Opinion polling on the Nayib Bukele presidency
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Opinion polling has been conducted in El Salvador since September 2019, three months after Nayib Bukele took office as the president of El Salvador on 1 June 2019, to gauge public opinion of Bukele and his government. Despite negative reception from outside of El Salvador,[1][2][3] domestically, Bukele is considered to be one of the most popular presidents in Salvadoran history[4] as his approval ratings generally hover around 90 percent.[5][6]
Presidential approval rating
[edit]| Nayib Bukele's presidential approval rating |
| Approves |
| Disapproves |
| Unsure/No Opinion |
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Approves | Disapproves | Unsure | Lead | Ref. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cid-Gallup | Sept 2024 | – | 89.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 85.0 | [7] | |
| Cid-Gallup | 6–13 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 92.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 86.0 | [8] | |
| TResearch | Jun 2023 | 1,000 | 92.9 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 87.6 | [9] | |
| TResearch | May 2023 | 1,000 | 91.5 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 84.3 | [9] | |
| TResearch | Apr 2023 | 1,000 | 90.7 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 83.7 | [9] | |
| TResearch | Mar 2023 | 1,000 | 89.2 | 9.2 | 1.6 | 80.0 | [9] | |
| TResearch | Feb 2023 | 1,000 | 87.6 | 10.1 | 2.3 | 77.5 | [9] | |
| La Prensa Gráfica | Feb 2023 | 1,500 | 91.0 | 6.9 | 2.1 | 84.1 | [10] | |
| Cid-Gallup | 16–27 Jan 2023 | 1,200 | 90.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 86.0 | [11] | |
| TResearch | Jan 2023 | 1,000 | 84.8 | 11.5 | 3.7 | 73.3 | [9] | |
| TResearch | Dec 2022 | 1,000 | 80.1 | 14.8 | 5.1 | 65.3 | [9] | |
| La Prensa Gráfica | 16–21 Nov 2022 | – | 87.8 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 78.3 | [12] | |
| TResearch | Nov 2022 | 1,000 | 81.6 | 13.9 | 4.5 | 67.7 | [9] | |
| TResearch | Oct 2022 | 1,000 | 83.7 | 12.0 | 4.3 | 71.7 | [9] | |
| TResearch | Sept 2022 | 1,000 | 82.0 | 13.2 | 4.8 | 68.8 | [9] | |
| TResearch | Aug 2022 | 1,000 | 83.8 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 75.7 | [9] | |
| TResearch | Jul 2022 | 1,000 | 82.7 | 8.9 | 8.4 | 73.8 | [9] | |
| TResearch | Jun 2022 | 1,000 | 80.7 | 10.9 | 8.4 | 69.8 | [9] | |
| Funda Ungo | Jun 2022 | – | 89.0 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 82.3 | [13] | |
| CIESCA | 30 May 2022 | 1,338 | 91.6 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 88.4 | [14] | |
| Cid-Gallup | 26 Jan 2022 | 1,200 | 84.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 72.0 | [15] | |
| Funda Ungo | Nov–Dec 2021 | – | 84.5 | 10.1 | 5.4 | 82.3 | [13] | |
| La Prensa Gráfica | 24–29 Nov 2021 | 1,520 | 85.1 | 11.7 | 3.2 | 73.4 | [16] | |
| La Prensa Gráfica | 18–24 Aug 2021 | 1,506 | 84.7 | 12.3 | 2.9 | 72.4 | [17] | |
| Cid-Gallup | 18 Aug 2021 | 1,200 | 87.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 76.0 | [18] | |
| CIESCA | 24 May 2021 | – | 94.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 88.0 | [19] | |
| La Prensa Gráfica | 13–22 May 2021 | 1,103 | 86.5 | 9.1 | 4.3 | 77.4 | [20] | |
| Cid-Gallup | 2–10 Mar 2021 | 1,200 | 96.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 93.0 | [21] | |
| Cid-Gallup | 25 Nov–10 Dec 2020 | 1,200 | 89.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 79.0 | [22] | |
