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2017 United Kingdom general election

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United Kingdom general election, 2017

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All 650 seats in the House of Commons
326[n 1] seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout68.7% (Increase2.3%)
  First party Second party Third party
  Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn Nicola Sturgeon
Leader Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn Nicola Sturgeon
Party Conservative Labour SNP
Leader since 11 July 2016 12 September 2015 14 November 2014
Leader's seat Maidenhead Islington North Did not stand [n 2]
Last election 330 seats, 36.9% 232 seats, 30.4% 56 seats, 4.7%
Seats before 330 229 54
Seats won 317* 262 35
Seat change Decrease 13 Increase 30 Decrease 21
Popular vote 13,667,213 12,874,985 977,569
Percentage 42.4% 40.0% 3.0%
Swing Increase 5.5 pp Increase 9.6 pp Decrease 1.7 pp

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  Tim Farron Arlene Foster
Leader Tim Farron Arlene Foster Gerry Adams
Party Liberal Democrats DUP Sinn Féin
Leader since 16 July 2015 17 December 2015 13 November 1983
Leader's seat Westmorland and Lonsdale Did not stand[n 3] Did not stand[n 4]
Last election 8 seats, 7.9% 8 seats, 0.6% 4 seats, 0.6%
Seats before 9 8 4
Seats won 12 10 7
Seat change Increase 4 Increase 2 Increase 3
Popular vote 2,371,772 292,316 238,915
Percentage 7.4% 0.9% 0.8%
Swing Decrease 0.5 pp Increase 0.3 pp Increase 0.2 pp

A map of UK parliamentary constituencies

*Seat figure does not include Speaker of the House of Commons John Bercow, who was included in the Conservative seat total by some media outlets.

Prime Minister before election

Theresa May
Conservative

Subsequent Prime Minister

Theresa May
Conservative

2005 election MPs
2010 election MPs
2015 election MPs
2017 election MPs

The United Kingdom general election of 2017 took place on 8 June 2017. Each of the 650 parliamentary constituencies elected one Member of Parliament (MP) to the House of Commons, the lower house of Parliament. In line with the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, an election had not been due until 7 May 2020, but a call by Prime Minister Theresa May for a snap election received the necessary two-thirds vote in a 522-to-13 vote in the House of Commons on 19 April 2017.

The Conservative Party, which has governed since 2015 (and as a senior coalition partner from 2010), was defending a majority of 12 against the Labour Party, the official opposition, led by Jeremy Corbyn. May had hoped to get a larger majority for the Conservatives to "strengthen [her] hand in the Brexit negotiations".[1]

Some of the opinion polls had shown a 20-point lead over Labour before the election was called, but this lead had narrowed by the time of the election. In fact, the Conservative Party lost its parliamentary majority and the election resulted in a hung parliament.[2] Following the result, the Conservatives entered into talks with the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) of Northern Ireland, whose 10 seats could allow for the formation of a minority Conservative government with DUP support.[3]

Despite remaining in opposition for its third election in a row, Labour won its greatest share of the popular vote since 2001, and it was the first election since 1997 in which the party gained more seats than it lost. Conversely, despite losing its majority, the Conservative Party won its highest vote share since 1983. This represented a move back towards two-party politics in the country.

The third-largest party, the Scottish National Party (SNP), had won 56 of the 59 Scottish constituencies in 2015 but returned with 21 fewer seats. Twelve of these seats went to the Conservatives, in a reversal of a general trend in other parts of the UK. It was suggested part of the reason was a backlash against the SNP's calls for Scottish independence and tactical voting for the unionist parties.[4][5] The Liberal Democrats won several seats from the Conservatives and Scottish National Party, but also lost seats, with an overall increase of three. In Northern Ireland, the Democratic Unionist Party and Sinn Féin both gained additional seats, capturing all the seats won at the last election by the Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) and the Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP). Support for the UK Independence Party, which enjoyed a significant portion of the popular vote in 2015, was largely wiped out.[6] The Green Party maintained their single seat, and there was one independent MP elected (for the Northern Ireland constituency of North Down).

Negotiation positions following the UK's invocation of Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union in March 2017 to leave the EU featured in the election campaign, as did the regular major issues of the economy, education, jobs and the National Health Service. Following two significant terrorist attacks on 22 May and 3 June, each followed by a brief suspension of campaigning, national security became a particularly prominent election issue.

Electoral system

Each parliamentary constituency of the United Kingdom elects one MP to the House of Commons using the "first past the post" system. If one party obtains a majority of seats, then that party is entitled to form the Government, with its leader as Prime Minister. If the election results in no single party having a majority, then there is a hung parliament. In this case, the options for forming the Government are either a minority government or a coalition government.[7]

Because the postponed Sixth Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies is not due to report until 2018[8] the general election took place under existing boundaries, enabling comparisons with the results by constituency in 2015

Voting eligibility

To vote in the general election, one must be:[9][10]

  • on the Electoral Register;
  • aged 18 or over on polling day (i.e. born on or before 8 June 1999);
  • a British, Irish or Commonwealth citizen;
  • a resident at an address in the UK (or a British citizen living abroad who has been registered to vote in the UK in the last 15 years),[n 5] and;
  • not legally excluded from voting (for example a convicted person detained in prison or a mental hospital, or unlawfully at large if he/she would otherwise have been detained,[11] or a person found guilty of certain corrupt or illegal practices[12]) or disqualified from voting (peers sitting in the House of Lords).[13][14]

Individuals had to be registered to vote by midnight twelve working days before polling day (22 May).[15][16] Anyone who qualified as an anonymous elector had until midnight on 31 May to register.[n 6] A person who has two homes (such as a university student who has a term-time address and lives at home during holidays) may be registered to vote at both addresses as long as they are not in the same electoral area, but can vote in only one constituency at the general election.[18]

On 18 May, The Independent reported that more than 1.1 million people between 18 and 35 had registered to vote since the election was announced on 18 April. Of those, 591,730 were under the age of 25.[19]

Date of the election

A polling station in north London

The Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 introduced fixed-term Parliaments to the United Kingdom, with elections scheduled every five years following the general election on 7 May 2015.[20] This removed the power of the Prime Minister, using the royal prerogative, to dissolve Parliament before its five-year maximum length.[20] The Act permits early dissolution if the House of Commons votes by a supermajority of two-thirds.

On 18 April 2017, the Prime Minister Theresa May announced she would seek an election on 8 June,[21] despite previously ruling out an early election.[22][23] A House of Commons motion to allow this was passed on 19 April, with 522 votes for and 13 against, a majority of 509, meeting the required two-thirds majority.[24] The motion was supported by the Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats and the Greens while the SNP abstained.[21] Nine Labour MPs, one SDLP MP and three independents (Sylvia Hermon and two former SNP MPs, Natalie McGarry and Michelle Thomson) voted against the motion.[25]

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn supported the early election,[26] as did Liberal Democrat leader Tim Farron and the Green Party.[27][28] The SNP stated that it was in favour of fixed-term parliaments, so abstained in the House of Commons vote.[29] UKIP leader Paul Nuttall and First Minister of Wales Carwyn Jones criticised the timing of the election as opportunistic by May, motivated by the then strong position of the Conservative Party in the opinion polls.[30][31]

On 25 April, the election date was confirmed as 8 June,[32] with dissolution on 3 May. The government announced it intended for the next parliament to assemble on 13 June, with the state opening on 19 June.[33]

Timetable

The key dates are listed below (all times are BST):[34]

18 April Prime Minister Theresa May announced her intention to hold a snap election[35]
19 April MPs voted to dissolve Parliament[36]
22 April Start of purdah[37][38]
25 April Royal Proclamation under section 2(7) of the Fixed-term Parliaments Act, 2011 issued by HM The Queen on the advice of the Prime Minister[32]
27 April Second session of Parliament prorogued[39]
3 May Formal dissolution of Parliament (in order for election to take place on 8 June) and official start of 'short' campaigning[40]
3 May Royal Proclamation is issued summoning a new UK Parliament[33]
4 May Local elections (were already scheduled, are not part of the general election)[41]
11 May Deadline (4pm) for the delivery of candidate nomination papers[42]
11 May Deadline (5pm) for the publication of Statements of Persons Nominated (or 4 pm on 12 May if objections were received)[43]
11 May Earliest date returning officers can issue poll cards[44] and postal ballot packs[45]
22 May Last day the public was able to register to vote (unless an anonymous elector)[15]
23 May Deadline (5pm) to apply for a postal vote/postal proxy vote[46][47]
31 May Deadline (5pm) to apply for a proxy vote,[46][47] and last day to register to vote as an anonymous elector[n 6]
8 June Polling day (polling stations opened at 7 am and closed at 10 pm or once voters present in a queue at/outside the polling station at 10 pm have cast their vote).[48] Counting of votes started no later than 2 am on 9 June.[49]
13 June Parliament re-assembles[50]
19 June State Opening of Parliament[51]

