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Page ID (page_id ) | 58076132 |
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Page title without namespace (page_title ) | 'List of election bellwether counties in the United States' |
Full page title (page_prefixedtitle ) | 'List of election bellwether counties in the United States' |
Edit protection level of the page (page_restrictions_edit ) | [] |
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Action (action ) | 'edit' |
Edit summary/reason (summary ) | '/* Deviations in two elections */ trying new visual scheme that makes it obvious whether both deviations were in the same direction' |
Old content model (old_content_model ) | 'wikitext' |
New content model (new_content_model ) | 'wikitext' |
Old page wikitext, before the edit (old_wikitext ) | '{{short description|Counties that usually vote for presidential election winners}}
{{Original research|date=November 2020}}
{{use mdy dates|date=November 2020}}
'''Election bellwether counties in the United States''' are [[County (United States)|counties]] that vote in alignment with the country as a whole in [[United States presidential elections]], so that the county votes for the candidate who ultimately wins the election. The strongest [[bellwether]] counties are those that back the winning candidate in all elections. There are a total of 3,142 counties or county equivalents in the United States.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/how-many-counties-are-in-the-united-states.html|title=How many counties are in the United States?|publisher=[[Reunion Technology Inc.]]|accessdate=June 10, 2022}}</ref>
==Significant bellwethers==
The following [[County (United States)|county]] is the only county to have voted for the winner of the presidential election in every election since [[1980 United States presidential election|1980]]:
* [[Clallam County, Washington]]<ref name="wiped">{{cite web|url=https://www.wsj.com/articles/bellwether-counties-nearly-wiped-out-by-2020-election-11605272400|title=Bellwether Counties Nearly Wiped Out by 2020 Election|last=McCormick|first=John|author-link=John D. McCormick|access-date=November 17, 2020|url-access=subscription|work=[[The Wall Street Journal]]|date=November 13, 2020}}</ref>
===Deviations in one election===
The following 44 counties have deviated from the winner of the presidential election in one election since 1980 (no counties deviated from the winner in 1980, 1984, or 1996):<ref name="atlas">{{Cite web|last=Leip|first=David|title=Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections|url=http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS|access-date=2020-11-22|website=[[Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections|uselectionatlas.org]]}}</ref><ref name="Huffington">{{cite web|last=Obeng|first=Adam|date=26 April 2016|title=There Are No Bellwether Counties|url=https://www.huffingtonpost.com/adam-obeng/there-are-no-bellwether-c_b_9777628.html|access-date=November 18, 2020|work=[[The Huffington Post]]}}</ref>
{| class="wikitable"
|+
!Election year of deviation
!County
!State
!County winner
! colspan="2" |Votes
!National winner
!Last deviation
|-
| rowspan="2" |[[1988 United States presidential election|1988]]
|[[Blaine County, Montana|Blaine]]
|{{Flag|Montana}}
| rowspan="2" |[[Michael Dukakis]]
|1,460
|1,402
| rowspan="2" |[[George H. W. Bush]]
|[[1912 United States presidential election|1912]]
|-
|[[Clay County, Minnesota|Clay]]
|{{Flag|Minnesota}}
|11,186
|10,380
|[[1968 United States presidential election|1968]]
|-
| rowspan="5" |[[1992 United States presidential election|1992]]
|[[Door County, Wisconsin|Door]]
|{{Flag|Wisconsin}}
| rowspan="5" |[[George H. W. Bush]]
|5,468
|4,735
| rowspan="5" |[[Bill Clinton]]
| rowspan="3" |[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[Essex County, New York|Essex]]
|{{Flag|New York}}
|8,278
|6,717
|-
|[[Hillsborough County, New Hampshire|Hillsborough]]
|{{Flag|New Hampshire}}
|61,620
|58,470
|-
|[[Kent County, Delaware|Kent]]
|{{Flag|Delaware}}
|15,562
|15,364
|[[1948 United States presidential election|1948]]
|-
|[[Saratoga County, New York|Saratoga]]
|{{Flag|New York}}
|36,917
|33,011
| rowspan="6" |[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[2000 United States presidential election|2000]]
|[[Pinellas County, Florida|Pinellas]]
|{{Flag|Florida}}
|[[Al Gore]]
|200,657
|184,849
| rowspan="3" |[[George W. Bush]]
|-
| rowspan="2" |[[2004 United States presidential election|2004]]
|[[Nicollet County, Minnesota|Nicollet]]
|{{Flag|Minnesota}}
| rowspan="2" |[[John Kerry]]
|8,797
|8,689
|-
|[[Sullivan County, New Hampshire|Sullivan]]
|{{Flag|New Hampshire}}
|11,434
|10,142
|-
|[[2008 United States presidential election|2008]]
|[[Chaffee County, Colorado|Chaffee]]
|{{Flag|Colorado}}
|[[John McCain]]
|4,873
|4,862
| rowspan="2" |[[Barack Obama]]
|-
|[[2012 United States presidential election|2012]]
|[[Albany County, Wyoming|Albany]]
|{{Flag|Wyoming}}
|[[Mitt Romney]]
|7,866
|7,458
|-
| rowspan="14" |[[2016 United States presidential election|2016]]
|[[Bexar County, Texas|Bexar]]
|{{Flag|Texas}}
| rowspan="14" |[[Hillary Clinton]]
|319,550
|240,333
| rowspan="14" |[[Donald Trump]]
|[[1968 United States presidential election|1968]]
|-
|[[Buncombe County, North Carolina|Buncombe]]
|{{Flag|North Carolina}}
|75,452
|55,716
|[[1960 United States presidential election|1960]]
|-
|[[Centre County, Pennsylvania|Centre]]
|{{Flag|Pennsylvania}}
|37,088
|35,274
| rowspan="3" |[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[Clackamas County, Oregon|Clackamas]]
|{{Flag|Oregon}}
|102,095
|88,392
|-
|[[DeKalb County, Illinois|DeKalb]]
|{{Flag|Illinois}}
|20,466
|19,091
|-
|[[Merced County, California|Merced]]
| rowspan="3" |{{Flag|California}}
|37,317
|28,725
|[[1968 United States presidential election|1968]]
|-
|[[San Bernardino County, California|San Bernardino]]
|340,833
|271,240
| rowspan="3" |[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[San Joaquin County, California|San Joaquin]]
|121,124
|88,936
|-
|[[Skagit County, Washington|Skagit]]
|[[Washington (state)|Washington]]
|26,690
|24,736
|-
|[[Stanislaus County, California|Stanislaus]]
|{{Flag|California}}
|81,647
|78,494
| rowspan="2" |[[1968 United States presidential election|1968]]
|-
|[[Sandoval County, New Mexico|Sandoval]]
|{{Flag|New Mexico}}
|27,707
|25,905
|-
|[[Ventura County, California|Ventura]]
|{{Flag|California}}
|194,402
|132,323
| rowspan="6" |[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[Will County, Illinois|Will]]
| rowspan="2" |{{Flag|Illinois}}
|151,927
|132,720
|-
|[[Winnebago County, Illinois|Winnebago]]
|55,713
|55,624
|-
| rowspan="18" |[[2020 United States presidential election|2020]]
|[[Bremer County, Iowa|Bremer]]
|{{Flag|Iowa}}
| rowspan="18" |[[Donald Trump]]
|8,294
|5,958
| rowspan="18" |[[Joe Biden]]
|-
|[[Cortland County, New York|Cortland]]
|{{Flag|New York}}
|10,789
|10,369
|-
|[[Essex County, Vermont|Essex]]
|{{Flag|Vermont}}
|1,773
|1,405
|-
|[[Hidalgo County, New Mexico|Hidalgo]]
|{{Flag|New Mexico}}
|1,120
|823
|[[1968 United States presidential election|1968]]
|-
|[[Juneau County, Wisconsin|Juneau]]
| rowspan="2" |{{Flag|Wisconsin}}
|5,719
|3,239
|[[1960 United States presidential election|1960]]
|-
|[[Marquette County, Wisconsin|Marquette]]
|
|
| rowspan="2" |[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[Otsego County, New York|Otsego]]
|{{Flag|New York}}
|14,382
|12,975
|-
|[[Ottawa County, Ohio|Ottawa]]
|{{Flag|Ohio}}
|14,628
|9,008
|[[1960 United States presidential election|1960]]
|-
|[[Richland County, Wisconsin|Richland]]
| rowspan="2" |{{Flag|Wisconsin}}
|4,871
|3,995
|[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[Sawyer County, Wisconsin|Sawyer]]
|5,909
|4,498
|[[1960 United States presidential election|1960]]
|-
|[[Shiawassee County, Michigan|Shiawassee]]
|{{Flag|Michigan}}
|23,149
|15,347
|[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[Valencia County, New Mexico|Valencia]]
|{{Flag|New Mexico}}
|17,364
|14,623
|[[1948 United States presidential election|1948]]
|-
|[[Van Buren County, Michigan|Van Buren]]
|{{Flag|Michigan}}
|21,591
|16,803
|[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[Vigo County, Indiana|Vigo]]
|{{Flag|Indiana}}
|23,545
|18,213
|[[1952 United States presidential election|1952]]
|-
|[[Warren County, Illinois|Warren]]
|{{Flag|Illinois}}
|4,676
|3,090
| rowspan="2" |[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[Washington County, Maine|Washington]]
|{{Flag|Maine}}
|10,194
|6,761
|-
|[[Westmoreland County, Virginia|Westmoreland]]
|{{Flag|Virginia}}
|5,318
|4,501
|[[1960 United States presidential election|1960]]
|-
|[[Wood County, Ohio|Wood]]
|{{Flag|Ohio}}
|35,757
|30,617
|[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|}
===Deviations in two elections===
The following 111 counties have deviated from the winner of the presidential election in two elections since 1980:
