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;Statewide officials
;Statewide officials
*[[Rob Bonta]], [[California Attorney General]] (2021–present)<ref name = "4/3 digest"/>
*[[Rob Bonta]], [[California Attorney General]] (2021–present)<ref name = "4/3 digest"/>
*[[Malia Cohen]], [[California State Controller]] (2023-present))<ref name= "Endorsements">{{cite|url=https://www.lateefahsimon.com/endorsements}}</ref>
*[[Eleni Kounalakis]], [[Lieutenant Governor of California]] (2019-present)<ref name= "Endorsements">{{cite|url=https://www.lateefahsimon.com/endorsements}}</ref>
*[[Fiona Ma]], [[California State Treasurer]] (2019-present)<ref name= "Endorsements">{{cite|url=https://www.lateefahsimon.com/endorsements}}</ref>
*[[Tony Thurmond]], [[California State Superintendent of Public Instruction]] (2019-present)<ref name= "Endorsements">{{cite|url=https://www.lateefahsimon.com/endorsements}}</ref>
;State legislators
;State legislators
*[[Josh Becker (politician)|Josh Becker]], [[California Senate|state senator]] from the [[California's 13th State Senate district|13th district]] (2020 - present) <ref name= "Endorsements">{{cite|url=https://www.lateefahsimon.com/endorsements}}</ref>
*[[Mia Bonta]], [[California State Assembly|state assemblywoman]] from the [[California's 18th State Assembly district|18th district]] (2021–present)<ref name="Simon"/>
*[[Mia Bonta]], [[California State Assembly|state assemblywoman]] from the [[California's 18th State Assembly district|18th district]] (2021–present)<ref name="Simon"/>
*[[Nancy Skinner (California politician)|Nancy Skinner]], [[California Senate|state senator]] from the [[California's 9th State Senate district|9th district]] (2016–present)<ref name="Simon"/>
*[[Nancy Skinner (California politician)|Nancy Skinner]], [[California Senate|state senator]] from the [[California's 9th State Senate district|9th district]] (2016–present)<ref name="Simon"/>
*[[Lola Smallwood-Cuevas]], [[California Senate|state senator]] from the [[California's 28th State Senate district|28th district]] (2022 - ) <ref name= "Endorsements">{{cite|url=https://www.lateefahsimon.com/endorsements}}</ref>
*[[Aisha Wahab]], [[California Senate|state senator]] from the [[California's 10th State Senatorial district|10th district]] (2022-present) <ref name= "Endorsements">{{cite|url=https://www.lateefahsimon.com/endorsements}}</ref>
*[[Scott Wiener]], [[California Senate|state senator]] from the [[California's 11th State Senatorial district|11th district]] (2016-present) <ref name= "Endorsements">{{cite|url=https://www.lateefahsimon.com/endorsements}}</ref>
*[[Buffy Wicks]], [[California State Assembly|state assemblywoman]] from the [[California's 14th State Assembly district|14th district]] (2019–present)<ref name="Simon"/>
*[[Buffy Wicks]], [[California State Assembly|state assemblywoman]] from the [[California's 14th State Assembly district|14th district]] (2019–present)<ref name="Simon"/>


Line 481: Line 489:
;Labor unions
;Labor unions
*[[Alameda County]] Building and Construction Trades Council<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.sfchronicle.com/politics/joegarofoli/article/tim-sanchez-jennifer-tran-18120037.php |title=Democrats vying to replace Rep. Barbara Lee promise tougher approach on crime}}</ref>
*[[Alameda County]] Building and Construction Trades Council<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.sfchronicle.com/politics/joegarofoli/article/tim-sanchez-jennifer-tran-18120037.php |title=Democrats vying to replace Rep. Barbara Lee promise tougher approach on crime}}</ref>
*[[International Brotherhood of Teamsters]]
*[[Service Employees International Union]] California<ref name = seiu>{{cite news |url=https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article276697991.html |work=[[The Sacramento Bee]] |access-date=26 June 2023 |title=SEIU California Releases Slate of Candidate Endorsements |last=Sheeler |first=Andrew |date=26 June 2023}}</ref>
*[[Service Employees International Union]] California<ref name = seiu>{{cite news |url=https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article276697991.html |work=[[The Sacramento Bee]] |access-date=26 June 2023 |title=SEIU California Releases Slate of Candidate Endorsements |last=Sheeler |first=Andrew |date=26 June 2023}}</ref>