Parties and candidates

Campaigning on polling day, 8 June 2017

Most candidates were representatives of a political party registered with the Electoral Commission. Candidates who didn't belong to a registered party could use an "independent" label or no label at all. Parties in the tables below are sorted by their results in the 2015 general election.[citation needed]

The leader of the party commanding a majority of support in the House of Commons is the person who is called on by the monarch to form a government as Prime Minister, while the leader of the largest party not in government becomes the Leader of the Opposition. Other parties also form shadow ministerial teams. The leaders of the SNP and Plaid Cymru are not Members of Parliament, but instead members of their respective devolved legislatures; therefore these parties have separate leaders in the House of Commons. At the time of the dissolution of Parliament these Commons leaders were Angus Robertson and Hywel Williams respectively.[citation needed]

Party Party leader(s) Leader since Leader's seat Last election
% of
votes
Seats
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative Party Theresa May July 2016 Maidenhead 36.8% 330
bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour Party Jeremy Corbyn September 2015 Islington North 30.4% 232
bgcolor="Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color" | Scottish National Party Nicola Sturgeon November 2014 None[n 2] 4.7% 56
bgcolor="Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color" | Liberal Democrats Tim Farron July 2015 Westmorland and Lonsdale 7.9% 8
bgcolor="Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color"| Plaid Cymru Leanne Wood March 2012 None[n 7] 0.6% 3
bgcolor="Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color" | UK Independence Party Paul Nuttall November 2016 None[n 8] 12.7% 1
bgcolor="Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color" | Green Party of England and Wales Caroline Lucas
Jonathan Bartley
September 2016 Brighton Pavilion
None
3.8% 1
Other parties contesting: see United Kingdom general election, 2017 § Candidates

The Conservative Party and the Labour Party have been the two biggest parties since 1922, and have supplied all Prime Ministers since 1935. Both parties have changed their leader since the 2015 election. David Cameron, who had been the leader of the Conservative Party since 2005 and Prime Minister since 2010, was replaced in July 2016 by Theresa May following the referendum on the United Kingdom's membership of the European Union. Jeremy Corbyn replaced Ed Miliband as Leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition in September 2015, and was re-elected leader in September 2016.[citation needed]

While the Liberal Democrats and their predecessors had long been the third-largest party in British politics, they returned only 8 MPs in 2015–49 fewer than at the previous election, far below the Scottish National Party (SNP) and with fewer votes than the UK Independence Party (UKIP). Tim Farron became the Liberal Democrat leader in July 2015, following the resignation of Nick Clegg. Led by First Minister of Scotland Nicola Sturgeon, the SNP stand only in Scotland and won 56 of 59 Scottish seats in 2015.[citation needed]

UKIP, then led by Nigel Farage, who was later replaced by Diane James and then by Paul Nuttall in 2016, won 12.7% of the vote in 2015 but gained only one MP, Douglas Carswell, who left the party in March 2017 to sit as an independent. After securing 3.8% of the vote and one MP in the previous general election, Green Party leader Natalie Bennett was succeeded by joint leaders Caroline Lucas and Jonathan Bartley in September 2016.[citation needed]

A number of parties that contested the previous election chose not to stand candidates, including Mebyon Kernow, the Communist Party of Britain, the Scottish Socialist Party and the National Front.[52][53][54]

Northern Ireland
Party Leader(s) Leader since Leader's seat Last election
%
(in NI)
Seats
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Democratic Unionist Party/meta/color" | Democratic Unionist Party Arlene Foster December 2015 None[n 3] 25.7% 8
bgcolor="Template:Sinn Féin/meta/color"| Sinn Féin Gerry Adams November 1983 None[n 4] 24.5% 4
bgcolor="Template:Social Democratic and Labour Party/meta/color" | Social Democratic and Labour Party Colum Eastwood November 2015 None[n 9] 13.9% 3
bgcolor="Template:Ulster Unionist Party/meta/color" | Ulster Unionist Party Robin Swann April 2017 None[n 10] 16.0% 2
bgcolor="Template:Alliance Party of Northern Ireland/meta/color" | Alliance Party of Northern Ireland Naomi Long October 2016 None[n 11] 8.6% 0
Other parties contesting: see United Kingdom general election, 2017 § Candidates

In Northern Ireland, the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), Sinn Féin, the Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) and the Ulster Unionist Party (UUP), who all won seats in 2015, and the Alliance Party (APNI), which contested all 18 Northern Irish seats and achieved 8.6% of the vote, contested the 2017 election. Gerry Adams announced for Sinn Féin after the election that their abstentionist policy[55] remained in force; their elected MPs would not swear allegiance to the Queen to take their seats in Westminster.[56] The DUP, Sinn Fein, SDLP, UUP and APNI were all led by new party leaders, changed since the 2015 election. The Conservatives, Greens and four other minor parties are also standing. Despite contesting 10 seats last time, UKIP did not stand in Northern Ireland.[57]

Candidates

3,304 candidates stood for election, down from 3,631 in the previous general election. The Conservatives stood in 637 seats, Labour in 631 (including jointly with the Co-operative Party in 50[58]) and the Liberal Democrats in 629. UKIP stood in 377 constituencies, down from 624 in 2015, while the Greens stood in 468, down from 573. The SNP contested all 59 Scottish seats and Plaid Cymru stood in all 40 Welsh seats.[59] In Great Britain 183 candidates stood as independents; minor parties including the Christian Peoples Alliance which contested 31 seats, the Yorkshire Party which stood in 21, the Official Monster Raving Loony Party in 12, the British National Party in 10, the Pirate Party in 10, the English Democrats in 7, the Women's Equality Party in 7, the Social Democratic Party in 6, the National Health Action Party in 5 and the Workers Revolutionary Party in 5, while an additional 79 candidates are stood for 46 other registered political parties.[58]

In Wales, 213 candidates stood for election. Labour, Conservatives, Plaid Cymru, and Liberal Democrats contested all forty seats and there were 32 UKIP and 10 Green candidates.[60] In Scotland the SNP, the Conservatives, Labour and the Liberal Democrats stood in all 59 seats while UKIP are contesting 10 seats and the Greens only 3.[61]

Of the 109 candidates in Northern Ireland, Sinn Féin, the SDLP and the Alliance contested all 18 seats; the DUP stood in 17, the UUP in 14 and the Conservatives and Greens stood in 7 each. People Before Profit and the Workers' Party contested two seats while Traditional Unionist Voice and the new Citizens Independent Social Thought Alliance stood in one each; four independents including incumbent Sylvia Hermon also stood.[57]

Party selection processes

Unlike in previous elections, the timetable of the snap election required parties to select candidates in just under three weeks, to meet the 11 May deadline.