| Funda Ungo | Nov–Dec 2020 | – | 91.1 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 84.9 | [13] | |
| Cid-Gallup | 7–16 Nov 2020 | 1,200 | 96.0 | – | – | – | [23] | |
| La Prensa Gráfica | 11–22 May 2020 | 1,406 | 92.5 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 87.1 | [24] | |
| La Prensa Gráfica | 28 Feb 2020 | – | 85.9 | 10.4 | 3.7 | 75.5 | [25] | |
| La Prensa Gráfica | 10 Sept 2019 | – | 90.4 | 0.4 | 9.2 | 90.0 | [26] | |
Polling on the gang crackdown
[edit] | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Support | Oppose | Unsure | Lead | Ref. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cid-Gallup | Sept 2024 | – | 83.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 71.0 | [27] | |
| Cid-Gallup | Jan 2024 | – | 88.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 80.0 | [27] | |
| Cid-Gallup | Sept 2023 | – | 84.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 72.0 | [27] | |
| TResearch | Jun 2023 | 1,000 | 92.4 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 87.3 | [9] | |
| TResearch | May 2023 | 1,000 | 91.2 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 84.7 | [9] | |
| TResearch | May 2023 | 1,000 | 90.9 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 84.3 | [9] | |
| CIESCA | May 2023 | – | 92.21 | 5.30 | 2.49 | 86.91 | [28] | |
| TResearch | Apr 2023 | 1,000 | 89.4 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 81.2 | [9] | |
| TResearch | Mar 2023 | 1,000 | 88.9 | 10.6 | 0.5 | 78.3 | [9] | |
| Funda Ungo | 1–6 Mar 2023 | 500 | 85.6 | – | – | – | [29] | |
| TResearch | Feb 2023 | 1,000 | 85.2 | 12.2 | 2.6 | 83.0 | [9] | |
| Cid-Gallup | Feb 2023 | – | 92.0 | – | – | – | [30] | |
| TResearch | Jan 2023 | 1,000 | 82.1 | 13.9 | 4.0 | 68.2 | [9] | |
| TResearch | Dec 2022 | 1,000 | 78.3 | 16.7 | 5.0 | 61.6 | [9] | |
| TResearch | Nov 2022 | 1,000 | 79.1 | 15.9 | 5.0 | 63.2 | [9] | |
| TResearch | Oct 2022 | 1,000 | 80.8 | 14.1 | 5.1 | 66.7 | [9] | |
| TResearch | Sept 2022 | 1,000 | 79.7 | 15.2 | 5.1 | 64.5 | [9] | |
| UCA | Sept 2022 | – | 75.9 | – | – | – | [31] | |
| Cid-Gallup | 5 Sept 2022 | 1,200 | 91.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 85.0 | [32] | |
| TResearch | Aug 2022 | 1,000 | 83.5 | 13.9 | 2.6 | 69.6 | [9] | |
| TResearch | Jul 2022 | 1,000 | 82.6 | 14.7 | 2.7 | 67.9 | [9] | |
| TResearch | Jun 2022 | 1,000 | 74.6 | 16.3 | 9.1 | 58.3 | [9] | |
| CIESCA | 30 May 2022 | 1,338 | 90.1 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 83.03 | [33] | |
2024 re-election polling
[edit] | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Would support | Would not support | Undecided | Lead | Ref. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iudop-UCA | 11–29 Nov 2023 | 1,512 | 69.9 | 24.3 | 5.8 | 45.6 | [34] |
| TResearch | Jun 2023 | 1,000 | 90.9 | 8.8 | 0.3 | 82.1 | [9] |
| CEC-UFG | 27 May–1 Jun 2023 | 1,334 | 75.6 | 12.5 | 11.9 | 63.1 | [35] |
| CIESCA | May 2023 | – | 91.85 | 5.36 | 2.79 | 86.49 | [36] |
| TResearch | May 2023 | 1,000 | 90.4 | 9.3 | 0.3 | 81.1 | [9] |
| TResearch | Apr 2023 | 1,000 | 91.2 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 83.7 | [9] |
| TResearch | Mar 2023 | 1,000 | 92.6 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 86.4 | [9] |
| La Prensa Gráfica | 15–24 Feb 2023 | 1,500 | 68.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 55.0 | [37] |
| TResearch | 14–16 Feb 2023 | 1,000 | 93.9 | 5.7 | 0.4 | 88.2 | [9] |
