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2019 Indian general election

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Indian general election, 2019

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543 seats of Lok Sabha
272 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Narendra Modi Rahul Gandhi
Party BJP INC
Alliance NDA UPA
Leader since 13 September 2013 11 December 2017
Leader's seat Varanasi Amethi
Last election 282 44


A map showing the constituencies of the Lok Sabha

The 2019 Indian general election is scheduled to be held in 7 phases from 11 April 2019 to 19 May 2019 to constitute the 17th Lok Sabha. The counting of votes will be conducted on 23 May 2019 and on the same day the results will be declared.[1][2][3][4]

Legislative Assembly elections in the states of Andhra Pradesh, Arunachal Pradesh, Odisha and Sikkim will be held simultaneously with the general election.[5][6]

Background

File:Loksabha Election 2019 ECI official logo Desh Ka Mahatyauhar.jpg
Official logo

Electoral system

The 543 elected MPs will be elected from single-member constituencies using first-past-the-post voting. The President of India nominates an additional two members from the Anglo-Indian community if he believes the community is under-represented.[7]

Eligible voters must be Indian citizens, 18 or older, an ordinary resident of the polling area of the constituency and possess a valid voter identification card issued by the Election Commission of India. Some people convicted of electoral or other offences are barred from voting.[8]

Earlier there were speculations that the Modi Government might prepone the 2019 general election to counter the anti-incumbency factor, however learning from its past blunder of preponing election made by Vajpayee Government it decided to go into election as per the normal schedule[9] which was announced by Election Commission of India (ECI) on 10 March 2019, after which Model Code of Conduct was applied with immediate effect.[10]

Election schedule

The election is scheduled to be held in 7 phases. The date of counting is 23 May. In Bihar, Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal election will be held in 7 phases (maximum). The polling for Anantanag Lok Sabha constituency in the state of Jammu and Kashmir will be held in 3 phases, the first of its kind.

Election Dates of Indian General Election, 2019
Election Schedule
Phase Date Lok Sabha constituencies Number of States/UTs States/UTs
1 11 April 91 20 Andhra Pradesh, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jammu and Kashmir, Maharashtra,Mizoram, Manipur, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Odisha, Sikkim, Telangana, Tripura, Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, West Bengal, Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Lakshadweep
2 18 April 97 13 Assam, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jammu and Kashmir, Karnataka, Maharashtra, Manipur, Odisha, Tamil Nadu, Tripura, Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal, Puducherry
3 23 April 115 14 Assam, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Gujarat, Goa, Jammu and Kashmir, Karnataka, Kerala, Maharashtra, Odisha, Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal, Dadra and Nagar Haveli, Daman and Diu
4 29 April 71 9 Bihar, Jammu and Kashmir, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Odisha, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal
5 6 May 51 7 Bihar, Jammu and Kashmir, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal
6 12 May 59 7 Bihar, Haryana, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal, Delhi
7 19 May 59 8 Bihar, Himachal, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Punjab, West Bengal, Chandigarh, Uttar Pradesh

Campaign

On 12 January 2019, Indian prime minister Narendra Modi launched the Bharatiya Janata Party's election campaign, which sought a second term in government.[11] Commentators have suggested that Modi and BJP will base their campaign on Hindu nationalism, relative to their 2014 campaign, which had emphasised job creation and economic development.[12][13]

On the same day, both Mayawati (president of the Bahujan Samaj Party) and Akhilesh Yadav (president of the Samajwadi Party) announced an alliance to contest 76 seats out of the 80 in Uttar Pradesh and the alliance will not fight in Amethi and Rae Bareli as they are represented by Rahul Gandhi and Sonia Gandhi. The alliance did not include Congress, which Mayawati explained: "Including Congress in the alliance will hurt SP-BSP prospects as Congress's votes do not get transferred." The alliance was the second of its kind with a similar coalition formed 25 years ago in 1993.[14]

A number of issues are expected to be of importance in this election. These include the country's recent conflict with Pakistan, unemployment, and national security.[15]

Among the interventions by the EC was a ban on the use of images of Pulwama martyrs. Later, CEO Teeka Ram Meena put a ban on the use of issues related to the Sabarimala temple during the poll campaign.