* [[Allamakee County, Iowa]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Iowa|1992]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Iowa|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Alamosa County, Colorado]], in [[2016 United States presidential election in Colorado|2016]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Colorado|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Baldwin County, Georgia]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Georgia|1980]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Georgia|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Benzie County, Michigan]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Michigan|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Michigan|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Blue Earth County, Minnesota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Minnesota|1988]] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Minnesota|2004]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Brewster County, Texas]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Texas|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Texas|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Bureau County, Illinois]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Illinois|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Illinois|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Butte County, California]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in California|1996]] and [[2012 United States presidential election in California|2012]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Caddo Parish, Louisiana]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Louisiana|2000]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}
* [[Caledonia County, Vermont]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Vermont|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Vermont|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Calhoun County, Michigan]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Michigan|2000]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Michigan|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Calhoun County, South Carolina]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in South Carolina|1980]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Cascade County, Montana]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Montana|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Montana|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Cass County, Michigan]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Chesapeake, Virginia]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Virginia|1992]] and [[1996 United States presidential election in Virginia|1996]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Chickasaw County, Mississippi]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Mississippi|1980]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Clark County, Washington]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|1988]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Clear Creek County, Colorado]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Colorado|2004]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Coles County, Illinois]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Colleton County, South Carolina]], in 1980 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Columbia County, Wisconsin]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|2000]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Coös County, New Hampshire]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|2004]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|2020]]<ref name="Huffington" />
* [[Cayuga County, New York]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in New York|2000]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in New York|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Chautauqua County, New York]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in New York|2012]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Delaware County, Indiana]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Indiana|1992]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Indiana|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Dutchess County, New York]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in New York|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in New York|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Eagle County, Colorado]], in 2004 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[East Baton Rouge Parish, Louisiana]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Louisiana|1992]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Elk County, Pennsylvania]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Essex County, Virginia]], in 1992 and [[2020 United States presidential election in Virginia|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Fayette County, Kentucky]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Kentucky|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Fresno County, California]], in 1996 and [[2016 United States presidential election in California|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Gladwin County, Michigan]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Gloucester County, New Jersey]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in New Jersey|2000]] and [[2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey|2004]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Grand County, Utah]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in Utah|1996]] and [[2012 United States presidential election in Utah|2012]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Guilford County, North Carolina]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in North Carolina|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in North Carolina|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Gunnison County, Colorado]], in 2004 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Hill County, Montana]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Montana|1988]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Hillsborough County, Florida]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Florida|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Florida|2016]]<ref name="Huffington" />
* [[Houston County, Minnesota]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Minnesota|1992]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Minnesota|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Island County, Washington]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|1996]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Jefferson County, Iowa]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Iowa|2004]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Jo Daviess County, Illinois]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Illinois|1992]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Kankakee County, Illinois]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Kennebec County, Maine]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Maine|2000]] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Maine|2004]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Lake County, Illinois]], in 1992 and [[2016 United States presidential election in Illinois|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Larimer County, Colorado]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in Colorado|1996]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Latah County, Idaho]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Idaho|1988]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Idaho|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Lenawee County, Michigan]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Lincoln County, Maine]], in 2004 and [[2016 United States presidential election in Maine|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Lincoln County, Wisconsin]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|1988]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Luna County, New Mexico]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in New Mexico|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in New Mexico|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Madison County, New York]], 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Manistee County, Michigan]], in 2000 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Marion County, Oregon]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Oregon|1992]] and [[2012 United States presidential election in Oregon|2012]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Marshall County, Iowa]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Iowa|1988]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Marshall County, South Dakota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in South Dakota|1988]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in South Dakota|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Mason County, Illinois]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[McDonough County, Illinois]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Menominee County, Michigan]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Monroe County, Indiana]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Indiana|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Indiana|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Monroe County, Michigan]], in 2000 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Monroe County, Wisconsin]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|2012]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Montgomery County, Virginia]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Virginia|2012]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Virginia|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Northampton County, Pennsylvania]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|2000]] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|2004]].