Revision as of 21:26, 14 August 2023

2024 United States House of Representatives elections in California
← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →
All 52 California seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 40 12
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The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in California will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the 52 U.S. representatives from the State of California, one from all 52 of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Four incumbent representatives, Barbara Lee of the 12th district, Adam Schiff of the 30th district, Katie Porter of the 47th district, and Grace Napolitano of the 31st district have announced they will not seek re-election in 2024; Lee, Schiff, and Porter will instead run for U.S. Senate.[1][2][3][4]

House Majority PAC, a super PAC affiliated with the Democratic Party, has announced that it will target four California Republicans in 2024: Mike Garcia of the 27th district, Young Kim of the 40th district, Ken Calvert of the 41st district, and Michelle Steel of the 45th district. Garcia, Kim, and Steel all represent districts that Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election, while Calvert's district narrowly voted for Donald Trump.[5] There are two other California Republican who represent Biden-won districts, John Duarte of the 13th district and David Valadao of the 22nd district. However, some Democratic strategists see Valadao's seat as being out of reach due to his pattern of victories in the left-leaning district.[6]

Several California Republicans will receive assistance from Protect the House 2024, a joint fundraising committee launched by U.S. Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy to support vulnerable House Republicans. Among the representatives included in the committee are Duarte, Valadao, Garcia, Calvert, and Steel, as well as Kevin Kiley of the 3rd district.[7]

District 1

Doug LaMalfa
See also: California's 1st congressional district

The incumbent is Republican Doug LaMalfa, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Doug LaMalfa (R)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe R February 23, 2023

District 2

See also: California's 2nd congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Jared Huffman, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 74.4% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Potential

Endorsements

Jared Huffman (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 3

See also: California's 3rd congressional district

The incumbent is Republican Kevin Kiley, who was elected with 53.2% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

Potential

  • Kevin Kiley (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Likely R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Likely R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Likely R February 23, 2023

District 4

Mike Thompson
See also: California's 4th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Mike Thompson, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 67.8% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Matt Brock (Republican), water utility supervisor and runner-up for this district in 2022[15]
  • Andrew Engdahl (Democratic), community organizer and candidate for this district in 2022[15]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 5

Tom McClintock
See also: California's 5th congressional district

The incumbent is Republican Tom McClintock, who has represented the district since 2009 and was re-elected with 61.3% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

  • Mike Barkley (Democratic), attorney, accountant, and perennial candidate[16]
  • Jason Kassel (Democratic), college professor[16]
  • Tom McClintock (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[8]

Endorsements

Tom McClintock (R)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe R February 23, 2023

District 6

Bret Daniels
See also: California's 6th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Ami Bera, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 55.9% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

  • Chris Bish (Republican), realtor, runner-up for this district in 2020 and candidate in 2022[16]
  • Bret Daniels (Republican), vice mayor of Citrus Heights and candidate for this district in 2022[17]
  • Craig DeLuz (Republican), Robla school board member[17]

Filed paperwork

  • Ami Bera (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[18]
  • Omba Kipuke (Democratic), policy analyst[18]

Endorsements

Ami Bera (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 7

Max Semenenko
See also: California's 7th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Doris Matsui, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 68.3% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

  • Max Semenenko (Republican), former member of the North Highlands Recreation and Park District Board and runner-up for this district in 2022[17]

Potential

Endorsements

Doris Matsui (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 8

John Garamendi
See also: California's 8th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat John Garamendi, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 75.7% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

