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Operation Spring Shield

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Operation Spring Shield
Part of the 2019–2020 northwestern Syria offensive and Turkish military operations in Idlib as part of Turkish involvement in the Syrian civil war

The situation after the ceasefire.
Date27 February – 6 March 2020
(1 week and 1 day)
Location
Northwestern Syria
Result

Ceasefire[3]

  • Syrian government offensive on Idlib halted[4]
  • Syrian regime and allies suffered heavy losses, their offensive capabilities were eliminated[5][6][7][8][9]
  • The Assad Regime's attacks on civilians have been stopped and new waves of migration have been prevented[10][11][12]
  • Turkish backed counteroffensive partially failed[2]
Territorial
changes
  • Turkish Armed Forces and their allies capture the strategic Zawiya Mountain and 18 villages[13][14]
  • Syrian government forces and their allies capture the strategic Saraqib city and 4 villages[15][16]
    • Belligerents
     Turkey Syria
     Iran
    Hezbollah[1]
    Supported by:
     Russia[2]
    Commanders and leaders
    Units involved

    Turkish Armed Forces

    Syrian Armed Forces

     Iran

    Strength
    8,350[22]–20,000[23] Unknown
    Casualties and losses

    Per Turkey:[24][25][26]
    Turkey 41 killed
    81 wounded
    (including Balyun airstrikes)

    Materiel:

    destroyed or lost

    Per SOHR:[29]
    Syria 170 soldiers and 27 militiamen killed (between 15th of January and the 5th of March 2020).
    Per Middle East Institute:[30]
    Syria 405 government soldiers and militias killed(between 28th of February and the 6th of March 2020)
    Per Turkey:[31]
    Syria 3,136 soldiers and militiamen neutralized (killed, wounded or captured)

    9–14 killed, 30 wounded [32][33][34][35]
    Iran 55 militias killed [36][37]

    Materiel:

    Operation Spring Shield (Turkish: Bahar Kalkanı Harekâtı) was a cross-border military operation carried out by the Turkish Armed Forces (TSK) in the Idlib Governorate of northwestern Syria against the Syrian Armed Forces and allied militias. The operation was launched on 27 February 2020 in direct response to the Balyun airstrikes, aiming to address the escalating situation in the region.[43][44]

    According to Turkish Defense Minister Hulusi Akar, the primary objective of Operation Spring Shield was to achieve a ceasefire agreement within the framework of the Astana talks and to establish stability in the Second Northern Syria Buffer Zone. Additionally, the operation sought to prevent the mass migration of people from Idlib to the Turkish border, a pressing humanitarian concern.[45]

    On 5 March, Turkey and Russia signed a ceasefire agreement in Moscow, marking a step towards de-escalation in the region.[4]

    Background

    Further information: 2020 Balyun airstrikes

    On 27 February 2020, during the Dawn of Idlib 2 Operation, Turkish Army positions in Balyun, Idlib Governorate, came under attack from airstrikes allegedly conducted by the Syrian Air Force and the Russian Air Force. Resulting in the deaths of 36 Turkish soldiers,[46][24] with a reported number of wounded ranging from 36 to 60.[47][48]

    The following day, Russia denied it had carried out the airstrikes and stated that it had made efforts to halt the Syrian military's firing to facilitate the safe evacuation of the Turkish troops. Russia said that the Turkish forces should not have been present in the area, where "counter-terror operations" were underway, and criticized Turkey for failing to notify them about the soldiers' presence in advance. On the contrary, Turkey maintained that Russia was well aware of the locations of Turkish troops, as the two countries regularly communicated about this matter.[49]

    Operation timeline

    Further information: Northwestern Syria offensive (December 2019–March 2020) § Operation Spring Shield

    27–28 February

    Following the air attack in Balyun, Turkey officially launched its military intervention, initiating Operation Spring Shield. The primary objective of this operation was to put a stop to the Syrian government forces' advancement on Syrian rebels in Idlib and push them back to their pre-offensive positions.[50]

