2020 Vermont Democratic presidential primary
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23 Democratic National Convention delegates (16 pledged, 7 unpledged) The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Reporting | as of March 3, 7:00 pm EST | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Vermont |
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The 2020 Vermont Democratic primary will take place in Vermont, United States, on March 3, 2020, as one of 14 contests scheduled on Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party presidential primaries for the 2020 election, following the South Carolina primary the weekend before. The Vermont primary is an open primary, with the state awarding 23 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 16 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.
Procedure
Vermont is one of 14 states holding primaries on March 3, 2020, also known as "Super Tuesday".[1] This date is also Town Meeting Day in Vermont.
Early voting began on January 18, 2020, and is taking place six days a week between then and election day.[2]
Regular voting is expected to take place throughout the state from 5:00 a.m. until 7:00 p.m. in much of the state, with some precincts closing as late as 10:00 p.m. In the open primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15 percent in order to be considered viable. The 16 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 16 pledged delegates, 11 are allocated on the basis of the statewide result (by definition coterminous with the state's sole congressional district) and another 2 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 3 at-large pledged delegates. Bonus delegates will be allocated as Vermont shares a primary date with numerous other states on Super Tuesday; these numbers do not yet account for these delegates.[3]
After town caucuses on Tuesday, April 7, 2020 to designate delegates for the state convention, the state convention will be held on Saturday, May 30, 2020 to nominate national convention district delegates, who in turn elect the 3 pledged at-large and 2 PLEO delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention at the national convention delegate meeting on June 13, 2020. The 16 pledged delegates Vermont sends to the national convention will be joined by 7 unpledged PLEO delegates who are also selected at the national convention delegate meeting (4 members of the Democratic National Committee; 2 members of Congress, including Senator Patrick Leahy and U.S. Representatives Peter Welch; and former DNC chair Howard Dean).[3]
Candidates
The following people have filed and qualified to be on the ballot in Vermont.[4]
Running
Withdrawn
Polling
| Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[a] | |||
| 270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | February 4–March 2, 2020 | 52.0% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 1.0% | 12.0% | |||
| RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | |||||||||
| FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[b] | 53.0% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 0.9% | 12.6% | |||
| Average | 52.5% | 14.1% | 10.55% | 9.6% | 0.95% | 12.3% | |||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Un- decided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
| Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 147 (LV) | ± 11.0% | 11% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 48% | 17% | 2%[d] | – | |
| Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
| Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 236 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 16% | 8% | 1% | – | 57% | 16% | 2%[e] | – | |
| Vermont Public Radio | Feb 4–10, 2020 | 332 | ± 4.0% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 51% | 13% | 2%[f] | 7% | |
Results
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | |||
| Michael Bloomberg | |||
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) | |||
| Tulsi Gabbard | |||
| Mark Stewart Greenstein | |||
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†) | |||
| Bernie Sanders | |||
| Elizabeth Warren | |||
| Deval Patrick (withdrawn†) | |||
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) | |||
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn†) | |||
| Julian Castro (withdrawn) | |||
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | |||
| Total |
†Candidate withdrew after no-excuse, in-person absentee voting started.
Notes
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Gabbard with 0%; Steyer with no voters; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
References
- ^ Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
- ^ https://www.wcax.com/content/news/Vermonts-early-primary-voting-period-opens-567085581.html
- ^ a b "Vermont Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 3, 2019. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
- ^ "Vermont Sec of State" (PDF).