2024年葡萄牙立法选举:修订间差异
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小 清理跨語言連結總理成為內部連結:編輯摘要的紅色內部連結乃正常現象,經繁簡轉換後存在,非bot錯誤編輯 (本次機械人作業已完成4.8%) |
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{{Current|time=2024-03-15T07:16:15+00:00}} |
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{{noteTA |
{{noteTA |
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|G1=People |
|G1=People |
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第15行: | 第16行: | ||
| majority_seats = 116 |
| majority_seats = 116 |
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| election_date = 2024年3月10日 |
| election_date = 2024年3月10日 |
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| registered = 10, |
| registered = 10,813,643 {{steady}}<ref>{{Cite web |title=Recenseamento Eleitoral |url=https://www.cne.pt/content/recenseamento-eleitoral |access-date=2024-03-13 |archive-date=2024-02-29 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240229224000/https://cne.pt/content/recenseamento-eleitoral |dead-url=no }}</ref> |
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| turnout = |
| turnout = 59.9% {{increase}} 8.4% [[Percentage point|pp]] |
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| opinion_polls = |
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| opinion_polls = {{le|2024年葡萄牙立法選舉民意調查|Opinion polling for the 2024 Portuguese legislative election}} |
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<!-- PSD/CDS–PP --> |
<!-- PSD/CDS–PP --> |
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| image1 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Luís Montenegro.jpg|bSize = 120|cWidth = 110|cHeight = 150|oTop = 10|oLeft = 5}} |
| image1 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Luís Montenegro.jpg|bSize = 120|cWidth = 110|cHeight = 150|oTop = 10|oLeft = 5}} |
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| leader1 = |
| leader1 = [[路易斯·蒙滕內格羅]] |
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| party1 = Social Democratic Party (Portugal) |
| party1 = Social Democratic Party (Portugal) |
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| alliance1 = {{le|民主聯盟(2024年葡萄牙)|Democratic Alliance (Portugal, 2024)|民主聯盟}} |
| alliance1 = {{le|民主聯盟(2024年葡萄牙)|Democratic Alliance (Portugal, 2024)|民主聯盟}} |
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第30行: | 第30行: | ||
| colour1 = 3777BC |
| colour1 = 3777BC |
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| leaders_seat1 = {{le|里斯本共和國議會選區|Lisbon (Assembly of the Republic constituency)|里斯本}} |
| leaders_seat1 = {{le|里斯本共和國議會選區|Lisbon (Assembly of the Republic constituency)|里斯本}} |
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| last_election1 = 77席 |
| last_election1 = 77席(29.8%) |
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| |
| seats1 = '''80'''席 |
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| seat_change1 = {{increase}} 3席 |
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| In the 2022 election, PSD had 77 seats and 29.1% of the votes, CDS-PP had 1.6% and failed to elect any seats and PPM had 0.0% and also failed to elect any seats. |
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⚫ | |||
}} |
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| |
| percentage1 = '''30.1%''' |
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| |
| swing1 = {{decrease}} 1.4% |
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⚫ | |||
| percentage1 = '''29.5%''' |
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| swing1 = {{decrease}} 1.2% |