Key Issues

Alleged undermining of democratic institutions and processes

Opposition parties have claimed that the NDA government is destroying democratic institutions and processes[16]. The judiciary[17], parliament, media, Reserve Bank of India[18], Central Bureau of Investigation[19],  Right to Information Act[20] are claimed to have been undermined by the government. Opposition parties have campaigned heavily on this issue.[21]

Citizenship amendment bill

Main article: Citizenship Amendment Bill 2016

The citizenship amendment bill brought to parliament plans to allow persecuted minorities of the countries born due to partition of British India (such as Pakistan, Bangladesh and Afghanistan) into Indian citizenship[22]. The bill has led to political backlash in Assam and caused unrest in other parts of India's northeast, with protests by ethnic Assamese groups.[23] On 7 January 2019, 70 organisations across Assam observed "Disgust Day" and protested the bill[24]. On 29 January 2019, 10 Northeast India political parties and National Democratic Alliance ally Janata Dal (United) met in Assam and decided to oppose the bill[25].

On 8 February 2019, Modi began a visit to three northeast states[26]. To protest against the bill, the All Assam Students Union raised slogans and raised black flags to prime minister Narendra Modi in Guwahati[27]. Due to protests, restrictions on assembly were imposed in Guwahati under Section 144 of the Code of Criminal Procedure[28]. Asom Gana Parishad staged a march with torches.

Unemployment

Main article: Unemployment in India

As of at least 7 February 2019, the NDA government denied the existence of any job crisis[29]. Prime minister Narendra Modi claimed that jobs are not lacking but data on jobs has been lacking[30][31]. Government has delayed releasing of the official report on unemployment[32]. Two government officials, including the acting chairperson of National Statistical Commission, resigned, protesting the withholding of the Annual Survey on Employment and Unemployment for the year 2017–18[33]. A leaked version of the report showed unemployment rate in India at a 45-year high during 2017–2018[34]. Government has claimed that the report was not final[35]. But the acting chairperson that resigned has alleged that the government was suppressing the report. A former chairman of the NSC, said, on condition of anonymity, that the report approved by the NSC would be the final version.

On 7 February 2019, an estimated 30 thousand youth protested the absence of jobs in the National Capital Region as part of a "Young India Adhikar" march.

Corruption

Main article: Corruption in India

Rafale deal

Main article: Rafale deal controversy

Opposition parties have alleged price escalations and corporate favouritism in Rafale aircraft deal. The NDA government has denied the allegations.

The Supreme Court has dismissed public interest litigations on the Rafale deal and said that the processes were followed without any commercial favouritism to industrialist Anil Ambani, one of the beneficiaries of the deal. However the judgement was riddled with factual errors about a nonexistent Comptroller and Auditor General report on the audit of the Rafale deal and a nonexistent report being examined by the Public Accounts Committee. Congress , while not being a petitioner, has alleged that the NDA government misled the Supreme Court and raised questions about existence of the CAG report. Government has claimed that it did not mislead the Supreme Court but the Supreme Court misinterpreted statements made by government in sealed cover submitted by it. The government has asked the Supreme Court to correct the error in its judgement. A review petition on the Rafale deal deal judgement has been filed by the original petitioners on 2 January 2019. The Aam Aadmi Party member of parliament moved the Supreme Court seeking a review of the verdict on 14 January 2019. Congress has been demanding a joint parliamentary committee to investigate the Rafale deal.

Congress has heavily attacked prime minister Narendra Modi and NDA government on this issue in run up to the general election.