For the Conservatives, local associations in target seats were offered a choice of three candidates by the party's headquarters from an existing list of candidates, without inviting applications; candidates in non-target seats were to be appointed directly[clarification needed]; and MPs were to be confirmed by a meeting of their local parties.[62] Labour required sitting MPs to express their intention to stand, automatically re-selecting those that did. Labour advertised for applications from party members for all remaining seats by 23 April.[62][63] Having devolved selections to its Scottish and Welsh parties, Labour's National Executive Committee endorsed all parliamentary candidates on 3 May except for Rochdale, the seat of suspended MP Simon Danczuk.[64] On 7 May Steve Rotheram announced he was standing down as MP for Liverpool Walton following his election as Liverpool City Region mayor, leaving five days to appoint a candidate by close of nominations.[65]

The SNP confirmed on 22 April that its 54 sitting MPs would be re-selected and that its suspended members Natalie McGarry and Michelle Thomson would not be nominated as SNP candidates; the party subsequently selected candidates for McGarry's and Thomson's former seats as well as for the three Scottish constituencies they did not win in 2015.[66] The Liberal Democrats had already selected 326 candidates in 2016 and over 70 in 2017 before the election was called.[62] Meetings of local party members from UKIP, the Greens and Plaid Cymru selected their candidates.[62]

Parties in Northern Ireland were not believed to have already selected candidates due to the Assembly elections in March.[62] Prior to discussions with the DUP on 24 April, the UUP re-selected its two sitting MPs and indicated that it would not contest the three constituencies of Belfast North, Belfast West and Foyle.[67] Sinn Féin selected assembly member Barry McElduff to replace MP Pat Doherty as its candidate in West Tyrone.[68]

High-profile candidates

Ken Clarke, the Father of the House of Commons, had said he would retire in 2020, but opted to stand again in the 2017 election.[69][70] Former Conservative employment minister Esther McVey was selected to contest Tatton, and Zac Goldsmith was adopted as the Conservative candidate for Richmond Park, having lost the 2016 by-election as an independent after previously serving as the constituency's Conservative MP since 2010.[71][72]

After coming second in the Stoke-on-Trent Central by-election earlier in the year, UKIP leader Paul Nuttall announced he would contest Boston and Skegness.[73] Former Labour MP for Manchester Central Tony Lloyd, who served as Greater Manchester Police and Crime Commissioner from 2012 and interim Mayor of Greater Manchester since 2015, was selected to contest Rochdale.[74] The former Labour MP Simon Danczuk is standing as an independent candidate after being banned from standing as a Labour candidate and leaving the party.[75]

A number of former Liberal Democrat ministers who were defeated in 2015 announced they would stand for election in their former seats, including Sir Vince Cable in Twickenham, Sir Ed Davey in Kingston and Surbiton, Sir Simon Hughes in Bermondsey and Old Southwark and Jo Swinson in East Dunbartonshire.[76] After the former MP for Bradford East, David Ward, was dropped as a candidate by the Liberal Democrats for anti-semitism, he announced his intention to run as an independent in his former seat.[77][78]

Electoral alliances and arrangements

Ahead of the general election, crowdfunding groups such as More United and Open Britain were formed to promote candidates of similar views standing for election, and a "progressive alliance" was proposed.[79][80][81][82] Former UKIP donor Arron Banks suggested a "patriotic alliance" movement.[83] Tactical voting to keep the Conservatives out of government was suggested on social media.[84][85] Gina Miller, who took the government to court over Article 50, set out plans to tour marginal constituencies in support of pro-EU candidates.[86]

Within a few days of the election being announced, the Green Party and the SNP each proposed to collaborate with Labour and the Liberal Democrats to prevent a Conservative majority government.[87][88] Lib Dem leader Tim Farron quickly reaffirmed his party's opposition to an electoral pact or coalition with Labour, citing "electorally toxic" Corbyn and concerns over Labour's position on Brexit.[89][90] On 22 April the Liberal Democrats also ruled out a coalition deal with the Conservatives and SNP.[91] Labour ruled out an electoral pact with the SNP, Liberal Democrats and Greens.[92]

Notwithstanding national arrangements, the Liberal Democrats, the Greens and UKIP indicated they may not stand in every constituency.[93] The Green Party chose not to contest 22 seats in England and Wales explicitly "to increase the chance of a progressive candidate beating the Conservatives",[94] including in South West Surrey, the seat of Health Secretary Jeremy Hunt, in favour of the National Health Action Party candidate.[95] The Scottish Greens contested just three constituencies.[61] The Liberal Democrats agreed to stand down in Brighton Pavilion.[96] After indicating they may not nominate candidates in seats held by strongly pro-Brexit Conservative MPs,[97] UKIP nominated 377 candidates; it was suggested this would help the Conservatives in marginal seats.[98]

In Northern Ireland, there were talks between the DUP and UUP.[93] Rather than a formal pact, the DUP agreed not to contest Fermanagh and South Tyrone while the UUP chose not to stand in four constituencies.[99] After talks between Sinn Féin, the SDLP and the Greens about an anti-Brexit agreement (the Alliance Party were approached but declined to be involved)[100] no agreement was reached; the Greens said there was "too much distance" between the parties, Sinn Féin's abstentionist policy was criticised, and the SDLP admitted an agreement was unlikely.[101] On 8 May the SDLP rejected Sinn Féin's call for them to stand aside in some seats.[99]

Campaign

Background

Prior to the calling of the general election, the Liberal Democrats gained Richmond Park from the Conservatives in a by-election, a seat characterised by its high remain vote in the 2016 EU referendum.[102] The Conservatives held the safe seat of Sleaford and North Hykeham in December 2016.[103] In by-elections on 23 February 2017, Labour held Stoke-on-Trent Central but lost Copeland to the Conservatives, the first time a governing party had gained a seat in a by-election since 1982.[104]

The general election comes soon after the Northern Ireland Assembly election on 2 March. Talks on power-sharing between the DUP and Sinn Féin had failed to reach a conclusion, with Northern Ireland thus facing either another Assembly election or the imposition of direct rule. The deadline was subsequently extended to 29 June.[105]

Local elections in England, Scotland and Wales took place on 4 May. These saw large gains by the Conservatives, and large losses by Labour and UKIP. Notably the Conservatives won metro mayor elections in Tees Valley and the West Midlands, areas traditionally seen as Labour heartlands.[106] Initially scheduled for 4 May, a by-election in Manchester Gorton was cancelled; the seat will be contested on 8 June together with all the other seats.[107][108]

On 6 May, a letter from Church of England Archbishops Justin Welby and John Sentamu stressed the importance of "education for all, of urgent and serious solutions to our housing challenges, the importance of creating communities as well as buildings, and a confident and flourishing health service that gives support to all – especially the vulnerable – not least at the beginning and end of life."[109]

All parties suspended campaigning for a time in the wake of the 2017 Manchester Arena bombing on 22 May.[110] The SNP had been scheduled to release their manifesto for the election but this was delayed.[111] Campaigning resumed on 25 May.[112]

Major political parties also suspended campaigning for a second time on 4 June, following the June 2017 London attack.[113] UKIP chose to continue campaigning.[114] There were calls for the polling date to be postponed, but these were rejected.[114]

Issues

Brexit

The UK's withdrawal from the European Union was a key issue in the campaign.[115] May said she called the snap election to secure a majority for her Brexit negotiations.[116] UKIP support a "clean, quick and efficient Brexit" and, launching his party's election campaign, Nuttall stated that Brexit is a "job half done" and UKIP MPs are needed to "see this through to the end".[117]

Labour had supported Brexit in the previous parliament, but proposed different priorities for negotiations.[118] The Liberal Democrats and Greens called for a deal to keep the UK in the single market and a second referendum on any deal proposed between the EU and the UK.[119][120][121]

The Conservative manifesto committed to leaving the single market and customs union but seek a "deep and special partnership" through a comprehensive free trade and customs agreement. It proposed seeking to remain part of some EU programmes where it would "be reasonable that we make a contribution" and stay as a signatory of the European Convention on Human Rights over the next parliament and maintain the Human Rights Act during Brexit negotiations. Parliament would be able to amend or repeal EU legislation once converted into UK law, and have a vote on the final agreement.[122]

Security

Two major terrorist attacks took place during the election campaign, with parties arguing about the best way to prevent such events.[123][124][125] May, after the second attack, focused on global co-operation to tackle Islamist ideology and tackling the use of the Internet by terrorist groups.[126][failed verification][127] After the first attack, Labour criticised cuts in police numbers under the Conservative government.[128] Corbyn also linked the Manchester attack to British foreign policy.[124] The Conservatives stated that spending on counter-terrorism for both the police and other agencies had risen.[129]

Former Tory strategist Steve Hilton said Theresa May should be "resigning not seeking re-election", because her police cuts and security failures had led to the attacks.[130][131] Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn backed calls for May to resign, but said she should be removed by voters.[132] May said that police budgets for counter-terrorism had been maintained and that Corbyn had voted against counter-terrorism legislation.[133]