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<!-- PS --> |
<!-- PS --> |
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第45行: | 第42行: | ||
| party2 = Socialist Party (Portugal) |
| party2 = Socialist Party (Portugal) |
||
| leader_since2 = {{le|2023年葡萄牙社會黨領袖選舉|2023 Portuguese Socialist Party leadership election|2023年12月16日}} |
| leader_since2 = {{le|2023年葡萄牙社會黨領袖選舉|2023 Portuguese Socialist Party leadership election|2023年12月16日}} |
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| leaders_seat2 = {{le|亞 |
| leaders_seat2 = {{le|亞威羅共和國議會選區|Aveiro (Assembly of the Republic constituency)|亞威羅}} |
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| last_election2 = 120席 |
| last_election2 = 120席(42.5%) |
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| seats2 = |
| seats2 = 78席 |
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| seat_change2 = {{decrease}} |
| seat_change2 = {{decrease}} 42席 |
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| popular_vote2 = 1, |
| popular_vote2 = 1,812,443 |
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| percentage2 = |
| percentage2 = 29.3% |
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| swing2 = {{decrease}} |
| swing2 = {{decrease}} 13.2% |
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<!-- CH --> |
<!-- CH --> |
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| image3 = {{CSS image crop|Image =André Ventura (Agencia LUSA, Entrevista Presidenciais 2021), cropped.png|bSize = 135 |cWidth = 110 |cHeight = 150|oTop = 4|oLeft = 5}} |
| image3 = {{CSS image crop|Image =André Ventura (Agencia LUSA, Entrevista Presidenciais 2021), cropped.png|bSize = 135 |cWidth = 110 |cHeight = 150|oTop = 4|oLeft = 5}} |
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第59行: | 第56行: | ||
| leader_since3 = 2019年4月9日 |
| leader_since3 = 2019年4月9日 |
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| leaders_seat3 = {{le|里斯本共和國議會選區|Lisbon (Assembly of the Republic constituency)|里斯本}} |
| leaders_seat3 = {{le|里斯本共和國議會選區|Lisbon (Assembly of the Republic constituency)|里斯本}} |
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| last_election3 = 12席(7. |
| last_election3 = 12席(7.4%) |
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| seats3 = |
| seats3 = 50席 |
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| seat_change3 = {{increase}} |
| seat_change3 = {{increase}} 38席 |
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| popular_vote3 = 1, |
| popular_vote3 = 1,169,781 |
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| percentage3 = 18. |
| percentage3 = 18.9% |
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| swing3 = {{increase}} |
| swing3 = {{increase}} 11.5% |
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<!-- IL -->| image4 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Rui rocha agencia lusa 2024.png|bSize = 230|cWidth = 110|cHeight = 150|oTop = 8|oLeft = 50}} |
<!-- IL -->| image4 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Rui rocha agencia lusa 2024.png|bSize = 230|cWidth = 110|cHeight = 150|oTop = 8|oLeft = 50}} |
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第72行: | 第69行: | ||
| leader_since4 = 2023年1月22日 |
| leader_since4 = 2023年1月22日 |
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| leaders_seat4 = {{le|布拉加共和國議會選區|Braga (Assembly of the Republic constituency)|布拉加}} |
| leaders_seat4 = {{le|布拉加共和國議會選區|Braga (Assembly of the Republic constituency)|布拉加}} |
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| last_election4 = 8席 |
| last_election4 = 8席(5.1%) |