| CEC-UFG | 4–8 Feb 2023 | 1,263 | 62.2 | 19.0 | 18.8 | 43.2 | [38] |
| TResearch | Jan 2023 | 1,000 | 92.7 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 86.8 | [9] |
| TResearch | Dec 2022 | 1,000 | 93.7 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 88.9 | [9] |
| La Prensa Gráfica | 16–21 Nov 2022 | 1,520 | 64.6 | 17.9 | 17.5 | 46.7 | [39] |
| TResearch | Nov 2022 | 1,000 | 94.1 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 89.6 | [9] |
| CEC-UFG | 27–31 Oct 2022 | 1,227 | 74.7 | 12.8 | 12.5 | 61.9 | [40] |
| CEC-UFG | 27–31 Oct 2022 | 1,227 | 77.2 | 11.0 | 11.8 | 66.2 | [40] |
| TResearch | Oct 2022 | 1,000 | 94.8 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 90.9 | [9] |
| TResearch | 17–19 Sept 2022 | 1,000 | 94.3 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 89.9 | [41] |
| CIESCA | 18 Sept 2022 | 25,623 | 88.3 | 11.7 | – | 76.6 | [42] |
| CEC-UFG | 10–14 Sept 2022 | 1,231 | 58.9 | 23.1 | 15.0 | 35.8 | [43] |
| CEC-UFG | 26 May 2022 | – | 72.2 | – | – | – | [44] |
References
[edit]- ^ O'Boyle, Brendan (29 April 2020). "Behind Nayib Bukele's "Shocking" Turn". Americas Quarterly. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ Kitroeff, Natalie (5 May 2020). "Young Leader Vowed Change in El Salvador but Wields Same Heavy Hand". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ Crane, Emily (22 September 2021). "El Salvador's president declares himself world's "coolest dictator"". New York Post. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ Galdámez, Eddie (9 March 2022). "Nayib Bukele Approval Rating. Majority of Salvadorans approve of Bukele". elsalvadorinfo.net. El Salvador Info. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ Linthicum, Kate (16 May 2021). "El Salvador's Millennial President is a Man with One Vision: Power". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ Galdámez, Eddie (22 February 2021). "Despite Claims of Authoritarianism, President Bukele's Popularity Continues to be Strong in El Salvador". Global Voices. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ Hernández, Silvia (3 October 2024). "9 de Cada 10 Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión del Presidente Nayib Bukele" [9 Out of Every 10 Salvadorans Approves the Government of President Nayib Bukele]. La Noticia SV (in Spanish). El Salvador. Retrieved 3 October 2024.
- ^ Martínez, Verónica (17 November 2023). "92% Aprueba la Labor Presidencial de Bukele: «Un Valor Alto a Nivel Internacional», Afirma el Gerente Cid Gallup" [92% Approve Bukele's President of Work: "High Value at the International Level", Affirms Poll from Cid Gallup]. La Noticia SV (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 November 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj Penna C., Carlos (November 2022). "Jun/23 El Salvador: 4 Años de Gobierno 93% lo Aprueba" [Jun/23 El Salvador: 4 Years of Government 93% Approve]. TResearch (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 November 2022.
- ^ "LPG Datos | Bukele Arranca 2023 con 91% de Aprobación" [LPG Statistics | Bukele Starts 2023 with 91% Approval]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). 15 March 2023. Retrieved 15 March 2023.
- ^ "Cid Gallup: 90 % Aprueba a Bukele y 56 % No Tiene Partido Político de Preferencia" [Cid-Gallup: 90% Approves Bukele and 56% Do Not Have a Preferred Political Party]. El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 February 2023. Retrieved 2 February 2023.