The Conservative manifesto proposed more government control and regulation of the internet, including forcing internet companies to restrict access to extremist and adult content.[134][135] After the London attack, Theresa May called for international agreements to regulate the internet.[136] Conservative stances on regulation of internet and social media have been criticised by Liberal Democrats leader Tim Farron, the Open Rights Group and some academic experts on radicalisation, Farron likening them to North Korea and China state surveillance and censorship.[137][138]

On 6 June, May promised longer prison sentences for people convicted of terrorism and restrictions on the freedom of movement or deportation of militant suspects when it is thought they present a threat but there is not enough evidence to prosecute them, stating that she would change human right laws to do so if necessary.[139][140]

The UK's nuclear weapons, including the renewal of the Trident system, was also prominent during the campaign.[141] The Conservatives and Liberal Democrats favour Trident renewal.[142] The Labour manifesto commits the party to Trident renewal, but Corbyn declined to speak in favour of the renewal.[141] He also declined to answer whether, as Prime Minister, he would ever use nuclear weapons if the UK were under an imminent nuclear threat.[143]

Social care

Social care became a major election issue after the Conservative Party's manifesto included new proposals, which they subsequently changed after criticism.[144][145][146] The previous coalition government had commissioned a review by Andrew Dilnot into how to fund social care.[147] Measures that disadvantaged pensioners were also in the Conservative manifesto: eliminating the pension triple lock and Winter Fuel Payments for all pensioners.

Scottish independence and the future of the UK

The question of a proposed Scottish independence referendum is also likely to influence the campaign in Scotland. On 28 March 2017, the Scottish Parliament approved a motion for a second independence referendum,[148] suggesting that there had been a "material change" in the terms of the failed independence referendum in 2014 as a result of the UK's vote to leave the EU.[149] The SNP hopes to hold a second independence referendum once the Brexit terms are clear but before the UK leaves the EU; May has said her government would not approve an independence referendum before Brexit negotiations have finished.[150]

Unanimous agreement among EU leaders on their negotiating stance included: the need to resolve arrangements for the Northern Ireland border and the rights of EU and UK citizens living in other countries, before trade negotiations could take place.[151]

Possible coalitions

Although Labour and the Liberal Democrats have both rejected election pacts with each other and with the Greens and the SNP, and although the Liberal Democrats have also ruled out a coalition deal with the Conservatives, the Conservatives are expected to campaign on this theme.[91][152] Similar messages against a potential Lib-Lab pact are credited with having secured a Conservative win in the 1992 and 2015 elections.[153] On 19 April, May warned against a Labour-SNP-Lib Dem pact that would "divide our country".[154]

Party campaigns

Conservatives

May launched the Conservative campaign with a focus on Brexit, lower domestic taxes and avoiding a Labour-Lib Dem-SNP "coalition of chaos", but she refused to commit not to raise taxes.[155][154][156] On 30 April, May stated that it was her intention to lower taxes if the Conservatives won the general election, but only explicitly ruled out raising VAT.[157] May reiterated her commitment to spending 0.7% of GNI on foreign aid.[158]

Theresa May hired Lynton Crosby, the campaign manager for the Conservatives in the 2015 general election, as well as Barack Obama's 2012 campaign manager, Jim Messina.[159][160] The Conservative campaign was noted for the use of targeted adverts on social media, in particular attacking Corbyn.[161] The repeated use of the phrase "strong and stable" in the Conservatives' campaigning attracted attention and criticism.[162] Some expressed concern that the party may have restricted media access to the prime minister.[163][164][165] While some speculated that an investigation into campaign spending by the Conservatives in the 2015 general election was a factor behind the snap election,[166][167] on 10 May the Crown Prosecution Service said that despite evidence of inaccurate spending returns, no further action was required.[168]

On 7 May the Conservatives promised to replace the 1983 Mental Health Act, to employ an additional 10,000 NHS mental health workers by 2020 and to tackle discrimination against those with mental health problems.[169] May indicated that the Conservatives would maintain their net immigration target, and promised to implement a cap on "rip-off energy prices",[170][171] a policy that appeared in Labour's 2015 manifesto.[172] On 11 May the Conservatives promised above-inflation increases in defence spending alongside its NATO commitment to spend at least 2% of GDP on defence.[173]

In a speech in Tynemouth the next day, May said Labour had "deserted" working-class voters, criticised Labour's policy proposals and said Britain's future depended on making a success of Brexit.[174] On 14 May the Conservatives proposed a "new generation" of social housing, paid from the existing capital budget, offering funding to local authorities and changing compulsory purchase rules.[175] The following day May promised "a new deal for workers" that would maintain workers' rights currently protected by the EU after Brexit, put worker representation on company boards, introduce a statutory right to unpaid leave to care for a relative and increase the National Living Wage in line with average earnings until 2022.[176] The proposals were characterised as an "unabashed pitch for Labour voters"; however Labour and the GMB trade union criticised the government's past record on workers' rights.[176]

Unveiling the Conservative manifesto in Halifax on 18 May, May promised a "mainstream government that would deliver for mainstream Britain".[177] It proposed to balance the budget by 2025, raise spending on the NHS by £8bn per year and on schools by £4bn per year by 2022, remove the ban on grammar schools, means-test the winter fuel allowance, replace the state pension "triple lock" with a "double lock" and require executive pay to be approved by a vote of shareholders.[177] It dropped the 2015 pledge to not raise income tax or national insurance contributions but maintained a commitment to freeze VAT.[177] New sovereign wealth funds for infrastructure, rules to prevent foreign takeovers of "critical national infrastructure" and institutes of technology were also proposed.[178] The manifesto was noted for its intervention in industry, lack of tax cuts and increased spending commitments on public services.[179] On Brexit it committed to leaving the single market and customs union while seeking a "deep and special partnership" and promised a vote in parliament on the final agreement.[122] The manifesto was noted for containing similar policies to those found in Labour's 2015 general election manifesto.[180]

The manifesto also proposed reforms to social care in England that would raise the threshold for free care from £23,250 to £100,000, while include property in the means test and permitting deferred payment after death.[177] After attracting substantial media attention, four days after the manifesto launch May stated that the proposed social care reforms would now include an "absolute limit" on costs in contrast to the rejection of a cap in the manifesto.[181] She criticised the "fake" portrayal of the policy in recent days by Labour and other critics who had termed it a "dementia tax".[181] Evening Standard editor George Osborne called the policy change a "U-turn".[182]

Labour

Corbyn launched the Labour campaign focusing on public spending, and argued that services were being underfunded, particularly education.[155] Labour's shadow Brexit secretary Sir Keir Starmer stated that the party would replace the existing Brexit white paper with new negotiating priorities that emphasise the benefits of the single market and customs union, that the residence rights of EU nationals would be guaranteed and that the principle of free movement would have to end.[118][183] Labour proposed the creation of four new bank holidays, marking the feast days of the patron saints of the United Kingdom's constituent nations.[184] On 27 April the party pledged to build 1 million new homes over five years.[185]

Labour's proposal to employ 10,000 new police officers was overshadowed when Shadow Home Secretary Diane Abbott cited incorrect figures in an LBC interview on how it would be funded.[186][187] Labour later confirmed that the £300 million cost would be funded by reversing cuts to Capital Gains Tax, although it was noted that the party had also pledged some of those savings towards other expenditure plans.[188]

On 7 May, Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell ruled out rises in VAT, and in income tax and employee national insurance contributions for those with earnings below £80,000 per year.[189] The following day Labour outlined plans to ban junk food TV adverts and parking charges at NHS hospitals.[190][191] Launching the party's campaign on 9 May, Corbyn emphasised Labour's support for a "jobs-first Brexit" that "safeguards the future of Britain's vital industries".[192] Labour promised an additional £4.8 billion for education, funded by raising corporation tax from 19% to 26%.[193]

Labour Party campaigners in London on polling day, 8 June 2017.