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| seats4 = 8席 |
| seats4 = 8席 |
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| seat_change4 = {{steady}} 0席 |
| seat_change4 = {{steady}} 0席 |
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| popular_vote4 = |
| popular_vote4 = 319,877 |
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| percentage4 = 5. |
| percentage4 = 5.2% |
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| swing4 = {{increase}} 0. |
| swing4 = {{increase}} 0.1% |
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<!-- BE -->| image5 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Mariana Mortágua, legislativas 2024 (53527512817) (cropped).jpg|bSize = 165|cWidth = 110|cHeight = 150|oTop = 10|oLeft = 27}} |
<!-- BE -->| image5 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Mariana Mortágua, legislativas 2024 (53527512817) (cropped).jpg|bSize = 165|cWidth = 110|cHeight = 150|oTop = 10|oLeft = 27}} |
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第85行: | 第82行: | ||
| leader_since5 = 2023年5月28日 |
| leader_since5 = 2023年5月28日 |
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| leaders_seat5 = {{le|里斯本共和國議會選區|Lisbon (Assembly of the Republic constituency)|里斯本}} |
| leaders_seat5 = {{le|里斯本共和國議會選區|Lisbon (Assembly of the Republic constituency)|里斯本}} |
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| last_election5 = 5席(4. |
| last_election5 = 5席(4.5%) |
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| seats5 = 5席 |
| seats5 = 5席 |
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| seat_change5 = {{steady}} 0席 |
| seat_change5 = {{steady}} 0席 |
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| popular_vote5 = |
| popular_vote5 = 282,314 |
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| percentage5 = 4.5% |
| percentage5 = 4.5% |
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| swing5 = {{ |
| swing5 = {{steady}} 0.0% |
||
<!-- CDU (PCP-PEV) -->| image6 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Paulo Raimundo (Agência Lusa 2023-10-18) (cropped).png|bSize = 150|cWidth = 110|cHeight = 150|oTop = 2|oLeft = 20}} |
<!-- CDU (PCP-PEV) -->| image6 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Paulo Raimundo (Agência Lusa 2023-10-18) (cropped).png|bSize = 150|cWidth = 110|cHeight = 150|oTop = 2|oLeft = 20}} |
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第99行: | 第96行: | ||
| leader_since6 = 2022年11月12日 |
| leader_since6 = 2022年11月12日 |
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| leaders_seat6 = {{le|里斯本共和國議會選區|Lisbon (Assembly of the Republic constituency)|里斯本}} |
| leaders_seat6 = {{le|里斯本共和國議會選區|Lisbon (Assembly of the Republic constituency)|里斯本}} |
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| last_election6 = 6席(4. |
| last_election6 = 6席(4.4%) |
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| seats6 = 4席 |
| seats6 = 4席 |
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| seat_change6 = {{decrease}} 2席 |
| seat_change6 = {{decrease}} 2席 |
||
| popular_vote6 = |
| popular_vote6 = 205,551 |
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| percentage6 = 3.3% |
| percentage6 = 3.3% |
||
| swing6 = {{decrease}} 1. |
| swing6 = {{decrease}} 1.1% |
||
<!-- Livre -->| image7 = {{Multiple candidates images|{{CSS image crop|Image = Rui Tavares 2022.png|bSize = 170|cWidth = 55|cHeight = 150|oTop = 5|oLeft = 55}}|{{CSS image crop|Image = Teresa Mota.png|bSize = 280|cWidth = 55|cHeight = 150|oTop = 0|oLeft = 90}}}} |
