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2014 United States Senate election in West Virginia

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United States Senate election in West Virginia, 2014
← 2008 November 4, 2014 2020 →
 
Nominee Shelley Moore Capito Natalie Tennant
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 280,123 155,456
Percentage 62.1% 34.5%
County results
Moore Capito:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. senator before election

Jay Rockefeller
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Shelley Moore Capito
Republican

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The 2014 United States Senate election in West Virginia was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of West Virginia, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic senator Jay Rockefeller decided to retire rather than run for reelection for a sixth term. The Democrats nominated Secretary of State of West Virginia Natalie Tennant and the Republicans nominated U.S. Representative Shelley Moore Capito. It was the thirteenth U.S. Senate election that involved two major party female nominees in U.S. history.[1]

Capito defeated Tennant and became the first female senator elected in West Virginia's history as well as the first Republican elected to the Senate from West Virginia in 58 years.[2] Not only was the 27.4 percent margin the largest for a Republican in a statewide race in West Virginia history,[3] but Tennant's 34.5 percent was the lowest ever recorded for a Democrat in a Senate race in West Virginia.[4] The results of this election were a near complete flip from 2008, in which Democrat Jay Rockefeller received 64% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Sheirl Fletcher, former Republican State Delegate and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008, 2010 and 2012[8][9]

Declined

Endorsements

Natalie Tennant

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Sheirl
Fletcher 		David
Harless 		Natalie
Tennant 		David
Wamsley 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 19–22, 2013 600 ± 4% 8% 3% 51% 4% — 34%

Results

Democratic primary results[39]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Natalie Tennant 104,598 77.95%
Democratic Dennis Melton 15,817 11.79%
Democratic David Wamsley 13,773 10.26%
Total votes 134,188 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Rick LeMasters, retired Marine officer and state employee[7][9]
  • Pat McGeehan, former state delegate and former Air Force Intelligence Officer and Captain (running for House of Delegates)[41][42]
  • Scott Regan, Democratic candidate for the state senate in 2010[7][9]
  • Edwin Vanover, former Bramwell Police Chief and Democratic candidate for the House of Delegates in 2012[9][43]

Declined

Endorsements

Shelley Moore Capito

Politicians

Organizations

Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Shelley
Moore Capito 		Rick
Lemasters 		Pat
McGeehan 		Patrick
Morrisey 		Scott
Regan 		Edwin
Vanover 		Undecided
Harper Polling January 21, 2013 462 ± 4.56% 72.94% — — 9.52% — — 17.53%
Public Policy Polling September 19–22, 2013 348 ± 5.3% 72% 5% 4% — 1% 2% 17%
Harper Polling September 24–25, 2013 354 ± 5.21% 77% — 7% — — — 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Shelley
Moore Capito 		Someone more
conservative 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 19–22, 2013 348 ± 5.3% 65% 21% 14%

Results

Republican primary results[39]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Shelley Moore Capito 74,655 87.50%
Republican Matthew Dodrill 7,072 8.29%
Republican Larry Butcher 3,595 4.21%
Total votes 85,322 100.00%

Independents and third parties

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

General election

Debates

A televised debate between Tennant and Capito was held on October 7 in Charleston.[55]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[56] Likely R November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[57] Safe R November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[58] Safe R November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[59] Likely R November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Natalie
Tennant (D) 		Shelley
Moore Capito (R) 		Other Undecided
West Virginia Poll August 15–22, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 40% 45% — 15%
Public Policy Polling September 19–22, 2013 1,110 ± 2.9% 36% 50% — 14%
Harper Polling September 24–25, 2013 640 ± 3.87% 34% 51% — 15%
Clarity Campaigns January 29–30, 2014 1,727 ± 2.35% 39% 45% — 16%
Rasmussen Reports February 19–20, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 35% 49% 4% 12%
Vox Populi Polling April 16–17, 2014 571 ± 4.1% 33% 49% — 19%
Rasmussen Reports May 14–15, 2014 750 ± 4% 39% 48% 5% 9%
West Virginia Poll May 19–22, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 38% 49% — 13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,750 ± 2.7% 40% 47% 1% 11%
Rasmussen Reports August 19–20, 2014 750 ± 4% 33% 50% — 17%
West Virginia Poll August 15–23, 2014 401 ± 4.9% 37% 54% — 9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 2014 1,284 ± 4% 32% 55% 1% 12%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 2014 1,066 ± 4% 33% 56% 1% 9%
Rasmussen Reports September 30 – October 1, 2014 750 ± 4% 39% 50% 3% 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 877 ± 5% 34% 56% 0% 10%