A draft copy of Labour's manifesto was leaked to the Daily Mirror and the Daily Telegraph on 10 May.[194] It included pledges to renationalise the National Grid, the railways and the Royal Mail, and create publicly-owned energy companies. The draft was noted for including commitments on workers' rights, a ban on fracking, and the abolition of tuition fees in England.[194] The draft manifesto included a commitment to the Trident nuclear deterrent, but suggested a future government would be "extremely cautious" about using it.[195] The next day Labour's Clause V meeting endorsed the manifesto after amendments from shadow cabinet members and trade unions present.[196]

In a speech at Chatham House on 12 May, Corbyn set out his foreign policy, saying he would reshape Britain's foreign relations, avoid the use of nuclear weapons, and while Labour supported Trident renewal he would initiate a defence review in government.[197] Corbyn stated that he would halt all weapons sales from the UK to Saudi Arabia citing the violations of human rights in the Saudi Arabian-led intervention in Yemen.[198] After the June 2017 London attack, Corbyn said that a conversation should take place "with Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states that have funded and fuelled extremist ideology".[199]

On 14 May Labour revealed plans to extend stamp duty by introducing a financial transactions tax, which McDonnell claimed would raise up to £5.6bn per year.[200] The next day Corbyn set out plans to spend £37bn on the NHS in England over a five-year parliament, including £10bn on IT upgrades and building repairs.[201]

Launching its manifesto on 16 May, Labour revealed it would nationalise the water industry, provide 30 hours per week of free childcare for two to four-year-olds, charge companies a levy on annual earnings above £330,000, lower the 45p income tax rate threshold to £80,000 per year, and reintroduce the 50p tax rate for those earning more than £123,000 per year.[202][203] Labour said it would raise an additional £48.6bn in tax revenue per year and insisted its policies were fully costed, though it was noted no costings were provided for its nationalisation pledges.[204][205] Compared to the leaked draft, the manifesto was noted for toughening Labour's position on defence and Trident, confirming that outside the EU free movement would have to end, qualifying support for airport expansion, and clarifying the party's stance on Israel-Palestine, as well as other changes.[206] After initial confusion, Labour clarified it would not reverse the government's freeze on most working-age benefits.[207][208]

In an interview following the manifesto launch, Unite general secretary Len McCluskey said victory for Labour in the general election would be "extraordinary" and that winning just 200 seats (compared to 229 seats held at the time) would be a "successful" result; the following morning he clarified he was now "optimistic" about Labour's chances.[209][210]

SNP

The SNP, keen to maintain its position as the third-largest party in the House of Commons, made the need to protect Scotland's interests in the Brexit negotiations a central part of its campaign.[211] The SNP manifesto also called for a vote on independence to be held "at the end of the Brexit process", sets out "anti-austerity" plans to invest £118bn in UK public services over the next five years, pledges to increase the minimum wage to £10 an hour and calls for Scotland to have control over immigration and to remain in the EU single market after Brexit.[212] With the polls closing, Nicola Sturgeon told the Today programme that SNP could support a Labour government "on an issue-by-issue basis" in the event of a hung parliament and that she would be open to forming a "progressive alternative to a Conservative government".[213]

Liberal Democrats

Central themes of the Liberal Democrat campaign were an offer of a second referendum on any eventual Brexit deal and a desire for the UK to stay in the single market.[214] The party was reported to have drawn up a target list of Conservative seats which had voted to remain in the EU, which is said to include Twickenham and Oxford West and Abingdon,[215] and are believed to be targeting Vauxhall, previously represented by leave-supporting Labour MP Kate Hoey.[216] Bob Marshall-Andrews, a former Labour MP from 1997 to 2010, announced he would support the Liberal Democrats.[217]

The party reported a surge in membership after the election was called, passing 100,000 on 24 April 2017, having grown by 12,500 in the preceding week.[218] The party had also reported raising £500,000 in donations in the first 48 hours after May's announcement of an early election.[219]

An early issue raised in the campaign was Tim Farron's views, as a Christian, regarding gay sex and LGBT rights. After declining to state whether he thought gay sex was a sin, Farron affirmed that he believed neither being gay nor having gay sex are sinful.[220]

The party proposed raising income tax by 1p to fund the NHS, and maintaining the triple-lock on the state pension.[221][222] The Liberal Democrats also promised an additional £7 billion to protect per-pupil funding in education; they said it would be partly funded by remaining in the EU single market.[193]

The Liberal Democrats pledged on 11 May to accept 50,000 refugees from Syria over five years, with Farron saying that the £4.3 billion costs would over time be repaid in taxes by those refugees that settle in Britain.[223] On 12 May the party revealed plans to legalise cannabis and extend paid paternity leave.[224] Farron proposed financial incentives for graduates joining the armed forces and committed to Nato's 2% of GDP defence spending target.[225]

The next day the Liberal Democrats promised to end the cap on public-sector pay increases and repeal the Investigatory Powers Act.[226][227] On 16 May the Liberal Democrats proposed an entrepreneurs' allowance, to review business rates and to increase access to credit.[228]

Policies emphasised during their manifesto launch on 17 May included a second referendum on a Brexit deal with the option to remain a member of the EU, discounted bus passes for 16 to 21-year-olds, the reinstatement of Housing Benefit for 18 to 21-year-olds, a £3bn plan to build 300,000 new houses a year by 2022 and support for renters to build up equity in their rented properties.[229]

UKIP

Paul Nuttall announced that UKIP's manifesto will seek to ban the burqa, outlaw sharia law, impose a temporary moratorium on new Islamic schools and require annual checks against female genital mutilation (FGM) for high-risk girls.[230][231] UKIP's Deputy Leader Peter Whittle confirmed that beekeepers would be exempt from the ban on face coverings; and Margot Parker argued that nun's habits were not included in the ban as they "don't cover their face".[232][233] In response to the proposed burqa ban UKIP's foreign affairs spokesperson James Carver resigned, labelling the policy "misguided".[234]

Despite losing all 145 of the seats it was defending in the 2017 local elections (but gaining one from Labour in Burnley), Nuttall insisted voters would return to UKIP in the general election.[235] On 8 May UKIP proposed a net migration target of zero within five years.[236]

On fishing, UKIP wants to see a 200-mile exclusive economic zone where all fish caught by foreign vessels in British waters must be landed, processed and sold in Britain.[237]

Television debates

← 2015 debates 2017 Next debates →

Within hours of the election being announced, Corbyn, Farron and Sturgeon called for televised debates.[238] The Prime Minister's office opposed the idea of any televised debates during the campaign.[239] Despite the opposition of the Prime Minister, on 19 April the BBC and ITV announced they planned to host leaders' debates, as they had done in the 2010 and 2015 elections, whether or not May takes part.[240] Labour subsequently ruled out Corbyn taking part in television debates without May.[241]

Broadcaster Andrew Neil also separately interviewed the party leaders in The Andrew Neil Interviews on BBC One, starting on 22 May with Theresa May. There were also due to be interviews with Paul Nuttall, Tim Farron, Nicola Sturgeon and Jeremy Corbyn during the same week;[242] however the 2017 Manchester Arena bombing led to the suspension of General Election campaigning on 23 and 24 May 2017. The interview with Corbyn still went ahead as planned on 26 May 2017 and the interviews with the leaders of the smaller parties that had been cancelled in between were rescheduled for later dates.[243]

ITV Tonight also ran a series of programmes with the major party leaders.

Sky News and Channel 4 announced an election programme to take place on 29 May where Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn were individually interviewed by Jeremy Paxman after taking questions from a studio audience.[244][245] The BBC announced two debates to which all seven main party leaders would be invited, to be shown on BBC One on 31 May in Cambridge and 6 June in Manchester; both Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn had earlier stated they would not attend the 31 May debate. May stated that she had decided not to attend as she had debated Jeremy Corbyn many times in Parliament, and that she would be meeting the public instead.[246] Corbyn announced on 31 May that he had changed his mind and would be attending the BBC Leader's Debate in Cambridge, calling on May to do the same.[247] Amber Rudd appeared for the Conservatives.