<!-- Livre -->| image7 = {{Multiple candidates images|{{CSS image crop|Image = Rui Tavares 2022.png|bSize = 170|cWidth = 55|cHeight = 150|oTop = 5|oLeft = 55}}|{{CSS image crop|Image = Teresa Mota.png|bSize = 280|cWidth = 55|cHeight = 150|oTop = 0|oLeft = 90}}}} |
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| colour7 = C2D216 |
| colour7 = C2D216 |
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| leader7 = {{le|忽伊·塔瓦理斯|Rui Tavares}}<br>{{le|特蕾莎·莫塔|Teresa Mota |
| leader7 = {{le|忽伊·塔瓦理斯|Rui Tavares}}<br>{{le|特蕾莎·莫塔|Teresa Mota}} |
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| party7 = [[自由 (政黨)|自由]] |
| party7 = [[自由 (政黨)|自由]] |
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| leader_since7 = 2022年3月6日 |
| leader_since7 = 2022年3月6日 |
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第115行: | 第112行: | ||
| seats7 = 4席 |
| seats7 = 4席 |
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| seat_change7 = {{increase}} 3席 |
| seat_change7 = {{increase}} 3席 |
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| popular_vote7 = |
| popular_vote7 = 204,875 |
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| percentage7 = 3.3% |
| percentage7 = 3.3% |
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| swing7 = {{increase}} 2.0% |
| swing7 = {{increase}} 2.0% |
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第128行: | 第125行: | ||
| seats8 = 1席 |
| seats8 = 1席 |
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| seat_change8 = {{steady}} 0席 |
| seat_change8 = {{steady}} 0席 |
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| popular_vote8 = |
| popular_vote8 = 126,125 |
||
| percentage8 = |
| percentage8 = 2.0% |
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| swing8 = {{increase}} 0. |
| swing8 = {{increase}} 0.4% |
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<!-- Map -->| map_image = {{Switcher |
<!-- Map -->| map_image = {{Switcher |
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第140行: | 第137行: | ||
| map_size = |
| map_size = |
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| map_caption = <!-- Result --> |
| map_caption = <!-- Result --> |
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| title = |
| title = [[葡萄牙總理|總理]] |
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| posttitle = 選後總理 |
| posttitle = 選後總理 |
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| before_election = [[安東尼奧·科斯塔]] |
| before_election = [[安東尼奧·科斯塔]] |
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| before_party = Socialist Party (Portugal) |
| before_party = Socialist Party (Portugal) |
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| after_election = |
| after_election = [[路易斯·蒙滕內格羅]] |
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| after_party = |
| after_party = [[社會民主黨 (葡萄牙)|社會民主黨]] |
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| elected_mps = |
| elected_mps = |
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| previous_mps = {{le|第十五屆葡萄牙第三共和國議會|15th Legislature of the Third Portuguese Republic|第十五屆}} |
| previous_mps = {{le|第十五屆葡萄牙第三共和國議會|15th Legislature of the Third Portuguese Republic|第十五屆}} |
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'''2024年葡萄牙立法选举'''({{lang-pt|Eleições legislativas portuguesas de 2024}})是[[葡萄牙第三共和国|葡萄牙]]在2024年3月10日举行的立法选举,以选举葡萄牙第三共和国第16届的[[共和国议会 (葡萄牙)|共和国议会]]全數230位議員。 |
'''2024年葡萄牙立法选举'''({{lang-pt|Eleições legislativas portuguesas de 2024}})是[[葡萄牙第三共和国|葡萄牙]]在2024年3月10日举行的立法选举,以选举葡萄牙第三共和国第16届的[[共和国议会 (葡萄牙)|共和国议会]]全數230位議員。 |