Results

United States Senate election in West Virginia, 2014[60]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Shelley Moore Capito 281,820 62.12% +25.86%
Democratic Natalie Tennant 156,360 34.47% −29.27%
Libertarian John Buckley 7,409 1.63% N/A
Mountain Bob Henry Baber 5,504 1.21% N/A
Constitution Phil Hudok 2,566 0.57% N/A
Total votes '453,659' '100.0%' N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

See also

References

  1. ^ Ostermeier, Eric (September 17, 2013). "West Virginia 2014 US Senate Race to Feature Rare Matchup". Smart Politics.
  2. ^ "Republican Shelley Moore Capito Wins Senate Seat in WV". ABC News. November 4, 2014.
  3. ^ "Capito resolution would void EPA's existing power plant emission regulations". Ripon Advance. November 19, 2015.
  4. ^ Ostermeier, Eric (November 10, 2014). "Rock Bottom: Democrats Hit Multiple Low Water Marks in US Senate Elections". Smart Politics.
  5. ^ a b c Boucher, Dave (January 25, 2014). "No surprises in U.S. Senate race". Charleston Gazette-Mail. Retrieved January 25, 2014.
  6. ^ Boucher, Dave (September 15, 2013). "Confirmed: Tennant announces Senate run Tuesday". Charleston Daily Mail. Retrieved September 15, 2013.
  7. ^ a b c d e Messina, Lawrence (July 14, 2013). "2014 field growing in W.Va. federal races". Charleston Daily Mail. Retrieved July 25, 2012.
  8. ^ "Perennial candidate Sheirl Fletcher files for Senate run". Charleston Daily Mail. June 10, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2012.
  9. ^ a b c d "Candidate listing by office". West Virginia Secretary of State. February 16, 2014. Retrieved February 16, 2014.
  10. ^ "Preservati out of Senate race". WV Metro News. June 3, 2013. Retrieved June 4, 2013.
  11. ^ "West Virginia: Caperton Says He Is Not Interested in Senate Seat". Roll Call. January 15, 2013. Retrieved February 26, 2013.
  12. ^ Ry Rivard [@ryrivard] (November 27, 2012). "Fmr WV D Chair & #WV02 candidate Mike Callaghan (in email my inbox ate Monday) = interested in Senate if Jay doesn't run & House if Jay does" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  13. ^ Boucher, Dave (April 30, 2013). "Nick Casey launches 2014 US House run". Charleston Daily Mail. Retrieved May 12, 2013.
  14. ^ "Another Democrat passes on West Virginia Senate race". Washington Post. July 17, 2013. Retrieved July 17, 2013.
  15. ^ Ali, Ann (November 8, 2013). "WV Auditor Glen Gainer announces run for Congress". State Journal. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
  16. ^ Kercheval, Hoppy (February 19, 2013). "2014 U.S. Senate race update". WVMetroNews.com. Retrieved February 20, 2013.
  17. ^ Wilson, Reid (February 20, 2013). "Carte Goodwin out for 2014". WVMetroNews.com. Retrieved February 20, 2013.
  18. ^ a b "Nationwide, Republicans' Congressional Prospects Looking Bright for 2014". Sunshine State News. January 12, 2013. Retrieved May 5, 2013.
  19. ^ a b Livingston, Abby (January 11, 2013). "West Virginia: Democrats Begin Positioning to Run for Rockefeller's Seat". Roll Call. Retrieved January 12, 2013.
  20. ^ a b c d e f g Nyden, Paul J. (September 17, 2013). "Tennant announces run for Senate". The Charleston Gazette. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
  21. ^ Harold, Zack (June 3, 2013). "Preservati Out of the 2014 U.S. Senate Race". Charleston Daily Mail. Retrieved June 26, 2013.
  22. ^ Livingston, Abby (April 30, 2013). "Rahall Forgoes Senate Run". Roll Call. Retrieved May 1, 2013.
  23. ^ "West Virginia Democratic Sen. Jay Rockefeller won't run in 2014 - John Bresnahan". Politico.com. January 11, 2013. Retrieved January 11, 2013.
  24. ^ "Allen Tackett not running for Jay Rockefeller's US Senate seat". Charleston Daily Mail. July 29, 2013. Retrieved July 29, 2013.
  25. ^ a b "Rockefeller to retire, giving GOP a prime pickup opportunity". The Hill. January 11, 2013. Retrieved February 16, 2013.
  26. ^ "West Virginia Senate: Democrats Look for Winner". rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. January 15, 2013. Retrieved January 17, 2013.
  27. ^ "State Sen. Erik Wells says he won't run for Congress". Charleston Daily Mail. April 26, 2013. Retrieved July 17, 2013.