The BBC hosted separate debates for the English regions, and for both Scotland and Wales, and a Question Time special with May and Corbyn separately answering questions from voters on 2 June. This was chaired by David Dimbleby. Sturgeon and Farron were expected to do the same on 4 June, but this programme was delayed by the June 2017 London attack. It was rescheduled for 9pm on 5 June, and the presenter was changed to Nick Robinson.[248]

However, the BBC did host two back-to-back episodes of a special election programme titled Election Questions on the night 4 June (after election campaigning had resumed that evening). The first episode took place in Bristol and featured the co-leader of the Green Party of England and Wales, Jonathan Bartley, followed by the leader of the UK Independence Party, Paul Nuttall. The second episode took place in Swansea and featured Leanne Wood, leader of the Welsh political party, Plaid Cymru. The programme consisted of each of the party leaders being individually questioned by a studio audience.[249][250]

STV planned to host a live TV debate in Glasgow with four Scottish party leaders on 24 May,[251] but it was postponed, owing to the Manchester Arena bombing. The debate was rescheduled for Tuesday 6 June.[252]

United Kingdom general election debates, 2017[253][254]
Date Party leaders invited Organisers Venue     P  Present    S  Surrogate    NI  Non-invitee   A  Absent invitee 
Conservatives Labour SNP Liberal Democrats Plaid Cymru Green UKIP
style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color;"|
16 May Welsh ITV Wales Cardiff P
Davies
P
Jones
NI
P
Williams
P
Wood
NI
P
Hamilton
18 May UK ITV MediaCityUK, Salford A A P
Sturgeon
P
Farron
P
Wood
P
Lucas
P
Nuttall
21 May Scottish BBC Scotland Edinburgh P
Davidson
P
Dugdale
P
Sturgeon
P
Rennie
NI
P
Harvie
P
Coburn
29 May UK Sky News
Channel 4
Isleworth, London P
May
P
Corbyn
NI
NI
NI
NI
NI
30 May Welsh BBC Wales Cardiff S
Millar
P
Jones
NI
P
Williams
P
Wood
NI
P
Hamilton
30 May English Regions BBC English Regions Various P
Various
P
Various
NI
P
Various
NI
P
Various
P
Various
31 May UK BBC Senate House, Cambridge S
Rudd
P
Corbyn
S
Robertson
P
Farron
P
Wood
P
Lucas
P
Nuttall
2 June UK BBC
(Question Time)
University of York, York P
May
P
Corbyn
NI
NI
NI
NI
NI
4 June UK BBC
(Election Questions)
Bristol and Swansea NI
NI
NI
NI
P
Wood
P
Bartley
P
Nuttall
5 June UK BBC
(Question Time)
Edinburgh NI
NI
P
Sturgeon
P
Farron
NI
NI
NI
5 June [255] Northern Ireland UTV Belfast
Nigel Dodds (DUP), Michelle O'Neill (SF), Robin Swann (UUP), Colum Eastwood (SDLP) and Naomi Long (APNI)
6 June [252] Scottish STV Glasgow P
Davidson
P
Dugdale
P
Sturgeon
P
Rennie
NI
NI
NI
6 June UK BBC Manchester S
Zahawi
S
Champion
S
Forbes
S
Paddick
S
Elin
P
Bartley
S
Kurten
6 June Northern Ireland BBC Belfast
Jeffrey Donaldson (DUP), John O'Dowd (SF), Robin Swann (UUP), Colum Eastwood (SDLP) and Naomi Long (APNI)

Endorsements

Newspapers, organisations and individuals have endorsed parties or individual candidates for the election.

Politicians not standing

Members of Parliament not standing for re-election

Members of Parliament not standing for re-election
MP Seat First elected Party Date announced
Graham Allen Nottingham North 1987 width="1" bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour 22 April 2017[256]
Dave Anderson Blaydon 2005 width="1" bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour 20 April 2017[257]
Tom Blenkinsop Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland 2010 bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour 18 April 2017[258]
Andy Burnham Leigh 2001 bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour 19 April 2017[259]
Sir Simon Burns Chelmsford 1987 bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative 8 January 2016[260]
Douglas Carswell Clacton 2005 bgcolor="Template:Independent (politician)/meta/color" | Independent (UKIP in 2015) 20 April 2017[261]
Pat Doherty West Tyrone 2001 bgcolor="Template:Sinn Féin/meta/color"| Sinn Féin 3 May 2017[262]
Jim Dowd Lewisham West and Penge 1992 bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour 19 April 2017[263]
Michael Dugher Barnsley East 2010 bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour 20 April 2017[264]
Sir Edward Garnier Harborough 1992 bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative 27 April 2017[265]
Pat Glass North West Durham 2010 bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour 28 June 2016[266]
Sir Alan Haselhurst Saffron Walden 1970 bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative 25 April 2017[267]
Sir Gerald Howarth Aldershot 1983 bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative 20 April 2017[268]
Alan Johnson Hull West and Hessle 1997 bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour 18 April 2017[269]
Peter Lilley Hitchin and Harpenden 1983 bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative 26 April 2017[270]
Karen Lumley Redditch 2010 bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative 28 April 2017[271]
David Mackintosh Northampton South 2015 bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative 27 April 2017[272]
Fiona Mactaggart Slough 1997 bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour 20 April 2017[273]
Rob Marris Wolverhampton South West 2001 bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour 19 April 2017[274]
Natalie McGarry Glasgow East 2015 bgcolor="Template:Independent (politician)/meta/color" | Independent (SNP in 2015) 25 April 2017[275]
George Osborne Tatton 2001 bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative 19 April 2017[276]
Sir Eric Pickles Brentwood and Ongar 1992 bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative 22 April 2017[277]
John Pugh Southport 2001 bgcolor="Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color" | Liberal Democrats 19 April 2017[278]
Steve Rotheram Liverpool Walton 2010 bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour 7 May 2017[65]
Andrew Smith Oxford East 1987 bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour 19 April 2017[279]
Gisela Stuart Birmingham Edgbaston 1997 bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour 19 April 2017[280]
Michelle Thomson Edinburgh West 2015 bgcolor="Template:Independent (politician)/meta/color" | Independent (SNP in 2015) 22 April 2017[281]
Andrew Turner Isle of Wight 2001 width="1" bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative 28 April 2017[282]
Andrew Tyrie Chichester 1997 width="1" bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative 25 April 2017[283]
Dame Angela Watkinson Hornchurch and Upminster 2001 bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative 19 April 2017[284]
Iain Wright Hartlepool 2004 bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour 19 April 2017[285]

Other politicians

Former UKIP leader Nigel Farage announced that he would not stand, saying he could be more effective as an MEP.[286] UKIP major donor Arron Banks, who had earlier indicated his intention to stand in Clacton to defeat Douglas Carswell, withdrew in favour of the UKIP candidate after Carswell announced he would be standing down.[287]

Plaid Cymru leader Leanne Wood chose not to contest a Westminster seat, as did former Labour MP and shadow chancellor Ed Balls.[288][289]

Opinion polling and seat projections

In the 2015 general election, polling companies underestimated the Conservative Party vote and overestimated the Labour Party vote[290] and so failed to predict the result accurately.[291] Afterwards they started making changes to polling practices; recommendations from a review by the British Polling Council are likely to result in further changes.[292]

UK opinion polling for the 2017 election, including polls which were released on or before 7 June 2017; moving average is calculated from the last ten polls

Predictions three weeks before the vote

The first-past-the-post system used in UK general elections means that the number of seats won is not directly related to vote share. Thus, several approaches are used to convert polling data and other information into seat predictions. The table below lists some of the predictions.

Parties Election
Forecast[293]
as of 15 May 2017
Electoral
Calculus[294]
as of 20 May 2017
Lord
Ashcroft[295]
as of 12 May 2017
Elections
Etc[296]
as of 12 May 2017
bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservatives 414 391 406–415 391
bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour Party 155 185 152–164 170
bgcolor="Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color" | SNP 53 47 45–48 49
bgcolor="Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color" | Liberal Democrats 6 5 8–14 13
bgcolor="Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color" | Plaid Cymru 2 3 4–5 3
bgcolor="Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color" | Green Party 1 1 1 1
bgcolor="Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color" | UKIP 0 0 0 0
bgcolor="Template:Independent (politician)/meta/color" | Others 1[n 12] 18[n 13] 19 N/A
Overall result (probability) Conservative
majority
(100%)
Conservative
majority
(76%)
Conservative
majority
Conservative
majority
(91%)