After fresh revelations in The Hindu, based on an official document about defence ministry protesting the prime minister`s role in conducting parallel negotiations and undermining the Rafale negotiations, the Congress launched fresh attacks on prime minister Narendra Modi. The defence minister Nirmala Sitharaman rejected all fresh claims made by Congress. In another leaked document the former defence minister Manohar Parrikar replied to defence ministry note as over-reaction. More questions were raised by Congress and Jammu & Kashmir National Conference about the former minister's reply to the defence ministry note. Arvind Kejriwal of Aam Aadmi Party demanded a raid by the Central Bureau of Investigation on the Prime Minister's office in the light of fresh leaks. Aam Aadmi Party also lodged a police compliant against the prime minister Narendra Modi.

Agriculture

Main article: Agriculture in India

Agrarian distress

Main article: Farmers suicides in India

Low food prices and low growth rate of the agricultural sector has created massive agrarian distress, resulting in a large number of farmer protests across country. To mitigate the crisis National Democratic Alliance (NDA) government announced an increase in minimum support price but the increase as well as its effective implementation are highly debated.

The NDA government announced a "PM-Kisan scheme" which promises an annual direct monetary assistance of Rs 6,000 to small and marginal farmers, unveiled in the Interim Union budget of India on 1 February 2019. However, the government's initiative was considered insufficient by farmers from various parts of country. Unhappy with the PM-Kisan scheme, the Bharatiya Kisan Union has called for a bandh on 14 February 2019. Trinamool Congress-led Government of West Bengal and Congress-led Government of Madhya Pradesh have questioned the merits of the PM-Kisan scheme.

In response to the PM-Kisan scheme, Rahul Gandhi of Congress promised farm loan waiver across India. Prime minister Narendra Modi termed a 'gimmick' to win votes.

Ram temple

Main article: Ram Janmabhoomi

The BJP supports the building of a Ram temple on the disputed land in Ayodhya, Uttar Pradesh. It is seen that the party will campaign heavily on the issue during the election. It is viewed that prime minister Narendra Modi and the Uttar Pradesh chief minister Yogi Adityanath are pushing for the construction of the Ram temple to garner the majority Hindu vote.

Alliances

Note : Data given below is just for certain states and not the entire country.

National Democratic Alliance

Party States/UTs contested Seats
Contested Won
Bharatiya Janata Party Andhra Pradesh 25 437
Arunachal Pradesh 2
Assam 10
Bihar 17
Chhattisgarh 11
Goa 2
Gujarat 26
Haryana 10
Himachal Pradesh 4
Jammu and Kashmir[36] 6
Jharkhand 13
Karnataka 27
Kerala 15
Madhya Pradesh 29
Maharashtra 25
Manipur 2
Meghalaya[37] 2
Mizoram[38] 1
Odisha 21
Punjab 3
Rajasthan 25
Tamil Nadu 5
Telangana 17
Tripura 2
Uttar Pradesh 77
Uttarakhand 5
West Bengal 42
Andaman and Nicobar Islands 1
Chandigarh 1
Dadra and Nagar Haveli 1
Daman and Diu 1
Delhi 7
Lakshadweep 1
Shiv Sena[39] Maharashtra 23
All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam[40] Tamil Nadu 20
Janata Dal (United)[41] Bihar 17
Shiromani Akali Dal[42] Punjab 10
Pattali Makkal Katchi[40] Tamil Nadu 7
Lok Janshakti Party[41] Bihar 6
Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam[43] Tamil Nadu 4
Bharath Dharma Jana Sena Kerala 4
Asom Gana Parishad Assam 3
Apna Dal (Sonelal) Uttar Pradesh 2
Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Party Uttar Pradesh 1
All Jharkhand Students Union[44] Jharkhand 1
Puthiya Tamilagam[45] Tamil Nadu 1
Tamil Maanila Congress Tamil Nadu 1
Puthiya Needhi Katchi[46] Tamil Nadu 1
All India N.R. Congress[47] Puducherry 1
Bodoland People's Front[48] Assam 1
Nationalist Democratic Progressive Party Nagaland 1
Sikkim Democratic Front Sikkim 1
Kerala Congress (Thomas)[49] Kerala 1
National Democratic Alliance 543 TBA