* [[Oconto County, Wisconsin]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Oneida County, Wisconsin]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Orange County, New York]], in 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Orange County, Vermont]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Vermont|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Vermont|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Orleans County, Vermont]], in 2004 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Oswego County, New York]], in 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Penobscot County, Maine]], in 2004 and [[2020 United States presidential election in Maine|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Pike County, Mississippi]], in 1980 and [[2016 United States presidential election in Mississippi|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Pitt County, North Carolina]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in North Carolina|1996]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Porter County, Indiana]], in 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Presque Isle County, Michigan]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Racine County, Wisconsin]], in 1988 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Radford, Virginia]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Virginia|1980]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Ransom County, North Dakota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in North Dakota|1988]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in North Dakota|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Rensselaer County, New York]], in 2000 and [[2004 United States presidential election in New York|2004]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Riverside County, California]], in 1996 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Rockingham County, New Hampshire]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|1992]] and [[2012 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|2012]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Rockland County, New York]], in 2000 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}
* [[Routt County, Colorado]], in 2004 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Sandusky County, Ohio]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Ohio|1992]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Ohio|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[San Diego County, California]], in 1996 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[San Luis Obispo County, California]], in 1996 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Sargent County, North Dakota]], in 1988 and 2020<ref name="Huffington" />
* [[Sauk County, Wisconsin]], in 2000 and [[2004 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|2004]]. <ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Schuyler County, Illinois]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Seneca County, New York]], in 2000 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Spencer County, Indiana]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Indiana|2012]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[St. Joseph County, Indiana]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Indiana|2000]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}
* [[Stark County, Ohio]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Ohio|2004]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Starke County, Indiana]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Sullivan County, New York]], in 2000 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Sumter County, Georgia]], in 1980 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Teton County, Wyoming]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Wyoming|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Traverse County, Minnesota]], in 1988 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Tuscarawas County, Ohio]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Ohio|2012]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Union County, Iowa]], in 1988 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Val Verde County, Texas]], in [[2016 United States presidential election in Texas|2016]] and 2020<ref name="Huffington" />
* [[Vanderburgh County, Indiana]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Wake County, North Carolina]], in 1996 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Warren County, New York]], in 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Washington County, New York]], in 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Watonwan County, Minnesota]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Minnesota|2012]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Whitman County, Washington]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|2012]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Williamsburg, Virginia]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Virginia|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Virginia|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Winnebago County, Wisconsin]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|1992]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Winona County, Minnesota]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Minnesota|2000]] and 2004<ref name="atlas"/>
==Notes==
{{notelist}}
==References==
{{reflist}}
[[Category:Elections in the United States]]
[[Category:Lists of counties of the United States|Election bellwether]]
<references group="lower-alpha" />' |
New page wikitext, after the edit (new_wikitext ) | '{{short description|Counties that usually vote for presidential election winners}}
{{Original research|date=November 2020}}
{{use mdy dates|date=November 2020}}
'''Election bellwether counties in the United States''' are [[County (United States)|counties]] that vote in alignment with the country as a whole in [[United States presidential elections]], so that the county votes for the candidate who ultimately wins the election. The strongest [[bellwether]] counties are those that back the winning candidate in all elections. There are a total of 3,142 counties or county equivalents in the United States.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/how-many-counties-are-in-the-united-states.html|title=How many counties are in the United States?|publisher=[[Reunion Technology Inc.]]|accessdate=June 10, 2022}}</ref>
==Significant bellwethers==
The following [[County (United States)|county]] is the only county to have voted for the winner of the presidential election in every election since [[1980 United States presidential election|1980]]:
* [[Clallam County, Washington]]<ref name="wiped">{{cite web|url=https://www.wsj.com/articles/bellwether-counties-nearly-wiped-out-by-2020-election-11605272400|title=Bellwether Counties Nearly Wiped Out by 2020 Election|last=McCormick|first=John|author-link=John D. McCormick|access-date=November 17, 2020|url-access=subscription|work=[[The Wall Street Journal]]|date=November 13, 2020}}</ref>
===Deviations in one election===
The following 44 counties have deviated from the winner of the presidential election in one election since 1980 (no counties deviated from the winner in 1980, 1984, or 1996):<ref name="atlas">{{Cite web|last=Leip|first=David|title=Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections|url=http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS|access-date=2020-11-22|website=[[Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections|uselectionatlas.org]]}}</ref><ref name="Huffington">{{cite web|last=Obeng|first=Adam|date=26 April 2016|title=There Are No Bellwether Counties|url=https://www.huffingtonpost.com/adam-obeng/there-are-no-bellwether-c_b_9777628.html|access-date=November 18, 2020|work=[[The Huffington Post]]}}</ref>
{| class="wikitable"
|+
!Election year of deviation
!County
!State
!County winner
! colspan="2" |Votes
!National winner
!Last deviation
|-
| rowspan="2" |[[1988 United States presidential election|1988]]
|[[Blaine County, Montana|Blaine]]
|{{Flag|Montana}}
| rowspan="2" |[[Michael Dukakis]]
|1,460
|1,402
| rowspan="2" |[[George H. W. Bush]]
|[[1912 United States presidential election|1912]]
|-
|[[Clay County, Minnesota|Clay]]
|{{Flag|Minnesota}}
|11,186
|10,380
|[[1968 United States presidential election|1968]]
|-
| rowspan="5" |[[1992 United States presidential election|1992]]
|[[Door County, Wisconsin|Door]]
|{{Flag|Wisconsin}}
| rowspan="5" |[[George H. W. Bush]]
|5,468
|4,735
| rowspan="5" |[[Bill Clinton]]
| rowspan="3" |[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[Essex County, New York|Essex]]
|{{Flag|New York}}
|8,278
|6,717
|-
|[[Hillsborough County, New Hampshire|Hillsborough]]
|{{Flag|New Hampshire}}
|61,620
|58,470
|-
|[[Kent County, Delaware|Kent]]
|{{Flag|Delaware}}
|15,562
|15,364
|[[1948 United States presidential election|1948]]
|-
|[[Saratoga County, New York|Saratoga]]
|{{Flag|New York}}
|36,917
|33,011
| rowspan="6" |[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[2000 United States presidential election|2000]]
|[[Pinellas County, Florida|Pinellas]]
|{{Flag|Florida}}
|[[Al Gore]]
|200,657
|184,849
| rowspan="3" |[[George W. Bush]]
|-
| rowspan="2" |[[2004 United States presidential election|2004]]
|[[Nicollet County, Minnesota|Nicollet]]
|{{Flag|Minnesota}}
| rowspan="2" |[[John Kerry]]
|8,797
|8,689
|-
|[[Sullivan County, New Hampshire|Sullivan]]
|{{Flag|New Hampshire}}
|11,434
|10,142
|-
|[[2008 United States presidential election|2008]]
|[[Chaffee County, Colorado|Chaffee]]
|{{Flag|Colorado}}
|[[John McCain]]
|4,873
|4,862
| rowspan="2" |[[Barack Obama]]
|-
|[[2012 United States presidential election|2012]]
|[[Albany County, Wyoming|Albany]]
|{{Flag|Wyoming}}
|[[Mitt Romney]]
|7,866
|7,458
|-
| rowspan="14" |[[2016 United States presidential election|2016]]
|[[Bexar County, Texas|Bexar]]
|{{Flag|Texas}}
| rowspan="14" |[[Hillary Clinton]]
|319,550
|240,333
| rowspan="14" |[[Donald Trump]]
|[[1968 United States presidential election|1968]]
|-
|[[Buncombe County, North Carolina|Buncombe]]
|{{Flag|North Carolina}}
|75,452
|55,716
|[[1960 United States presidential election|1960]]
|-
|[[Centre County, Pennsylvania|Centre]]
|{{Flag|Pennsylvania}}
|37,088
|35,274
| rowspan="3" |[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[Clackamas County, Oregon|Clackamas]]
|{{Flag|Oregon}}
|102,095
|88,392
|-
|[[DeKalb County, Illinois|DeKalb]]
|{{Flag|Illinois}}
|20,466
|19,091
|-
|[[Merced County, California|Merced]]
| rowspan="3" |{{Flag|California}}
|37,317
|28,725
|[[1968 United States presidential election|1968]]
|-
|[[San Bernardino County, California|San Bernardino]]
|340,833
|271,240
| rowspan="3" |[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[San Joaquin County, California|San Joaquin]]
|121,124
|88,936
|-
|[[Skagit County, Washington|Skagit]]
|[[Washington (state)|Washington]]
|26,690
|24,736
|-
|[[Stanislaus County, California|Stanislaus]]
|{{Flag|California}}
|81,647
|78,494
| rowspan="2" |[[1968 United States presidential election|1968]]
|-
|[[Sandoval County, New Mexico|Sandoval]]
|{{Flag|New Mexico}}
|27,707
|25,905
|-
|[[Ventura County, California|Ventura]]
|{{Flag|California}}
|194,402
|132,323
| rowspan="6" |[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[Will County, Illinois|Will]]
| rowspan="2" |{{Flag|Illinois}}
|151,927
|132,720
|-
|[[Winnebago County, Illinois|Winnebago]]
|55,713
|55,624
|-
| rowspan="18" |[[2020 United States presidential election|2020]]
|[[Bremer County, Iowa|Bremer]]
|{{Flag|Iowa}}
| rowspan="18" |[[Donald Trump]]
|8,294
|5,958
| rowspan="18" |[[Joe Biden]]
|-
|[[Cortland County, New York|Cortland]]
|{{Flag|New York}}
|10,789
|10,369
|-
|[[Essex County, Vermont|Essex]]
|{{Flag|Vermont}}
|1,773
|1,405
|-
|[[Hidalgo County, New Mexico|Hidalgo]]
|{{Flag|New Mexico}}
|1,120
|823
|[[1968 United States presidential election|1968]]
|-
|[[Juneau County, Wisconsin|Juneau]]
| rowspan="2" |{{Flag|Wisconsin}}