Predictions two weeks before the vote

Parties Election
Forecast[297]
as of 26 May 2017
Electoral
Calculus[298]
as of 28 May 2017
Lord
Ashcroft[299]
as of 26 May 2017
Elections
Etc.[300]
as of 26 May 2017
New
Statesman[301]
as of 26 May 2017
bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservatives 364 383 396 375 371
bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour Party 212 196 180 188 199
bgcolor="Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color" | SNP 45 49 47 50 55
bgcolor="Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color" | Liberal Democrats 8 2 6 10 5
bgcolor="Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color" | Plaid Cymru 2 1 2 3
bgcolor="Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color" | Green Party 0 1 0 1
bgcolor="Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color" | UKIP 0 0 0 0
bgcolor="Template:Independent (politician)/meta/color" | Others 1[n 12] 18[n 13] 19
Overall result (probability) Conservative
majority
(94%)
Conservative
majority
(73%)
Conservative
majority
Conservative
majority
(87%)
Conservative
majority

Predictions one week before the vote

Parties Election
Forecast[302]
as of 1 June 2017
Electoral
Calculus[303]
as of 31 May 2017
New
Statesman[304]
as of 31 May 2017
YouGov[305]
as of 1 June 2017
Britain Elects[306]
as of 1 June 2017
bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservatives 379 368 359 317 362
bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour Party 195 208 209 253 206
bgcolor="Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color" | SNP 46 50 54 47 47
bgcolor="Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color" | Liberal Democrats 7 3 7 9 11
bgcolor="Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color" | Plaid Cymru 2 2 3 4
bgcolor="Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color" | Green Party 1 1 1 1
bgcolor="Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color" | UKIP 1 0 0 0
bgcolor="Template:Independent (politician)/meta/color" | Others 1[n 12] 18[n 13] 2 19
Overall result (probability) Conservative
majority
(98%)
Conservative
majority
(71%)
Conservative
majority
Hung
parliament
Conservative
majority

Predictions less than a week before the vote

The UK's first-past-the-post electoral system means that national shares of the vote do not give an exact indicator of how the various parties will be represented in Parliament. Different commentators and pollsters currently provide a number of predictions, based on polls and other data, as to how the parties will be represented in Parliament:

Parties 2015
election
result
Election
Forecast[302]
as of 8 June 2017
Electoral
Calculus[307]
as of 8 June 2017
Lord
Ashcroft[299]
as of 8 June 2017[308]
Elections
Etc.[309]
as of 8 June 2017
New
Statesman[310]
as of 8 June 2017
YouGov[311]
as of 8 June 2017
Britain Elects[312]
as of 8 June 2017
bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservatives 330 366 358 357 358 337 302 356
bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour Party 232 207 218 217 214 227 269 219
bgcolor="Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color" | SNP 56 46 49 44 47 54 44 43
bgcolor="Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color" | Liberal Democrats 8 7 3 5 9 10 12 9
bgcolor="Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color" | Plaid Cymru 3 3 3 1 3 2 3
bgcolor="Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color" | Green Party 1 1 1 0 1 1 1
bgcolor="Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color" | UKIP 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
bgcolor="Template:Independent (politician)/meta/color" | Others 19 1[313] 18[314] 19 20 19
Overall result Conservative
majority of 10
Conservative
majority of 82
Conservative
majority of 66
Conservative
majority of 64
Conservative
majority of 66
Conservative
majority of 24
Hung
Parliament

(Con 24 seats short)
Conservative
majority of 62
  • Electoral Calculus maintains a running projection of seats according to latest polls on its website. It also maintains a seat-by-seat projection for Scotland.[303]
  • Election Forecast also maintains a projection of seats based on current opinion poll averages on their website.[302]
  • Elections Etc. issues regular forecasts based on current opinion poll averages, Betting Markets, expert predictions and other sources on their website.[317]
  • Britain Elects maintains a 'nowcast' – a projection showing what the result would be if held today – of seats based on historical data as well as national and regional polling.[306]

Exit poll

An exit poll, conducted by GfK and Ipsos MORI on behalf of the BBC, ITV and Sky News, was published at the end of voting at 10 pm, predicting the number of seats for each party, with the Conservatives being the largest party, but short of an overall majority:[319] Actual results were close to the prediction.

Parties Seats Change
bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative Party 314 Decrease 16
bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour Party 266 Increase 34
bgcolor="Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color" | Scottish National Party 34 Decrease 22
bgcolor="Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color" | Liberal Democrats 14 Increase 6
bgcolor="Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color" | Plaid Cymru 3 Steady
bgcolor="Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color" | Green Party 1 Steady
bgcolor="Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color" | UK Independence Party 0 Decrease 1
bgcolor="Template:Independent (politician)/meta/color" | Others 18 Decrease 1
Conservatives 12 short of a majority

Results

Results for all constituencies except Kensington were reported by the morning after the election. The Conservatives remained the largest single party but without an absolute majority.

In Scotland, the Conservatives, Labour and the Liberal Democrats all won seats from the SNP, whose losses were blamed by some primarily on public opposition to the proposed second Scottish independence referendum. The Conservatives placed second for the first time since the 1992 election, won their largest number of seats in Scotland since the 1983 election[320] and recorded their highest share of the vote there since the 1979 election. The Scottish Conservatives also became the largest unionist party in Scotland for the first time since the 1955 election. At the previous election, the SNP held 56 of the 59 Westminster Parliament seats in Scotland.

In England, Labour took seats chiefly from the Conservatives. The Lib Dems lost four seats – including Sheffield Hallam, defended by former Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg – but regained eight previously lost seats, including Twickenham, won back by Vince Cable.[321]

In Wales, Labour won three seats previously held by the Conservatives while Plaid Cymru won the Lib Dems' only Welsh seat.[322]

In Northern Ireland, the smaller parties did badly: the SDLP, UUP and Alliance Party all failed to win a single seat; all seats were won by either the DUP (who won 10) or Sinn Féin (who won 7), with the exception of North Down, held by the independent unionist Sylvia Hermon.[323] The overall ratio of unionist to nationalist Northern Irish MP's remained the same (eleven unionist to seven nationalist).

The results left the DUP as kingmakers, and May announced that she intended to form a minority government with their support.[324] Sinn Fein, who recorded their best result since partition, subsequently confirmed it would maintain its policy of abstentionism, leaving the Conservatives five seats short of a sitting majority. Their abstentionism in the circumstances was criticised by various people, including Micheal Martin, leader of Fianna Fáil in the Republic of Ireland, who also noted the resultant lack of nationalist representation in the House of Commons.[325]

UKIP failed to win a seat and saw a heavy decrease in its vote share. Their leader, Paul Nuttall, came third in Boston and Skegness and resigned the day after the election.[326]

style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:48.8%;" | 317 style="background:Template:Democratic Unionist Party/meta/color; width:1.5%;" | 10 style="background:Template:Independent (politician)/meta/color; width:0.2%;" | style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color; width:0.2%;" | style="background:Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color; width:0.6%;" | style="background:Template:Sinn Féin/meta/color; width:1.1%;" | 7 style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color; width:1.8%;" | 12 style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color; color:black; width:5.4%;" | 35 style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:40.2%;" | 262
Conservative D
U
P
L
D
SNP Labour
Party Leader MPs Votes
Of total ± Of total ±
Conservative Party style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;" | Theresa May 317 48.8%
317 / 650
Decrease13 13,632,914 42.3%
Increase5.4
Labour Party style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;" | Jeremy Corbyn 262 40.3%
262 / 650
Increase30 12,874,985 40.0%
Increase9.5
Scottish National Party style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color;" | Nicola Sturgeon 35 5.4%
35 / 650
Decrease21 977,569 3.0%
Decrease1.7
Liberal Democrats style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color;" | Tim Farron 12 1.8%
12 / 650
Increase4 2,371,772 7.4%
Decrease0.5
Democratic Unionist Party style="background:Template:Democratic Unionist Party/meta/color;" | Arlene Foster 10 1.5%
10 / 650
Increase2 292,316 0.9%
Increase0.3
Sinn Féin style="background:Template:Sinn Féin/meta/color;" | Gerry Adams 7 1.1%
7 / 650
Increase3 238,915 0.7%
Increase0.2
Plaid Cymru style="background:Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color" | Leanne Wood 4 0.6%
4 / 650
Increase1 164,466 0.5%
Decrease0.1
Green Party style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color;" | Jonathan Bartley
Caroline Lucas
1 0.2%
1 / 650
Steady 525,371 1.6%
Decrease2.1
Speaker style="background:Template:Speaker of the British House of Commons/meta/color;" | John Bercow 1 0.2%
1 / 650
Steady 34,299 0.1%
Steady
Independent style="background:Template:Independent (politician)/meta/color;" | Sylvia Hermon 1 0.2%
1 / 650
Steady 16,148 0.1%
Steady
UK Independence Party style="background:Template:UKIP/meta/color;" | Paul Nuttall 0 0.0%
0 / 650
Decrease1 593,852 1.8%
Decrease10.8
Social Democratic & Labour Party style="background:Template:Social Democratic and Labour Party/meta/color;" | Colum Eastwood 0 0.0%
0 / 650
Decrease3 95,419 0.3%
Steady
Ulster Unionist Party style="background:Template:Ulster Unionist Party/meta/color;" | Robin Swann 0 0.0%
0 / 650
Decrease2 83,280 0.3%
Decrease0.1
Alliance Party of Northern Ireland style="background:Template:Alliance Party of Northern Ireland/meta/color;" | Naomi Long 0 0.0%
0 / 650
Steady 64,553 0.2%
Steady
Total 650 100% 31,965,859

