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2018 Iowa gubernatorial election

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2018 Iowa gubernatorial election
← 2014 November 6, 2018 2022 →
Turnout61.15% Increase8.44pp
 
Nominee Kim Reynolds Fred Hubbell
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Adam Gregg Rita Hart
Popular vote 667,275 630,986
Percentage 50.3% 47.5%
County results
Reynolds:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Hubbell:      40–50%      50–60%      70–80%
Governor before election

Kim Reynolds
Republican

Elected Governor

Kim Reynolds
Republican

Elections in Iowa
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The 2018 Iowa gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Republican Governor Kim Reynolds ran for election to a full term, facing Democratic businessman Fred Hubbell, Libertarian Jake Porter, and independent candidate Gary Siegwarth.

On Election Day, Reynolds won 50.3% of the vote and carried 88 of Iowa's 99 counties. She became the first female governor of Iowa elected in her own right. This was the first Iowa gubernatorial election since 1998 in which the winner was of the same party as the incumbent president.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Kim Reynolds
Newspaper

Results

Republican primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kim Reynolds (incumbent) 94,118 98.63
Republican Write-ins 1,307 1.37
Total votes 95,425 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Nate Boulton (withdrew)
Statewide official
State legislators
Organizations
Cathy Glasson
Elected officials
Iowa Democratic Party officials
  • Jason Frerichs, Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member, chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party Progressive Caucus[61]
  • Dylan P. Funk, Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member, vice-chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party Progressive Caucus[61]
  • Mason Fraker, Henry County Democratic Party vice-chairman[61]
  • Nora Taft, 2nd District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[61]
  • Evan Burger, 4th District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[61]
  • Jessica Fears, 4th District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[61]
  • Holly Herbert, 3rd District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[61]
  • Jon Green, 2nd District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[61]
  • Sarah J. Hinds, Linn County Democratic Party credentials committee chairperson[61]
  • Kate Revaux, 2nd District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[61]
  • Alex Anderson, Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee affirmative action chairperson[61]
  • Lindsey Ellickson, Linn County Democratic Party central committee member[61]
Labor union leaders
  • Chris Laursen, UAW Local 74 president[61]
Labor unions
Organizations
Fred Hubbell
Statewide officials
State legislators
Newspaper
Andy McGuire
John Norris
  • Marti Anderson, state representative
  • Jo Oldson, state representative
  • Brad Anderson, 2014 Democratic Secretary of State nominee
  • Tom Hockensmith, Polk County Supervisor
  • Rod Sullivan, Johnson County Supervisor
  • Travis Weipert, Johnson County Auditor
  • Andrew Wenthe, mayor of Fayette, former state representative
  • Brian Quirk, former state representative
  • Don Ruby, Iowa Democratic Party Secretary
  • Daryll Beal, former state senator
  • Norm Sterzenbach, former executive director, Iowa Democratic Party
  • Roger Thomas, former state representative
  • Marcia Nichols, former political director for AFSCME 61
  • Dave Schroeder, former state representative
Todd Prichard (withdrew)

Polling

Results

Results by county:
  Hubbell—70–80%
  Hubbell—60–70%
  Hubbell—50–60%
  Hubbell—40–50%
  Hubbell—<40%
  Glasson—<40%
  Norris—60–70%
  Boulton—<40%
Democratic primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Fred Hubbell 99,245 55.41
Democratic Cathy Glasson 36,815 20.55
Democratic John Norris 20,498 11.44
Democratic Andy McGuire 9,404 5.25
Democratic Nate Boulton (withdrawn) 9,082 5.07
Democratic Ross Wilburn 3,880 2.17
Democratic Write-ins 200 0.01
Total votes 179,124 100

Libertarian primary

Libertarian Party presidential nominee Gary Johnson received 3.8 percent of the votes in Iowa in 2016, surpassing the 2 percent threshold to attain full political party status.[76] As a result, the Libertarian Party was allowed to hold a primary to select a nominee.[76]

Candidates

Nominated

  • Jake Porter, business consultant

Declared

  • Marco Battaglia, musician[77]
  • Jake Porter, nominee for Secretary of State in 2010 and 2014[78][79][80]

Endorsements

Jake Porter
Newspaper

Results

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Jake Porter 991 53.92
Libertarian Marco Battaglia 705 38.36
Libertarian Write-ins 142 7.73
Total votes 1,838 100

Independents

Candidates

Withdrew

Endorsements

Brent Roske (withdrew)