|5,719
|3,239
|[[1960 United States presidential election|1960]]
|-
|[[Marquette County, Wisconsin|Marquette]]
|
|
| rowspan="2" |[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[Otsego County, New York|Otsego]]
|{{Flag|New York}}
|14,382
|12,975
|-
|[[Ottawa County, Ohio|Ottawa]]
|{{Flag|Ohio}}
|14,628
|9,008
|[[1960 United States presidential election|1960]]
|-
|[[Richland County, Wisconsin|Richland]]
| rowspan="2" |{{Flag|Wisconsin}}
|4,871
|3,995
|[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[Sawyer County, Wisconsin|Sawyer]]
|5,909
|4,498
|[[1960 United States presidential election|1960]]
|-
|[[Shiawassee County, Michigan|Shiawassee]]
|{{Flag|Michigan}}
|23,149
|15,347
|[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[Valencia County, New Mexico|Valencia]]
|{{Flag|New Mexico}}
|17,364
|14,623
|[[1948 United States presidential election|1948]]
|-
|[[Van Buren County, Michigan|Van Buren]]
|{{Flag|Michigan}}
|21,591
|16,803
|[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[Vigo County, Indiana|Vigo]]
|{{Flag|Indiana}}
|23,545
|18,213
|[[1952 United States presidential election|1952]]
|-
|[[Warren County, Illinois|Warren]]
|{{Flag|Illinois}}
|4,676
|3,090
| rowspan="2" |[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|-
|[[Washington County, Maine|Washington]]
|{{Flag|Maine}}
|10,194
|6,761
|-
|[[Westmoreland County, Virginia|Westmoreland]]
|{{Flag|Virginia}}
|5,318
|4,501
|[[1960 United States presidential election|1960]]
|-
|[[Wood County, Ohio|Wood]]
|{{Flag|Ohio}}
|35,757
|30,617
|[[1976 United States presidential election|1976]]
|}
===Deviations in two elections===
The following 111 counties have deviated from the winner of the presidential election in two elections since 1980:
* [[Allamakee County, Iowa]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Iowa|1992]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Iowa|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Alamosa County, Colorado]], in [[2016 United States presidential election in Colorado|'''2016''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Colorado|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Baldwin County, Georgia]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Georgia|'''1980''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Georgia|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Benzie County, Michigan]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Michigan|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Michigan|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Blue Earth County, Minnesota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Minnesota|'''1988''']] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Minnesota|'''2004''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Brewster County, Texas]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Texas|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Texas|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Bureau County, Illinois]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Illinois|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Illinois|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Butte County, California]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in California|1996]] and [[2012 United States presidential election in California|2012]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Caddo Parish, Louisiana]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Louisiana|'''2000''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}
* [[Caledonia County, Vermont]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Vermont|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Vermont|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Calhoun County, Michigan]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Michigan|'''2000''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Michigan|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Calhoun County, South Carolina]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in South Carolina|'''1980''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Cascade County, Montana]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Montana|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Montana|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Cass County, Michigan]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Chesapeake, Virginia]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Virginia|1992]] and [[1996 United States presidential election in Virginia|1996]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Chickasaw County, Mississippi]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Mississippi|'''1980''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Clark County, Washington]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|'''1988''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Clear Creek County, Colorado]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Colorado|'''2004''']] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Coles County, Illinois]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Colleton County, South Carolina]], in '''1980''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Columbia County, Wisconsin]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|'''2000''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Coös County, New Hampshire]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|'''2004''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|2020]]<ref name="Huffington" />
* [[Cayuga County, New York]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in New York|'''2000''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in New York|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Chautauqua County, New York]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in New York|2012]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Delaware County, Indiana]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Indiana|1992]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Indiana|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Dutchess County, New York]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in New York|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in New York|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Eagle County, Colorado]], in '''2004''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[East Baton Rouge Parish, Louisiana]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Louisiana|1992]] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Elk County, Pennsylvania]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Essex County, Virginia]], in 1992 and [[2020 United States presidential election in Virginia|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Fayette County, Kentucky]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Kentucky|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Fresno County, California]], in 1996 and [[2016 United States presidential election in California|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Gladwin County, Michigan]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Gloucester County, New Jersey]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in New Jersey|'''2000''']] and [[2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey|'''2004''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Grand County, Utah]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in Utah|1996]] and [[2012 United States presidential election in Utah|2012]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Guilford County, North Carolina]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in North Carolina|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in North Carolina|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Gunnison County, Colorado]], in '''2004''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Hill County, Montana]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Montana|'''1988''']] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Hillsborough County, Florida]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Florida|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Florida|'''2016''']]<ref name="Huffington" />
* [[Houston County, Minnesota]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Minnesota|1992]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Minnesota|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Island County, Washington]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|1996]] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Jefferson County, Iowa]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Iowa|'''2004''']] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Jo Daviess County, Illinois]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Illinois|1992]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Kankakee County, Illinois]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Kennebec County, Maine]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Maine|'''2000''']] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Maine|'''2004''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Lake County, Illinois]], in 1992 and [[2016 United States presidential election in Illinois|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Larimer County, Colorado]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in Colorado|1996]] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Latah County, Idaho]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Idaho|'''1988''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Idaho|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Lenawee County, Michigan]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Lincoln County, Maine]], in '''2004''' and [[2016 United States presidential election in Maine|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Lincoln County, Wisconsin]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|'''1988''']] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Luna County, New Mexico]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in New Mexico|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in New Mexico|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Madison County, New York]], 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Manistee County, Michigan]], in '''2000''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Marion County, Oregon]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Oregon|1992]] and [[2012 United States presidential election in Oregon|2012]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Marshall County, Iowa]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Iowa|'''1988''']] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Marshall County, South Dakota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in South Dakota|'''1988''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in South Dakota|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Mason County, Illinois]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[McDonough County, Illinois]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Menominee County, Michigan]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Monroe County, Indiana]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Indiana|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Indiana|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Monroe County, Michigan]], in '''2000''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Monroe County, Wisconsin]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|2012]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Montgomery County, Virginia]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Virginia|2012]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Virginia|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Northampton County, Pennsylvania]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|'''2000''']] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|'''2004''']].
