Financial astrology
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Financial astrology (also known as business astrology, economic astrology, and/or astro-economics) is a pseudoscientific practice of relating the movements of celestial bodies to events in financial markets. The use of astrology in financial markets is not consistent with standard economic or financial theory.
As with astrology in general, predictions are vague and hard dates are rarely given. Long term predictions are made based on patterns relative to astronomical events.[1][2] Critics have pointed out that some astrological events that have been used in predictions occur so rarely that they may have never happened before within a human lifetime, thus having no precedent on which to predict results.[2]
On the other hand, proponents note that the field of economics is itself rarely able accurately to predict market movements, qualifying large parts of it as analogous to soothsaying (using complex jargon, devoid of empirical evidence of quality of predictions). Proponents further argue that Astrology may operate in the extra-scientific domain at a time when science has been unable effectively to predict market movements. As such, financial astrology, unlike mainstream economics, attempts to take into account the effects of nature on human emotions, which are the source of a large proportion of market variance.
History
Financial astrology has been used in various formats since 463BC.[3]
In 1992, 1994 and 2008, a magazine by the name of Wall Street Forecaster was named as one of the top forecasters on Wall Street, as the superstition was being leaned on for luck.[4] It was also rated the second best performing forecaster in 2002.[4] It was reported that some clients asked for their copies to be delivered in 'brown paper' to avoid mockery [citation needed]. As of 2001 the Astro fund trading company, which handled $3.5-5 million worth of investor assets, claimed 10-15% of fund managers were using their service or a similar company.[5] The majority of the market demand for this service has come from the US and Japan respectively.[6] In 2000, Bloomberg News was host to a weekly show dedicated to financial astrology.[6] The 2000 financial crash led to a surge in companies and investment bankers using the services of financial astrologers.[7][8]
Criticism
Large financial firms tend to ignore financial astrology. The practice was used by Goldman Sachs in a paper released in 1999, focusing specifically on the correlation between eclipses and the state of the financial market at that time[citation needed]. Though floated as an idea by the company at the time, analysis showed that random data produced similar results.[9] A 2007 study by The British Association for the Advancement of Science conducted an experiment wherein a financial astrologer, professional investor, and five-year-old child, were asked to invest £5,000 on the FTSE100. The child earned the most money, with the financial astrologer taking the heaviest losses.[10]
References
- ^ Starich, Karen (May 30, 2012). "Financial Astrology: The Key to Future Investing". Benzinga. Retrieved January 12, 2015.
- ^ a b Inthirarajah, Arul (August 15, 1992). "How to read the planets". Business Times. Singapore.
- ^ Slotsky, Alice Louise (1997). The Bourse of Babylon: Market Quotations in the Astronomical Diaries of Babylonia. Michigan: UMI Dissertation Services. ISBN 1883053420.
- ^ a b Storr, Will (December 1, 2013). "Could the stars predict the markets?; The position of the planets doesn't make a share price plummet. Or does it? This is what 'financial astrologers' claim -- and many traders believe them, finds Will Storr". The Sunday Telegraph. London. pp. 14–15.
- ^ "Managers Turn in to Horoscope Know-How; Wall Street Stars: Astrologers Forecast a Heavenly Return". Birmingham Post. March 17, 2001. p. 28.
- ^ a b Lee, Sandra (August 5, 2000). "Star advice for kooky investors". The Daily Telegraph. Sydney, Australia. p. 33.
- ^ Jarvis, David (February 8, 2009). "The stars rescue our banks". Sunday Express. p. 21.
- ^ Krantz, Matt (May 26, 2000). "Stars above! Some investors seeking astrological guidance -- really". USA Today. p. 1B.
- ^ Bulsara, Hament (March 18, 2001). "If Crystal Ball is Cloudy, Just Turn to the Stars". The Toronto Star.
- ^ "Star fad takes the pisces". The Sun. England. June 26, 2007.