United Progressive Alliance

Party States/UTs contested Seats
Contested Won
Indian National Congress Andhra Pradesh 25 TBA
Arunachal Pradesh 2
Assam 14
Bihar 11
Chhattisgarh 11
Goa 2
Gujarat 26
Haryana 10
Himachal Pradesh 4
Jammu and Kashmir 3
Jharkhand 7
Karnataka 20
Kerala 16
Madhya Pradesh 29
Maharashtra 24
Manipur 2
Meghalaya 2
Mizoram 1
Nagaland 1
Odisha 21
Punjab 13
Rajasthan 25
Sikkim 1
Tamil Nadu 9
Telangana 17
Tripura 2
Uttar Pradesh TBA
Uttarakhand 5
West Bengal 42
Andaman and Nicobar Islands 1
Chandigarh 1
Dadra and Nagar Haveli 1
Daman and Diu 1
Delhi 7
Lakshadweep 1
Puducherry 1
Nationalist Congress Party[50] Maharashtra 24
Jammu & Kashmir National Conference Jammu and Kashmir 3
Janata Dal (Secular)[51] Karnataka 8
Apna Dal (Krishna Patel) Uttar Pradesh 2
Jharkhand Mukti Morcha[52] Jharkhand 4
Jharkhand Vikas Morcha (Prajatantrik)[52] Jharkhand 2
Rashtriya Janata Dal Bihar 20 21
Jharkhand 1
Rashtriya Lok Samta Party Bihar 3
Hindustani Awam Morcha Bihar 2
Vikassheel Insaan Party Bihar 2
Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Bihar 1
Communist Party of India (State level)[53] Bihar 1 3
Tamil Nadu 2
Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam[53] Tamil Nadu 20
Marumalarchi Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam[53] Tamil Nadu 1
Communist Party of India (Marxist) (State level)[53] Tamil Nadu 2
Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi[53] Tamil Nadu 2
Kongunadu Makkal Desia Katchi[53] Tamil Nadu 1
Indhiya Jananayaga Katchi[53] Tamil Nadu 1
Indian Union Muslim League[53] Kerala 2 3
Tamil Nadu 1
Kerala Congress (M) Kerala 1
Revolutionary Socialist Party (State level)[54] Kerala 1
United Progressive Alliance TBA TBA

Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance)

Party States/UTs contested Seats
Contested Won
All India Trinamool Congress[14] Assam 6 70
Bihar 2
Jharkhand 3
Odisha 10
Tamil Nadu 7
West Bengal 42
Bahujan Samaj Party [14] Andhra Pradesh 3 TBA
Bihar 40
Haryana 8
Karnataka 28
Madhya Pradesh 26
Punjab 3
Rajasthan 25
Telangana TBA
Uttar Pradesh 38
Uttarakhand 4
Samajwadi Party[14] Madhya Pradesh 3 41
Uttar Pradesh 37
Uttarakhand 1
Rashtriya Lok Dal Uttar Pradesh 3
Loktantra Suraksha Party[55] Haryana 2
Punjabi Ekta Party[56] Punjab 3
Lok Insaaf Party[56] Punjab 3
Punjab Front[56] Punjab 1
Communist Party of India (State level)[56] Punjab 1
Revolutionary Marxist Party of India (State level)[56] Punjab 1
Janta Congress Chhattisgarh[57] Chhattisgarh TBA
Jana Sena Party[58] Andhra Pradesh TBA
Telangana TBA
Mahagathbandhan TBA TBA

Left Front

Party States/UTs contested Seats
Contested Won
Communist Party of India (Marxist)[59] Assam 2 42
Haryana 1
Himachal Pradesh 1
Kerala 16
Madhya Pradesh 1
Maharashtra 1
Odisha 1
Tripura 2
West Bengal 16
Lakshadweep 1
Communist Party of India Kerala 4 TBA
West Bengal 3
Revolutionary Socialist Party West Bengal 3
All India Forward Bloc West Bengal 3
Left Front TBA TBA

Non-alliance

Note : Data given below is just for certain states and not the entire country.