  • John Garamendi (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[8]
  • Rudy Recile (Republican), businessman and runner-up for this district in 2022[16]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 9

Kevin Lincoln
See also: California's 9th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Josh Harder, who has represented the district since 2019 and was re-elected with 54.9% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • John McBride (Republican)[20]

Potential

  • Josh Harder (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Withdrawn

  • Brett Dood (Republican), pastor (endorsed Lincoln)[16][21]

Endorsements

Josh Harder (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[23] Likely D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Likely D February 23, 2023

District 10

Mark DeSaulnier
See also: California's 10th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Mark DeSaulnier, who has represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 78.9% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 11

See also: California's 11th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Nancy Pelosi, who was re-elected with 84.0% of the vote in 2022. Later that year, Pelosi announced she would step down from House leadership. Speculation subsequently begun that she would not seek re-election in 2024.[24]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

Formed exploratory committee

Potential

Endorsements

Nancy Pelosi (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 12

Tony Daysog
Lateefah Simon
See also: California's 12th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Barbara Lee, who was re-elected with 90.5% of the vote in 2022. She is not seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate.[1]

Candidates

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

Declined

Endorsements

Lateefah Simon (D)
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Tim Sanchez (D)
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 13

Adam Gray
See also: California's 13th congressional district

The incumbent is Republican John Duarte, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.2% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

Potential

  • John Duarte (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Adam Gray
U.S. Representatives

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Tossup February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Tossup March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Tossup February 23, 2023

District 14

Eric Swalwell
See also: California's 14th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Eric Swalwell, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 69.3% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

  • Joseph Grcar (Republican), computational scientist[14]
  • Eric Swalwell (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[8]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 15

See also: California's 15th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Kevin Mullin, who has represented the district since 2023, was elected with 55.5% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Potential

Endorsements

Kevin Mullin (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 16

See also: California's 16th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Anna Eshoo, who was re-elected with 57.8% of the vote in 2022 against another Democrat.

Candidates

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

  • Anna Eshoo (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 17

See also: California's 17th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Ro Khanna, who was re-elected with 70.9% of the vote in 2022. Khanna had expressed interest in running for U.S. Senate, but instead chose not to run and endorsed Barbara Lee.[51][52]

Candidates

Declared

  • Ritesh Tandon (Democratic), software engineer and Republican runner-up for this district in 2020 and 2022[53]

Potential

  • Ro Khanna (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 18

Peter Hernandez
Zoe Lofgren
See also: California's 18th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Zoe Lofgren, who was re-elected with 65.8% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

  • Peter Hernandez (Republican), former chair of the San Benito County Board of Supervisors and runner-up for this district in 2022[17]
  • Luele Kifle (Democratic), IT consultant[17]
  • Zoe Lofgren (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[50]

Publicly expressed interest

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 19

See also: California's 19th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Jimmy Panetta, who has represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 68.8% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Jeff Gorman (Republican)[54]

Potential

Endorsements

Jimmy Panetta (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 20

See also: California's 20th congressional district

The incumbent is Republican Kevin McCarthy, who was re-elected with 67.2% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

  • John Burrows (Democratic), Fresno public relations director[55]
  • Ben Dewell (No party preference), meteorologist and Democratic candidate for this district in 2022[14]
  • Andy Morales (Democratic), security officer[56]

Potential

Endorsements

Kevin McCarthy (R)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe R February 23, 2023

District 21

See also: California's 21st congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Jim Costa, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 54.0% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

  • Michael Maher (Republican), aviation business owner and runner-up for this district in 2022[58]

Potential

  • Jim Costa (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Jim Costa (D)
Organizations
Michael Maher (R)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 22

Rudy Salas
See also: California's 22nd congressional district

The incumbent is Republican David Valadao, who was re-elected with 51.6% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

Potential

Endorsements

Rudy Salas (D)
U.S. Representatives
Labor unions
David Valadao (R)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Lean R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Tilt R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Tossup February 23, 2023