    On 28 February, the Turkish Ministry of National Defense reported that the Turkish armed forces had responded to the airstrikes and claimed to have "neutralized" 329 Syrian troops. Additionally, they claimed to have successfully destroyed five helicopters, 23 tanks, 10 armored vehicles, 23 artillery and howitzers, one SA-17, and one SA-22 air defense systems belonging to the Syrian government.[51][52]

    A Syrian military official acknowledged that their armored and technical vehicles had been heavily targeted, resulting in significant destruction of their arsenal in northwestern Syria.[53]

    A Turkish soldier, 11 Syrian soldiers and four members of the Lebanese Hezbollah were killed during the day.[54][55]

    29 February

    On 29 February, Turkish airstrikes targeted the Syrian Scientific Studies and Research Center in As-Safira, which a Turkish official claimed was used to develop chemical weapons.[56][57]

    During the day, 48 Syrian government soldiers and militias, including 14 Hezbollah fighters were killed and at least 13 military vehicles were destroyed by Turkish strikes.[58]

    1 March

    On 1 March, two Syrian Su-24 jets were shot down by Turkish Air Force F-16s.[40] All four Syrian pilots safely ejected. Both Syrian and Turkish forces confirmed the downing.[59] Meanwhile a Turkish TAI Anka drone was shot down by Syrian forces.[60] Additionally, Turkish drones bombed the 47th brigade in Hama Military Airport.[61]

    During the day, 19 Syrian soldiers were killed by Turkish drones attacks in Jabal al-Zawiya and Al-Hamidia, Idlib countryside.[62]

    2 March

    On 2 March, a Turkish Bayraktar TB2 drone was shot down by Syrian Air Defense Force near Saraqib.[63] During the day, a Turkish soldier and 26 Syrian government soldiers were killed in the clashes in Jabal Al-Zawiyah, south Idlib countryside, Saraqib and its countryside.[64][65]

    3 March

    On 3 March, the Syrian Army captured the strategic city of Saraqib and several surrounding villages after pushing back rebel forces supported by Turkish artillery and air power.[66][67] The Turkish airstrikes on government targets reduced significantly amidst a further government advance toward the town of Afis.[68][69] Concurrently, a Syrian Air Force Aero L-39 Albatros was shot downed by a Turkish F-16 over Idlib, with conflicting reports over the pilots fate.[70][71] Meanwhile, a Turkish Bayraktar drone was shot down by the Syrian Army in the western Aleppo countryside.[72][73]

    During the day, five Turkish soldiers were killed by Syrian bombardment in Taftanaz Airbase, Al-Tarnaba and Al-Mastouma camp.[74][75]

    4 March 2020

    On 4 March, Turkish sources claimed that Suheil al-Hassan was wounded by a drone strike near Saraqib.[76] A Turkish Bayraktar TB2 was shot down by Syrian forces in the Idlib Governorate.[77][78]

    During the day, 19 Syrian soldiers and seven non-Syrian fighters were killed by Turkish ground shelling and drones in Idlib countryside.[79]

    Ceasefire

    On 5 March 2020, the presidents of Turkey and Russia, Erdoğan and Putin, met in Moscow for high-level talks.[80] According to the statements made by the Turkish and Russian leaders following their one-on-one meeting, a ceasefire in the area of Idlib was to come into force from 00:00 hrs on 6 March. The terms of the ceasefire included a secure corridor 6 kilometers either side of the M4 highway, to be patrolled jointly by Russia and Turkey beginning on 15 March.[81]

    Syrian Government and Pro-Regime losses

    On February 29, Reuters reported that nine Hezbollah militants were killed and 30 wounded in an attack by the Turkish Air Force.[82] It was announced that 4 tanks, 5 artillery pieces/MLRS, 3 anti-tank vehicles were destroyed and 184 Syrian soldiers were killed between March 4–5 in Operation Spring Shield. According to Turkey's claims, 3,322 Syrian soldiers were neutralized between February 27 and March 5.[83]