Other parties

Party States/UTs contested Seats
Contested Won
YSR Congress Party Andhra Pradesh 25
Telugu Desam Party Andhra Pradesh 25
Bharipa Bahujan Mahasangh Maharashtra TBA
Amma Makkal Munnetra Kazhagam Puducherry 1 39
Tamil Nadu 38
Makkal Neethi Maiyam Puducherry 1 40
Tamil Nadu 39
Biju Janata Dal Odisha 21
Telangana Rashtra Samithi Telangana 16
Social Democratic Party of India Tamil Nadu 1
All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen Telangana 1
Naam Tamilar Katchi Puducherry 1 40
Tamil Nadu 39
Aam Aadmi Party Delhi 7 TBA
Haryana TBA
Punjab TBA
Other parties TBA TBA

Independent politicians

Party States/UTs contested Seats
Contested Won
None Andhra Pradesh TBA TBA
Arunachal Pradesh TBA
Assam TBA
Bihar TBA
Chhattisgarh TBA
Goa TBA
Gujarat TBA
Haryana TBA
Himachal Pradesh TBA
Jammu and Kashmir TBA
Jharkhand TBA
Karnataka TBA
Kerala TBA
Madhya Pradesh TBA
Maharashtra TBA
Manipur TBA
Meghalaya TBA
Mizoram TBA
Nagaland TBA
Odisha TBA
Punjab TBA
Rajasthan TBA
Sikkim TBA
Tamil Nadu TBA
Telangana TBA
Tripura TBA
Uttar Pradesh TBA
Uttarakhand TBA
West Bengal TBA
Andaman and Nicobar Islands TBA
Chandigarh TBA
Dadra and Nagar Haveli TBA
Daman and Diu TBA
Delhi TBA
Lakshadweep TBA
Puducherry TBA
Independent politicians TBA TBA

Opinion polling

Various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in India. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held in April and May 2014, to the present day.

Date published Polling agency style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color"| style="background:Template:United Progressive Alliance/meta/color"| Others Leadα Majority
NDA UPA
Mar 2019 News Nation 273 133 137 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |136 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |1
Mar 2019 ABP News – C voter 264 141 138 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |123 Hung
Mar 2019 IndiaTV-CNX 285 126 132 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |159 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |13
Mar 2019 Zee 24 Taas 264 165 114 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |99 Hung
Feb 2019 VDP Associates 242 148 153 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |94 Hung
Jan 2019 Times Now-VMR 252 147 144 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |105 Hung
Jan 2019 ABP News -Cvoter 233 167 143 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |66 Hung
Jan 2019 India Today -Karvy 237 166 140 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |67 Hung
Jan 2019 VDP Associates 225 167 150 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |58 Hung
Dec 2018 India Today 257 146 140 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |111 Hung
Dec 2018 ABP News – C Voter 247 171 125 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |76 Hung
Dec 2018 India TV – CNX 281 124 138 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |157 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |9
Nov 2018 ABP News – C Voter 261 119 163 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |142 Hung
Oct 2018 ABP News 276 112 155 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |164 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |4
Aug 2018 India Today- Karvy 281 122 140 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |159 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |9
May 2018 ABP News-CSDS 274 164 105 style="background:Template:Bharatiya Janata Party/meta/color; color:white" " |110 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |2
Jan 2018 Republic-CVoter 335 89 119 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |246 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |63
Jan 2018 India Today 309 102 132 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |207 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |37
April–May 2014 General election results 336 60 113 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |276 style="background:Template:National Democratic Alliance (India)/meta/color; color:white" |64

See also

Notes

α.^ Only formally announced alliances used to calculate lead. Others / non allied parties not used in calculation.

References

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