District 23

See also: California's 23rd congressional district

The incumbent is Republican Jay Obernolte, who has represented the district since 2021 and was re-elected with 61.0% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

  • Miguel Arceo (Democratic), progressive activist[14]
  • Derek Marshall (Democratic), community activist and runner-up for this district in 2022[63]

Potential

Endorsements

Jay Obernolte (R)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe R February 23, 2023

District 24

See also: California's 24th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Salud Carbajal, who has represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 60.7% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

  • Thomas Cole (Republican), retired real estate developer[64]

Potential

Endorsements

Salud Carbajal (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 25

See also: California's 25th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Raul Ruiz, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 57.4% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

  • Ceci Truman (Republican), businesswoman and candidate for this district in 2022[16]
  • Ian Weeks (Republican), financial planner[14]

Potential

  • Raul Ruiz (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Raul Ruiz (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 26

See also: California's 26th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Julia Brownley, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Michael Koslow (Republican)[65]

Potential

Endorsements

Julia Brownley (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 27

Franky Carrillo
George Whitesides
See also: California's 27th congressional district

The incumbent is Republican Mike Garcia, who was re-elected with 53.2% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Endorsements

Mike Garcia (R)
Organizations
George Whitesides (D)
U.S. Representatives
State assemblymembers
Labor unions
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[72] Tossup April 18, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Tossup March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Tossup February 23, 2023

District 28

Judy Chu
See also: California's 28th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Judy Chu, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 66.2% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

  • Judy Chu (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[8]
  • Kerry Lewis (Republican), activist[16]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 29

Angelica Dueñas
See also: California's 29th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Tony Cárdenas, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Endorsements

Tony Cardenas (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 30

Main article: 2024 California's 30th congressional district election
See also: California's 30th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Adam Schiff, who was re-elected with 71.1% of the vote in 2022 against another Democrat. He is not seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate.[2]

Candidates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 31

Bob Archuleta
Mary Ann Lutz
Susan Rubio
See also: California's 31st congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Grace Napolitano, who was re-elected with 59.5% of the vote in 2022. Napolitano decided to retire rather than seek re-election.[4]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Bob Archuleta (D)
U.S. Representatives
State level officials
Grace Napolitano (D) (declined)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 32

See also: California's 32nd congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Brad Sherman, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 69.2% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Potential

Endorsements

Brad Sherman (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 33

See also: California's 33rd congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Pete Aguilar, who has represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 61.3% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Potential

Withdrew

Endorsements

Pete Aguilar (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 34

David Kim
See also: California's 34th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Jimmy Gomez, who has represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Calvin Lee (Republican)[78]

Potential

  • Jimmy Gomez (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 35

See also: California's 35th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Norma Torres, who has represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 57.4% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Endorsements

Norma Torres (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 36

See also: California's 36th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Ted Lieu, who has represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 69.8% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Michael Cheaure (Democratic), creative director[79]

Potential

  • Ted Lieu (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Ted Lieu (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 37

See also: California's 37th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove, who has represented the district since 2023, was elected with 64.0% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Potential

Endorsements

Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 38

See also: California's 38th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Linda Sánchez, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 58.1% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Potential

Endorsements

Linda Sánchez (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 39

See also: California's 39th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Mark Takano, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 57.7% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Potential

  • Mark Takano (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Mark Takano (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 40

File:Joe Kerr Portrait.jpg
Joe Kerr
Young Kim
See also: California's 40th congressional district

The incumbent is Republican Young Kim, who was re-elected with 56.8% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Joe Kerr (D)
U.S. Representatives
State senators
Local officials
Labor unions
Young Kim (R)
Organizations
Allyson Muñiz Damikolas (D)
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Likely R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Likely R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Likely R February 23, 2023

District 41

Brian Hawkins
Tim Sheridan
See also: California's 41st congressional district

The incumbent is Republican Ken Calvert, who was re-elected with 52.3% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