* [[Oconto County, Wisconsin]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Oneida County, Wisconsin]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Orange County, New York]], in 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Orange County, Vermont]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Vermont|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Vermont|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Orleans County, Vermont]], in '''2004''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Oswego County, New York]], in 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Penobscot County, Maine]], in '''2004''' and [[2020 United States presidential election in Maine|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Pike County, Mississippi]], in '''1980''' and [[2016 United States presidential election in Mississippi|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Pitt County, North Carolina]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in North Carolina|1996]] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Porter County, Indiana]], in 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Presque Isle County, Michigan]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Racine County, Wisconsin]], in '''1988''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Radford, Virginia]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Virginia|'''1980''']] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Ransom County, North Dakota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in North Dakota|'''1988''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in North Dakota|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Rensselaer County, New York]], in '''2000''' and [[2004 United States presidential election in New York|'''2004''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Riverside County, California]], in 1996 and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Rockingham County, New Hampshire]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|1992]] and [[2012 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|2012]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Rockland County, New York]], in '''2000''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}
* [[Routt County, Colorado]], in '''2004''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Sandusky County, Ohio]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Ohio|1992]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Ohio|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[San Diego County, California]], in 1996 and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[San Luis Obispo County, California]], in 1996 and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Sargent County, North Dakota]], in '''1988''' and 2020<ref name="Huffington" />
* [[Sauk County, Wisconsin]], in '''2000''' and [[2004 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|'''2004''']]. <ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Schuyler County, Illinois]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Seneca County, New York]], in '''2000''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Spencer County, Indiana]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Indiana|2012]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[St. Joseph County, Indiana]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Indiana|'''2000''']] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}
* [[Stark County, Ohio]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Ohio|'''2004''']] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Starke County, Indiana]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Sullivan County, New York]], in '''2000''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Sumter County, Georgia]], in '''1980''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Teton County, Wyoming]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Wyoming|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Traverse County, Minnesota]], in '''1988''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Tuscarawas County, Ohio]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Ohio|2012]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Union County, Iowa]], in '''1988''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Val Verde County, Texas]], in [[2016 United States presidential election in Texas|'''2016''']] and 2020<ref name="Huffington" />
* [[Vanderburgh County, Indiana]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Wake County, North Carolina]], in 1996 and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Warren County, New York]], in 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Washington County, New York]], in 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Watonwan County, Minnesota]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Minnesota|2012]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Whitman County, Washington]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|2012]] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Williamsburg, Virginia]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Virginia|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Virginia|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Winnebago County, Wisconsin]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|1992]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Winona County, Minnesota]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Minnesota|'''2000''']] and '''2004'''<ref name="atlas"/>
==Notes==
{{notelist}}
==References==
{{reflist}}
[[Category:Elections in the United States]]
[[Category:Lists of counties of the United States|Election bellwether]]
<references group="lower-alpha" />' |
Unified diff of changes made by edit (edit_diff ) | '@@ -287,114 +287,114 @@
* [[Allamakee County, Iowa]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Iowa|1992]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Iowa|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Alamosa County, Colorado]], in [[2016 United States presidential election in Colorado|2016]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Colorado|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Baldwin County, Georgia]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Georgia|1980]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Georgia|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Alamosa County, Colorado]], in [[2016 United States presidential election in Colorado|'''2016''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Colorado|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Baldwin County, Georgia]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Georgia|'''1980''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Georgia|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Benzie County, Michigan]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Michigan|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Michigan|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Blue Earth County, Minnesota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Minnesota|1988]] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Minnesota|2004]]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Blue Earth County, Minnesota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Minnesota|'''1988''']] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Minnesota|'''2004''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Brewster County, Texas]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Texas|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Texas|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Bureau County, Illinois]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Illinois|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Illinois|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Butte County, California]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in California|1996]] and [[2012 United States presidential election in California|2012]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Caddo Parish, Louisiana]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Louisiana|2000]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}
-* [[Caledonia County, Vermont]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Vermont|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Vermont|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Calhoun County, Michigan]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Michigan|2000]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Michigan|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Calhoun County, South Carolina]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in South Carolina|1980]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Caddo Parish, Louisiana]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Louisiana|'''2000''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}
+* [[Caledonia County, Vermont]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Vermont|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Vermont|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Calhoun County, Michigan]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Michigan|'''2000''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Michigan|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Calhoun County, South Carolina]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in South Carolina|'''1980''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Cascade County, Montana]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Montana|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Montana|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Cass County, Michigan]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Chesapeake, Virginia]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Virginia|1992]] and [[1996 United States presidential election in Virginia|1996]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Chickasaw County, Mississippi]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Mississippi|1980]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Clark County, Washington]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|1988]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Clear Creek County, Colorado]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Colorado|2004]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Chickasaw County, Mississippi]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Mississippi|'''1980''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Clark County, Washington]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|'''1988''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Clear Creek County, Colorado]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Colorado|'''2004''']] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Coles County, Illinois]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Colleton County, South Carolina]], in 1980 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Columbia County, Wisconsin]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|2000]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Coös County, New Hampshire]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|2004]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|2020]]<ref name="Huffington" />
-* [[Cayuga County, New York]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in New York|2000]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in New York|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Colleton County, South Carolina]], in '''1980''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Columbia County, Wisconsin]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|'''2000''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Coös County, New Hampshire]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|'''2004''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|2020]]<ref name="Huffington" />