- ^ Segura, Edwin (12 December 2022). "Bukele Cierra su Tercer Año y Medio de Festión con 88 % de Aprobación" [Bukele Closes His Third Year and a Half with 88% Approval]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 12 December 2022.
- ^ a b c "Evaluación de al Gestión Gubernamental y Temas de Actualidad del 2022" [Evaluation of Gubernatorial Management and Actual Topics of 2022] (PDF). Funda Ungo (in Spanish). September 2022. p. 7. Retrieved 16 October 2022.
- ^ CIESCA Central America [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (30 May 2022). "Los Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión Presidencial. 91.63%" [91.63% of Salvadoran Approve of the Presidential Management] (Tweet) (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ "CID Gallup Dice que el 84% de los Salvadoreños Aprueba la Gestión del Presidente Nayib Bukele" [GID Gallup Says that 84% of Salvadorans Approve of President Nayib Bukele's Management] (in Spanish). ElSalvadorgram.com. 26 January 2022. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ Segura, Edwin (15 November 2021). "Bukele Halfway Through His Term with High Approval" [Bukele Llega a la Mitad de su Gestión con Alta Aprobación]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ Segura, Edwin (3 September 2021). "Bukele Approval, Almost Unscathed" [Aprobación de Bukele, Casi Indemne]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ "Cid-Gallup: Bukele con un 87% de Aprobación" [Cid-Gallup: Bukele with 87% Approval] (in Spanish). El Mundo.sv. 18 August 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ "Presidente Bukele Recibe Aprobación del 94% de Salvadoreños en sus 2 Años de Gobierno, Según Encuesta" [President Bukele Receives Approval from 94% of Salvadorans in His 2 Years of Government, According to Survey]. El Salvador gram (in Spanish). Centro de Investigaciones, Estudios Sociales de Centroamérica. 24 May 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ Segura, Edwin (1 June 2021). "Bukele con 86.5% de Aprobación" [Bukele with 86.5% Approval]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ "98 por Ciento de los Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión de Bukele Ante la Pandemia" [98 Percent of Salvadorans Approve Bukele's Management Due to the Pandemic] (in Spanish). Cid-Gallup. 11 March 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta de Cid-Gallup Ubica a Nayib Bukele con el 90% de Aprobación Aún Año de Gestión" [Cid-Gallup Poll Locates Nayib Bukele with 90% Approval Still Year in Management]. 102Nueve (in Spanish). Cid-Gallup. 16 December 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ "Aprobación del Presidente Nayib Bukele Sube al 96% en el País, Según Última Encuesta de Cid-Gallup" [Approval of President Nayib Bukele Rises to 96% in the Country, According to the Latest Cid-Gallup Poll]. La Pagina (in Spanish). Cid-Gallup. 18 November 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ "¡90% de Aprobación para Nayib Bukele en El Salvador!" [90% Approval for Nayib Bukele in El Salvador!]. fubtolcentroamericano (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. 25 May 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ "Presidente Nayib Bukele Conserva Alta Aprobación" [President Nayib Bukele Conserves High Approval]. Twitter (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. 28 February 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ "Estudio: Presidente Nayib de El Salvador Tiene Aprobación Popular del 90,4 por Ciento" [Study: President Nayib Bukele of El Salvador has Popular Approval of 90.4 Percent]. VOA (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. 10 September 2019. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ a b c Crespín, Verónica (3 October 2024). "El 84% de Salvadoreños a Favor de la Continuidad del Régimen de Excepción, Según Cid Gallup" [84% of Salvadorans In Favor of Continuing the State of Exception, According to Cid-Gallup]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 3 October 2024.
- ^ CIESCA CENTROAMERICA [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (30 May 2023). "Los salvadoreños aprueban con un 92.2% el #RegimenDeExcepcion medida implementada por el gobierno del presidente @nayibbukele" [Salvadorans approve the #StateofException medium implemented by the government of president @nayibbukelewith 92.2%] (Tweet). Retrieved 30 May 2023 – via Twitter.