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是次選舉由[[社會民主黨 (葡萄牙)|社会民主党]]領導的民主聯盟赢得最多议席<ref>{{cite news |date=2024-03-11 |url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/3/11/luis-montenegro-claims-victory-for-portugals-centre-right-in-snap-polls |title=Luis Montenegro claims victory for Portugal’s centre-right in snap polls |language=en |work=Al Jazeera |access-date=2024-03-11 |archive-date=2024-03-11 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240311020435/https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/3/11/luis-montenegro-claims-victory-for-portugals-centre-right-in-snap-polls |dead-url=no }}</ref><ref>{{cite web | last=Hernández-Morales | first=Aitor | title=Portugal’s far right comes roaring back | website=POLITICO | date=2024-03-11 | url=https://www.politico.eu/article/portugal-far-right-back-democratic-alliance-chega-antonio-costa/ | access-date=2024-03-11 | archive-date=2024-03-11 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240311123602/https://www.politico.eu/article/portugal-far-right-back-democratic-alliance-chega-antonio-costa/ | dead-url=no }}</ref> 。 |
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== 背景 == |
== 背景 == |
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== 選舉制度 == |
== 選舉制度 == |
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[[File: |
[[File:Portuguese_electoral_districts_2024.svg|缩略图|294x294像素|各個選區的議席數目]] |
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[[葡萄牙]]的18個區和2個自治區各自為一個選區,每個國內選區的議席數目依選區內選民人數比例分配。居於國外的選民則分為兩個選區——歐洲和歐洲以外,每區各選出2位議員。每個選區採用[[比例代表制]]分配議席。 |
[[葡萄牙]]的18個區和2個自治區各自為一個選區,每個國內選區的議席數目依選區內選民人數比例分配。居於國外的選民則分為兩個選區——歐洲和歐洲以外,每區各選出2位議員。每個選區採用[[比例代表制]]分配議席。 |
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第182行: | 第179行: | ||
| bgcolor=#3777BC align="center" | |
| bgcolor=#3777BC align="center" | |
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| align="left" |民主聯盟 |
| align="left" |民主聯盟 |
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||1,757,879||28.63||{{decrease}}1.3||74||''' |
||1,757,879||28.63||{{decrease}}1.3||74||'''76'''||{{increase}}2||33.63||{{increase}}1.3||1.17 |
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|- |
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| bgcolor="{{party color|Portugal Ahead}}" align="center" | |
| bgcolor="{{party color|Portugal Ahead}}" align="center" | |
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第249行: | 第246行: | ||
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|colspan="2" style="width: 10px" bgcolor="#012257" align="center" | |
|colspan="2" style="width: 10px" bgcolor="#012257" align="center" | |
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| align="left" |新 |
| align="left" |新右派 |
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||14,479||0.24||{{N/A}}||{{N/A}}||'''0'''||{{N/A}}||0.00||{{N/A}}||0.00 |
||14,479||0.24||{{N/A}}||{{N/A}}||'''0'''||{{N/A}}||0.00||{{N/A}}||0.00 |
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第297行: | 第294行: | ||
||9,271,479||66.23||{{increase}}8.3 |
||9,271,479||66.23||{{increase}}8.3 |
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| colspan=12 align=left | 來源: [https://www.legislativas2024.mai.gov.pt/resultados/globais Official results page] |
| colspan=12 align=left | 來源: [https://www.legislativas2024.mai.gov.pt/resultados/globais Official results page] {{Wayback|url=https://www.legislativas2024.mai.gov.pt/resultados/globais |date=20240326003842 }} |
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== 後續 == |
== 後續 == |
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由於右翼民粹政黨[[够了!|夠了!]]崛起,社民黨和社會黨均未能取得足夠席位去執政,而後述兩黨都排除將夠了合組內閣的建議,最後在3月21日,[[葡萄牙总统|葡萄牙總統]][[馬塞洛·雷貝洛·德索薩]]在與和政黨領導會面協商之後,宣佈由社民黨的[[路易斯·蒙特内格罗|路易斯·蒙特尼哥羅]]籌組少數派政府,並於4月2日正式上任。 |