  28. ^ Boucher, Dave (November 19, 2013). "Michelle Obama backs Natalie Tennant in US Senate race". Charleston Daily Mail. Archived from the original on December 12, 2013. Retrieved December 9, 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |dead-url= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  29. ^ a b Mattise, Jonathan (June 23, 2014). "Sen. Elizabeth Warren to campaign for Tennant in W.V". The Charleston Gazette. Retrieved June 23, 2014.
  30. ^ Harold, Zack (November 26, 2013). "Tennant, Gainer, Rahall get early endorsements from AFT". Charleston Daily Mail. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
  31. ^ a b "ICYMI: WEST VIRGINIA'S LARGEST NEWSPAPER ENDORSES TENNANT" (PDF). West Virginia Democrats. April 21, 2014. Retrieved June 11, 2014.
  32. ^ "Natalie Tennant (D-WV) for Senate". Council for a Livable World. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
  33. ^ "Natalie Tennant". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Retrieved June 12, 2014.
  34. ^ Jaffe, Alexandra (September 26, 2013). "EMILY's List endorses Tennant for W.Va. Senate". The Hill. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
  35. ^ "The IADLC is proud to officially endorse..." Facebook. November 19, 2013. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
  36. ^ "2014 Primary Election COPE Endorsements" (PDF). West Virginia AFL-CIO. 2014. Retrieved June 12, 2014.
  37. ^ "Natalie Tennant U.S. Senate, WV". Women's Political Committee. 2014. Retrieved June 12, 2014.
  38. ^ Cama, Timothy (September 2, 2014). "Miners union backs Dem in W.Va. Senate race". The Hill. Retrieved September 23, 2015.
  39. ^ a b "Statewide Results Primary Election - May 13, 2014 ★★★ Official Results ★★★". West Virginia Secretary of State. Retrieved July 17, 2014.
  40. ^ "Capito Will Challenge Rockefeller". Politicalwire.com. November 25, 2012. Retrieved January 11, 2013.
  41. ^ "Former GOP delegate to oppose Capito in Senate race". Capitol Notebook. April 9, 2013. Retrieved April 10, 2013.
  42. ^ "Elections - Candidate Detail". West Virginia Secretary of State. January 25, 2014. Retrieved January 25, 2014.
  43. ^ Johnson, Shauna (August 10, 2013). "Tennant for U.S. Senate?". West Virginia MetroNews. Retrieved August 12, 2013.
  44. ^ "Former candidate Maloney not running for anything, launches think tank". The Charleston Gazette. May 30, 2013. Retrieved August 28, 2013.
  45. ^ Livingston, Abby (February 25, 2013). "West Virginia: McKinley Opts Not to Run Against Capito". Roll Call. Retrieved February 26, 2013.
  46. ^ "Capito Gets an Early Start on 2014 W.Va. Senate Race : Roll Call Politics". Rollcall.com. Retrieved January 11, 2013.
  47. ^ a b Twitter / CapitoforWV: Great to see County Commissioner
  48. ^ [1] Archived October 24, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  49. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m "Endorsements for Shelley Moore Capito - Capito for Senate". Archived from the original on October 24, 2014. Retrieved August 28, 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  50. ^ Donald J. Trump [@realDonaldTrump] (July 30, 2014). "It's time for Mountain State to have a Senator who will stop Obama's war on coal. This November send DC a message, vote for @CapitoforWV!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  51. ^ "Mountain Party candidate makes 4 in Senate race". The Charleston Gazette. July 31, 2014. Retrieved August 2, 2014.
  52. ^ Cardosi, Mandi (June 12, 2014). "5 questions with Libertarian candidate for U.S. Senate John Buckley". State Journal. Archived from the original on July 15, 2014. Retrieved June 14, 2014. {{cite news}}: Unknown parameter |dead-url= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  53. ^ Winger, Richard (August 22, 2014). "West Virginia Secretary of State Says Constitution Party Petition for U.S. Senate is Valid". Ballot Access News. Retrieved August 28, 2014.
  54. ^ Boucher, Dave (April 25, 2013). "Former TV anchor to run for Senate". Charleston Daily Mail. Retrieved May 12, 2013.
    "Facebook profile". Facebook.
  55. ^ "Capito, Tennant, others to debate in October". West Virginia MetroNews. August 14, 2014. Retrieved August 14, 2014.
  56. ^ "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  57. ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  58. ^ "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  59. ^ "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  60. ^ [2]. Retrieved December 17, 2014.
Official campaign websites (Archived)
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