+* [[Cayuga County, New York]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in New York|'''2000''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in New York|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Chautauqua County, New York]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in New York|2012]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Delaware County, Indiana]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Indiana|1992]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Indiana|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Dutchess County, New York]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in New York|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in New York|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Eagle County, Colorado]], in 2004 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[East Baton Rouge Parish, Louisiana]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Louisiana|1992]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Dutchess County, New York]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in New York|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in New York|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Eagle County, Colorado]], in '''2004''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[East Baton Rouge Parish, Louisiana]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Louisiana|1992]] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Elk County, Pennsylvania]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Essex County, Virginia]], in 1992 and [[2020 United States presidential election in Virginia|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Fayette County, Kentucky]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Kentucky|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Fresno County, California]], in 1996 and [[2016 United States presidential election in California|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Fayette County, Kentucky]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Kentucky|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Fresno County, California]], in 1996 and [[2016 United States presidential election in California|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Gladwin County, Michigan]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Gloucester County, New Jersey]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in New Jersey|2000]] and [[2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey|2004]]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Gloucester County, New Jersey]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in New Jersey|'''2000''']] and [[2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey|'''2004''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Grand County, Utah]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in Utah|1996]] and [[2012 United States presidential election in Utah|2012]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Guilford County, North Carolina]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in North Carolina|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in North Carolina|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Gunnison County, Colorado]], in 2004 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Hill County, Montana]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Montana|1988]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Hillsborough County, Florida]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Florida|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Florida|2016]]<ref name="Huffington" />
+* [[Guilford County, North Carolina]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in North Carolina|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in North Carolina|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Gunnison County, Colorado]], in '''2004''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Hill County, Montana]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Montana|'''1988''']] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Hillsborough County, Florida]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Florida|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Florida|'''2016''']]<ref name="Huffington" />
* [[Houston County, Minnesota]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Minnesota|1992]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Minnesota|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Island County, Washington]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|1996]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Jefferson County, Iowa]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Iowa|2004]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Island County, Washington]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|1996]] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Jefferson County, Iowa]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Iowa|'''2004''']] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Jo Daviess County, Illinois]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Illinois|1992]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Kankakee County, Illinois]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Kennebec County, Maine]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Maine|2000]] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Maine|2004]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Lake County, Illinois]], in 1992 and [[2016 United States presidential election in Illinois|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Larimer County, Colorado]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in Colorado|1996]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Latah County, Idaho]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Idaho|1988]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Idaho|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Kennebec County, Maine]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Maine|'''2000''']] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Maine|'''2004''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Lake County, Illinois]], in 1992 and [[2016 United States presidential election in Illinois|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Larimer County, Colorado]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in Colorado|1996]] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Latah County, Idaho]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Idaho|'''1988''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Idaho|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Lenawee County, Michigan]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Lincoln County, Maine]], in 2004 and [[2016 United States presidential election in Maine|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Lincoln County, Wisconsin]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|1988]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Lincoln County, Maine]], in '''2004''' and [[2016 United States presidential election in Maine|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Lincoln County, Wisconsin]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|'''1988''']] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Luna County, New Mexico]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in New Mexico|2012]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in New Mexico|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Madison County, New York]], 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Manistee County, Michigan]], in 2000 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Manistee County, Michigan]], in '''2000''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Marion County, Oregon]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Oregon|1992]] and [[2012 United States presidential election in Oregon|2012]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Marshall County, Iowa]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Iowa|1988]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Marshall County, South Dakota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in South Dakota|1988]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in South Dakota|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Marshall County, Iowa]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Iowa|'''1988''']] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Marshall County, South Dakota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in South Dakota|'''1988''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in South Dakota|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Mason County, Illinois]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[McDonough County, Illinois]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Menominee County, Michigan]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Monroe County, Indiana]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Indiana|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Indiana|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Monroe County, Michigan]], in 2000 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Monroe County, Indiana]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Indiana|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Indiana|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Monroe County, Michigan]], in '''2000''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Monroe County, Wisconsin]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|2012]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Montgomery County, Virginia]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Virginia|2012]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Virginia|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Northampton County, Pennsylvania]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|2000]] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|2004]].
+* [[Montgomery County, Virginia]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Virginia|2012]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Virginia|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Northampton County, Pennsylvania]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|'''2000''']] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|'''2004''']].
* [[Oconto County, Wisconsin]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Oneida County, Wisconsin]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Orange County, New York]], in 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Orange County, Vermont]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Vermont|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Vermont|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Orleans County, Vermont]], in 2004 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Orange County, Vermont]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Vermont|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Vermont|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Orleans County, Vermont]], in '''2004''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Oswego County, New York]], in 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Penobscot County, Maine]], in 2004 and [[2020 United States presidential election in Maine|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Pike County, Mississippi]], in 1980 and [[2016 United States presidential election in Mississippi|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Pitt County, North Carolina]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in North Carolina|1996]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Penobscot County, Maine]], in '''2004''' and [[2020 United States presidential election in Maine|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Pike County, Mississippi]], in '''1980''' and [[2016 United States presidential election in Mississippi|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Pitt County, North Carolina]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in North Carolina|1996]] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Porter County, Indiana]], in 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Presque Isle County, Michigan]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Racine County, Wisconsin]], in 1988 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Radford, Virginia]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Virginia|1980]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Ransom County, North Dakota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in North Dakota|1988]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in North Dakota|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Rensselaer County, New York]], in 2000 and [[2004 United States presidential election in New York|2004]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Riverside County, California]], in 1996 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Racine County, Wisconsin]], in '''1988''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Radford, Virginia]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Virginia|'''1980''']] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Ransom County, North Dakota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in North Dakota|'''1988''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in North Dakota|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Rensselaer County, New York]], in '''2000''' and [[2004 United States presidential election in New York|'''2004''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Riverside County, California]], in 1996 and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Rockingham County, New Hampshire]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|1992]] and [[2012 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|2012]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Rockland County, New York]], in 2000 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}
-* [[Routt County, Colorado]], in 2004 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Rockland County, New York]], in '''2000''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}
+* [[Routt County, Colorado]], in '''2004''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Sandusky County, Ohio]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Ohio|1992]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Ohio|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[San Diego County, California]], in 1996 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[San Luis Obispo County, California]], in 1996 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Sargent County, North Dakota]], in 1988 and 2020<ref name="Huffington" />
-* [[Sauk County, Wisconsin]], in 2000 and [[2004 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|2004]]. <ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[San Diego County, California]], in 1996 and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[San Luis Obispo County, California]], in 1996 and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Sargent County, North Dakota]], in '''1988''' and 2020<ref name="Huffington" />