Potential

  • Ken Calvert (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Ken Calvert (R)
Organizations
Will Rollins (D)
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Labor unions
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[23] Tossup February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Lean R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Lean R February 23, 2023

District 42

See also: California's 42nd congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Robert Garcia, who has represented the district since 2023, was elected with 68.4% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

  • Nicole López (Democratic), communications consultant and candidate for this district in 2022[14]

Potential

Endorsements

Robert Garcia (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 43

See also: California's 43rd congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Maxine Waters, who has represented the district since 1991 and was re-elected with 77.3% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Potential

Endorsements

Maxine Waters (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 44

See also: California's 44th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Nanette Barragán, who has represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 72.2% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Potential

Endorsements

Nanette Barragán (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 45

Main article: 2024 California's 45th congressional district election
See also: California's 45th congressional district

The incumbent is Republican Michelle Steel, who was re-elected with 52.4% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Lean R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Lean R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Lean R February 23, 2023

District 46

See also: California's 46th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Lou Correa, who has represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 61.8% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Potential

  • Lou Correa (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 47

Main article: 2024 California's 47th congressional district election
See also: California's 47th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Katie Porter, who was re-elected with 51.7% of the vote in 2022. She is not seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate.[3]

Candidates

Declared

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[100] Lean D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Tilt D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Tossup February 23, 2023

District 48

Stephen Houlahan
See also: California's 48th congressional district

The incumbent is Republican Darrell Issa, who has represented the district since 2021 and was re-elected with 60.4% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

  • Stephen Houlahan (Democratic), former Santee city councilor and runner-up for this district in 2022[16]

Potential

Endorsements

Darrell Issa (R)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe R February 23, 2023

District 49

Mike Levin
See also: California's 49th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Mike Levin, who was re-elected with 52.6% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

  • Sheryl Adams (Republican), automotive marketer[101]
  • Matt Gunderson (Republican), auto dealer and runner-up for SD-38 in 2022[102]
  • Mike Levin (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[103]

Endorsements

Sheryl Adams (R)
U.S. Representatives
Mike Levin (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Likely D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Likely D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Likely D February 23, 2023

District 50

See also: California's 50th congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Scott Peters, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 62.8% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 51

Bill Wells
See also: California's 51st congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Sara Jacobs, who has represented the district since 2021 and was re-elected with 61.9% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Declared

  • Stan Caplan (No party preference), businessman and Republican runner-up for this district in 2022[14]
  • Bill Wells (Republican), mayor of El Cajon[106]

Potential

  • Sara Jacobs (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Bill Wells (R)

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

District 52

See also: California's 52nd congressional district

The incumbent is Democrat Juan Vargas, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Potential

  • Juan Vargas (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Juan Vargas (D)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[11] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D February 23, 2023

Notes

  1. ^ This district was numbered as the 20th district prior to the 2010 redistricting cycle, and as the 16th district from then until the 2020 redistricting cycle.
  2. ^ This district was numbered as the 42nd district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle.