General election

Debates

Dates Location Reynolds Hubbell Link
October 17, 2018 Sioux City, Iowa Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN
October 21, 2018 Davenport, Iowa Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[89] Tossup October 26, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[90] Tilt D (flip) November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[91] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
Real Clear Politics[92] Tossup October 30, 2018
Daily Kos[93] Tossup October 26, 2018
Governing[94] Tossup October 30, 2018
Politico[95] Tossup October 30, 2018
Fox News[96] Tossup October 30, 2018
The Washington Post[97] Tossup October 16, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[98] Tossup November 3, 2018

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Kim
Reynolds (R) 		Fred
Hubbell (D) 		Jake
Porter (L) 		Other Undecided
Change Research November 2–4, 2018 961 – 46% 49% 3% 1%[99] –
Selzer & Company October 30 – November 2, 2018 801 ± 3.5% 44% 46% 2% 1% 7%
Emerson College October 29 – November 1, 2018 1,462 ± 2.7% 49% 45% – 2% 5%
University of Iowa October 8–22, 2018 452 – 40% 48% – 5% 6%
Selzer & Company September 17–20, 2018 555 ± 4.2% 41% 43% 7% 0% 9%
Emerson College September 6–8, 2018 1,000 ± 3.2% 31% 36% – 7% 26%
Selzer & Company January 28–31, 2018 801 ± 3.5% 42% 37% – 12% 10%

Results

While pre-election polls showed Reynolds trailing Hubbell,[100] Reynolds won 50.3% of the vote on Election Day, primarily by sweeping every county west of Des Moines.[101] Ultimately, she carried 88 of Iowa's 99 counties.[102] She became the first female governor of Iowa elected in her own right.[103]

Iowa gubernatorial election, 2018[104]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Kim Reynolds (incumbent) 667,275 50.26% −8.73%
Democratic Fred Hubbell 630,986 47.53% +10.26%
Libertarian Jake Porter 21,426 1.61% −0.19%
Independent Gary Siegwarth 7,463 0.56% N/A
n/a Write-ins 488 0.04% N/A
Total votes 1,327,638 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