+* [[Sauk County, Wisconsin]], in '''2000''' and [[2004 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|'''2004''']]. <ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Schuyler County, Illinois]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Seneca County, New York]], in 2000 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Seneca County, New York]], in '''2000''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Spencer County, Indiana]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Indiana|2012]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[St. Joseph County, Indiana]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Indiana|2000]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}
-* [[Stark County, Ohio]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Ohio|2004]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[St. Joseph County, Indiana]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Indiana|'''2000''']] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}
+* [[Stark County, Ohio]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Ohio|'''2004''']] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Starke County, Indiana]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Sullivan County, New York]], in 2000 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Sumter County, Georgia]], in 1980 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Teton County, Wyoming]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Wyoming|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Traverse County, Minnesota]], in 1988 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Sullivan County, New York]], in '''2000''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Sumter County, Georgia]], in '''1980''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Teton County, Wyoming]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Wyoming|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Traverse County, Minnesota]], in '''1988''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Tuscarawas County, Ohio]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Ohio|2012]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Union County, Iowa]], in 1988 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Val Verde County, Texas]], in [[2016 United States presidential election in Texas|2016]] and 2020<ref name="Huffington" />
+* [[Union County, Iowa]], in '''1988''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Val Verde County, Texas]], in [[2016 United States presidential election in Texas|'''2016''']] and 2020<ref name="Huffington" />
* [[Vanderburgh County, Indiana]], in 2012 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Wake County, North Carolina]], in 1996 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Wake County, North Carolina]], in 1996 and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Warren County, New York]], in 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Washington County, New York]], in 1992 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Watonwan County, Minnesota]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Minnesota|2012]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Whitman County, Washington]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|2012]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Williamsburg, Virginia]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Virginia|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Virginia|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Whitman County, Washington]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|2012]] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Williamsburg, Virginia]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Virginia|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Virginia|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>
* [[Winnebago County, Wisconsin]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|1992]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>
-* [[Winona County, Minnesota]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Minnesota|2000]] and 2004<ref name="atlas"/>
+* [[Winona County, Minnesota]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Minnesota|'''2000''']] and '''2004'''<ref name="atlas"/>
==Notes==
' |
New page size (new_size ) | 23261 |
Old page size (old_size ) | 22685 |
Size change in edit (edit_delta ) | 576 |
Lines added in edit (added_lines ) | [
0 => '* [[Alamosa County, Colorado]], in [[2016 United States presidential election in Colorado|'''2016''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Colorado|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
1 => '* [[Baldwin County, Georgia]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Georgia|'''1980''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Georgia|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
2 => '* [[Blue Earth County, Minnesota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Minnesota|'''1988''']] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Minnesota|'''2004''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
3 => '* [[Caddo Parish, Louisiana]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Louisiana|'''2000''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}',
4 => '* [[Caledonia County, Vermont]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Vermont|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Vermont|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
5 => '* [[Calhoun County, Michigan]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Michigan|'''2000''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Michigan|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
6 => '* [[Calhoun County, South Carolina]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in South Carolina|'''1980''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
7 => '* [[Chickasaw County, Mississippi]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Mississippi|'''1980''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
8 => '* [[Clark County, Washington]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|'''1988''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
9 => '* [[Clear Creek County, Colorado]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Colorado|'''2004''']] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>',
10 => '* [[Colleton County, South Carolina]], in '''1980''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
11 => '* [[Columbia County, Wisconsin]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|'''2000''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
12 => '* [[Coös County, New Hampshire]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|'''2004''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|2020]]<ref name="Huffington" />',
13 => '* [[Cayuga County, New York]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in New York|'''2000''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in New York|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/> ',
14 => '* [[Dutchess County, New York]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in New York|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in New York|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
15 => '* [[Eagle County, Colorado]], in '''2004''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>',
16 => '* [[East Baton Rouge Parish, Louisiana]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Louisiana|1992]] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>',
17 => '* [[Fayette County, Kentucky]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Kentucky|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
18 => '* [[Fresno County, California]], in 1996 and [[2016 United States presidential election in California|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/> ',
19 => '* [[Gloucester County, New Jersey]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in New Jersey|'''2000''']] and [[2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey|'''2004''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
20 => '* [[Guilford County, North Carolina]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in North Carolina|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in North Carolina|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
21 => '* [[Gunnison County, Colorado]], in '''2004''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>',
22 => '* [[Hill County, Montana]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Montana|'''1988''']] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
23 => '* [[Hillsborough County, Florida]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Florida|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Florida|'''2016''']]<ref name="Huffington" />',
24 => '* [[Island County, Washington]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|1996]] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>',
25 => '* [[Jefferson County, Iowa]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Iowa|'''2004''']] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
26 => '* [[Kennebec County, Maine]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Maine|'''2000''']] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Maine|'''2004''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
27 => '* [[Lake County, Illinois]], in 1992 and [[2016 United States presidential election in Illinois|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
28 => '* [[Larimer County, Colorado]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in Colorado|1996]] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>',
29 => '* [[Latah County, Idaho]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Idaho|'''1988''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Idaho|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
30 => '* [[Lincoln County, Maine]], in '''2004''' and [[2016 United States presidential election in Maine|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
31 => '* [[Lincoln County, Wisconsin]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|'''1988''']] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
32 => '* [[Manistee County, Michigan]], in '''2000''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
33 => '* [[Marshall County, Iowa]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Iowa|'''1988''']] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
34 => '* [[Marshall County, South Dakota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in South Dakota|'''1988''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in South Dakota|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
35 => '* [[Monroe County, Indiana]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Indiana|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Indiana|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
36 => '* [[Monroe County, Michigan]], in '''2000''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
37 => '* [[Montgomery County, Virginia]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Virginia|2012]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Virginia|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
38 => '* [[Northampton County, Pennsylvania]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|'''2000''']] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|'''2004''']].',
39 => '* [[Orange County, Vermont]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Vermont|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Vermont|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
40 => '* [[Orleans County, Vermont]], in '''2004''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>',
41 => '* [[Penobscot County, Maine]], in '''2004''' and [[2020 United States presidential election in Maine|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
42 => '* [[Pike County, Mississippi]], in '''1980''' and [[2016 United States presidential election in Mississippi|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
43 => '* [[Pitt County, North Carolina]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in North Carolina|1996]] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>',
44 => '* [[Racine County, Wisconsin]], in '''1988''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
45 => '* [[Radford, Virginia]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Virginia|'''1980''']] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>',
46 => '* [[Ransom County, North Dakota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in North Dakota|'''1988''']] and [[2020 United States presidential election in North Dakota|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
47 => '* [[Rensselaer County, New York]], in '''2000''' and [[2004 United States presidential election in New York|'''2004''']]<ref name="atlas"/> ',
48 => '* [[Riverside County, California]], in 1996 and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/> ',
49 => '* [[Rockland County, New York]], in '''2000''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}',
50 => '* [[Routt County, Colorado]], in '''2004''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>',
51 => '* [[San Diego County, California]], in 1996 and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/> ',
52 => '* [[San Luis Obispo County, California]], in 1996 and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/> ',
53 => '* [[Sargent County, North Dakota]], in '''1988''' and 2020<ref name="Huffington" />',
