Great Again’ of Donald Trump’s 2016 Presidential Campaign). Evans has previously stated that she wished to see the UK’s defence budget increased, foreign aid budget and energy bills reduced and corporate tax avoiders held accountable for their actions.[33]

Evans appeared on ITV’s The Agenda on 26 October, where she was criticised by fellow panellist Jeremy Paxman over whether she had “compassion” regarding child refugees in Calais. She replied “of course I have compassion, but this system is being abused here, it's quite obvious” in reference to some refugees, who have claimed to be children but who are believed by some to be grown adults.[34]

Two candidates formally withdrew from the contest: Andrew Beadle on 13 October[35] and Bill Etheridge (who had come third in the previous leadership election) on 26 October.[36] Both argued that Paul Nuttall would be the most suitable candidate for leader, able to unify the party and help it move onto more “fertile ground.”[36] On 30 October, David Kurten withdrew from the race; praising his fellow candidates, he stated that he would be "happy to work with any of the remaining candidates... on ensuring Brexit is delivered."[37]

A 25 October survey of 91 UKIP councillors for The Times found 42% supported Nuttall and 22%, Evans. Others receiving support were Kassam (9%), Douglas Carswell and Lisa Duffy (5% each), Patrick O'Flynn (4%), Bill Etheridge (2%) and Peter Whittle (1%). 8% said none of the above.[38]

Kassam withdrew from the contest, endorsing Peter Whittle, on 31 October.[39]

Candidates

Declared

Potential

  • Elizabeth Jones, deputy chairman for UKIP Lewisham[45]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Suzanne Evans: 'Stronger with Suzanne.'

MEPs

Other people

Paul Nuttall: 'United with Paul.'

Former party leaders

MEPs

Welsh AMs

Other people

UKIP councillors (by council)

Peter Whittle: 'Win with Whittle.'

Previous endorsements

Steven Woolfe

MEPs

  • Nigel Farage, interim Leader of UKIP; former Leader of UKIP (2006–2009; 2010–2016); MEP for South East England[84] Farage, saying he had not intended to endorse any of the candidates, said he would not be voting for Evans in response.[85]

Other people

Raheem Kassam: 'Make UKIP Great Again.'

  • Arron Banks, businessman; co-founder of the Leave.EU campaign; prominent UKIP donor (previously endorsed Steven Woolfe)[86]

Timeline

  • 4 October: Diane James stands down as leader, triggering a new contest
  • 7 October: Steven Woolfe and Raheem Kassam both announce their candidacies
  • 12 October: Peter Whittle announces his candidacy
  • 17 October: nominations open; Woolfe resigns from UKIP; John Rees-Evans announces his candidacy
  • 18 October: David Kurten announces his candidacy
  • 20 October: Andrew Beadle announces his candidacy
  • 23 October: Paul Nuttall and Suzanne Evans both announce their candidacies
  • 24 October: Bill Etheridge withdraws his candidacy and endorses Nuttall
  • 25 October: Andrew Beadle withdraws his candidacy and endorses Nuttall
  • 30 October: David Kurten withdraws his candidacy
  • 31 October: Raheem Kassam withdraws his candidacy and endorses Whittle

Opinion polling

Some of the polls below include people who will not be candidates. Polls show both free choices among all candidates and constrained choices among particular combinations of candidates.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Jonathan
Arnott 		Phillip
Broughton 		Douglas
Carswell 		Lisa
Duffy 		Bill
Etheridge 		Suzanne
Evans 		Nigel
Farage 		Nathan
Gill 		Neil
Hamilton 		Elizabeth
Jones 		Raheem
Kassam 		Paul Nuttall Peter Whittle Steven
Woolfe 		Other/
Undecided
YouGov[87] 5–14 October 2016 1,003 UKIP members[a] 2% 1% 3% 4% 2% 7% 31% 1% 1% 2% – – – 37% Don't know 8%
None of the above 3%
2% 1% 5% 5% 3% 10% – 2% 2% 2% – – – 47% Don't know 16%
None of the above 4%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Eligible members of UKIP.

References

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  2. ^ "UKIP turmoil returns after Diane James resignation". BBC News. 5 October 2016. Retrieved 7 October 2016.
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  4. ^ a b Warnes, Indra (17 October 2016). "Ukip to have new leader in place by November 28th, NEC confirms". Daily Express. Retrieved 17 October 2016. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  5. ^ Stamp, Gavin (7 October 2016). "Where did it all go wrong for UKIP?". BBC News. Retrieved 18 October 2016.
  6. ^ Matthew Smith Data journalist at YouGov (18 October 2016). "Woolfe Was Firm Members' Favourite For Ukip Leader Before Quitting Party". Huffington Post. Retrieved 24 October 2016.
  7. ^ Simpson, Fiona (18 October 2016). "Steven Woolfe: Ukip MEP quits party following Mike Hookem altercation". London Evening Standard. Retrieved 18 October 2016. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
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  36. ^ a b "UKIP contender Bill Etheridge quits leadership race". BBC News. 25 October 2016. Retrieved 27 October 2016.
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  47. ^ a b Beadle, Andrew (13 October 2016). "A Statement: After due thought and consideration I have decided to windup my UKIP Leadership campaign and... http://fb.me/5ETjjhbBp". Twitter. Retrieved 14 October 2016. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
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  66. ^ Nuttall, Paul (25 October 2016). "I'm pleased to have the support of @Tim_Aker MEP in the #UKIPLeadership contest. Next endorsement at 8pm #UnitedWithPaul #ukip". Twitter. Retrieved 26 October 2016.
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  87. ^ "YouGov Survey Results" (PDF). YouGov. 5–14 October 2016.
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