See also

References

  1. ^ "Kim Reynolds acknowledges plan to seek full term in 2018".
  2. ^ a b Washington Post
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  5. ^ Allen, Paige (July 1, 2017). "Boone City Council member announces run for Iowa governor". KWQC-TV. Retrieved July 3, 2017.
  6. ^ Johnson, Gena. "Ray announces withdrawal from GOP primary race for Governor". The Ames Tribune.
  7. ^ Costa, Robert (February 9, 2015). "Longtime Iowa governor says he is not likely to run again". The Washington Post. Retrieved March 6, 2015.
  8. ^ Hanson, Alex (July 1, 2015). "Branstad won't rule out another term". Iowa State Daily. Retrieved July 13, 2016.
  9. ^ Byrnes, Jesse (December 7, 2016). "Steve King mulling run for governor". TheHill.
  10. ^ Koss, Emily (June 2, 2017). "Steve King Running for Another Term in Congress". WHO-DT. Retrieved June 2, 2017.
  11. ^ Steffi Lee (December 7, 2016). "Kim Reynolds slated to become the first female governor of Iowa". CBS2. Retrieved December 8, 2016.
  12. ^ Noble, Jason (December 19, 2016). "Hinting at gubernatorial run, Cedar Rapids mayor won't seek re-election". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved December 19, 2016.
  13. ^ "OUR OPINION: Kim Reynolds represents best choice for governor". Sioux City Journal. October 28, 2018.
  14. ^ a b "Canvass summary" (PDF). sos.iowa.gov. 2018.
  15. ^ Noble, Jason (July 17, 2017). "Fred Hubbell is officially running for governor". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved July 17, 2017.
  16. ^ Noble, Jason (September 19, 2017). "Union leader Cathy Glasson makes it official, is running for governor". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved September 19, 2017.
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  43. ^ "IA-Gov: Boulton, Hubbell lead in early legislative endorsements". Bleeding Heartland. August 23, 2017. Retrieved August 24, 2017.
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  46. ^ "Jochum Not Considering Run for Governor". KDTH. January 24, 2017. Archived from the original on February 2, 2017. Retrieved January 25, 2017.
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  48. ^ Dolmage, David (August 3, 2017). "Loebsack lays out plan for 2018". Newton Daily News. Retrieved August 3, 2017.
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  51. ^ "If Todd Prichard runs for governor, his stump speech will sound like this". Bleeding Heartland. February 22, 2017. Retrieved February 24, 2017.
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  57. ^ Henderson, O. Kay (November 9, 2016). "Vilsack willing to guide party toward 'important business' of 2018". Radio Iowa. Retrieved November 12, 2016.
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  59. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Rynard, Pat (May 12, 2017). "Nate Boulton Nabs Early Endorsements From 10 Labor Unions". Iowa Starting Line. Retrieved May 12, 2017.
  60. ^ "Johnson County Supervisor Carberry Endorses Cathy Glasson for Governor". Archived from the original on September 22, 2017. Retrieved September 21, 2017.
  61. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Frerichs, Jason. "Iowa Activists for Cathy Glasson". Progressive Voices of Iowa. Retrieved December 2, 2017.
  62. ^ "New City Council Members Sworn In". 106 1 Super Hits. Retrieved January 19, 2018.
  63. ^ "Everything became official when I was sworn in at the last city council meeting". Retrieved January 19, 2018.
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  66. ^ Boshart, Rob. "CCI Action Fund endorses Glasson for Iowa governor". Quad-City Times. Retrieved September 28, 2017.
  67. ^ Mulady, Cathy. "Peoples action endorses three more governor candidates/". People's Action. Retrieved January 26, 2018.
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  69. ^ "Endorsements: Cathy Glasson". Our Revolution. Retrieved January 19, 2018.
  70. ^ Lynch, James Q. (May 29, 2018). "Iowa AG Tom Miller endorses Hubbell for governor". The Waterloo-Cedar Falls Courier. Retrieved May 30, 2018.
  71. ^ Cynthia Fodor (July 26, 2017). "Former Lt. Gov. to Chair Hubbell Campaign". KCCI-TV. Retrieved July 27, 2017.
  72. ^ Jay Inslee. ".@FredHubbell is a great candidate, ready to lead Iowa, and take it back for Democrats. Iowans are ready for change". Twitter.
  73. ^ Tibbetts, Ed (November 21, 2017). "Prichard endorses Hubbell for Iowa governor". Quad-City Times. Retrieved November 21, 2017.
  74. ^ Lynch, James Q. "McGuire gets Iowa governor endorsement from former Democratic National Committee chairman Howard Dean". The Gazette. Retrieved September 21, 2017.
  75. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n "Why We're Supporting Todd Prichard for Governor of Iowa". Todd Prichard for Governor. June 15, 2017. Archived from the original on July 1, 2018. Retrieved June 15, 2017.
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  78. ^ Davis, Andy (March 7, 2016). "Libertarian Porter to announce run for governor". The Little Daily Report. Retrieved July 13, 2016.
  79. ^ Vander Hart, Shane (March 7, 2016). "A Look Ahead at the 2018 Iowa Gubernatorial Race". Caffeinated Thoughts. Retrieved July 3, 2017.
  80. ^ Noble, Jason (July 25, 2017). "Jake Porter to run for governor as Libertarian". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved August 4, 2017.
  81. ^ "The Register endorsed Jake Porter in the Libertarian primary for governor". May 23, 2018. Retrieved May 24, 2018.
  82. ^ "GaryForGov". GaryForGov. Retrieved September 15, 2018.
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  84. ^ "Gary Siegwarth for IA Governor". Facebook. Retrieved September 15, 2018.
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  86. ^ Noble, Jason (May 8, 2017). "Filmmaker Brent Roske making independent run for Iowa governor". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved May 12, 2017.
  87. ^ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (December 26, 2017). "Brent Roske ends candidacy in Iowa governor's race". Des Moines Register. Retrieved June 3, 2018.
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  98. ^ "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
  99. ^ Gary Siegwarth (Clear Water) with 1%
  100. ^ "In Danger Of Losing, Iowa Governor Enlists Republican Heavy Hitters Ahead Of Midterms". NPR.org.
  101. ^ "Iowa Governor Election Results 2018: Live Midterm Map by County & Analysis". www.politico.com.
  102. ^ Russell, Joyce. "Gov. Reynolds Wins A Full Term In A Close Election". www.iowapublicradio.org.
  103. ^ Ferris, Sarah (November 7, 2018). "Kim Reynolds is Iowa's first elected female governor". Politico.
  104. ^ https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2018/general/govcanvsummary.pdf
Official campaign websites
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