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== 註釋 == |
== 註釋 == |
2024年11月9日 (六) 03:19的最新版本
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共和國議會全部230個席位 獲得過半多數需116个席位 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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已登記選民 | 10,813,643 ━ [1] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
投票率 | 59.9% ▲ 8.4% pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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2024年葡萄牙立法选举(葡萄牙語:Eleições legislativas portuguesas de 2024)是葡萄牙在2024年3月10日举行的立法选举,以选举葡萄牙第三共和国第16届的共和国议会全數230位議員。
是次選舉由社会民主党領導的民主聯盟赢得最多议席[2][3] 。
背景
[编辑]選舉制度
[编辑]葡萄牙的18個區和2個自治區各自為一個選區,每個國內選區的議席數目依選區內選民人數比例分配。居於國外的選民則分為兩個選區——歐洲和歐洲以外,每區各選出2位議員。每個選區採用比例代表制分配議席。
選舉結果
[编辑]政黨 | 得票數 | 得票率(%) | 得票率變動(±%) | 席次 | 席次比率 / 得票率 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022 | 2024 | ± | % | ± | |||||||||||
民主聯盟 | 1,757,879 | 28.63 | ▼1.3 | 74 | 76 | ▲2 | 33.63 | ▲1.3 | 1.17 | ||||||
馬德拉優先 | 52,992 | 0.86 | ▼0.0 | 3 | 3 | ━ 0 | 1.33 | ━ 0 | 1.55 | ||||||
君主人民黨 | 451 | 0.01 | ▲0.0 | 0 | 0 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ||||||
得票數 | 1,811,322 | 29.50 | ▼1.4 | 76 | 79 | ▲3 | 34.96 | ▲1.3 | 1.19 | ||||||
社會黨 | 1,759,937 | 28.66 | ▼13.0 | 117 | 77 | ▼40 | 34.07 | ▼17.7 | 1.19 | ||||||
夠了! | 1,108,764 | 18.06 | ▲10.9 | 12 | 48 | ▲36 | 21.24 | ▲15.9 | 1.18 | ||||||
自由倡議 | 312,033 | 5.08 | ▲0.1 | 8 | 8 | ━ 0 | 3.54 | ━ 0 | 0.70 | ||||||
左翼集團 | 274,011 | 4.46 | ━ 0.0 | 5 | 5 | ━ 0 | 2.21 | ━ 0 | 0.50 | ||||||
聯合民主聯盟 | 202,565 | 3.30 | ▼1.1 | 6 | 4 | ▼2 | 1.77 | ▼0.9 | 0.54 | ||||||
自由 | 199,890 | 3.26 | ▲2.0 | 1 | 4 | ▲3 | 1.77 | ▲1.3 | 0.54 | ||||||
人民-動物-自然 | 118,574 | 1.93 | ▲0.4 | 1 | 1 | ━ 0 | 0.44 | ━ 0 | 0.23 | ||||||
民主選擇 | 100,044 | 1.63 | ▲1.4 | 0 | 0 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ||||||
反饋-包含-環保 | 25,506 | 0.42 | ━ 0.0 | 0 | 0 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ||||||
人民團結 | 18,373 | 0.30 | ▲0.1 | 0 | 0 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ||||||
葡萄牙工人黨 | 14,748 | 0.24 | ▲0.0 | 0 | 0 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ||||||
新右派 | 14,479 | 0.24 | 不適用 | 不適用 | 0 | 不適用 | 0.00 | 不適用 | 0.00 | ||||||
歐洲團結 | 10,824 | 0.18 | ▲0.1 | 0 | 0 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ||||||
復興黨 | 5,746 | 0.09 | ━ 0.0 | 0 | 0 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ||||||
Alternative 21 | 4,045 | 0.07 | ▼0.1 | 0 | 0 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ||||||
勞工黨 | 2,498 | 0.04 | ▼0.1 | 0 | 0 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ||||||
我們市民 | 1,627 | 0.03 | ▼0.1 | 0 | 0 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ━ 0 | 0.00 | ||||||
有效票數 | 5,984,986 | 97.47 | ▼0.5 | 226 | 226 | ━ 0 | 100.00 | ━ 0 | — | ||||||
空白票 | 87,956 | 1.43 | ▲0.3 | ||||||||||||
廢票 | 67,347 | 1.10 | ▲0.2 | ||||||||||||
總票數 | 6,140,289 | 100.00 | |||||||||||||
投票權人 | 9,271,479 | 66.23 | ▲8.3 | ||||||||||||
來源: Official results page (页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) |
後續
[编辑]由於右翼民粹政黨夠了!崛起,社民黨和社會黨均未能取得足夠席位去執政,而後述兩黨都排除將夠了合組內閣的建議,最後在3月21日,葡萄牙總統馬塞洛·雷貝洛·德索薩在與和政黨領導會面協商之後,宣佈由社民黨的路易斯·蒙特尼哥羅籌組少數派政府,並於4月2日正式上任。
註釋
[编辑]- ^ 社會民主黨領袖.
參考資料
[编辑]- ^ Recenseamento Eleitoral. [2024-03-13]. (原始内容存档于2024-02-29).
- ^ Luis Montenegro claims victory for Portugal’s centre-right in snap polls. Al Jazeera. 2024-03-11 [2024-03-11]. (原始内容存档于2024-03-11) (英语).
- ^ Hernández-Morales, Aitor. Portugal’s far right comes roaring back. POLITICO. 2024-03-11 [2024-03-11]. (原始内容存档于2024-03-11).