Results in England

Seats, of total, by party

  Conservative (48.8%)
  Labour (40.3%)
  SNP (5.4%)
  DUP (1.5%)
  Sinn Féin (1.1%)
  Plaid Cymru (0.6%)
  Green (0.2%)
  Speaker (0.2%)
  Independent (0.2%)

Votes, of total, by party

  Conservative (42.4%)
  Labour (40.0%)
  SNP (3.0%)
  UKIP (1.8%)
  Green (1.6%)
  DUP (0.9%)
  Sinn Féin (0.7%)
  Plaid Cymru (0.5%)
  Other (1.7%)
style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #0087DC;" data-sort-value="Conservative Party (UK)" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #E4003B;" data-sort-value="Labour Party (UK)" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #FAA61A;" data-sort-value="Liberal Democrats (UK)" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #02A95B;" data-sort-value="Green Party of England and Wales" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #6D3177;" data-sort-value="UKIP" |
Party Seats Votes
Total Gained Lost Net Total % Change (%)
Conservative 297 7 29 −22 12,376,530 45.6 +4.6
Labour 227 26 5 +21 11,386,624 41.9 +10.3
Liberal Democrats 8 5 3 +2 2,121,672 7.8 −0.4
Green 1 0 0 0 506,905 1.9 −2.3
UKIP 0 0 1 −1 557,174 2.1 −12.1
  Others 0 0 0 0 210,321 0.8 +0.6
Total 533 27,159,226 Turnout 69.1%

[327]

Results in Scotland

style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #FDF38E;" data-sort-value="Scottish National Party" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #0087DC;" data-sort-value="Conservative Party (UK)" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #E4003B;" data-sort-value="Labour Party (UK)" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #FAA61A;" data-sort-value="Liberal Democrats (UK)" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #00B140;" data-sort-value="Scottish Green Party" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #6D3177;" data-sort-value="UKIP" |
Party Seats Votes
Total Gained Lost Net Total % Change (%)
SNP 35 0 21 −21 977,569 36.9 −13.1
Conservative 13 12 0 +12 757,949 28.6 +13.7
Labour 7 6 0 +6 717,007 27.1 +2.8
Liberal Democrats 4 3 0 +3 179,061 6.8 −0.8
Scottish Green 0 0 0 0 5,886 0.2 −1.1
UKIP 0 0 0 0 5,302 0.2 −1.4
  Others 0 0 0 0 6,920 0.3 +0.2
Total 59 2,649,695 Turnout 66.4%

[328]

Results in Wales

style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #E4003B;" data-sort-value="Welsh Labour Party" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #0087DC;" data-sort-value="Welsh Conservative Party" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #005B54;" data-sort-value="Plaid Cymru" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #FAA61A;" data-sort-value="Welsh Liberal Democrats" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #6D3177;" data-sort-value="UKIP" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #02A95B;" data-sort-value="Green Party of England and Wales" |
Party Seats Votes
Total Gained Lost Net Total % Change (%)
Labour 28 3 0 +3 771,354 48.9 +12.1
Conservative 8 0 3 −3 528,839 33.6 +6.3
Plaid Cymru 4 1 0 +1 164,466 10.4 −1.7
Liberal Democrats 0 0 1 −1 71,039 4.5 −2.0
UKIP 0 0 0 0 31,376 2.0 −11.6
Green 0 0 0 0 5,128 0.3 −2.2
  Others 0 0 0 0 3,612 0.2 −0.1
Total 40 1,575,814 Turnout 68.6%

Results in Northern Ireland

style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #D46A4C;" data-sort-value="Democratic Unionist Party" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #326760;" data-sort-value="Sinn Fein" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #2AA82C;" data-sort-value="Social Democratic and Labour Party" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #48A5EE;" data-sort-value="Ulster Unionist Party" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #F6CB2F;" data-sort-value="Alliance Party of Northern Ireland" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #8dc63f;" data-sort-value="Green Party of Northern Ireland" | style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #0C3A6A;" data-sort-value="Traditional Unionist Voice" |
Party Seats Votes
Total Gained Lost Net Total % Change (%)
DUP 10 2 0 +2 292,316 36.0 +10.3
Sinn Féin 7 3 0 +3 238,915 29.4 +4.9
SDLP 0 0 3 −3 95,419 11.7 −2.2
UUP 0 0 2 −2 83,280 10.3 −5.8
Alliance 0 0 0 0 64,553 7.0 −0.6
Green (NI) 0 0 0 0 7,452 0.9 −0.0
TUV 0 0 0 0 3,282 0.4 −1.9
  Others 1 0 0 0 26,966 3.3 −1.8
Total 18 812,183 Turnout 65.4%

Notable firsts

Newly elected MPs included Britain's first turbaned Sikh MP, Tan Dhesi,[329] the first female Sikh MP, Preet Gill,[330] and the first MP of Palestinian descent, Layla Moran.[331]

A record number of female and LGBTQ MPs were elected.[332][333] 201 female MPs were elected to Parliament; the first time more than 200 MPs were female and beating the previous high of 196 female MPs in the last Parliament.[334] For the first time, a majority of MPs were educated at state comprehensive schools.[335]

Seats which changed allegiance

Aftermath

On 9 June, Theresa May apologised to candidates who lost their seats and confirmed she would continue as party leader and prime minister, with the intention of forming a minority goverment with support from the Northern Ireland Democratic Unionist Party in order to ensure "certainty". Her statements were condemned by opposition leaders including Jeremy Corbyn and Tim Farron calling on her to resign.[336][337]

After a meeting with Queen Elizabeth II at Buckingham Palace, May said the new government will lead Brexit talks. She reappointed Boris Johnson as Foreign Secretary, Amber Rudd as Home Secretary, Michael Fallon as Secretary of State for Defence, Philip Hammond as Chancellor of the Exchequer and David Davis as Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union.[337]

Notes

  1. ^ As Sinn Féin MPs do not take their seats, in practice the number of MPs needed for a majority is slightly lower. Sinn Féin won 7 seats, meaning a practical majority requires at least 322 MPs.
  2. ^ a b Nicola Sturgeon sits as an MSP in the Scottish Parliament for Glasgow Govan.
  3. ^ a b Arlene Foster sits as an MLA in the Northern Ireland Assembly for Fermanagh and South Tyrone.
  4. ^ a b Gerry Adams sits as a TD in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
  5. ^ Or, in the case of a British citizen who moved abroad before the age of 18, if his/her parent/guardian was on the Electoral Register in the UK in the last 15 years
  6. ^ a b The deadline for the receipt and determination of anonymous electoral registration applications is one working day before the publication date of the notice of alteration to the Electoral Register (that is the sixth working day before polling day).[17]
  7. ^ Leanne Wood sits as an AM in the Welsh Assembly for the Rhondda.
  8. ^ Paul Nuttall sits as an MEP in the European Parliament for NW England. He contested the seat of Boston and Skegness and finished third.
  9. ^ Colum Eastwood sits as an MLA in the Northern Ireland Assembly for Foyle.
  10. ^ Robin Swann sits as an MLA in the Northern Ireland Assembly for North Antrim.
  11. ^ Naomi Long sits as an MLA in the Northern Ireland Assembly for East Belfast. She contested the equivalent UK Parliament seat and finished second.
  12. ^ a b c GB forecast only
  13. ^ a b c Electoral Calculus counts Speaker John Bercow in the Conservative total

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