54 => '* [[Sauk County, Wisconsin]], in '''2000''' and [[2004 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|'''2004''']]. <ref name="atlas"/>',
55 => '* [[Seneca County, New York]], in '''2000''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
56 => '* [[St. Joseph County, Indiana]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Indiana|'''2000''']] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}',
57 => '* [[Stark County, Ohio]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Ohio|'''2004''']] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
58 => '* [[Sullivan County, New York]], in '''2000''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
59 => '* [[Sumter County, Georgia]], in '''1980''' and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>',
60 => '* [[Teton County, Wyoming]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Wyoming|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
61 => '* [[Traverse County, Minnesota]], in '''1988''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
62 => '* [[Union County, Iowa]], in '''1988''' and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
63 => '* [[Val Verde County, Texas]], in [[2016 United States presidential election in Texas|'''2016''']] and 2020<ref name="Huffington" />',
64 => '* [[Wake County, North Carolina]], in 1996 and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>',
65 => '* [[Whitman County, Washington]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|2012]] and '''2016'''<ref name="atlas"/>',
66 => '* [[Williamsburg, Virginia]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Virginia|'''2004''']] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Virginia|'''2016''']]<ref name="atlas"/>',
67 => '* [[Winona County, Minnesota]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Minnesota|'''2000''']] and '''2004'''<ref name="atlas"/>'
] |
Lines removed in edit (removed_lines ) | [
0 => '* [[Alamosa County, Colorado]], in [[2016 United States presidential election in Colorado|2016]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Colorado|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
1 => '* [[Baldwin County, Georgia]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Georgia|1980]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Georgia|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
2 => '* [[Blue Earth County, Minnesota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Minnesota|1988]] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Minnesota|2004]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
3 => '* [[Caddo Parish, Louisiana]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Louisiana|2000]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}',
4 => '* [[Caledonia County, Vermont]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Vermont|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Vermont|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
5 => '* [[Calhoun County, Michigan]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Michigan|2000]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Michigan|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
6 => '* [[Calhoun County, South Carolina]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in South Carolina|1980]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
7 => '* [[Chickasaw County, Mississippi]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Mississippi|1980]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
8 => '* [[Clark County, Washington]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|1988]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
9 => '* [[Clear Creek County, Colorado]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Colorado|2004]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>',
10 => '* [[Colleton County, South Carolina]], in 1980 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
11 => '* [[Columbia County, Wisconsin]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|2000]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
12 => '* [[Coös County, New Hampshire]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|2004]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire|2020]]<ref name="Huffington" />',
13 => '* [[Cayuga County, New York]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in New York|2000]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in New York|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/> ',
14 => '* [[Dutchess County, New York]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in New York|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in New York|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
15 => '* [[Eagle County, Colorado]], in 2004 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>',
16 => '* [[East Baton Rouge Parish, Louisiana]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Louisiana|1992]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>',
17 => '* [[Fayette County, Kentucky]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Kentucky|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
18 => '* [[Fresno County, California]], in 1996 and [[2016 United States presidential election in California|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/> ',
19 => '* [[Gloucester County, New Jersey]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in New Jersey|2000]] and [[2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey|2004]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
20 => '* [[Guilford County, North Carolina]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in North Carolina|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in North Carolina|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
21 => '* [[Gunnison County, Colorado]], in 2004 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>',
22 => '* [[Hill County, Montana]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Montana|1988]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
23 => '* [[Hillsborough County, Florida]], in [[1992 United States presidential election in Florida|1992]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Florida|2016]]<ref name="Huffington" />',
24 => '* [[Island County, Washington]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|1996]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>',
25 => '* [[Jefferson County, Iowa]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Iowa|2004]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
26 => '* [[Kennebec County, Maine]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Maine|2000]] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Maine|2004]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
27 => '* [[Lake County, Illinois]], in 1992 and [[2016 United States presidential election in Illinois|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
28 => '* [[Larimer County, Colorado]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in Colorado|1996]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>',
29 => '* [[Latah County, Idaho]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Idaho|1988]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Idaho|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
30 => '* [[Lincoln County, Maine]], in 2004 and [[2016 United States presidential election in Maine|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
31 => '* [[Lincoln County, Wisconsin]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|1988]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
32 => '* [[Manistee County, Michigan]], in 2000 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
33 => '* [[Marshall County, Iowa]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in Iowa|1988]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
34 => '* [[Marshall County, South Dakota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in South Dakota|1988]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in South Dakota|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
35 => '* [[Monroe County, Indiana]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Indiana|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Indiana|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
36 => '* [[Monroe County, Michigan]], in 2000 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
37 => '* [[Montgomery County, Virginia]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Virginia|2012]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Virginia|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
38 => '* [[Northampton County, Pennsylvania]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|2000]] and [[2004 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|2004]].',
39 => '* [[Orange County, Vermont]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Vermont|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Vermont|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
40 => '* [[Orleans County, Vermont]], in 2004 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>',
41 => '* [[Penobscot County, Maine]], in 2004 and [[2020 United States presidential election in Maine|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
42 => '* [[Pike County, Mississippi]], in 1980 and [[2016 United States presidential election in Mississippi|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
43 => '* [[Pitt County, North Carolina]], in [[1996 United States presidential election in North Carolina|1996]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>',
44 => '* [[Racine County, Wisconsin]], in 1988 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
45 => '* [[Radford, Virginia]], in [[1980 United States presidential election in Virginia|1980]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>',
46 => '* [[Ransom County, North Dakota]], in [[1988 United States presidential election in North Dakota|1988]] and [[2020 United States presidential election in North Dakota|2020]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
47 => '* [[Rensselaer County, New York]], in 2000 and [[2004 United States presidential election in New York|2004]]<ref name="atlas"/> ',
48 => '* [[Riverside County, California]], in 1996 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/> ',
49 => '* [[Rockland County, New York]], in 2000 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}',
50 => '* [[Routt County, Colorado]], in 2004 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>',
51 => '* [[San Diego County, California]], in 1996 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/> ',
52 => '* [[San Luis Obispo County, California]], in 1996 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/> ',
53 => '* [[Sargent County, North Dakota]], in 1988 and 2020<ref name="Huffington" />',
54 => '* [[Sauk County, Wisconsin]], in 2000 and [[2004 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|2004]]. <ref name="atlas"/>',
55 => '* [[Seneca County, New York]], in 2000 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
56 => '* [[St. Joseph County, Indiana]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Indiana|2000]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>{{efn|name=na|This county voted with the popular vote each time.}}',
57 => '* [[Stark County, Ohio]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Ohio|2004]] and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
58 => '* [[Sullivan County, New York]], in 2000 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
59 => '* [[Sumter County, Georgia]], in 1980 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>',
60 => '* [[Teton County, Wyoming]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Wyoming|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
61 => '* [[Traverse County, Minnesota]], in 1988 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
62 => '* [[Union County, Iowa]], in 1988 and 2020<ref name="atlas"/>',
63 => '* [[Val Verde County, Texas]], in [[2016 United States presidential election in Texas|2016]] and 2020<ref name="Huffington" />',
64 => '* [[Wake County, North Carolina]], in 1996 and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>',
65 => '* [[Whitman County, Washington]], in [[2012 United States presidential election in Washington (state)|2012]] and 2016<ref name="atlas"/>',
66 => '* [[Williamsburg, Virginia]], in [[2004 United States presidential election in Virginia|2004]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Virginia|2016]]<ref name="atlas"/>',
67 => '* [[Winona County, Minnesota]], in [[2000 United States presidential election in Minnesota|2000]] and 2004<ref name="atlas"/>'
] |
All external links added in the edit (added_links ) | [] |
All external links in the new text (all_links ) | [
0 => 'https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/how-many-counties-are-in-the-united-states.html',
1 => 'https://www.wsj.com/articles/bellwether-counties-nearly-wiped-out-by-2020-election-11605272400',
2 => 'http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS',
3 => 'https://www.huffingtonpost.com/adam-obeng/there-are-no-bellwether-c_b_9777628.html'
] |
Links in the page, before the edit (old_links ) | [
0 => 'http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS',
1 => 'https://www.huffingtonpost.com/adam-obeng/there-are-no-bellwether-c_b_9777628.html',
2 => 'https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/how-many-counties-are-in-the-united-states.html',
3 => 'https://www.wsj.com/articles/bellwether-counties-nearly-wiped-out-by-2020-election-11605272400'
] |
Whether or not the change was made through a Tor exit node (tor_exit_node ) | false |
Unix timestamp of change (timestamp ) | '1660483622' |