- ^ Magaña, Yolanda (27 March 2023). "Mayoría Aprueba Régimen de Excepción Pero no con Capturas Sin Orden de Arresto: Encuesta" [Majority Approve of State of Excpetion But not with Captures Without Arrest Orders: Poll]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 March 2023.
- ^ Renteria, Nelson; Kinosian, Sarah (15 February 2023). "El Salvador Vows Gang Crackdown Will Go On as Citizens Cheer Safer Streets". Reuters. Retrieved 22 March 2023.
- ^ Murphy, Matt (4 December 2022). "El Salvador: Thousands of Troops Surround City in Gang Crackdown". BBC News. Reuters. Retrieved 22 March 2023.
- ^ "La Población Aprueba as Labores Realizadas en el Campo de la Seguridad" [The Population Approves as Works Carried Out in the Field of Security]. Cid-Gallup (in Spanish). 5 September 2022. Retrieved 5 September 2022.
- ^ CIESCA Central America [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (30 May 2022). "El 90.13%, de los salvadoreños, aprueba el régimen de excepción y la lucha en contra de las pandillas" [90.13% of Salvadorans approve the state of emergency and the war against the gangs.] (Tweet) (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 September 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ Magaña, Yolanda (6 December 2023). "70% Avala que Bukele haya Presentado Candidatura Presidencial: Encuesta UCA" [70% Support Bukele Has Presented a Presidential Candidacy: UCA Poll]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 6 December 2023.
- ^ Villarroel, Gabriela (6 June 2023). "El 75.6% Apoya la Reelección de Bukele de 2024, Según Encuesta de la UFG" [75.6% Support the Re-Election of Bukele in 2024, According to Poll from UFG]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 6 June 2023.
- ^ CIESCA CENTROAMERICA [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (31 May 2023). "Tercera entrega: Los salvadoreños aprueban la reelección del presidente @nayibbukele en un 91.85%" [Third poll: Salvadorans approve the re-election of president @nayibbukele with 91.85%.] (Tweet). Retrieved 31 May 2023 – via Twitter.
- ^ Rentiera, Nelson (14 March 2023). "Despite Constitutional Ban, Salvadoran Leader Heavily Favored for Re-Election, Poll Shows". Reuters. San Salvador, El Salvador. Retrieved 15 March 2023.
- ^ Magaña, Yolanda (16 February 2023). "62.2% de Salvadoreños Están de Acuerdo con la Reelección de Bukele: Encuesta UFG" [62.2% of Salvadorans Are in Agreement of Bukele's Reelection: UFG Poll]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 16 February 2023.
- ^ Segura, Edwin (14 December 2022). "LPG Datos | Salvadoreños a Favor de Extender Mandato Presidencial" [LPG Statistics: | Salvadorans in Favor of Extending Presidential Mandate]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 14 December 2022.
- ^ a b Magaña, Yolanda (10 November 2022). "Mayoría Apoya la Reelección Inmediata de Bukele Según Encuesta de UFG" [Majority Support the Immediate Reelection of Bukele According to Poll by UFG]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 10 November 2022.
- ^ America Elects [@AmericaElige] (20 September 2022). "Would you vote for the re-election of President Nayib Bukele (NI, conservative) if he decides to run?" (Tweet). Retrieved 16 October 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ "88.3% de la Población, a Favor de Reelección de Bukele" [88.3% in Favor of Bukele's Re-Election]. Contrapunto.com.sv (in Spanish). 19 September 2022. Retrieved 16 October 2022.
- ^ America Elects [@AmericaElige] (30 September 2022). "Do you agree or disagree with the possible re-election of President Nayib Bukele (NI, conservative)?" (Tweet). Retrieved 16 October 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ Genoves, Alessia (26 May 2022). "Reelección de Bukele Piden 72.2% de la Población, según UFG" [72.2% of the Populations Asks for Bukele's Reelection]. Contra Punto (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 17 October 2022. Retrieved 16 October 2022.