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2018 Massachusetts gubernatorial election

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Massachusetts gubernatorial election, 2018
← 2014 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2022 →
 
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent Governor

Charlie Baker
Republican



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The 2018 Massachusetts gubernatorial election will take place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Massachusetts.

Incumbent Republican Governor Charlie Baker is eligible to run for re-election to a second term in office. Governor Baker has yet to announce his intentions, but is widely expected to run and win decisively, holding impressive approval ratings throughout his term.[1]

Republican primary

Some conservative members of the Republican Party have stated that the Governor could face a Republican challenger in 2018 if he is too moderate. GOP state committeeman Robert Cappucci told the Boston Herald that if Baker "shuns conservatives...there will be 100 percent an effort to try to find a conservative, viable candidate to challenge him in 2018 for governor". David Kopacz, the president of the Massachusetts Republican Assembly, has also stated that Baker may face a conservative challenger in 2018.[2]

Governor

Candidates

Potential

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Carl E. Jacobsen[3]
Potential

Democratic primary

In November 2014, after interviewing over a dozen Democratic operatives, strategists, and activists, Joshua Miller of The Boston Globe wrote that the party would be looking for a young, fresh candidate who can appeal to the party's progressive base. He identified Attorney General-elect Maura Healey as being "the first name on many Democratic lists".[4] Samantha Lachman of The Huffington Post also identified Healey as a potential candidate for Governor in 2018 or in a future United States Senate race.[5]

As of July 2017, the declared candidates are relatively unknown to the state's voters.[1] Their identification by Democratic voters was bolstered by addressing the 2017 state Democratic Convention, which saw its largest attendance of around 3,000 delegates in years.[6]

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Jay Gonzelez
Individuals
Setti Warren
Individuals

United Independent nomination

Because Evan Falchuk received more than 3% of the vote in the 2014 gubernatorial election, the United Independent Party has gained official status.[29] Falchuck had stated that he would "certainly" run for office in 2018.[30] In 2016 however, the UIP lost its official party status after it failed to register 1% of Massachusetts voters as members.[31] Evan Falchuk later left the UIP and registered as a Democrat in early 2017 after UIP lost its official party status. [32][33]

Candidates

Declined

General Election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Charlie Baker (R) Jay Gonzalez (D) Other % Undecided/Don't Know
WBUR/MassINC June 19–22, 2017 504 RV ± 4.4% 55% 22% 1% 22%[35]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Charlie Baker (R) Bob Massie (D) Other % Undecided/Don't Know
WBUR/MassINC June 19–22, 2017 504 RV ± 4.4% 55% 25% 1% 19%[35]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Charlie Baker (R) Setti Warren (D) Other % Undecided/Don't Know
WBUR/MassINC June 19–22, 2017 504 RV ± 4.4% 53% 26% 1% 19%[35]
UMass Amherst/WBZ September 15–20, 2016 400 RV ± 4.1% 40% 17% - 36%