    The Assad Regime did not officially announce the losses resulting from the Turkish Army's counter-attack. Middle East Institute think tank found that 405 regime soldiers were killed in the week between February 27 and March 6, making this the bloodiest week the regime has experienced in recent years, according to information obtained from open sources, especially social media. 129 of these were killed on March 5 alone. It was stated that among the 405 soldiers who died were 30 high-ranking officers, including 1 general, 4 colonels, 1 lieutenant colonel, 7 majors and 10 captains. The same report stated that the headquarters of the 124th Brigade of the Republican Guard was completely destroyed in an airstrike, along with the entire command staff, including Brigade Commander Brigadier General Burhan Rahmun, and that a Hezbollah commander and 3 battalion commanders from the Syrian Army’s elite Tiger Forces were killed in other attacks. The institute’s report also noted that the Syrian army lost 73 tanks and armored vehicles, as well as a large number of anti-aircraft guns and artillery pieces. It was determined that the death toll suffered by the regime on the same front between March 1 and May 31 was more than 600. The report did not mention the number of wounded.[38] The New Lines Institute reported that it received information from sources close to the American government, and that as a result of the Turkish Armed Forces' attack, the Syrian Army lost 3 warplanes, 3 UAVs, 8 helicopters, 135 tanks, 86 artillery and MLRS, 77 armored vehicles, 9 ammunition depots, 5 air defense systems, and 16 anti-tank and mortar positions. It was also stated that an average of 60 regime soldiers were thought to have been killed per day between February 27 and March 5.[84]

    The famous military open source researcher Oryx Blog, in its research, found 37 tanks of the T-55, T-62 and T-72 models, 9 BMP-1 armored combat vehicles, 16 2S1 Gvozdika howitzers, 1 122 mm howitzer 2A18 (D-30) gun, 3 M-46 guns, 1 152-mm howitzer M1943 (D-1) gun, 6 2S3 Akatsiya howitzers, 8 BM-21 Grad MLRS, 1 122mm HM-20 MLRS, 2 x 122mm MRL MLRS, 2 160mm M160 mortars, 1 240mm M240 mortar, 4 ZSU-23-4 armored anti-aircraft vehicles, 2 ZU-23-2 anti-aircraft guns, 1 S-75 Dvina surface-to-air anti-aircraft missile system, 2 Pantsir-S1 surface-to-air anti-aircraft and artillery systems, 1 SNR-125 air defense radar, 2 Sukhoi Su-24 fighter jets, 1 Aero L-39 Albatros fighter jet, 2 Mil Mi-8 combat helicopters and 21 different types of trucks were destroyed in the TSK attack.[85]

    Institute for the Study of War and many think tanks, primarily, stated that the operation carried out by the Turkish Armed Forces revolutionized modern warfare tactics and changed the balance of power in Syria.[7] The precision attacks carried out by the TSK with Koral electronic warfare systems and TB-2 and ANKA type armed UAV systems neutralized the air defense systems of the Assad Regime forces.[5] The bombardment by Turkish UAVs stopped the regime’s offensive on Idlib and inflicted heavy losses on regime forces.[6] As a result of the TAF’s counterattack, the regime forces’ offensive capacity was eliminated.[9] After suffering heavy losses, regime forces were forced to stop their barrel bomb attacks on Idlib and its surroundings after Operation Spring Shield. The Syrian Network For Human Rights announced that the last barrel bomb attack in Idlib was carried out in March 2020.[11]

    According to a database compiled by Analyst Gregory Waters, a researcher on Syrian regime and ISIS, 55 militia fighters belonging to various Iranian-backed groups — including Baqir Brigade, Hezbollah, Liwa Fatemiyoun and Liwa Zainebiyoun brigades— were killed in the battles during the first two weeks of February.[86]

    Aftermath

    Since the signing of the ceasefire in March 2020, the Syrian Air Force has not conducted any airstrikes within the de-escalation zone, and this status remains unchanged as of April 2023.[87]