References

  1. ^ a b c Ulloa, Jazime (February 21, 2023). "Barbara Lee, a Longtime Congresswoman, Is Running for Senate in California". The New York Times. Retrieved February 21, 2023.
  2. ^ a b "Democrat Adam Schiff announces bid for Feinstein's US Senate seat in California". CNN. January 26, 2023.
  3. ^ a b Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (January 10, 2023). "Rep. Katie Porter launches a U.S. Senate bid". The Orange County Register. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  4. ^ a b c d Valdes, Georgia (July 8, 2023). "Grace Napolitano, longtime San Gabriel Valley congresswoman, announces retirement". San Gabriel Valley Tribune. Retrieved July 9, 2023.
  5. ^ "House Democrats eye lost ground in 2024". Axios.
  6. ^ "How the White House plans to target 18 House Republicans from districts Biden won".
  7. ^ "McCarthy launches 'Protect the House 2024' as he aims to expand the GOP majority".
  8. ^ a b c d e f Frisk, Garrett (July 21, 2023). "We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
  9. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  10. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av "2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 3, 2023.
  11. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
  12. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
  13. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
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  39. ^ "Democrats vying to replace Rep. Barbara Lee promise tougher approach on crime".
  40. ^ a b Sheeler, Andrew (June 26, 2023). "SEIU California Releases Slate of Candidate Endorsements". The Sacramento Bee. Retrieved June 26, 2023.
  41. ^ "Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC Endorses Lateefah Simon For CA-12" (Press release). Washington, D.C.: Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC. August 8, 2023. Retrieved August 8, 2023.
  42. ^ Allison, Emily (May 4, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Lateefah Simon for Election to California's 12th Congressional District". EMILY's List Mailing List. Retrieved May 4, 2023.
  43. ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". Feminist Majority Foundation PAC. Retrieved April 11, 2023.
  44. ^ Gibson, Brittany (July 25, 2023). "Progressive Working Families Party backs candidate to replace Rep. Ruben Gallego". Politico. Retrieved August 8, 2023. The California chapter [of the Working Families Party] has also endorsed Lateefah Simon in California's 12th district, currently held by Rep. Barbara Lee, who is running for U.S. Senate.
  45. ^ a b Korte, Lara; Gardiner, Dustin; Govindarao, Sejal (July 19, 2023). "California Playbook". POLITICO. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
  46. ^ a b Castaneda, Diana (May 23, 2023). "CHC BOLD PAC Announces New Endorsements for 2024". CHC BOLD PAC. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  47. ^ "VoteVets PAC Endorses Tim Sanchez for Congress". VoteVets. June 20, 2023. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
  48. ^ "National Journal Hotline's Wake-up Call 2/8". February 8, 2023.[permanent dead link‍]
  49. ^ a b Sheeler, Andrew (August 9, 2023). "Adam Gray announces congressional bid, setting up Central Valley rematch with Rep. John Duarte". The Sacramento Bee.
  50. ^ a b c Kadah, Jana (February 22, 2023). "Former San Jose Mayor Sam Liccardo eyes run for Congress". sanjosespotlight.com. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
  51. ^ "The coming post-Feinstein cascade". January 13, 2023.
  52. ^ "Democratic Rep. Ro Khanna announces he won't seek California Senate seat, endorses Rep. Barbara Lee". CNN. March 26, 2023. Retrieved March 26, 2023.
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  54. ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1697507". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
  55. ^ Donegan, John (February 2, 2023). "Early challenger of McCarthy emerges in 20th District". The Bakersfield Californian. Retrieved February 2, 2023.
  56. ^ Taub, David (January 27, 2023). "Fresno State Grad Launches 'Longshot' Challenge to Speaker Kevin McCarthy". GV Wire.
  57. ^ a b c d e f g h "CAGOP Releases Several Endorsements for 2024 Election". California Republican Party. Retrieved July 23, 2023.
  58. ^ a b Frederikson, Stepheny (February 23, 2023). "Central Valley Veteran announces run for Congress". www.yourcentralvalley.com. Retrieved March 4, 2023.
  59. ^ a b "Michael Maher announces run for Congress in the 21st District". Our Valley Voice. March 3, 2023. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
  60. ^ Brassil, Gilian (July 18, 2023). "Rudy Salas will challenge David Valadao for Congress again, setting up a close 2024 rematch". The Fresno Bee.
  61. ^ Franco, Jose (July 27, 2023). "Sen. Melissa Hurtado registers candidacy for 22nd Congressional district". KGET. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  62. ^ Korte, Lara; Gardiner, Dustin; Govindarao, Sejal (July 27, 2023). "Dean in Waiting". Politico. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
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  101. ^ Gorman, Reese (July 11, 2023). "Sheryl Adams announces campaign for Congress, seeking to challenge Democratic Rep. Mike Levin". Washington Examiner.
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