Hypothetical polling

References

  1. ^ a b "This Massachusetts Democrat comes closest to beating Gov. Charlie Baker in 2018, WBUR/MassINC poll says". masslive.com. Retrieved 2017-07-22.
  2. ^ Stout, Matt; Cassidy, Chris (November 13, 2014). "Waiting for Mr. Right: Conservative wing of GOP warns Charlie Baker". Boston Herald.
  3. ^ [1]
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i Miller, Joshua (November 13, 2014). "Mass. Democrats are on to 2018". The Boston Globe.
  5. ^ a b Lachman, Samantha (November 17, 2014). "These Democrats Could Be The Party's Ticket To A Comeback". Huffington Post.
  6. ^ "Who can beat Gov. Charlie Baker?: Candidates make their cases at the Massachusetts Democratic Convention in Worcester". masslive.com. Retrieved 2017-07-22.
  7. ^ O'Sullivan, Jim (January 30, 2016). "Democrat Jay Gonzalez launches bid for governor". Boston Globe.
  8. ^ O'Sullivan, Jim (April 24, 2017). "Robert K. Massie enters race for governor". Boston Globe.
  9. ^ Jarmanning, Ally (April 24, 2017). "Environmentalist Robert Massie Announces Run For Governor". WBUR News.
  10. ^ Prim, Alexandra (May 20, 2017). "Setti Warren announces bid for gov. in Mass".
  11. ^ Miller, Joshua (June 8, 2015). "Joe Avellone, candidate for governor in '14, open to another run". The Boston Globe.
  12. ^ Ramos, Nestor (12 February 2017). "Evan Falchuk, former independent candidate, switches to Democratic Party". The Boston Globe. Retrieved 15 February 2017.
  13. ^ Levenson, Michael (November 15, 2016). "Kerry for governor? A Chicopee activist wants to draft him". The Boston Globe. Retrieved November 15, 2016.
  14. ^ http://www.necn.com/news/new-england/Who-Will-Run-For-Mayor-of-Boston-in-2018-401499716.html?akmobile=o&nms=y
  15. ^ Murphy, Matt (November 9, 2015). "Cape Senator Wolf sees future service in 'different form'". The Patriot Ledger.
  16. ^ Miller, Joshua (March 14, 2016). "Outgoing state senator ponders running against Baker". The Boston Globe. Retrieved July 7, 2016.
  17. ^ Primack, Dan (November 19, 2014). "Massachusetts venture capitalist shuts down governor talk". Fortune. Retrieved September 20, 2016.
  18. ^ Miller, Joshua (November 9, 2015). "Katherine Clark's rise in D.C. has Democrats looking ahead". The Boston Globe. Retrieved September 20, 2016.
  19. ^ Levulis, Jim (January 25, 2016). "W. Mass. Senator Downing Not Running For Reelection". WAMC. Retrieved September 20, 2016.
  20. ^ Quinn, Garrett (November 13, 2014). "As Governor Deval Patrick departs, who are the rising stars in the Massachusetts Democratic Party?". Mass Live.
  21. ^ Schoenberg, Shira (August 17, 2016). "Massachusetts Attorney General Maura Healey rules out run for higher office". The Republican. Retrieved August 24, 2016.
  22. ^ Metzger, Andy (January 18, 2017). "Kennedy says he will seek re-election in 2018". Boston Herald. Retrieved January 20, 2017.
  23. ^ Phillips, Frank (June 30, 2016). "Meehan to close campaign fund, give $4.35m balance to foundation". The Boston Globe. Retrieved July 7, 2016.
  24. ^ Clauss, Kyle Scott (February 24, 2017). "Seth Moulton Says He Has "No Plans" to Challenge Charlie Baker". Boston Magazine. Retrieved May 6, 2017.
  25. ^ DeCosta-Klipa, Nik (January 24, 2017). "Boston Mayor Marty Walsh isn't ruling out a future gubernatorial run". Boston.com. Retrieved February 2, 2017.
  26. ^ "L'Italien endorses Gonzalez for governor, knocks Baker as timid". Retrieved April 27, 2017.
  27. ^ "Northampton mayor backs gubernatorial hopeful Setti Warren". Retrieved July 11, 2017.
  28. ^ "Goldstein-Rose becomes 1st legislator to endorse Setti Warren for governor". Retrieved August 4, 2017.
  29. ^ Emmanouilidou, Lydia (November 6, 2014). "United Independent Party Gains Official Status". WGBH (FM). Retrieved 7 November 2014.
  30. ^ a b Morrison, Sara (November 5, 2014). "The United Independent Party Is Official, and Evan Falchuk's Work Has Just Begun". Boston.com.
  31. ^ Dezenski, Lauren (October 31, 2016). "United Independent Party loses state party designation". Politico. Retrieved 23 January 2017.
  32. ^ https://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2017/02/12/switch/b84oZEjZyFyGSnn5OHl5jO/story.html#comments
  33. ^ http://www.politico.com/states/massachusetts/story/2016/10/united-independent-party-loses-state-party-designation-106905
  34. ^ Ramos, Nestor (12 February 2017). "Evan Falchuk, former independent candidate, switches to Democratic Party". The Boston Globe. Retrieved 15 February 2017.
  35. ^ a b c d "Would not vote" option included in undecideds


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