    See also

    References

    1. ^ Israel learned from Hezbollah's defeat at the hands of Turkey, Jerusalem Post, May 21, 2020. Accessed May 22, 2020.
    2. ^ a b Bohl, Ryan; Tack, Sim (5 March 2020). "Essential Geopolitics: Turkey and Russia Face a Risky Situation in Syria" (Podcast). Stratfor. Retrieved 23 July 2023. We've seen a Turkish supported counteroffensive on the ground in Idlib, which has partially failed
    3. ^ Tuvan Gumrukcu (2020-03-06). "Ceasefire in Syria's Idlib comes at a cost for Turkey's Erdogan". Reuters.
    4. ^ a b "Syria war: Russia and Turkey agree Idlib ceasefire". BBC News. 5 March 2020. Retrieved 23 July 2023.
    5. ^ a b Tanchum, Michaël (2020-03-25). "Turkey's In-between State of War and Peace with Russia". The Turkey Analyst. Retrieved 2024-12-25. Employing its domestically-produced KORAL land-based transportable electronic warfare system that can create ghost images on enemy radar, Turkey was able to inflict an impressive amount of damage to Syrian as well as Russian military assets using its Bayraktar TB2 and Anka combat drones...Turkey's overriding interest to entrench its influence northern Syria compel Ankara to yield to Moscow and seek a new equilibrium somewhere between war and peace in Idlib.
    6. ^ a b "An uncertain future for Idlib as Assad is welcomed back to the international stage". The New Arab. 2023-06-05. Retrieved 2024-12-25. The Syrian regime has expressed its desire to reclaim the (Idlib) province, but ever since a March 2020 offensive ended in a disastrous defeat at the hands of Turkey, the territory has not changed hands
    7. ^ a b "Turkey Commits to Idlib". The Institute for the Study of War. 2020-03-18. Retrieved 2024-12-25. Turkey's intervention in Idlib Province changed the military balance in northwest Syria... Turkey has compelled Russia to enter a new de-escalation agreement, but that agreement is unlikely to hold... Russia opted to de-escalate in Idlib in September 2018 after attempting but failing to compel Turkish-backed opposition groups to surrender...Turkey's response indirectly but significantly weakened Russia's military position in Idlib. The casualties and equipment losses badly depleted the ability of pro-regime forces to launch further offensives...Turkey's targeting of regime aircraft and airbases also forced Russia to face even greater material and manpower costs to sustain an air campaign, either by expanding its own air campaign or offsetting the regime's losses. Finally, Turkey's targeting of the regime's air force also delivered a significant morale victory for the Syrian opposition and the displaced Syrian populations who have suffered years of unmitigated aerial bombardment.
    8. ^ Waters, Gregory (2020-06-18). "The Syrian Regime's Combat Losses in Spring 2020, and What Lies Ahead". Middle East Institute. Retrieved 2024-12-25. This cease-fire capped off the deadliest week for Syrian regime forces in recent years. Turkish drone and artillery strikes, alongside rebel fighters, killed at least 405 pro-regime fighters between February 27 and March 5. Damascus also lost at least 73 armored vehicles to drone strikes and rebel anti-tank guided missile operators during the Turkish operation...These internal crises coupled with Turkey's recent massive show of force and the continued influx of Turkish military hardware into Idlib make a new regime offensive to seize the remainder of the greater Idlib pocket in the near future unlikely.
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      1 TAI Anka-S (1 March)[3][4]
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      1 Bayraktar TB2 (4 March) [7]
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    84. ^ Lister, Charles (12 March 2020). "Turkey's High Stakes in Northwest Syria". New Lines Institute. Retrieved December 27, 2024. In the space of a week, Turkey's air campaign appears to have destroyed the following (I'm told that the U.S. government considers this information "more or less" accurate):3 fighter jets,3 aerial drones,8 helicopters,135 tanks,86 artillery and multiple rocket launch (MRL) systems,77 armored vehicles,9 arms depots,5 air defense systems,16 anti-tank guided missile and mortar positions
    85. ^ "The Idlib Turkey Shoot: The Destruction and Capture of Vehicles and Equipment by Turkish and Rebel Forces". Oryx. 2 March 2020. Retrieved December 27, 2024.
    86. ^ "IRGC trained militias suffer losses in northwest Syria". Long war Journal. Retrieved 2024-11-28.
    87. ^ "منذ نحو 38 شهراً.. غياب تام لطائرات النظام الحربية والمروحية عن أجواء منطقة "بوتين-أردوغان"" (in Arabic). SOHR. 20 April 2023. Retrieved 24 July 2023.
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